The Relationship between Exchange Rates and Interest Rates in a Small Open Emerging Economy: The Case of Romania

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alin Marius Andries ◽  
Iulian Ihnatov ◽  
Bogdan Capraru ◽  
Aviral Kumar Tiwari
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Emerging Economy ◽  
The Relationship

The relationship between exchange rates and interest rates in a small open emerging economy: The case of Romania

2017 ◽  
Vol 67 ◽  
pp. 261-274 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alin Marius Andrieș ◽  
Bogdan Căpraru ◽  
Iulian Ihnatov ◽  
Aviral Kumar Tiwari
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Emerging Economy ◽  
The Relationship

scholarly journals WOMEN FEEL MORE PESSIMISTIC THAN MEN: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FROM TURKISH CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX

2010 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 146-171 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ashi Küçükaslan ◽  
Sadullah Çelik
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Financial Market ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Consumer Confidence ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Confidence Index ◽  
Market Variables ◽  
The Relationship

The leading role that is attributable to economic indicators like consumer confidence has been well documented in the literature for many developed nations. Moreover, the relationship between high frequency financial market data has been a common research topic for world economies. However, there is hardly any study that attempts to search for the possible functional relationship between consumer confidence and financial market variables. This paper is a simple attempt to link these two brands of literature by focusing on the relationship between financial market variables and consumer confidence index before the global crisis has started. We have two distinctive points. First, we derive separate consumer confidence indices for men and women by employing micro‐level consumer confidence data from an emerging market (Turkish CNBC‐e consumer confidence index) for the period of January 2003 ‐ January 2008. Second, employing this data set, we do not only check for the existence of a relationship between consumer confidence and financial market variables (such as interest rates, exchange rates and stock exchange index) but also focus on the possibility of gender response. We find evidence of gender response difference as throughout the period women are more pessimistic than men‐due probably to lower levels of wealth‐and respond less to changes in exchange rates than men‐due probably to lower purchasing power. Santrauka Ekonominiu rodikliu kaip pirkejo pasitikejimo vaidmens svarba yra išsamiai pagrista daugelio išsivys‐čiusiu šaliu literatūroje. Be to, ryšys tarp aukšto finansu. rinkos svyravimo duomenu yra dažna tyrimu tema daugelyje pasaulio šaliu. Tačiau vargu ar galima būtu rasti tyrimu, kuriuose būtu bandoma surasti funkcini ryši tarp pirkejo pasitikejimo ir finansu. rinku rodikliu. Šis straipsnis ‐ tai meginimas susieti šias dvi rūšis, orientuojantis i ryši tarp finansu. rinku rodikliu ir pirkejo pasitikejimo indekso prieš prasi‐dedant pasaulinei krizei. Šiame straipsnyje pabrežti du išskirtiniai bruožai. Pirma, nustatomi atskiri mo‐teru ir vyru pasitikejimo indeksai naudojantis 2003 m. sausio men. ‐ 2008 m. sausio men. laikotarpio augančiu rinku mikrolygmens pirkejo pasitikejimo duomenimis (Turku CNBC‐e pirkejo pasitikejimo indeksas). Antra, naudojantis šia informacija tikrinamas ne tik esamas ryšys tarp pirkejo pasitikejimo ir finansu. rinku rodikliu (pavyzdžiui, palūkanu normos, valiutu kurso, akciju biržos indekso). Buvo rasta akivaizdžiu skirtumu tarp atsakymu, gautu iš skirtingu lyčiu atstovu. Visa laikotarpi moterys buvo pesi‐mistiškesnes nei vyrai, tikriausiai del žemo geroves lygio. Jos mažiau reagavo i valiutu kurso pokyčius nei vyrai del mažesnes perkamosios galios.

scholarly journals An Empirical Evidence of International Fisher Effect in Bangladesh with India and China: A Time-Series Approach

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Md. Mahmudul Alam ◽  
Kazi Ashraful Alam ◽  
Anisuzzaman Shuvo
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Empirical Evidence ◽  
Fisher Effect ◽  
Nominal Interest Rates ◽  
Trading Partners ◽  
Time Series Approach ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Casual Relationship

