The Correlation Analysis between the Oxford Classification of Chinese IgA Nephropathy Children and Renal Outcome -A retrospective cohort study
Abstract Background The 2016 Oxford Classification's MEST-C scoring system predicts outcomes in adults with IgA nephropathy, but it lacks large cohort validation in children with IgAN in China. We would like to verify that the MEST-C score can be used to predict the renal outcome of children with IgAN.Methods A retrospective cohort analysis of data from 1243 Chinese children with IgAN who underwent renal biopsy in Jinling Hospital from 2000 to 2017 was performed and investigated with glomerular filtration rate (eGFR),24h urine proteinuria(24h-UP)and blood pressure(BP) at biopsy and during follow-up.The renal pathology was based on Oxford Classification of IgAN.Results We confirm that BP was significantly correlated with mesangial hypercellullarity(M), endocapillary hypercellularity(E), tubular atrophy/ interstitial fibrosis(T) and crescents (C) .There was a significant correlation between eGFR and segmental glomerulosclerosis(S), T and C .24h-UP and all pathological indexes were significantly correlated. S and T were shown to be independent risk factors associated with renal outcomes in our group. Kaplan-Meier revealed that M [log-rank, chi-squared(χ2)=14.679, P=0.000 ], S(χ2=31.508,P=0.000),T (χ2=78.893, P=0.000),C(χ2=16.603, P=0.000) were associated with renal outcome.In univariate analyses, M(HR 2.167, 95% CI, 1.445~3.251, P = 0.000),S(HR 3.081, 95% CI, 2.038~4.658, P = 0.000), T(HR 7.911, 95% CI, 4.670~13.400,P = 0.000) and C(HR3.346, 95% CI, 1.818~6.156,P = 0.000) lesions were significant predictors of renal outcome. In a multivariate analysis, only S(HR 2.742, 95% CI, 1.805~4.164,P = 0.000) and T(HR 6.633, 95% CI, 3.897~11.289,P = 0.000)were shown to be independent risk factors .Conclusions We found that S and T lesions were valid in predicting a poor outcome in our group.E, S, T and C lesion were important basis for doctors to choose glucocorticoids and immunosuppressive agents in the treatment of IgAN, while T and C lesion were often the basis for doctors to use RAS blockers cautiously.