scholarly journals An Analysis of Romanian Capital, Forex and Monetary Markets: Volatilities and Contagion

2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (6) ◽  
pp. 41-50
Author(s):  
Carmen Emilia Pascal
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Dynamic System ◽  
Minimum Wage ◽  
The Public ◽  
Complex Adaptive ◽  
Public Workers ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Financial Shock

This paper focuses on stability relations for the Romanian main financial markets: capital, ForEx and monetary markets, as well as the intensity of the link between them and how they are interconnected, because this represents the best indicator of the situation of an economy, which is seen as a complex, adaptive and dynamic system, that is continuously changing. This analysis examines their deviation from the state of equilibrium, and what are the factors that modify this state. The study incorporates the markets evolution, their estimated volatilities, it shows that the most sensitive to the impact of a financial shock are the currency and the stock market. All the obtained results are correlated with events, news and market information from those particular moments to find explanations and understand the behavior of investors and how their decisions affected the market. Because of instability on some markets, investors started moving their finances to other markets, where they had more confidence, causing imbalances. Behavior of investors, as they react to the emergence of a shock, is decisive and extremely important in anticipating the effects that such a financial shock can produce. The values of the estimated volatilities were embedded into a volatility table to be easier to track their evolution over the period under review (2007 – 2018). Besides the financial crisis, there have been other events that have translated into a higher degree of volatility: raising the minimum wage, the Brexit, protests against corruption, the raise of salaries for the public workers which has created instability in the monetary market. The analysis continues with an estimate of a spillover index that only confirms the significant vulnerability period in the markets: 2010-2012, period during which the phenomenon of contagion may have occurred.

International diversification during financial crises

2018 ◽  
Vol 44 (12) ◽  
pp. 1434-1445
Author(s):  
Chu-Sheng Tai
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Financial Crises ◽  
International Diversification ◽  
Subprime Crisis ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Empirical Results ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Dot Com

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to provide empirical evidence on how 1999–2001 dot-com crisis and 2007–2009 subprime crisis affect the gains from international diversification from the perspective of US investors. Design/methodology/approach A conditional international CAPM with asymmetric multivariate GARCH-M specification is used to estimate international diversification gains. Findings The authors find that over the entire sample period, the average gains from international diversification is statistically significant and about 1.253 percent per year. During the subprime crisis period, the average gains decreases to about 0.567 percent per year, but it increases to 2.829 percent per year during the dot-com crisis. Research limitations/implications These research findings although confirm the conjectures that international financial turmoil tends to increase the co-movements among global financial markets, are in contrast to the conjectures that international diversification does not work during the financial crisis as evidence from the dot-com crisis. Therefore, future research on international diversification should not just focus on the correlation among international financial markets and should adopt a fully parameterized asset pricing model to study this research topic. Practical implications Given the empirical results found in this paper that international diversification gains may be decreasing or increasing during the financial crisis, as long as investors are not able to predict international financial crises, it is the average gains from international diversification over the longer periods that should encourage investors to diversify, regardless of potentially lower benefits over the shorter periods of time. Originality/value The major value of this paper is that although the increase in the conditional correlation during the financial turmoil is consistent with previous studies, the empirical results clearly show that the impact of a financial crisis on the gains from international diversification cannot be solely determined by the correlation between domestic and world stock market returns since the gains also depend on the unsystematic risk from the domestic stock market. Consequently, it is premature for previous studies to conclude that the gain from international diversification is diminishing due to an increasing correlation among international stock markets during the financial crisis.

scholarly journals IMPACT OF GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS ON JAPAN, CHINA, INDIA AND USA STOCK EXCHANGE AND INTER-LINKAGE BETWEEN THEM

2016 ◽  
Vol 4 (5) ◽  
pp. 189-197
Author(s):  
Rabia Najaf
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Garch Model ◽  
The World ◽  
Prime Objective ◽  
The Impact

In this paper, we analyzed the impact of financial crisis on different countries by the using of E-GARCH model .our main finding is that in the financial crisis has impact on the stock exchange of different countries. We proved that due to financial crisis most of countries stock exchange have been affected badly. In the world,the American stock exchange was established in 1792. Two dozen brokers were started the stock trading.Now a day, 2,429 companies are listed under this stock exchange. The prime objective of the scholars is to find out the impact of financial crisis on the different stock market. Scholars have proved that financial crisis have always impacted on the financial markets.

