scholarly journals Predictors of three-month mortality among hospitalized older adults in Togo

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fifonsi Adjidossi GBEASOR-KOMLANVI ◽  
Martin Kouame TCHANKONI ◽  
Akila Wimima BAKOUBAYI ◽  
Matthieu Yaovi LOKOSSOU ◽  
Arnold SADIO ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Older Adults ◽  
Hospital Mortality ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Sub Saharan Africa ◽  
Mortality Data ◽  
Kaplan Meier ◽  
All Cause Mortality ◽  
Hospitalized Older Adults ◽  
Sub Saharan

Abstract Background: Assessing hospital mortality and its predictors is important as some of these can be prevented through appropriate interventions. Few studies have reported hospital mortality data among older adults in sub-Saharan Africa. The objective of this study was to assess the mortality and associated factors among hospitalized older adults in Togo.Methods: We conducted a prospective cohort study from February 2018 to September 2019 among patients ≥50 years admitted in medical and surgical services of six hospitals in Togo. Data were recorded during hospitalization and through telephone follow-up survey within 90 days after admission. The main outcome was all-cause mortality at 3 months. Survival curves were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression analyses were performed to assess predictors of mortality.Results: The median age of the 650 older adults included in the study period was 61 years, IQR: [55-70] and at least one comorbidity was identified in 59.7% of them. The all-cause mortality rate of 17.2% (95%CI: 14.4-20.4) and the majority of death (93.7%) occurred in hospital. Overall survival rate was 85.5% and 82.8% after 30 and 90 days of follow-up, respectively. Factors associated with 3-month mortality were the hospital level in the health pyramid, hospitalization service, length of stay, functional impairment, depression and malignant diseases.Conclusion: Togolese health system needs to adjust its response to an aging population in order to provide the most effective care.

scholarly journals Predictors of three-month mortality among hospitalized older adults in Togo

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Fifonsi Adjidossi Gbeasor-Komlanvi ◽  
Martin Kouame Tchankoni ◽  
Akila Wimima Bakoubayi ◽  
Matthieu Yaovi Lokossou ◽  
Arnold Sadio ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Older Adults ◽  
Hospital Mortality ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Sub Saharan Africa ◽  
Mortality Data ◽  
Kaplan Meier ◽  
All Cause Mortality ◽  
Hospitalized Older Adults ◽  
Sub Saharan

Abstract Background Assessing hospital mortality and its predictors is important as some of these can be prevented through appropriate interventions. Few studies have reported hospital mortality data among older adults in sub-Saharan Africa. The objective of this study was to assess the mortality and associated factors among hospitalized older adults in Togo. Methods We conducted a prospective cohort study from February 2018 to September 2019 among patients ≥50 years admitted in medical and surgical services of six hospitals in Togo. Data were recorded during hospitalization and through telephone follow-up survey within 90 days after admission. The main outcome was all-cause mortality at 3 months. Survival curves were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression analyses were performed to assess predictors of mortality. Results The median age of the 650 older adults included in the study period was 61 years, IQR: [55–70] and at least one comorbidity was identified in 59.7% of them. The all-cause mortality rate of 17.2% (95%CI: 14.4–20.4) and the majority of death (93.7%) occurred in hospital. Overall survival rate was 85.5 and 82.8% after 30 and 90 days of follow-up, respectively. Factors associated with 3-month mortality were the hospital level in the health pyramid, hospitalization service, length of stay, functional impairment, depression and malignant diseases. Conclusion Togolese health system needs to adjust its response to an aging population in order to provide the most effective care.

scholarly journals Predictors of three-month mortality among hospitalized older adults in Togo

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fifonsi Adjidossi GBEASOR-KOMLANVI ◽  
Martin Kouame TCHANKONI ◽  
Akila Wimima BAKOUBAYI ◽  
Matthieu Yaovi LOKOSSOU ◽  
Arnold SADIO ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Older Adults ◽  
Hospital Mortality ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Sub Saharan Africa ◽  
Mortality Data ◽  
Kaplan Meier ◽  
All Cause Mortality ◽  
Hospitalized Older Adults ◽  
Sub Saharan

