scholarly journals Demand for energy in Zimbabwe industries: an aggregated demand analysis

2006 ◽  
Vol 17 (3) ◽  
pp. 39-48
Author(s):  
J C Nkomo ◽  
H E Goldstein
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Fixed Effects ◽  
Liquid Fuel ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Data Series ◽  
Regression Equations ◽  
Translog Cost Function ◽  
Short Time Span ◽  
Short Time

This paper describes interfuel substitution for liquid fuel, coal and electricity in Zimbabwe manufacturing and mining using a translog cost function. Our data series spans over a 24 year period. To mitigate the short time span of this time series data, we partially pool time-series cross-section observations, and take into account the ‘random effects’ and ‘fixed effects’ framework in estimating regression equations. Estimated results are used to determine possibilities for interfuel substitution particularly given persistent increases in the price of liquid fuel. We use an aggregated demand approach as this should both sharpen our results and yield more efficient estimates.

ANALISIS PERMINTAAN BERAS DI SUMATERA UTARA

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hasyrul Aziz Harahap
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Fixed Effects ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Food Prices ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Cross Point ◽  
Social Unrest ◽  
Corn Prices ◽  
North Sumatra ◽  
Global Food

Indonesia is often categorized as low food resilient nation, in the sense vulnerable to social unrest and rising global food prices. Where every year the number of requests or local domestic rice continue to increase along with the increasing number of people. This study aims to look at and determine how much influence the price of rice, corn prices and the number of population and GDP of the demand for rice in North Sumatra. Used in measuring and analyzing time series data (time series) and the cross-point (cross section) of the 25 districts / municipalities in the period from 2005 to 2010. Data analysis using fixed effects (fixed effect). The results showed a significant effect between the price of rice, the population and GDP of the demand for rice in North Sumatra. While corn prices do not influence of the demand for rice in North Sumatra. The magnitude of the effect is shown by the coefficient of independent variables, namely: -5.215489 for the variable price of rice, 13.08473 for the population, 4.736669 for the variable GDP.

Theoretical Consideration on the Application of Continuous Wavelet Transform to Time-Series Processing for Magnetotelluric Data

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hiroki Ogawa ◽  
Yuki Hama ◽  
Koichi Asamori ◽  
Takumi Ueda
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Fourier Transform ◽  
Data Processing ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Short Time Fourier Transform ◽  
Numerical Errors ◽  
Spectral Transform ◽  
Frequency Components ◽  
Short Time

Abstract In the magnetotelluric (MT) method, the responses of the natural electromagnetic fields are evaluated by transforming time-series data into spectral data and calculating the apparent resistivity and phase. The continuous wavelet transform (CWT) can be an alternative to the short-time Fourier transform, and the applicability of CWT to MT data has been reported. There are, however, few cases of considering the effect of numerical errors derived from spectral transform on MT data processing. In general, it is desirable to adopt a window function narrow in the time domain for higher-frequency components and one in the frequency domain for lower-frequency components. In conducting the short-time Fourier transform, because the size of the window function is fixed unless the time-series data are decimated, there might be difference between the calculated MT responses and the true ones due to the numerical errors. Meanwhile, CWT can strike a balance between the resolution of the time and frequency domains by magnifying or reducing the wavelet, according to the value of frequency. Although the types of wavelet functions and their parameters influence the resolution of time and frequency, those calculation settings of CWT are often determined empirically. In this study, focusing on the frequency band between 0.001 Hz and 10 Hz, we demonstrated the superiority of utilizing CWT in MT data processing and determined its proper calculation settings in terms of restraining the numerical errors caused by the spectral transform of time-series data. The results obtained with the short-time Fourier transform accompanied with gradual decimation of the time-series data, called cascade decimation, were compared with those of CWT. The shape of the wavelet was changed by using different types of wavelet functions or their parameters, and the respective results of data processing were compared. Through these experiments, this study indicates that CWT with the complex Morlet function with its wavelet parameter k set to 6 ≤ k < 10 will be effective in restraining the numerical errors caused by the spectral transform.

scholarly journals Reconstructing Three Decades of Land Use and Land Cover Changes in Brazilian Biomes with Landsat Archive and Earth Engine

