scholarly journals TOOLS FOR DEMAND AND SUPPLY FORECASTING AT CREDIT MARKET BASED ON THE BANK OF RUSSIA DIFFUSION INDICES

Author(s):  
Dmitry V. Shimanovsky ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 (367) ◽  
Author(s):  

This Selected Issues paper examines whether the recent slowdown in private sector credit growth in Cabo Verde is demand or supply driven. Although in the late 2000s, demand factors have been the main drivers in Cabo Verde’s credit market, supply dynamics’ role has increased in recent years. For Cabo Verde to promote private sector-led growth and sustainable economic development, reforms aiming at strengthening both credit demand and supply will be essential. These include improving the business environment for the private sector as well as strengthening the financial sector by ensuring prudent banking supervision and an effective resolution of the nonperforming loan overhang.


2021 ◽  
Vol 27 (2) ◽  
pp. 84-88
Author(s):  
Mariana Rodica Țîrlea

Abstract The sphere of consumer loans implies protection, knowledge, anticipatory regulations, flexibility, adaptability leading to the elaboration of a modern, clear legislation and an efficient internal credit market. Clear, explicit and clear legislation contributes to increasing the trust of customers, consumers and effectively to their protection. The European Directive states that: “in order to ensure consumer confidence, it is important that the market provides them with a sufficient degree of protection” [1]. In this way, the demand and supply of loans can be achieved in optimal conditions, both for professionals who offer loans and for credit consumers. A sufficient degree of protection ensures the confidence of credit consumers. In this sense, the concept of complete harmonization, from the perspective of the European Directive is seen as necessary in order to achieve a high level of interest of consumers and professionals. Legislation easily understood by the parties involved in credit agreements, does not leave room for some interpretations. For this reason, we appreciate the fact that the presentation of the definitions, the transparency in the knowledge of their meaning represent one of the important measures of protection of the customers consuming loans.


2017 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 110-119 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hana WoldeKidan ◽  
Gebrelibanos Hadush ◽  
Kahsay Gerezihar

The study is conducted using a primary data which was collected from 252 randomly selected households found in two woredas (districts) of Gedeo zone with the objective of analysing determinants of smallholder farmers’ participation in the credit market from both demand and supply sides and its implication on agricultural technology adoption and intensity of adoption. Probit and double-hurdle models are employed to analyse the data. Being young, number of oxen and distance to credit market are found to reduce the probability of being credit constrained. Age, number of oxen, family size and technology adoption are found to increase credit demand while land size, tropical livestock unit and distance to credit market have negative (unexpected) signs. In the double-hurdle model estimation while credit market participation, being literate, being young and livestock holdings are found to determine the probability of technology adoption positively having oxen, being credit constrained and far from input market affected probability of technology adoption negatively. In the last estimation, education, land size and livestock holdings turned out to affect intensity of adoption positively while number of oxen and distance to input market are found to reduce expenditure of farm technology.


Author(s):  
William Rhodes ◽  
Patrick Johnston ◽  
Song Han ◽  
Quentin McMullen ◽  
Lynne Hozik

2012 ◽  
pp. 4-31 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Mamonov ◽  
A. Pestova ◽  
O. Solntsev

The stability of Russian banking sector is threatened by three negative tendencies - overheating of the credit market, significant decrease of banks capital adequacy ratios, and growing problems associated with banks lending to affiliated non-financial corporations. The co-existence of these processes reflects the crisis of the model of private investments in Russian banking sector, which was observed during the last 20 years. This paper analyzes the measures of the Bank of Russia undertaken to maintain the stability of the banking sector using the methodology of credit risk stress-testing. Based on this methodology we conclude that the Bank of Russias actions can prevent the overheating of the credit market, but they can also lead to undesirable effects: further expansion of the government ownership in Russian banking sector and substitution of domestic credit supply by cross-border corporate borrowings. The later weakens the competitive positions of Russian banks. We propose a set of measures to harmonize the prudential regulation of banks. Our suggestions rely on design and further implementation of the programs aimed at developing new markets for financial services provided by Russian banks to their corporate and retail customers. The estimated effects of proposed policy measures are both the increase in profitability and capitalization of Russian banks and the decrease of banks demand for government support.


2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (5) ◽  
pp. 550-562

Drawn upon field research in two peri-urban villages of Hanoi in 2014 and short re-visits recently, the research examines the widespread of gambling and other social issues in Hanoi’s urbanizing peri-urban communities which happened concurrently with the phenomenon of “land fever,” and at the time local villagers received compensation from land appropriation. The article aims to understand the impact of urbanization on these communities and the interface between urbanization and the increase of social problems. It argues that gambling, drug use, and other social problems have been existing in Vietnamese rural communities long before; however, when urbanization came, some people have higher chances to engage in these activities. Those are villagers who want to transform quickly into entrepreneurs or bosses by joining the “black credit” market and gambling. Together with middle-aged and old farmers who greatly relied on agricultural production and face difficulties in transforming their occupation, they formed the group of losers in the urbanization process. Received 6th January 2019; Revised 26th April 2019; Accepted 15th May 2019


Author(s):  
Hoi Le Quoc ◽  
Hoi Chu Minh

Financial development could exert various effects on income distribution of a country. By employing Generalized Method of Moment, this paper aims at examining the impacts of credit market depth, one of most used financial development barometers, on income inequality in Vietnam. The empirical findings show that expanding credit market in the country could lead to higher income inequality. We have not found evidence that supports the hypothesis of an inverted U-shaped relation ever introduced by Greenwood and Jovanovich, although this hypothesis may still hold in a sense that Vietnam has not reached to the inflection point to generate such a curve alike.


2012 ◽  
Vol 3 (4) ◽  
pp. 100-104
Author(s):  
DR.S.GANDHIMATH DR.S.GANDHIMATH ◽  
◽  
G.Mookambigai G.Mookambigai

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