Abstract Background: Assessing hospital mortality and its predictors is important as some of these can be prevented through appropriate interventions. Few studies have reported hospital mortality data among older adults in sub-Saharan Africa. The objective of this study was to assess the mortality and associated factors among hospitalized older adults in Togo.Methods: We conducted a prospective cohort study from February 2018 to September 2019 among patients ≥50 years admitted in medical and surgical services of six hospitals in Togo. Data were recorded during hospitalization and through telephone follow-up survey within 90 days after admission. The main outcome was all-cause mortality at 3 months. Survival curves were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression analyses were performed to assess predictors of mortality.Results: The median age of the 650 older adults included in the study period was 61 years, IQR: [55-70] and at least one comorbidity was identified in 59.7% of them. The all-cause mortality rate of 17.2% (95%CI: 14.4-20.4) and the majority of death (93.7%) occurred in hospital. Overall survival rate was 85.5% and 82.8% after 30 and 90 days of follow-up, respectively. Factors associated with 3-month mortality were the hospital level in the health pyramid, hospitalization service, length of stay, functional impairment, depression and malignant diseases.Conclusion: Togolese health system needs to adjust its response to an aging population in order to provide the most effective care.

scholarly journals Predictors of three-month mortality among hospitalized older adults in Lomé, Togo

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fifonsi Adjidossi GBEASOR-KOMLANVI ◽  
Martin Kouame TCHANKONI ◽  
Akila Wimima BAKOUBAYI ◽  
Matthieu Yaovi LOKOSSOU ◽  
Arnold SADIO ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Older Adults ◽  
Hospital Mortality ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Sub Saharan Africa ◽  
Mortality Data ◽  
Kaplan Meier ◽  
All Cause Mortality ◽  
Hospitalized Older Adults ◽  
Sub Saharan

Abstract Background: Assessing hospital mortality and its predictors is important as some of these can be prevented through appropriate interventions. Few studies have reported hospital mortality data among older adults in sub-Saharan Africa. The objective of this study was to assess the mortality and associated factors among hospitalized older adults in Togo.Methods: We conducted a prospective cohort study from February 2018 to September 2019 among patients ≥50 years admitted in medical and surgical services of six hospitals in Togo. Data were recorded during hospitalization and through telephone follow-up survey within 90 days after admission. The main outcome was all-cause mortality at 3 months. Survival curves were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression analyses were performed to assess predictors of mortality.Results: The median age of the 650 older adults included in the study period was 61 years, IQR: [55-70] and at least one comorbidity was identified in 59.7% of them. The all-cause mortality rate of 17.2% (95%CI: 14.4-20.4) and the majority of death (93.7%) occurred in hospital. Overall survival rate was 85.5% and 82.8% after 30 and 90 days of follow-up, respectively. Factors associated with 3-month mortality were the hospital level in the health pyramid, hospitalization service, length of stay, cardiovascular diseases excluding stroke, functional impairment, depression and malignant diseases.Conclusion: Togolese health system needs to adjust its response to an aging population in order to provide the most effective care.

scholarly journals Resting Heart Rate predicts all-cause mortality in sub-Saharan African Patients with Heart Failure: Insight from the Douala Heart failure registry (Do-HF)

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anastase Dzudie ◽  
Blaise Barche ◽  
Sidick Mouliom ◽  
Ariane Nouko ◽  
Fogue Raissa ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Heart Failure ◽  
Heart Rate ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Sub Saharan Africa ◽  
Resting Heart Rate ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
All Cause Mortality ◽  
Sub Saharan

AbstractBackgroundHigher resting heart rate (HR) is associated with mortality amongst Caucasians with heart failure (HF), but its significance has yet to be established in sub-Saharan Africans in whom HF differs in terms of characteristics and etiologies.ObjectivesWe assessed the association of HR with all-cause mortality in patients with HF in sub-Saharan Africa.MethodsThe Douala HF registry (Do–HF) is an ongoing prospective data collection on patients with HF receiving care at four cardiac referral services in Douala, Cameroon. Patients included in this report were followed-up for 12 months from their index admission, for all-cause mortality. We used Cox-regression analysis to study the association of HR with all-cause mortality during follow-up.ResultsOf 347 patients included, 343 (98.8%) completed follow-up. The mean age was 64±14 years, 176 (50.7%) were female, and median admission HR was 85 bpm. During a median follow-up of 12 months, 78 (22.7%) patients died. Mortality increased steadily with HR increase and ranged from 12.2% in the lower quartile of HR (≤69 bpm) to 34.1% in the upper quartile of HR (>100 bpm). Hazard ratio of 12-month death per 10 bpm higher heart rate was 1.16 (1.04–1.29), with consistent effects across most subgroups, but a higher effect in participants with hypertension vs those without (interaction p=0.044).ConclusionHeart rate was independently associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality in this study, particularly among participants with hypertension. The implication of this finding for risk prediction or reduction should be actively investigated.

