scholarly journals Dividend Policy and Its Impact on Stock Price – A Study on Commercial Banks Listed in Dhaka Stock Exchange

2014 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 7-16 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdullah Al Masum
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Dividend Policy ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Retained Earnings

How do dividend policy decisions affect a firm’s stock price, is a widely researched topic in the field of investments and finance but still it remains a mystery that whether dividend policy affects the stock prices or not. There are those who suggest that dividend policy is irrelevant because they argue a firm’s value should be determine by the basic earning power and business risk of the firm, in which case value depends only on the income (cash) produced, not on how the income is split between dividends and retained earnings and opponents of this statement called dividend is irrelevance, that investors care only about the total returns they receive, not whether they receive those returns in the form of dividends, capital gains or both.The results of researches conducted in various stock markets are different. There are many internal and external factors, which simultaneously affect stock prices and it is almost impossible to segregate the effect of each so the variations remain. This paper empirically estimates excess stock market returns for all the thirty banks listed in Dhaka Stock Exchange for the period of 2007 to 2011. Attempts are made to examine, what kind of relationship exists between dividend policy and stock market returns of private commercial banks in Bangladesh, and to what degree the returns on stocks can be explained by their respective dividend policy for the same period of time. Various theories related to dividend policy are tested in various parts of the world with different results and findings. Various other articles are reviewed, written in Bangladesh and abroad to see the significance of dividend policy on the stock prices and to compare the results of this research with those conducted earlier. Sample size is large i.e. all the listed commercial banks of Dhaka Stock Exchange so the results are reliable and valid. Panel data approach is used to explain the relationship between dividends and stock prices after controlling the variables like Earnings per Share, Return on Equity, Retention Ratio have positive relation with Stock Prices and significantly explain the variations in the market prices of shares, while the Dividend Yield and Profit after Tax has negative, insignificant relation with stock prices. Overall results of this study indicate that Dividend Policy has significant positive effect on Stock Prices. JEL Classification Code: D78; E64; H54; R53; G21

Rational–Irrational Investor Sentiments and Emerging Stock Market Returns: A Comparison from Turkey

2017 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. 219-245 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sidika Gulfem Bayram
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Risk Premium ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Dynamic Interactions ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Dynamic Relationship ◽  
The Impact

This study investigates the dynamic relationship between rational and irrational consumer-business sentiments and stock returns in an emerging stock market, Turkey. Consumer and business sentiments are divided into two components: rational and irrational sentiments. Then, the dynamic interactions and the impact of the sentiments on stock returns are examined. The fundamental economic variables used in the study consist of business conditions, economic risk premium, country risk, exchange rate risk, country growth rate, inflation rate, and terms of trade. The results show that Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE)-100 index returns are positively and significantly affected by the rational sentiments of both consumers and businesses. JEL Classification: G02, G12, G150

scholarly journals Return on Equity as the Leading Indicator of Dividend Payout Ratio of Jakarta Islamic Index Stocks Listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 319-330
Author(s):  
Endi Trimawan Budianto ◽  
Eka Bertuah Eka Bertuah
Keyword(s):  
Stock Price ◽  
Dividend Policy ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Cash Dividend ◽  
Dividend Payout ◽  
Return On Equity ◽  
Company Stock ◽  
Financial Condition ◽  
Main Indicator ◽  
Retained Earnings

Dividend policy is a critical and imperative decision because it involves the shareholders interest’s and has a significant impact to company's sustainability. Sartono (2010) states that dividend policy is a decision whether the profits obtained by the company will be distributed to shareholders as dividend or will be held in the form of retained earnings for future investment.Brigham and Gapenski (2006) state that investor’s main purpose when investing their fund is to gain income or return either as dividend yield or as capital gain. On the other side, the company who will share the dividend will be faced with various consideration: the urge to retain some profit for a more promising re-investment, the company funding, company liquidity, shareholder’s characteristic, specific target related to dividend payment ratio, and other factors related to dividend policy.Based on the definition mentioned above, it can be concluded that dividend policy is influenced by two conflicting interests; the shareholders interest with their dividend and the company interest to do re-investment by retaining the profit. Therefore, dividends paid will depend on each company’s considerations.In general, the shareholders wish to have a relatively stable dividend share to minimize the uncertainty of expected investment result and to increase the shareholder’s trust toward the company so that the stock value will rise. The company dividend policy can be reflected by the Dividend Payout Ratio (DPR), which is the profit percentage shared in the form of cash dividend. It means that the size of the DPR, either big or small, will affect the shareholder’s decision and to the contrary it will also affect the company financial condition. Improper decisions will potentially envisage company facing funding difficulties in the future.According to Brigham and Gapenski (2006), the optimum dividend policy is the dividend policy which creating balance between the current dividend and its growth in the future so the company stock price can be maximized.Lintner (1956) argue that the company ability to gain profit is the main indicator of the company ability to pay dividend. So, the profitability is the most determining factor toward dividend. But some other research mention that the companies tend to choose new investment instead of paying high dividend if their condition are great, well-developed and have high profitability.The rapid growth of Islamic Finance become the first-rate consideration of choosing Jakarta Islamic Index stocks as the object research in which this research aimed to improve investor’s understanding related to dividend policy of sharia stocks member of Jakarta Islamic Index.

scholarly journals Forecasting stock returns on the Amman Stock Exchange: Do neural networks outperform linear regressions?