This paper is an attempt to examine the empirical evidence of International Fisher Effect (IFE) between Bangladesh and its two other major trading partners, China and India. The IFE uses interest rate differentials to explain why exchange rates change over time. A time series approach is considered to trace the relationship between nominal interest rates and exchange rates in these countries. The estimated value, by applying OLS, is used to determine the casual relationship between interest rates and exchange rates for quarterly data from 4th Quarter, 1995 to the 2nd Quarter, 2008. The empirical results suggest that there is a little correlation between exchange rates and interest rates differential for Bangladesh with China and Bangladesh with India, and the relationship between the variables is also not noteworthy for Bangladesh. Further, the trends advocate that the forecasting of exchange rates with the hypothesis of IFE is not realistic for these countries.

العلاقة بين مخاطر السوق والربحية واثرها في القيمة السوقية للمصارف ـــــ دراسة تحليلية لعينة من المصارف العراقية الخاصة

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 (68) ◽  
pp. 1-21
Author(s):  
م. د صباح حسن العكيلي
Keyword(s):  
Quantitative Analysis ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Market Value ◽  
Intermediate Variable ◽  
Market Risks ◽  
Analysis Process ◽  
Independent Variable ◽  
The Relationship

Abstract: The study tried to show the relationship between market risks (fluctuations in exchange rates and interest rates) as an independent variable and profitability as an intermediate variable and the effect of that relationship on the market value of the shares of the banks researched as an approved variable. A set of financial ratios was used in conducting the quantitative analysis process, as the study included a sample of the Iraqi private commercial banks for the period (2015-2018) and the adoption of 2014 as a base year for comparison to reach results that show developments in exchange rates and interest rates that may be exposed to fluctuations and beyond, and conclusions have been reached that show a significant correlation between market risks as an independent variable and banking profitability as an intermediate variable. There is also a significant correlation between market risks and the market value as a dependent variable, in addition to the presence of an effect of that relationship on the market value of bank shares, the study sample.

scholarly journals Oil price and Indonesian economic growth

2019 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 152-162
Author(s):  
Sultan ◽  
Julius Jhonny Sarungu ◽  
Albertus Maqnus Soesilo ◽  
Siti Aisyah Tri Rahayu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Empirical Evidence ◽  
Least Squares Method ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Negative Influence ◽  
Balance Of Payments ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Positive Effect

Oil prices and economic growth are important indicators to see the success of Indonesia’s development performance. The use of oil as the world’s main energy source in general and Indonesia in particular is driven by industrialization. The more industries, the greater the energy resources needed. In the same context, economic growth will also increase oil demand. The purpose of this study is to examine and create empirical evidence of the relationship between world oil prices and economic growth towards domestic oil prices. Furthermore, to test and create empirical evidence on the relationship of domestic oil prices, agriculture, trade, investment, inflation, interest rates, industry, labor, exchange rates and balance of payments to economic growth. The expected output of this research will be to provide information on the policy of the transmission mechanism of oil prices and economic growth in Indonesia. The method used is descriptive and econometric approach to the analysis of simultaneous equation models with two stages of the least squares method. The results of the study indicate that there is a simultaneous relationship between oil prices and economic growth. Economic growth, world oil prices and domestic oil prices a year ago had a positive effect on domestic oil prices. The second result shows that domestic oil, agriculture, investment, interest rates, industry, exchange rates, balance of payments and economic growth in the previous year have a positive effect on economic growth, while trade, inflation and labor have a negative influence on economic growth.

Hungarian macroeconomic variables — Reflections on causal relationships

2003 ◽  
Vol 53 (1) ◽  
pp. 61-73
Author(s):  
N. Dritsakis
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Causal Relationships ◽  
Transition Country ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Causality Tests ◽  
Granger Causality Tests ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
The Empirical Analysis ◽  
Multivariate Cointegration

The paper investigates the relationship among macroeconomic variables for a transition country: Hungary. The purpose of this paper is to measure the dynamic interrelationship among macroeconomic variables such as money supply, output, interest rates, inflation and exchange rates. For the empirical analysis of this investigation, quarterly data have been used for the period from 1980 to 2000, and the Johansen multivariate cointegration technique and the Granger causality tests have been applied. The results provide evidence of the existence of important causal relationships between variables that describe macroeconomic activity in Hungary.