Cardiovascular health and near visual impairment among older adults in the Republic of Congo: a population-based study

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Antoine Gbessemehlan ◽  
Catherine Helmer ◽  
Cécile Delcourt ◽  
Farid Boumediene ◽  
Bébène Ndamba-Bandzouzi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Older Adults ◽  
Visual Acuity ◽  
Visual Impairment ◽  
Cardiovascular Health ◽  
Central Africa ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Sub Saharan Africa ◽  
Logistic Regression Models ◽  
Sub Saharan

Abstract Background Visual impairment (VI) and determinants of poor cardiovascular health are very common in sub-Saharan Africa. However, we do not know whether these determinants are associated to VI among older adults in this region. This study aimed at investigating the association between the determinants of poor cardiovascular health and near VI among older adults living in Congo. Methods Participants were Congolese older adults aged ≥ 65 years included in EPIDEMCA-FU (Epidemiology of Dementia in Central Africa - Follow-up) population-based cohort. Near VI was defined as visual acuity < 20/40 measured at 30 cm. Associations between determinants of poor cardiovascular health collected at baseline and near visual acuity measured at 1 st follow-up were investigated using multivariable logistic regression models. Results Among the 549 participants included, 378 (68.8% [95% Confidence Interval: 64.9%-72.7%]) had near VI. Of the determinants of poor cardiovascular health explored, we found that having high BMI ≥ 25 kg/m 2 (Odds Ratio= 2.15 [95% CI: 1.25–3.68]), diabetes (OR=2.12 [95% CI: 1.06–4.25]) and hypertension (OR=1.65 [95% CI: 1.02–2.64]) were independently associated with near VI. Conclusions Several determinants of poor cardiovascular health were associated to near VI in this population. This study suggests that promoting a good cardiovascular health could represent a target for VI prevention among older adults.

scholarly journals Ultrafiltration rate and diabetes as useful indicators of cardiovascular-related death in hemodialysis patients below 60 years of age

2017 ◽  
Vol 71 (0) ◽  
pp. 0-0
Author(s):  
Marcin Krzanowski ◽  
Katarzyna Krzanowska ◽  
Artur Dziewierz ◽  
Małgorzata Banaszkiewicz ◽  
Artur Jurczyszyn ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Mortality Data ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Time To Death ◽  
All Cause Mortality ◽  
Dm Type 2 ◽  
Related Mortality

Background: The survival rate of elderly hemodialyzed (HD) patients is commonly thought to be poor. In a prospective, single center, non-interventional, observational study, the cause of all-cause and cardiovascular (CV) and heart failure (HF) mortality in this patient group were examined and compared with a younger cohort (below 60 years). Material/Methods: The study included 223 patients (90 women and 133 men) with age ranging from 34.5 to 75.0 years treated with HD. Median duration of HD was 70.0 months (24.0-120.0). Mortality data was collected over a period of six years. We divided patients into groups: <60 (n=123), ≥60 years (n=100), and with (n=33) and without DM type 2 (n=190). Results: During a six-year follow-up, 100 patients (44.8%) died, including 83 (37.2%) patients who died due to CV reasons. Median follow-up was 2015.0 days (946.0-2463.0) with the median time to death of 1166.0 days (654.5-1631.0). The factors negatively affecting patients’ survival in univariate Cox regression analysis included for all-cause mortality were: inter-dialytic weight gain (IDWG) (hazard ratio [HR]=1.60; p=0.01), ultrafiltration (UF) rate (HR=3.63; p=0.012) for group <60 years; for CV death: UF rate (HR=4.20; p=0.03), DM (HR=5.11; p=0.002) for group <60 years; for HF death: mellitus type 2 (DM) (HR=2.93; p=0.027) for group ≥60 years). In a multivariate Cox regression analysis for patients <60 years, the UF rate was the only independent predictor of all-cause mortality (HR 3.63 (1.34-9.67); p=0.011). Both DM (HR 4.91 (1.71-14.10); p=0.003) and UF rate (HR 3.62 (1.04-12.61); p=0.044) were independent predictors of CV-related mortality in patients <60 years. Conclusions: The UF rate can be a simple, useful indicator of higher long-term all-cause and CV mortality in HD patients <60 years of age. Also, DM may be a predictor of CV–related mortality in younger HD patients.

scholarly journals Cardiovascular and all-cause mortality attributable to loneliness in older Swedish men and women.

