The Correlation Analysis between the Oxford Classification of Chinese IgA Nephropathy Children and Renal Outcome -A retrospective cohort study
Abstract Background: The 2016 Oxford Classification's MEST-C scoring system predicts outcomes in adults with IgA nephropathy (IgAN), but it lacks large cohort validation in children with IgAN in China. We sought to verify whether the Oxford classification could be used to predict the renal outcome of children with IgAN. Methods : A total of 1243 Chinese children with IgAN who underwent renal biopsy in Jinling Hospital were enrolled from January 1, 2000, to December 31, 2017, in this retrospective cohort study. The primary endpoint of the study was a composite of either ≥50% reduction in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) or end-stage renal disease (ESRD). We probed into the relationship between the Oxford classification and renal outcome. Results : There were 29% of children with mesangial proliferation(M1), 35% with endocapillary proliferation (E1), 37% with segmental sclerosis/adhesion lesion (S1), 23% with moderate tubular atrophy/interstitial fibrosis (T1 25–50% of cortical area involved), 4.3% with severe tubular atrophy/interstitial fibrosis (T2 >50% of cortical area involved), 44% with crescent in< 25% of glomeruli(C1), and 4.6% with crescent in>25% of glomeruli (C2).During a median follow-up duration of 7.2 (4.6–11.7) years, 171 children (14%) developed ESRD or 50% decline in eGFR. In the multivariate COX regression model, only segmental sclerosis/adhesion (HR2.7,95%CI 1.8~4.2, P <0.001) and tubular atrophy/interstitial fibrosis (HR6.6,95%CI 3.9~11.3, P <0.001) were confirmed to be independent risk factors of poor renal outcome in the whole cohort, whereas crescent showed significant association with prognosis only in children received no immunosuppressive treatment.Conclusions: This study revealed that segmental sclerosis/adhesion and tubular atrophy/interstitial fibrosis were independently associated with poor renal outcome in Chinese children with IgA nephropathy.