scholarly journals Economic Uncertainty And The Role Of Organizational Development

2010 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin D. Carrigan

The US Economy has entered an era of economic uncertainty.  Stock markets are down. Unemployment is up.  This paper examines the effect of economic uncertainty on organizational behavior. 

2014 ◽  
Vol 104 (5) ◽  
pp. 272-277 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sandile Hlatshwayo ◽  
Michael Spence

This paper examines the underlying structural elements of US growth patterns, pre- and post-crisis. Prior to the recession, the US economy exhibited a defective growth pattern driven by outsized domestic demand. As domestic aggregate demand retreats to more sustainable levels relative to total income, the tradable side of the economy is a catalyst for restoring strong growth. A structural rebalancing is already underway; although it is only a third of the economy, the tradable sector generated more than half of gross gains in value-added since the start of the recovery. However, distributional issues loom on the horizon.


2017 ◽  
Vol 23 (3) ◽  
pp. 1247-1286 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yu Zheng

This paper incorporates an education signaling mechanism into a dynamic model of production and asks if “higher education as a signal” helps explain the simultaneous increase in the supply and price of skilled relative to unskilled labor in the United States since 1980. The key mechanism is that if college degrees serve as a signal of unobservable talent and talent is productive at the workplace, then improved access to college will enable a higher fraction of the population to signal talent by completing college, resulting in degrees being a better signal about talent and a widening skill premium. When I assess the contribution of signaling in the model calibrated to the US economy from 1980 to 2003, I find that about 10% of the increase in the skill premium can be attributed to the signaling mechanism, after adjusting for the potential decline in the quality of college graduates.


2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (2) ◽  
pp. 138-148
Author(s):  
Tomasz Wójtowicz

Intensity of trading on stock markets is characterized by a visible intraday seasonality pattern. In the case of European markets, this seasonality is strongly influenced by announcements of information about the US economy. In this paper we study the impact of these publications on intraday seasonality of trading volume and volatility of KGHM returns in the period from 2001 to 2016. The analysis concerns both the strength and the length of the impact of new, important information.


2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 198-206
Author(s):  
Daniele Tavani

This paper considers both secular and medium-run trends to argue that the US economy was already vulnerable to shocks before the COVID-19 crisis. Long-run trends have shown a pattern of secular stagnation and increasing inequality since the 1980s, while the economy has displayed hysteresis during the sluggish recovery from the Great Recession. The immediate policy response through the Coronavirus, Relief and Economic Security (CARES) Act highlighted the coordinating role of fiscal policy on the economy, but also showcased limits, especially with regard to the paycheck protection program. The historical trajectory of the US economy before the COVID-19 crisis cast serious doubts on recent cries of ‘overheating’ and inflationary pressures that should supposedly arise from the $1.9 trillion relief package just signed into law by President Biden. Projecting forward to the long run, redistribution policies may provide useful first steps in reversing the trends of rising inequality and declining productivity growth that the US economy has seen over the last few decades.


2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Rexford Abaidoo ◽  
Ayodele Alade

Purpose This study examines potential causal interactions between a dominant economy and its trading partners, with the view of verifying surmised economic contagion effects traditionally presumed to emanate from dominant economies toward trading partners. Design/methodology/approach The study used the Toda–Yamamoto Wald test approach to bi-variate causality analysis. Findings This study verified the existence of the economic contagion phenomenon; Estimated empirical evidence failed to fully support the presumption that such contagion effects mostly emanates from dominant economies toward trading partners, all things being equal. For instance, although this study found significant economic contagion effects emanating from the US economy toward the Chinese economy, the authors also detected six different uni-directional causal interactions with the direction of causality emanating from trading partners toward the US economy. Originality/value The uniqueness of this study stems not from its verification of the economic contagion phenomenon using equity market-related economic uncertainty as the potential contagion. This study fills a gap in the present literature by focusing on the happenings in the equity market as the potential candidate of the economic contagion phenomenon between a dominant economy and its key trading partners.


1987 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 357-395 ◽  
Author(s):  
Howard Geller ◽  
Jeffrey P. Harris ◽  
Mark D. Levine ◽  
Arthur H. Rosenfeld

2020 ◽  
Vol 27 (24) ◽  
pp. 30108-30117 ◽  
Author(s):  
Danish Iqbal Godil ◽  
Arshian Sharif ◽  
Sahar Afshan ◽  
Adnan Yousuf ◽  
Syed Abdul Rehman Khan

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Janet Gao

Abstract Firms in the US economy are closely interconnected in a production network and are subject to shocks that propagate within the network. This study examines the liquidity management of firms centrally connected in the network. I show that, while central firms are more exposed to aggregate swings, they maintain higher cash holdings to protect themselves and connected firms against such exposure. Central firms’ cash holding motives are alleviated by firm diversification but are aggravated by industry competition. Such motives are not explained by alternative determinants of cash policies. My findings suggest that systematically important firms proactively dampen the propagation of shocks in the production network.


2020 ◽  
Vol 47 (7) ◽  
pp. 1849-1860
Author(s):  
Anastasios Malliaris ◽  
Mary E. Malliaris

PurposeQuantitative easing (QE) allowed the US economy to stabilize and return to slow growth. Oil prices increased to $100 during 2010–2013. Then in June 2014, they plunged again dramatically to $40. The purpose of this paper is to develop and test a model that describes the price of oil as depending on six inputs: Federal assets accumulated by the Federal Reserve during the period of QE, the 10-Year Treasury note rate, the price of copper, the trade-weighted dollar, the S&P 500 Index and the US high yield rate for bonds rated CCC or below.Design/methodology/approachWe use 771 overlapping 52-week regressions to capture short-run oil price dynamics.FindingsWe find that QE was statistically significant only during 2009–2010, while the US high yield rate played a more significant role, both during and after the crisis.Research limitations/implicationsThis paper does not explain the behavior of oil prices prior to 2003.Practical implicationsThis paper emphasizes the role of the high yield rate on fracking technology in financing the extraction and production of oil.Originality/valueThe paper has both the theoretical value for researchers in the area of energy, as well as practical application for the oil industry.


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