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Masuma Novak ◽  
Margda waern ◽  
Lena Johansson ◽  
Anna Zettergren ◽  
Lina Ryden ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cardiovascular Mortality ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Mortality Data ◽  
Men And Women ◽  
Face To Face ◽  
Risk Of Mortality ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
All Cause Mortality ◽  
Adjusted Model

Abstract Background. This study examined whether loneliness predicts cardiovascular- and all-cause mortality in older men and women. Methods. Baseline data from the Gothenburg H70 Birth Cohort Studies, collected during 2000 on 70-year-olds born 1930 and living in Gothenburg were used for analysis (n=524). Mortality data were analyzed until 2012 through Swedish national registers. Results. Perceived loneliness was reported by 17.1% of the men and 30.9% of the women in a face-to-face interview with mental health professional. A total of 142 participants died during the 12-year follow-up period, with 5 334 person-years at risk, corresponding to 26.6 deaths/1000 person-years. Cardiovascular disease accounted for 59.2% of all deaths. The cumulative rates/1000 person-years for cardiovascular mortality were 20.8 (men) and 11.5 (women), and for all-cause mortality 33.8 (men) and 20.5 (women), respectively. In Cox regression models, no significant increased risk of mortality was seen for men with loneliness compared to men without loneliness (cardiovascular mortality HR 1.52, 95% CI 0.78 - 2.96; all-cause HR 1.32, 95% CI 0.77 - 2.28). Increased risk of cardiovascular mortality was observed in women with loneliness compared to those without (HR 2.25 95% CI 1.14 - 4.45), and the risk remained significant in a multivariable-adjusted model (HR 2.42 95% CI 1.04 - 5.65). Conclusions. Loneliness was shown to be an independent predictor of cardiovascular mortality in women. We found no evidence to indicate that loneliness was associated with an increased risk of either cardiovascular- or all-cause mortality in men.

scholarly journals Malnutrition Affects Cholesterol Paradox in Coronary Artery Disease: a 41,229 Chinese Cohort Study

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bo Wang ◽  
Jin Liu ◽  
Shiqun Chen ◽  
Ming Ying ◽  
Guanzhong Chen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cox Regression ◽  
Cox Model ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Coronary Syndrome ◽  
Kaplan Meier ◽  
All Cause Mortality ◽  
Chinese Cohort ◽  
Artery Disease

Abstract Background: Several studies found that baseline low LDL-C concentration was associated with poor prognosis in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS), which was called “cholesterol paradox”. Low LDL-C concentration may reflect underlying malnutrition, which was strongly associated with increased mortality. We objected to investigate the cholesterol paradox in patients with CAD and the effects of malnutrition.Method: A total of 41,229 CAD patients admitted to Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital in China were included in this study from January 2007 to December 2018, and divided into two groups (LDL-C < 1.8 mmol/L, n=4,863; LDL-C ≥ 1.8 mmol/L, n = 36,366). We used Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression analyses to assess the association between LDL-C levels and long-term all-cause mortality and the effect of malnutrition. Result: In this real-world cohort (mean age 62.94 years; 74.94% male), there were 5257 incidents of all-cause death during a median follow-up of 5.20 years [Inter-quartile range (IQR): 3.05-7.78 years]. Kaplan–Meier analysis showed that low LDL-C levels were associated with worse prognosis. After adjusting for baseline confounders (e.g., age, sex and comorbidities, etc.), multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that low LDL-C level (<1.8mmol/L) was not significantly associated with all-cause mortality (adjusted HR, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.96-1.24). After adjustment of nutritional status, risk of all-cause mortality of patients with low LDL-C level decreased (adjusted HR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.83-0.98). In the final multivariate Cox model, low LDL-C level was related to better prognosis (adjusted HR, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.84-0.99).Conclusion: Our results demonstrate that the cholesterol paradox persisted in CAD patients, but disappeared after accounting for the effects of malnutrition.

scholarly journals P1787 Pharmacologic stress test: still an important prognostic factor? a follow-up study

2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
V Ferreira ◽  
L Moura Branco ◽  
A Galrinho ◽  
P Rio ◽  
S Aguiar Rosa ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Stress Test ◽  
Bypass Graft ◽  
Dobutamine Stress ◽  
Left Ventricular ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Kaplan Meier ◽  
All Cause Mortality

