Comparative Analysis on Seismicity and Stress Triggering of Strong Earthquakes Sequence in Central Tibet
Abstract The Central Tibet constitutes part of the central part of Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau, which is one of the highest seismic activity areas in China. This paper discussed the regularity of seismic activity in this area. Based on a stratified viscoelastic earth model, we calculated the Coulomb stress changes imparted from the 4 strong earthquakes (M≥6.3) the Bengco - southeastern piedmont of Nyainqentanglha mountain fault zone in this region. The result shows that the study area may enter a new active period from 2020. There was a trigger between strong earthquakes (M≥6.3) on the Bengco fault - southeastern piedmont of Nyainqentanglha mountain fault zone. The post-seismic viscous relaxation effect of a strong earthquake had a significant impact on subsequent earthquakes(M≥6.3). In future 100 years, the Coulomb stress loading is more than 1.0 MPa in northwest section of Bengco fault and central of Nimu segment of southeastern piedmont of Nyainqentanglha mountain fault, thence strong earthquakes may occur in this two fault segments. The maximum magnitude of the earthquake will be M6.7 in the future 100 years.