CORRELATION BETWEEN RAINFALL PATTERN AND OIL PALM PERFORMANCE IN SUMATRA AND BORNEO ISLAND DURING EL NIÑO 2015

2018 ◽  
Vol 24 (2) ◽  
pp. 87-96
Author(s):  
Iput Pradiko ◽  
Eko Novandy Ginting ◽  
Nuzul Hijri Darlan ◽  
Winarna Winarna ◽  
Hasril Hasan Siregar
Keyword(s):  
Oil Palm ◽  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Pearson Correlation ◽  
Rainfall Data ◽  
Rainfall Pattern ◽  
Dry Spell ◽  
Male Flowers ◽  
Central South

El Niño 2015 is one of the strongest El Niño. Drought stress due to El Niño could affect oil palm performances. This study was conducted to determine rainfall pattern and oil palm performance in Sumatra and Borneo Island during El Niño 2015. Data employed in this study is monthly rainfall data, Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) January-December 2015, andoil palm performances. Pearson correlation between SOI and rainfall data was used to analyze rainfall pattern, while oil palm performances were observed based on morphological conditions. Result shows that southern part of Sumatra and mostly part of Borneo suffer from more dry spell, dry month, and water deficit such as 37-133 days, 3-5 months, and 349-524 mm respectively. Analysis of rainfall pattern shows that Jambi, South Sumatra, Lampung, Central, South, and East Borneo are significantly (r ≥ +0,60) affected by El Niño 2015. Oil palms in southern part of Sumatra and mostly part of Borneo are suffer from drought stressmarked by the emergence of more than two spear fronds, appearing of many male flowers, malformations on bunches, fronds tend to hanging down, and lower fronds tend to dry.

CORRELATION BETWEEN RAINFALL PATTERN AND OIL PALM PERFORMANCE IN SUMATRA AND BORNEO ISLAND DURING EL NIÑO 2015

2016 ◽  
Vol 24 (2) ◽  
pp. 87-96
Author(s):  
Iput Pradiko ◽  
Eko Novandy Ginting ◽  
Nuzul Hijri Darlan ◽  
Winarna Winarna ◽  
Hasril Hasan Siregar
Keyword(s):  
Oil Palm ◽  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Pearson Correlation ◽  
Rainfall Data ◽  
Rainfall Pattern ◽  
Dry Spell ◽  
Male Flowers ◽  
Central South

El Niño 2015 is one of the strongest El Niño. Drought stress due to El Niño could affect oil palm performances. This study was conducted to determine rainfall pattern and oil palm performance in Sumatra and Borneo Island during El Niño 2015. Data employed in this study is monthly rainfall data, Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) January-December 2015, andoil palm performances. Pearson correlation between SOI and rainfall data was used to analyze rainfall pattern, while oil palm performances were observed based on morphological conditions. Result shows that southern part of Sumatra and mostly part of Borneo suffer from more dry spell, dry month, and water deficit such as 37-133 days, 3-5 months, and 349-524 mm respectively. Analysis of rainfall pattern shows that Jambi, South Sumatra, Lampung, Central, South, and East Borneo are significantly (r ≥ +0,60) affected by El Niño 2015. Oil palms in southern part of Sumatra and mostly part of Borneo are suffer from drought stressmarked by the emergence of more than two spear fronds, appearing of many male flowers, malformations on bunches, fronds tend to hanging down, and lower fronds tend to dry.

scholarly journals The Correlation of Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) with the Rainfall at Rainy and Dry Season Peak in Kintamani-Bangli Region period 1986-2015

2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (2) ◽  
pp. 6
Author(s):  
Wayan Mita Restitiasih ◽  
I Ketut Sukarasa ◽  
I Wayan Andi Yuda
Keyword(s):  
Correlation Coefficient ◽  
El Niño ◽  
Southern Oscillation Index ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Management Plan ◽  
Correlation Study ◽  
Dry Season ◽  
Rainfall Data ◽  
The Relationship

A correlation study of the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) on rainfall at the peak of the wet and dry season in the Kintamani-Bangli region has been carried out by taking SOI values and rainfall data for the period 1986-2015. The rainfall data used were recorded at 2 rain posts, namely Kembangsari and Kintamani. The research aimed to determine the relationship of fluctuations in the value of SOI with the intensity of rainfall, so that it can be used as a regional management plan when El Nino occurs. The method used in this study is correlation. The results obtained from the correlation that is the relationship between SOI value and rainfall in February were quite strong in the Kembangsari post with correlation coefficient of 0.409. Whereas for the Kintamani post the correlation obtained was weak with a correlation coefficient of 0.308. Then in August a weak correlation occurred in the Kembangsari post with a correlation coefficient of 0.2398 and was quite strong in the Kintamani post with a correlation coefficient of 0.4662. So that the influence of El Nino in the Kintamani area in February was more dominant in the Kembangsari post and in August at the Kintamani post.

