scholarly journals Evaluation of hydrological response under future climate change by revising meteorological data in the source region of the Yangtze River, China

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaohong Chen ◽  
Haoyu Jin ◽  
Pan Wu ◽  
Wenjun Xia ◽  
Ruida Zhong ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Water Resources ◽  
Yangtze River ◽  
Meteorological Data ◽  
Source Region ◽  
Future Climate ◽  
Future Climate Change ◽  
Hydrological Response ◽  
The Yangtze River ◽  
Data Correction

Abstract The source region of the Yangtze River (SRYR) is located in the hinterland of the Tibetan Plateau (TP). The natural environment is hash, and the hydrological and meteorological stations are less distributed, making the observed data are relatively scarce. In order to overcome the impact of lack of data, the China Meteorological Forcing Dataset (CMFD) was used to correct the meteorological data, to make the data more closer to the real distribution on the SRYR surface. This paper used the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) to verify interpolation effect. Since the SRYR is an important water resource protection area, have a great significance to study the hydrological response under future climate change. The Back Propagation (BP) neural network algorithm was used to integrate data extracted from the six Global Climate Models (GCMs), and then the SWAT model was used to predict runoff changes in the future status. The results show that the CMFD data set has a high precision in the SRYR, and can be used for meteorological data correction. After the meteorological data correction, the Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency increased from 0.64 to 0.70. Under the future climate change, the runoff in the SRYR shows a decreasing trend, and the distribution of runoff during the year changes greatly. This reflects the amount of water resources in the SRYR will be decreased, which will brings challenges to water resources management in the SRYR.

Response of water resources to climate change and its future trend in the source region of the Yangtze River

2013 ◽  
Vol 23 (2) ◽  
pp. 208-218 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lin Li ◽  
Hongyan Shen ◽  
Sheng Dai ◽  
Hongmei Li ◽  
Jianshe Xiao
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Water Resources ◽  
Yangtze River ◽  
Source Region ◽  
Future Trend ◽  
The Yangtze River

scholarly journals Projected Effects of Climate Change on Future Hydrological Regimes in the Upper Yangtze River Basin, China

2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuqian Wang ◽  
Xiaoli Yang ◽  
Mengru Zhang ◽  
Linqi Zhang ◽  
Xiaohan Yu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Water Resources ◽  
River Basin ◽  
Yangtze River ◽  
Yangtze River Basin ◽  
Future Climate ◽  
Future Climate Change ◽  
Upper Yangtze River ◽  
The Upper Yangtze River ◽  
Hydrological Regimes

Climate change directly impacts the hydrological cycle via increasing temperatures and seasonal precipitation shifts, which are variable at local scales. The water resources of the Upper Yangtze River Basin (UYRB) account for almost 40% and 15% of all water resources used in the Yangtze Basin and China, respectively. Future climate change and the possible responses of surface runoff in this region are urgent issues for China’s water security and sustainable socioeconomic development. This study evaluated the potential impacts of future climate change on the hydrological regimes (high flow (Q5), low flow (Q95), and mean annual runoff (MAR)) of the UYRB using global climate models (GCMs) and a variable infiltration capacity (VIC) model. We used the eight bias-corrected GCM outputs from Phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) to examine the effects of climate change under two future representative concentration pathways (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5). The direct variance method was adopted to analyze the contributions of precipitation and temperature to future Q5, Q95, and MAR. The results showed that the equidistant cumulative distribution function (EDCDF) can considerably reduce biases in the temperature and precipitation fields of CMIP5 models and that the EDCDF captured the extreme values and spatial pattern of the climate fields. Relative to the baseline period (1961–1990), precipitation is projected to slightly increase in the future, while temperature is projected to considerably increase. Furthermore, Q5, Q95, and MAR are projected to decrease. The projected decreases in the median value of Q95 were 21.08% to 24.88% and 16.05% to 26.70% under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, respectively; these decreases were larger than those of MAR and Q5. Temperature increases accounted for more than 99% of the projected changes, whereas precipitation had limited projected effects on Q95 and MAR. These results indicate the drought risk over the UYRB will increase considerably in the future.