scholarly journals WOMEN FEEL MORE PESSIMISTIC THAN MEN: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FROM TURKISH CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX

2010 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 146-171
Author(s):  
Ashi Küçükaslan ◽  
Sadullah Çelik
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Financial Market ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Consumer Confidence ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Confidence Index ◽  
Market Variables ◽  
The Relationship

The leading role that is attributable to economic indicators like consumer confidence has been well documented in the literature for many developed nations. Moreover, the relationship between high frequency financial market data has been a common research topic for world economies. However, there is hardly any study that attempts to search for the possible functional relationship between consumer confidence and financial market variables. This paper is a simple attempt to link these two brands of literature by focusing on the relationship between financial market variables and consumer confidence index before the global crisis has started. We have two distinctive points. First, we derive separate consumer confidence indices for men and women by employing micro‐level consumer confidence data from an emerging market (Turkish CNBC‐e consumer confidence index) for the period of January 2003 ‐ January 2008. Second, employing this data set, we do not only check for the existence of a relationship between consumer confidence and financial market variables (such as interest rates, exchange rates and stock exchange index) but also focus on the possibility of gender response. We find evidence of gender response difference as throughout the period women are more pessimistic than men‐due probably to lower levels of wealth‐and respond less to changes in exchange rates than men‐due probably to lower purchasing power. Santrauka Ekonominiu rodikliu kaip pirkejo pasitikejimo vaidmens svarba yra išsamiai pagrista daugelio išsivys‐čiusiu šaliu literatūroje. Be to, ryšys tarp aukšto finansu. rinkos svyravimo duomenu yra dažna tyrimu tema daugelyje pasaulio šaliu. Tačiau vargu ar galima būtu rasti tyrimu, kuriuose būtu bandoma surasti funkcini ryši tarp pirkejo pasitikejimo ir finansu. rinku rodikliu. Šis straipsnis ‐ tai meginimas susieti šias dvi rūšis, orientuojantis i ryši tarp finansu. rinku rodikliu ir pirkejo pasitikejimo indekso prieš prasi‐dedant pasaulinei krizei. Šiame straipsnyje pabrežti du išskirtiniai bruožai. Pirma, nustatomi atskiri mo‐teru ir vyru pasitikejimo indeksai naudojantis 2003 m. sausio men. ‐ 2008 m. sausio men. laikotarpio augančiu rinku mikrolygmens pirkejo pasitikejimo duomenimis (Turku CNBC‐e pirkejo pasitikejimo indeksas). Antra, naudojantis šia informacija tikrinamas ne tik esamas ryšys tarp pirkejo pasitikejimo ir finansu. rinku rodikliu (pavyzdžiui, palūkanu normos, valiutu kurso, akciju biržos indekso). Buvo rasta akivaizdžiu skirtumu tarp atsakymu, gautu iš skirtingu lyčiu atstovu. Visa laikotarpi moterys buvo pesi‐mistiškesnes nei vyrai, tikriausiai del žemo geroves lygio. Jos mažiau reagavo i valiutu kurso pokyčius nei vyrai del mažesnes perkamosios galios.

scholarly journals Effect of Interest Rates, Rupiah Currency Exchange Rates, World Gold Prices, and Dow Jones Index on Stock Prices of Property and Real Estate Companies with Inflation as Moderating Variables

FOCUS ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 43-54
Author(s):  
Hasanudin Hasanudin ◽  
Anugrah Kumaruza
Keyword(s):  
Real Estate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Jones Index ◽  
Moderating Variables ◽  
Currency Exchange ◽  
Currency Exchange Rates ◽  
The Relationship

The purpose of this research is to study the effect of interest rates, rupiah currency exchange rates, world gold prices, and the Dow Jones Index on stock prices of property and real estate companies with inflation as a moderating variable. This study uses a case study of 4 stocks, namely BSDE, CTRA, PWON, and SMRA with the research data period January 2014-December 2019. The analysis was carried out using the ARCH / GARCH model using the Eviews 10 application. The results showed that there were quite varied results regarding patterns of the relationship between the independent variables on the four stock prices studied. The most notable difference is in the PWON stock

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document