Abstract Introduction Dobutamine stress echocardiography (DSE) is an established exam for evaluation of extent and severity of coronary artery disease. Purpose To analyse the results and complications of DSE and identify prognostic predictors in patients (P) who underwent DSE for myocardial ischemia detection. Methods 220P who underwent consecutive DSE from 2013 to 2017. P with significant valvular disease were excluded. Clinical data, echocardiographic parameters and data from follow up (FU) regarding all-cause mortality and MACEs were analysed. Mean age 64.8 ± 12.0 years(Y), 143 men (65%). Results 88P (40%) had positive, 102 had negative and 30 had inconclusive DSE; complications rate of 15%. Prevalence of hypertension, diabetes mellitus (DM), dyslipidemia, prior MI, percutaneous coronary interventionc (PCI), coronary arterial bypass graft (CABG) and HF was 82.7%, 42.3%, 67.7%, 35.9%, 31.8%, 10.9% and 9.5%, respectively. Mean left ventricular endsystolic (LVSD) and enddiastolic dimensions were 33.7 ± 8.9 and 52.8 ± 7.1 mm. Mean resting wall motion score index (rWMSI) and peak (pWMSI) were 1.16 ± 0.28 and 1.24 ± 0.34. Mean resting GLS (rGLS) and peak GLS (pGLS) were -16.3 ± 4.3 and -16.6 ± 4.3. Mean no. of ischemic segments was 1.7 ± 2.4 and 16.8% had ischemia &gt;3 segments. There was ischemia in left anterior descending (LAD) coronary in 53P and in circumflex and right coronary territories in 18 and 68P. 22.6% had more than one ischemic territory. 43P (49.4%) underwent intervention, 38 with PCI and 5 with CABG. During a mean FU of 38.8 ± 16.8 months, 47 MACEs were observed, including 32 deaths (14.5%). Positive DSE (p = 0.012), no. of ischemic segments (p = 0.019), ischemia in the LAD (p = 0.003), rGLS (p = 0.038) and pGLS (p = 0.038) were related to the occurrence of MACEs. In Cox regression analysis, age (p = 0.005), DM (p = 0.005), HF (p = 0.006), prior CABG (p = 0.015), LVSD (p = 0.026), rWMSI (p = 0.029), pWMSI (p = 0.013) and pGLS (p = 0.038) were associated with increased all-cause mortality. Kaplan–Meier survival analysis showed that survival was significantly worse for ischemia &gt; 3 segments (log rank 0.005), ischemia of more than one territory (log rank 0.025) and pWMSI &gt;1.5 (log rank &lt; 0.0005). With multivariate Cox regression analysis, age &gt;65Y (HR 4.22, p = 0.004), DM (HR 2.49,p = 0.038) and pWMSI &gt; 1.5 (HR 9.73,p = 0.007) were independently associated with all-cause mortality. Conclusion In patients who underwent DSE there were some baseline and DSE-related independent predictors of long-term prognosis: age, DM and peak WMSI. Abstract P1787 Figure. Kaplan–Meier curves

scholarly journals Cardiovascular and all-cause mortality attributable to loneliness in older Swedish men and women

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Masuma Novak ◽  
Margda Waern ◽  
Lena Johansson ◽  
Anna Zettergren ◽  
Lina Ryden ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cardiovascular Mortality ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Mortality Data ◽  
Men And Women ◽  
Face To Face ◽  
Risk Of Mortality ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
All Cause Mortality ◽  
Adjusted Model

Abstract Background This study examined whether loneliness predicts cardiovascular- and all-cause mortality in older men and women. Methods Baseline data from the Gothenburg H70 Birth Cohort Studies, collected during 2000 on 70-year-olds born 1930 and living in Gothenburg were used for analysis (n = 524). Mortality data were analyzed until 2012 through Swedish national registers. Results Perceived loneliness was reported by 17.1% of the men and 30.9% of the women in a face-to-face interview with mental health professional. A total of 142 participants died during the 12-year follow-up period, with 5334 person-years at risk, corresponding to 26.6 deaths/1000 person-years. Cardiovascular disease accounted for 59.2% of all deaths. The cumulative rates/1000 person-years for cardiovascular mortality were 20.8 (men) and 11.5 (women), and for all-cause mortality 33.8 (men) and 20.5 (women), respectively. In Cox regression models, no significant increased risk of mortality was seen for men with loneliness compared to men without loneliness (cardiovascular mortality HR 1.52, 95% CI 0.78–2.96; all-cause HR 1.32, 95% CI 0.77–2.28). Increased risk of cardiovascular mortality was observed in women with loneliness compared to those without (HR 2.25 95% CI 1.14–4.45), and the risk remained significant in a multivariable-adjusted model (HR 2.42 95% CI 1.04–5.65). Conclusions Loneliness was shown to be an independent predictor of cardiovascular mortality in women. We found no evidence to indicate that loneliness was associated with an increased risk of either cardiovascular- or all-cause mortality in men.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document