Normative dimensions of central banking: How the guardians of financial markets affect justice

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter Dietsch
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Central Banking ◽  
Democratic Legitimacy ◽  
Policy Agenda ◽  
Theory Of Justice ◽  
Introductory Section ◽  
The Impact

Monetary policy, and the response it elicits from financial markets, raises normative questions. This chapter, building on an introductory section on the objectives and instruments of monetary policy, analyzes two such questions. First, it assesses the impact of monetary policy on inequality and argues that the unconventional policies adopted in the wake of the financial crisis exacerbate inequalities in income and wealth. Depending on the theory of justice one holds, this impact is problematic. Should monetary policy be sensitive to inequalities and, if so, how? Second, the chapter argues that the leverage that financial markets have today over the monetary policy agenda undermines democratic legitimacy.

RESPONSE OF STOCK MARKET DURING COVID-19 AND 2008 FINANCIAL CRISIS: A COMPARATIVE EVIDENCE FROM BRICS NATIONS

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-24
Author(s):  
SANJEEV KUMAR ◽  
JASPREET KAUR ◽  
MOSAB I. TABASH ◽  
DANG K. TRAN ◽  
RAJ S DHANKAR
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
2008 Financial Crisis ◽  
First Case ◽  
Egarch Model ◽  
The 2008 Financial Crisis ◽  
The Impact

This study attempts to examine the response of stock markets amid the COVID-19 pandemic on prominent stock markets of the BRICS nation and compare it with the 2008 financial crisis by employing the GARCH and EGARCH model. First, average and variance of stock returns are tested for differences before and after the pandemic, t-test and F-test were applied. Further, OLS regression was applied to study the impact of COVID-19 on the standard deviation of returns using daily data of total cases, total deaths, and returns of the indices from the date on which the first case was reported till June 2020. Second, GARCH and EGARCH models are employed to compare the impact of COVID-19 and the 2008 financial crisis on the stock market volatility by using the data of respective stock indices for the period 2005–2020. The results suggest that the increasing number of COVID-19 cases and reported death cases hurt stock markets of the five countries except for South Africa in the latter case. The findings of the GARCH and EGARCH model indicate that for India and Russia, the financial crisis of 2008 has caused more stock volatility whereas stock markets of China, Brazil, and South Africa have been more volatile during the COVID-19 pandemic. The study has practical implications for investors, portfolio managers, institutional investors, regulatory institutions, and policymakers as it provides an understanding of stock market behavior in response to a major global crisis and helps them in taking decisions considering the risk of these events.

scholarly journals Financial contagion: The impact of the volatility of global stock exchanges on the Lima-Peru Stock Exchange

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 13-27
Author(s):  
Pedro Pablo Chambi Condori
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Market Volatility ◽  
Financial Contagion ◽  
Stock Market Volatility ◽  
Important Indicator ◽  
Dynamic Correlation ◽  
High Volatility ◽  
The Impact

