scholarly journals RETROSPECTIVE ANALYSIS OF WIND WAVES IN THE CASPIAN SEA IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE XX – BEGINNING OF THE XXI CENTURY AND ITS CONNECTION WITH THE REGIONAL CLIMATE CHANGES

Author(s):  
N.A. Yaitskaya ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 100 (1) ◽  
pp. 70-77
Author(s):  
N.I. Ivkina ◽  
◽  
A.V. Galayeva ◽  
◽  

The article considers the possible fluctuation of the Caspian Sea level in the future until 2050, taking into an account the climate changes. For this purpose, possible changes in the river inflow to the sea and meteorological parameters (precipitation, air temperature and evaporation from the water surface) were predicted. Changes in the meteorological parameters were estimated according to two climate scenarios RCP4. 5 and RCP8.5.


2021 ◽  
Vol 699 (1) ◽  
pp. 012053
Author(s):  
A K Alieva ◽  
B M Nasibulina ◽  
T A Abdusamadov ◽  
T F Kurochkina ◽  
A D Guseynov

Fisheries ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 (1) ◽  
pp. 52-56
Author(s):  
Tatiana Vetlugina

Rudd is one of the most abundant species in the large group of minnow in the Volga-Caspian and Northern-Caspian fishery subareas of the Volga–Caspian fishery basin south. The article contains the data on its catches and usable stocks during ХХ – ХХI centuries. A long term analysis of the rudd catches and the runoff volume during the spring high water showed no substantial connection between these processes due to the rudd’s ecological peculiarities. The dynamics of the rudd catches and the level of the Caspian Sea are connected in inverse ratio. Inverse correlations with high determination coefficients between the rudd catches, the usable stocks, and the sea level were obtained.


2019 ◽  
Vol 47 (5) ◽  
pp. 160-176
Author(s):  
T. A. Yanina ◽  
V. M. Sorokin ◽  
H. Khoshravan

Evolution of environment of the Caspian Sea in the conditions of global climate changes is considered for two multi-scale temporary periods: the last climatic macrocycle (marine isotope stages, MIS, 5-2) and the Holocene (MIS 1). Both of them are characterized by considerable climatic changes. The Caspian Sea reacted to climatic events of MIS 5 epoch by the development of two transgressive basins - the warm-water Late Khazarian and moderately warm-water Hyrcanian basins. The Atelian regression was answered to the MIS 4 glacial stage and initial phases of interstadial warming MIS 3. The climatic conditions of the second half of interstadial warming were reflected by development of the first stage of the Khvalynian transgression. The transgressive trend of level was interrupted during an epoch of the maximum cold and dryness of MIS 2 stage. During an epoch of glacial degradation the development of Khvalynian transgression was resumed. Climatic events of late glacial epoch, the warming phases Bolling and Allered, got a response in development of the transgressive stage of the Khvalynian basin. Phases of a considerable cold snap (Oldest, Older and Yanger Dryas) were reflected by regressive stages in the history of the Khvalynian basin. The most considerable of them answered to the Yanger Dryas. Development of the Mangyshlakian regression is a response of the Caspian Sea to the continentalization of climate of the Boreal period of the Holocene. In development of the New Caspian transgression, the three transgressive stages are established. They are closely connected with regional climate changes. The composition of mollusks of the Caspian Sea represents the result of evolutionary processes in the Pleistocene faunae occurring in the conditions of climatic changes and transgressive and regressive rhythmics of the basin. The New Caspian (Holocene) complexes reflect the change of biotic conditions of the basin - the invasion of the Black Sea species. The invasiv species and acclimatizin species made much more essential changes to structure of the biodiversity, than it is caused by natural factors. The natural ecosystems underwent the anthropogenous transformation, turning the unique ecosystems of the Caspian Sea created for its Pleistocene history into similarity of the Azov-Black Sea ecosystems.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anna Pavlova ◽  
Stanislav Myslenkov ◽  
Victor Arkhipkin ◽  
Galina Surkova

Abstract. This study is devoted to the analysis of the storm surges and wind waves in the Caspian Sea for the period from 1979 to 2017–2020. The models used are the circulation model ADCIRC and the wave model WAVEWATCH III with wind and pressure forcing from the NCEP/CFSR reanalysis. The modeling is performed on the unstructured grid with spacing to 300–700 m in the coastal zone. Mean and extreme values of surges, wave parameters, and storm activity are provided. The maximum significant wave height for the whole period amounts to 8.2 m. The average long-term SWH does not exceed 1.1 m. No significant trend in the storm activity was found. The maximum surges height amounts to 2.7 m. Analysis of the interannual variability of the surges occurrence showed that 7–10 surges with a height of more than 1 meter were obtained per year and the total duration of all these surges was 20–30 days per year. Assessment of the risk of coastal flooding was carried out by calculating the extreme values of the Sea for different return periods 5, 10, 25, 50, and 100 years. The extreme sea level values in the northern part of the Caspian Sea for the return period 100 years is close to 3 m and the areas with big surges are located along the eastern and western coasts. Based on climatic scenarios of CMIP5, a forecast is made for the recurrence of storm wind waves in the 21st century. A statistically significant increase of storm waves recurrence in the future was found, but it is not dramatically growing.


2018 ◽  
Vol 43 (4) ◽  
pp. 245-250 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. I. Lopatukhin ◽  
N. A. Yaitskaya

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