scholarly journals The effect of climate change on rainfall pattern and deficit of water in tea plantation

2017 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Salwa Lubnan Dalimoenthe ◽  
Y Apriana ◽  
T June
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Water Deficit ◽  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Soil Surface ◽  
Rainfall Data ◽  
Rainfall Pattern ◽  
Tea Plantation ◽  
Water Index ◽  
The Impact

<p><em>Climate change has been influencing rainfall pattern so that it would be necessary to see the impact of that changed on tea plantation. The experimental area coverage lowland (600 m asl), midland (800-1000m asl) and highland (&gt;1.000 m asl) tea plantation and each altituted represented by three tea estate in West Java. The rainfall data collected since 2005 up to 2014 from each estate and water deficit has been count through the method develop by Wijaya (1996). The results showed that the rainfall pattern has been changed by La-Nina and El-Nino during 2005-2014 in tea estate either in lowland, midland or highland in the last decade. The climate change caused  rainfall decreasing and increasing on dry month (the rainfall &lt; 100 mm). Eventhough on 2009 there is an significantly increasing of the rainfall but after 2009 until 2014, the rainfall tend to decrease. After El-Nino on late 2009 and early 2010, lowland tea estate on Subang Regency facing water deficit until 5 months with R (defisit water index) far below 1 even there is no El Nino. The tea plantation at midland area (Cianjur Regency) facing 5 months water deficit per year, but the R index close to 1. While in highland tea plantation (Bandung Regency), the water deficit only happend on certain month on certain year although there is a month with zero rainfall. Water deficit could be happend because of runoff on soil surface stimulate by low ability of soil to keep the water.</em></p>

scholarly journals El Niño–Southern Oscillation (<i>ENSO</i>) event reduces CO<sub>2</sub> uptake of an Indonesian oil palm plantation

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christian Stiegler ◽  
Ana Meijide ◽  
Yuanchao Fan ◽  
Ashehad Ashween Ali ◽  
Tania June ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Oil Palm ◽  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Co2 Exchange ◽  
Shortwave Radiation ◽  
El Niño Southern Oscillation ◽  
El Nino Southern Oscillation ◽  
Co2 Uptake ◽  
Oil Palm Plantation

Abstract. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in 2015 was one of the strongest observed in almost 20 years and set the stage for a severe drought and the emergence of widespread fires and related smoke emission over large parts of Southeast Asia. In the tropical lowlands of Sumatra, which were heavily affected by the drought and haze, large areas of tropical rainforest have been converted into oil palm (Elaeis guineensis Jacq.) plantations during the past decades. In this study, we investigate the impact of drought and smoke haze on the CO2 exchange, evapotranspiration and surface energy budget in a commercial oil palm plantation in Jambi province (Sumatra, Indonesia) by using micrometeorological measurements, the eddy covariance method and a multi linear regression model (MLRM). With the MLRM we identify the contribution of meteorological and environmental parameters to net ecosystem CO2 exchange. During the initial part of the drought, when incoming shortwave radiation was elevated, CO2 uptake increased by 50 % despite a decrease in upper-layer soil moisture by 35 %, an increase in air temperature by 10 % and a tripling of atmospheric vapor pressure deficit. Emerging smoke haze decreased incoming solar radiation by 35 % compared to non-drought conditions and diffuse radiation became almost the sole shortwave radiation flux for two months resulting in a strong decrease in CO2 uptake by 86 %. Haze conditions resulted in a complete pause of oil palm carbon uptake for about 1.5 months and contributed to a decline in oil palm yield by 35 %. With respect to climate change and a pronounced drying trend over the western Pacific during El Niño, our model showed that an increase in drought may stimulate CO2 uptake while more severe smoke haze, in combination with drought, can lead to pronounced losses in productivity and CO2 uptake highlighting the importance of fire prevention.

scholarly journals El-NINO DAN PENGARUHNYA TERHADAP CURAH HUJAN DI MANADO SULAWESI UTARA

2011 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 102 ◽  
Author(s):  
Seni Herlina J. Tongkukut
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
Southern Oscillation Index ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Monthly Rainfall ◽  
Rainfall Data ◽  
Sea Surface ◽  
Simple Linear Regression ◽  
North Sulawesi