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 280-296
Author(s):  
Abdel Razzaq Al Rababa’a ◽  
Zaid Saidat ◽  
Raed Hendawi
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Linear Models ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Statistical Measures ◽  
Amman Stock Exchange ◽  
Non Linear ◽  
Ann Models

Different models have been used in the finance literature to predict the stock market returns. However, it remains an open question whether non-linear models can outperform linear models while providing accurate predictions for future returns. This study examines the prediction of the non-linear artificial neural network (ANN) models against the baseline linear regression models. This study aims specifically to compare the prediction performance of regression models with different specifications and static and dynamic ANN models. Thus, the analysis was conducted on a growing market, namely the Amman Stock Exchange. The results show that the trading volume and interest rates on loans tend to explain the monthly returns the most, compared to other predictors in the regressions. Moreover, incorporating more variables is not found to help in explaining the fluctuations in the stock market returns. More importantly, using the root mean square error (RMSE), as well as the mean absolute error statistical measures, the static ANN becomes the most preferred model for forecasting. The associated forecasting errors from these metrics become equal to 0.0021 and 0.0005, respectively. Lastly, the analysis conducted with the dynamic ANN model produced the highest RMSE value of 0.0067 since November 2018 following the amendment to the Jordanian income tax law. The same observation is also seen since the emerging of the COVID-19 outbreak (RMSE = 0.0042).

scholarly journals The effects of dividend policy to stock prices of listed companies in Vietnam stock market

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thị Lam Hồ ◽  
Thùy Phương Trâm Hồ
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Dividend Policy ◽  
Corporate Value ◽  
Business Managers ◽  
Dividend Payment ◽  
Share Prices ◽  
Finance Management ◽  
The Impact

Dividend policy is one of the most important policies in corporate finance management. Understanding the impact of dividend policy on the distribution of profits, corporate value and thus on the stock price is important for business managers to make policies and for investors to make investment decisions. This study is conducted to evaluate the impact of dividend policy on share prices for companies listed on Vietnam’s stock market in the period from 2010 to 2018, based on the availability of continuous dividend payment data. Using the FGLS method with panel data of 100 companies listed on the HoSE and HNX, we find evidence of the impact of dividend policy on stock prices, supporting supports the bird in the hand and the signal detection theories. The findings of this study help to suggest a few recommendations for business managers and investors.

scholarly journals Stock Market Returns and Shareholders’ Wealth Sustainability of Companies Listed on the Nigerian Stock Exchange

2020 ◽  
pp. 27-45
Author(s):  
Adekunle Orelope Koleosho ◽  
Folajimi Festus Adegbie ◽  
Ayooluwa Olotu Ajayi- Owoeye
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Market Price ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Target Population ◽  
Validity And Reliability ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Ex Post ◽  
Negative Effect

Sustainability of shareholder’s wealth has been a subject of discussion globally due to various decisions of the managers and the effect it has on company’s performance. Various corporate actions and information about the companies are disseminated over time and studies have shown the effect on shareholder's wealth. This study examined the effect of capital market returns on sustainability of shareholder's wealth in Nigeria Listed Companies. The study adopted ex-post facto research design. A sample of 57 companies from a target population of 168 companies listed on the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) as December 2018 was randomly drawn across the various market sectors for the panel data. The study used secondary data from the NSE, CBN and companies’ data on the Bloomberg Terminals. Validity and reliability were premised on the statutory audit of the financial statement. The study adopted descriptive and inferential (Regression and Correlation) statistics to analyze the data. The study found that the stock market returns indicators (dividend per share, earnings and Leverage) have joint and statistically significant relationship with market price per share: DPS, EPS and LEV with Adjusted R2 = 0.738, F(3, 796) = 54.74, p = 0.108 > 0.05. The study concluded that stock market returns measured by dividend and earnings have a significant effect on the shareholders' wealth while leverage exerts a negative effect on Market Price per share. The study recommended that the management of the companies should embrace the payment of dividend to shareholders while ensuring the growth of earnings over the period to sustain shareholder's wealth.

scholarly journals Reaction of stock market returns to COVID-19 pandemic and lockdown policy: evidence from Nigerian firms stock returns