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (17) ◽  
pp. 2735 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carlos M. Souza ◽  
Julia Z. Shimbo ◽  
Marcos R. Rosa ◽  
Leandro L. Parente ◽  
Ane A. Alencar ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Land Cover ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Google Earth ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Data Series ◽  
Forest Conversion ◽  
Pixel Resolution ◽  
Historical Land Use

Brazil has a monitoring system to track annual forest conversion in the Amazon and most recently to monitor the Cerrado biome. However, there is still a gap of annual land use and land cover (LULC) information in all Brazilian biomes in the country. Existing countrywide efforts to map land use and land cover lack regularly updates and high spatial resolution time-series data to better understand historical land use and land cover dynamics, and the subsequent impacts in the country biomes. In this study, we described a novel approach and the results achieved by a multi-disciplinary network called MapBiomas to reconstruct annual land use and land cover information between 1985 and 2017 for Brazil, based on random forest applied to Landsat archive using Google Earth Engine. We mapped five major classes: forest, non-forest natural formation, farming, non-vegetated areas, and water. These classes were broken into two sub-classification levels leading to the most comprehensive and detailed mapping for the country at a 30 m pixel resolution. The average overall accuracy of the land use and land cover time-series, based on a stratified random sample of 75,000 pixel locations, was 89% ranging from 73 to 95% in the biomes. The 33 years of LULC change data series revealed that Brazil lost 71 Mha of natural vegetation, mostly to cattle ranching and agriculture activities. Pasture expanded by 46% from 1985 to 2017, and agriculture by 172%, mostly replacing old pasture fields. We also identified that 86 Mha of the converted native vegetation was undergoing some level of regrowth. Several applications of the MapBiomas dataset are underway, suggesting that reconstructing historical land use and land cover change maps is useful for advancing the science and to guide social, economic and environmental policy decision-making processes in Brazil.

Estimation of Most Probable Maximum From Short-Duration or Undersampled Time-Series Data

2015 ◽  
Author(s):  
Puneet Agarwal ◽  
William Walker ◽  
Kenneth Bhalla
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Gaussian Process ◽  
Short Duration ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Extreme Value ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Sampled Data ◽  
Zero Crossing ◽  
Short Time ◽  
Undersampled Data

The most probable maximum (MPM) is the extreme value statistic commonly used in the offshore industry. The extreme value of vessel motions, structural response, and environment are often expressed using the MPM. For a Gaussian process, the MPM is a function of the root-mean square and the zero-crossing rate of the process. Accurate estimates of the MPM may be obtained in frequency domain from spectral moments of the known power spectral density. If the MPM is to be estimated from the time-series of a random process, either from measurements or from simulations, the time series data should be of long enough duration, sampled at an adequate rate, and have an ensemble of multiple realizations. This is not the case when measured data is recorded for an insufficient duration, or one wants to make decisions (requiring an estimate of the MPM) in real-time based on observing the data only for a short duration. Sometimes, the instrumentation system may not be properly designed to measure the dynamic vessel motions with a fine sampling rate, or it may be a legacy instrumentation system. The question then becomes whether the short-duration and/or the undersampled data is useful at all, or if some useful information (i.e., an estimate of MPM) can be extracted, and if yes, what is the accuracy and uncertainty of such estimates. In this paper, a procedure for estimation of the MPM from the short-time maxima, i.e., the maximum value from a time series of short duration (say, 10 or 30 minutes), is presented. For this purpose pitch data is simulated from the vessel RAOs (response amplitude operators). Factors to convert the short-time maxima to the MPM are computed for various non-exceedance levels. It is shown that the factors estimated from simulation can also be obtained from the theory of extremes of a Gaussian process. Afterwards, estimation of the MPM from the short-time maxima is explored for an undersampled process; however, undersampled data must not be used and only the adequately sampled data should be utilized. It is found that the undersampled data can be somewhat useful and factors to convert the short-time maxima to the MPM can be derived for an associated non-exceedance level. However, compared to the adequately sampled data, the factors for the undersampled data are less useful since they depend on more variables and have more uncertainty. While the vessel pitch data was the focus of this paper, the results and conclusions are valid for any adequately sampled narrow-banded Gaussian process.

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