Stock Market, Economic Performance and Presidential Elections: Was the Market Right About the Presidents for Their Capability of Enhancing Economy?

2012 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zigan Wang
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Economic Performance ◽  
Presidential Elections ◽  
Market Economic

scholarly journals Stock Market, Economic Performance, And Presidential Elections

2014 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 159
Author(s):  
Wen-Wen Chien ◽  
Roger W. Mayer ◽  
Zigan Wang
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Economic Performance ◽  
Presidential Elections ◽  
The United States ◽  
Economic Potential ◽  
Economic Data ◽  
Market Economic ◽  
Starting Point ◽  
The Future ◽  
Good Starting Point

Using stock market and economic data from 1900 to 2008 from 27 separate presidential administrations in the United States (U.S.), including 15 Republican and 12 Democratic, this paper examines the relationships between the market return after each Election Day and economic performance during the presidential term. Using the theoretical framework of political economy, the authors examine how Wall Streets reaction to a presidential election acts as a predictive measure of future economic performance. The analysis shows that the after-election market movement has progressively been more accurate in predicting the future Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth but not the future unemployment rates. Given that the results show a higher correlation over time, the model appears to provide a good starting point for judging the economic potential of future presidential administrations.

scholarly journals The impact of stock market manipulation on Nigeria’s economic performance

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Babatunde Akinmade ◽  
Festus Fatai Adedoyin ◽  
Festus Victor Bekun
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Economic Performance ◽  
Market Manipulation ◽  
The Impact

scholarly journals Loss aversion, overconfidence of investors and their impact on market performance evidence from the US stock markets

2020 ◽  
Vol 25 (50) ◽  
pp. 451-478
Author(s):  
Ahmed Bouteska ◽  
Boutheina Regaieg
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Economic Performance ◽  
Loss Aversion ◽  
Market Performance ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Company Performance ◽  
Service Firms ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Us ◽  
The Impact

Purpose The current study aims to investigate the impacts of two behavioral biases, namely, loss aversion and overconfidence on the performance of US companies. First, the impact of loss aversion on the economic performance of companies was assessed. Second, the impact of overconfidence on market performance was discussed. Design/methodology/approach This study used around 6,777 quarterly observations on the population of US-insured industrial and services companies over the 2006-2016 period. Ordinary least squares (OLS) regression in two panel data models were used to test the hypotheses formulated for the study. Findings It was documented that the loss-aversion bias negatively affects the economic performance of companies and this is achieved for both sectors. In contrast, the findings suggest that overconfidence positively affects market performance of industrial firms but negatively affects market performance in service firms. Further robust evidence was found that overconfidence bias seems to be dominant, and hence, investors may tend to be more overconfident rather than more loss-averse. Originality/value This research can be extended by focusing on the following question: What is the impact of the contradictory (positive and negative) effects of an investor's loss aversion and overconfidence on the US company performance in case of realization of a stock market crisis or stock market crash?

scholarly journals PANDEMIC COVID-19, ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE, and SHARE MARKET PERFORMANCE (Case Study in Indonesia)

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 13-30
Author(s):  
Istiono Istiono ◽  
Erwin Dyah Astawinetu ◽  
Sri Handini
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Economic Performance ◽  
Market Performance ◽  
T Test ◽  
Influence Analysis ◽  
Stock Market Performance ◽  
Normally Distributed

This research was conducted to determine and analyze the influence of the Covid-19 pandemic on economic performance and stock market performance in Indonesia.The influence analysis was carried out by means of the paired average test. For data that are normally distributed using the t-test and for data that are not normally distributed using the Wilcoxon sign test.This study finds that the Covid-19 pandemic has reduced economic performance and the performance of the Indonesian stock market.

scholarly journals IMPACT OF IMF LENDING ANNOUNCEMENTS ON THE PERFORMANCE OF STOCK MARKET: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FROM PAKISTAN

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 467-476
Author(s):  
Muhammad Azeem ◽  
Nisar Ahmad ◽  
Sarfraz Hussain ◽  
Muzammil Khurshid ◽  
Safyan Majid
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Empirical Evidence ◽  
Economic Performance ◽  
Economic Conditions ◽  
The Political ◽  
Time Varying ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Multiple Challenges ◽  
The Impact

Purpose of the study: Stock markets have demonstrated varying reactions to IMF lending announcements across various economies. Announcements offered by IMF often be perceived negatively by the participants of the stock market, because of stringent conditions accompanied with the loan that may oppose the political and economic agenda of a borrowing nation. Thus, this study intends to investigate the impact of IMF’s announcements about extending loans to Pakistan on the performance of the Stock market in the debt-ridden economy. Methodology: For regular returns from 1997 to 2017, the benchmarking indexes of KSE-100 and 30 were used. Meanwhile, IMF lending arrangements are categorized into three respective dummies (standby, extended credit facility, and extended fund facility). The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic (GARCH) model was used to investigate the effect of IMF’s lending news on the regular stock returns. Main findings: The results show a statistically significant effect of the IMF’s News about lending arrangements on the performance of the stock market in Pakistan. Surprisingly, the negative effect of IMF lending announcements on the performance of the stock market in Pakistan implies that the loans extended by IMF are not professed by speculators as good for the economic performance of the economy. Application of this study: The findings of this study imply that simply extending loans is not a panacea for politically unstable and financially ruined nations. Lending strategies of IMF need to be favourable for the political and economic conditions of a borrowing country. Originality/ Novelty: As for as the novelty is concerned, the study has highlighted the time-varying impact of IMF lending announcements on the performance of the stock market in a financially fragile country where a newborn government facing multiple challenges has made its best effort to avoid borrowing from IMF.

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