What happens in the international financial markets in terms of volatility, have an impact on the results of the local stock market financial markets, as a result of the spread and transmission of larger stock market volatility to smaller markets such as the Peruvian, assertion that goes in accordance with the results obtained in the study in reference. The statistical evaluation of econometric models, suggest that the model obtained can be used for forecasting volatility expected in the very short term, very important estimates for agents involved, because these models can contribute to properly align the attitude to be adopted in certain circumstances of high volatility, for example in the input, output, refuge or permanence in the markets and also in the selection of best steps and in the structuring of the portfolio of investment with equity and additionally you can view through the correlation on which markets is can or not act and consequently the best results of profitability in the equity markets. This work comprises four well-defined sections; a brief history of the financial volatility of the last 15 years, a tight summary of the background and a dense summary of the methodology used in the process of the study, exposure of the results obtained and the declaration of the main conclusions which led us mention research, which allows writing, evidence of transmission and spread of the larger stock markets toward the Peruvian stock market volatility, as in the case of the American market to the market Peruvian stock market with the coefficient of dynamic correlation of 0.32, followed by the Spanish market and the market of China. Additionally, the coefficient of interrelation found by means of the model dcc mgarch is a very important indicator in the structure of portfolios of investment with instruments that they quote on the financial global markets.

scholarly journals The impact of the financial crisis on earnings management: Empirical evidence from Italian and Spanish listed companies

2019 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 121-130 ◽  
Author(s):  
Francesco De Luca ◽  
Francesco Paolone
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Performance Indicators ◽  
Listed Companies ◽  
Publicly Traded ◽  
Publicly Traded Companies ◽  
Time Period ◽  
Security Offerings ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Giving Bad News

Our study adopts a reliable and widely acknowledged model to detect accounts manipulation in order to assess the impact of the financial crisis on Italian and Spanish listed companies’ propensity to manage their earnings. The analysis is conducted on 565 publicly traded companies on the Italian and Spanish financial markets during the time period 2005-2013. We find a lower propensity to manipulate earnings in both countries during the pre-crisis period (2005-2008) as suggested by a decrease in the number of high-risk manipulators until 2008 included. With the spread of the financial crisis, companies become more manipulators. We believe that the reason for this is to avoid giving bad news to markets, investors, and lenders after that the crisis may have impacted too negatively on firms’ performance indicators and financial equilibrium. Our empirical results provide various implications for further studies related to managements’ incentives concurrently with security offerings.

The Impact of Cutbacks From a Major State Financial Crisis on Organizational Trust

2021 ◽  
pp. 027507402110530
Author(s):  
Marco Tulio Zanini ◽  
Carmen Migueles ◽  
Juliana Carvalho
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Organizational Trust ◽  
Longitudinal Case Study ◽  
Public Servants ◽  
Negative Behaviors ◽  
The Public ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Impact

Previous research has shown that cutbacks in public spending often impact the range and quality of the public services delivered, leading to negative behaviors on the part of public servants. This article examines how sudden cutbacks caused by a major state financial crisis have an impact on interpersonal trust within a special police unit. We present the results of a longitudinal case study using a combination of qualitative methods. The lack of foreseeability and reliability caused by drastic changes resulting from cutbacks has a negative effect on members’ trust in their capacity to perform.

Kesiapan Pekerja Dalam Protokol Kesehatan di Tatanan Baru Era Pandemi Covid-19 Di Hotel XX

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Kohar Sulistyadi ◽  
Zallerene Anggiet ◽  
M. Tomy Haryanto ◽  
P. U. Pandi ◽  
R. M Pasaribu
Keyword(s):  
Best Practices ◽  
Preventive Action ◽  
New Normal ◽  
The Public ◽  
Corona Virus ◽  
Feasibility Evaluation ◽  
Employment Preparedness ◽  
Public Workers ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Assessment Results

n protecting workers from the corona virus: COVID-19, the employment preparedness for preventive action must be carried out in accordance with health protocol. Preventive efforts are best practices to reduce the impact of COVID-19 at XX Hotels. Hotel XX has conducted a feasibility evaluation of the health protocol for the employment preparedness. This protocol aims to handle the prevention of Covid-19, especially for workers, guests and stakeholders. While the vaccine has not been given to the public/workers, the prevention of positive cases of Covid-19 expects all parties to implement the health protocol. The health protocol assessment results in XX Hotel show that the assessment achievement was 97% above the minimum 90%. Therefore, workers can be feasible to work according to the implementation of the health protocol and work with WFO (work from the office) in a new normal and get a certificate of eligibility for the health protocol.

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