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Isiaka Akande Raifu ◽  
Terver Theophilus Kumeka ◽  
Alarudeen Aminu
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Estimation Methods ◽  
Panel Var ◽  
Impulse Response Functions ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Policy Shocks

AbstractGiven the effects COVID-19 pandemic on the financial sectors across the world, this study examined the reaction of stock returns of 201 firms listed in the Nigerian Stock Exchange to the COVID-19 pandemic and lockdown policy. We deployed both Pooled OLS and Panel VAR as estimation methods. Generally, the results from POLS show the stock market returns of the Nigerian firms reacted negatively more to the global COVID-19 confirmed cases and deaths than the domestic COVID-19 confirmed cases and deaths and lockdown policy. The results of the impulse response functions revealed that the effects of COVID-19 confirmed cases and deaths and lockdown policy shocks on stock returns oscillate between negative and positive before the stock market returns converge to the equilibrium in the long run. The FEVD results showed that growth in the COVID-19 confirmed cases, deaths and lockdown policy shocks explained little variations in stock market returns. Given our finding, we advocate for the relaxation of policy of lockdown and the combine use of monetary and fiscal policies to mitigate the negative effect of COVID-19 pandemic on stock market returns in Nigeria.

scholarly journals Stock Market Returns and Weather Anomaly: Evidence from an Emerging Economy

2012 ◽  
Vol 4 (5) ◽  
pp. 239-244 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hammad Hassan Mirza ◽  
Naveed Mushtaq .
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Weather Condition ◽  
Efficient Market Hypothesis ◽  
Emerging Economy ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Temperature Records ◽  
The Impact

Financial economists believe that the arbitrage forces in the market are the main reason of market efficiency and these forces are the fundamental concept of efficient market hypothesis (EMH). During last few years, various theoretical and empirical evidences have been presented to support the work of financial modeling for the markets with less than rational investors whose trading strategies are based on psychological factors like mood and emotions. Weather condition is among the substantial factors affecting investors’ mood and emotions. Present study investigates the impact of temperature on stock market returns in emerging economy of Pakistan. Using the daily temperature records and stock market indices of Karachi and Islamabad, the study has employed auto regressive (AR) – generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) model from 2006 to 2010. Based on AR (1)-GARCH (1, 1) estimation the study has found that weather temperatures of both Karachi and Islamabad are negatively related with Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) and Islamabad Stock Exchange (ISE) index returns, respectively.

scholarly journals Measuring Stock Market Predictability with Implications of Financial Ratios: An Empirical Investigation of Pakistan Stock Market

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdul Samad Shaikh ◽  
Muhammad Kashif ◽  
Sadia Shaikh
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Strong Predictor ◽  
Generalized Least Squares ◽  
Financial Ratios ◽  
Arbitrage Pricing Theory ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Study Results

This paper investigates the financial ratios prediction on Stock Market Returns for Pakistan Stock Exchange. The research includes three financial ratios; Dividend Yield (DY), Earning Yield Ratio (EYR) and Book-to-Market Ratio (B/M); that have been observed through past researchers as predictors of Stock Market Returns. The theoretical framework is based on Arbitrage Pricing Theory and Capital Asset Pricing Model CAPM by Roll and Ross (1977) and Fama-French 3 factor (1992). Generalized Least Squares (GLS) is applied to estimate the predictive regressions, Cointegration runs are applied to evaluate the long-term relationship, and Generalized Methods of Moments (GMM) to measure the moments over the years and fluctuations in stock returns. The study results show financial ratios as strong predictor of stock return in Pakistan Stock Exchange, the GMM analyses reveal that the EYR has the higher predictive power than DY and B/M respectively. Furthermore, it is found that the financial ratios predictability is enhanced when ratios are combined in the multiple predictive regression models. The research findings are useful for the stock market investors to evaluate their decisions and for academic researchers to evaluate the stock market and investment predictability.

scholarly journals LISTING OF SHARES OF SOME COMMERCIAL BANKS AND FINANCIAL SERVICES COMPANIES IN POLAND

2018 ◽  
pp. 43-51
Author(s):  
Sławomir Juszczyk
Keyword(s):  
Stock Prices ◽  
Financial Services ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
Strongly Correlated ◽  
Stock Price Volatility ◽  
Warsaw Stock Exchange

The purpose of the research was to identify the volatilities of daily quotes of banks and financial services companies listed on Warsaw Stock Exchange in the six-year period ie 2011-2016. It was found that the volatility of the stock price of the eCard was the strongest correlated with BPH stock price volatility, while the volatility of KREDYTIN stock prices was strongly correlated with the volatility of BZ WBK shares, ING and PKO BP. The strongest correlation between the stock prices of banks and the surveyed financial services companies was on the day of their listing. Unlike banks, financial services companies are highly diversified.

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