Assessment of future climate change impacts on the hydrological regime of selected Greek areas with different climate conditions

2016 ◽  
Vol 48 (5) ◽  
pp. 1327-1342 ◽  
Author(s):  
Spyridon Paparrizos ◽  
Andreas Matzarakis
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Hydrological Cycle ◽  
Meteorological Data ◽  
Hydrological Regime ◽  
Future Climate ◽  
Future Climate Change ◽  
Water Losses ◽  
Climate Conditions ◽  
The Future

Assessment of future variations of streamflow is essential for research regarding climate and climate change. This study is focused on three agricultural areas widespread in Greece and aims to assess the future response of annual and seasonal streamflow and its impacts on the hydrological regime, in combination with other fundamental aspects of the hydrological cycle in areas with different climate classification. ArcSWAT ArcGIS extension was used to simulate the future responses of streamflow. Future meteorological data were obtained from various regional climate models, and analysed for the periods 2021–2050 and 2071–2100. In all the examined areas, streamflow is expected to be reduced. Areas characterized by continental climate will face minor reductions by the mid-century that will become very intense by the end and thus these areas will become more resistant to future changes. Autumn season will face the strongest reductions. Areas characterized by Mediterranean conditions will be very vulnerable in terms of future climate change and winter runoff will face the most significant decreases. Reduced precipitation is the main reason for decreased streamflow. High values of actual evapotranspiration by the end of the century will act as an inhibitor towards reduced runoff and partly counterbalance the water losses.

scholarly journals Potential Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources in Egypt

Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (12) ◽  
pp. 1715
Author(s):  
Soha M. Mostafa ◽  
Osama Wahed ◽  
Walaa Y. El-Nashar ◽  
Samia M. El-Marsafawy ◽  
Martina Zeleňáková ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Water Resources ◽  
Irrigation Water ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
General Circulation Models ◽  
Future Climate ◽  
Future Climate Change ◽  
Impact Of Climate Change ◽  
Water Demands ◽  
The Impact

This paper presents a comprehensive study to assess the impact of climate change on Egypt’s water resources, focusing on irrigation water for agricultural crops, considering that the agriculture sector is the largest consumer of water in Egypt. The study aims to estimate future climate conditions using general circulation models (GCMs), to assess the impact of climate change and temperature increase on water demands for irrigation using the CROPWAT 8 model, and to determine the suitable irrigation type to adapt with future climate change. A case study was selected in the Middle part of Egypt. The study area includes Giza, Bani-Sweif, Al-Fayoum, and Minya governorates. The irrigation water requirements for major crops under current weather conditions and future climatic changes were estimated. Under the conditions of the four selected models CCSM-30, GFDLCM20, GFDLCM21, and GISS-EH, as well as the chosen scenario of A1BAIM, climate model (MAGICC/ScenGen) was applied in 2050 and 2100 to estimate the potential rise in the annual mean temperature in Middle Egypt. The results of the MAGICC/SceGen model indicated that the potential rise in temperature in the study area will be 2.12 °C in 2050, and 3.96 °C in 2100. The percentage of increase in irrigation water demands for winter crops under study ranged from 6.1 to 7.3% in 2050, and from 11.7 to 13.2% in 2100. At the same time, the increase in irrigation water demands for summer crops ranged from 4.9 to 5.8% in 2050, and from 9.3 to 10.9% in 2100. For Nili crops, the increase ranged from 5.0 to 5.1% in 2050, and from 9.6 to 9.9% in 2100. The increase in water demands due to climate change will affect the water security in Egypt, as the available water resources are limited, and population growth is another challenge which requires a proper management of water resources.

scholarly journals Hydrological response to future climate change in the Agano River basin, Japan

2010 ◽  
Vol 4 ◽  
pp. 25-29 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xieyao Ma ◽  
Takao Yoshikane ◽  
Masayuki Hara ◽  
Yasutaka Wakazuki ◽  
Hiroshi G Takahashi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
River Basin ◽  
Future Climate ◽  
Future Climate Change ◽  
Hydrological Response
Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document