Telah dilakukan analisis El-Nino dan pengaruhnya terhadap curah hujan di Manado Sulut dengan menggunakan data curah hujan bulanan dan Southern Oscillation Index SOI selama thn 1999-2009. Data curah hujan diperoleh dari BMKG Kayuwatu Manado Sulut dan data SOI diunduh dari website Biro Meteorologi Australia BoM. Analisis dilakukan dengan analisis regresi linear sederhana. Diperoleh hasil bahwa curah hujan kota Manado secara umum dari thn 1999-2008 dipengaruhi oleh SOI namun pada thn 2009 ketika terjadi El-nino, curah hujan bulanan Manado tidak dipengaruhi oleh efek El-nino. Hal ini karena pada saat yang sama suhu muka laut perairan Indonesia juga menghangat. EL-NINO AND ITS EFFECT ON RAINFALL IN MANADONORTH SULAWESIABSTRACTAnalysis of El-Nino and its effect on rainfall in Manado, North Sulawesi, using monthly rainfall data and the Southern Oscillation Index SOI during the years 1999-2009 has been carried out. Rainfall data obtained from BMKG Kayuwatu Manado and SOI data downloaded from the website of Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BoM). The analysis was performed with simple linear regression analysis. The results obtained indicate that rainfall in Manado , in general, was influenced by SOI from the years 1999-2008, but when there is an El-Nino in 2009, monthly rainfall in Manado is not affected by the El-Nino effect. This is due to, at the same time, sea surface temperature in Indonesian territory are also warm.

scholarly journals El-Niño southern oscillation and rainfall erosivity in the headwater region of the Grande River Basin, Southeast Brazil

2011 ◽  
Vol 8 (6) ◽  
pp. 10707-10738 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. R. Mello ◽  
L. D. Norton ◽  
N. Curi ◽  
S. N. M. Yanagi ◽  
A. M. Silva
Keyword(s):  
River Basin ◽  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Minas Gerais ◽  
Rainfall Pattern ◽  
Rainfall Erosivity ◽  
Rainfall Events ◽  
Rainfall Depth ◽  
Erosive Rainfall

Abstract. Relationships between regional climate and oceanic and atmospheric anomalies are important tools in order to promote the development of models for predicting rainfall erosivity, especially in regions with substantial intra-annual variability in the rainfall regime. In this context, this work aimed to analyze the rainfall erosivity in headwaters of Grande River Basin, Southern Minas Gerais State, Brazil. This study considered the two most representative environments, the Mantiqueira Range (MR) and Plateau of Southern Minas Gerais (PSM). These areas are affected by the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) indicators Sea Surface Temperature (SST) for Niño 3.4 Region and Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI). Rainfall erosivity was calculated for individual rainfall events from January 2006 to December 2010. The analyses were conducted using the monthly data of ENSO indicators and the following rainfall variables: rainfall erosivity (EI30), rainfall depth (P), erosive rainfall depth (E), number of rainfall events (NRE), number of erosive rainfall events (NEE), frequency of occurrence of an early rainfall pattern (EP), occurrence of late rainfall pattern (LP) and occurrence of intermediate rainfall patter (IP). Pearson's coefficient of correlation was used to evaluate the relationships between the rainfall variables and SST and MEI. The coefficients of correlation were significant for SST in the PSM sub-region. Correlations between the rainfall variables and negative oscillations of SST were also significant, especially in the MR sub-region, however, the Person's coefficients were lesser than those obtained for the SST positive oscillations. The correlations between the rainfall variables and MEI were also significant but lesser than the SST correlations. These results demonstrate that SST positive oscillations play a more important role in rainfall erosivity, meaning they were more influenced by El-Niño episodes. Also, these results have shown that the ENSO variables have potential to be useful for rainfall erosivity forecasting in this region.

scholarly journals El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) event reduces CO<sub>2</sub> uptake of an Indonesian oil palm plantation

2019 ◽  
Vol 16 (14) ◽  
pp. 2873-2890 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christian Stiegler ◽  
Ana Meijide ◽  
Yuanchao Fan ◽  
Ashehad Ashween Ali ◽  
Tania June ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Oil Palm ◽  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Co2 Exchange ◽  
Shortwave Radiation ◽  
Co2 Uptake ◽  
Net Ecosystem Co2 Exchange ◽  
Oil Palm Plantation ◽  
Net Co2 Uptake

Abstract. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in 2015 was one of the strongest observed in almost 20 years and set the stage for a severe drought and the emergence of widespread fires and related smoke emission over large parts of Southeast Asia. In the tropical lowlands of Sumatra, which were heavily affected by the drought and haze, large areas of tropical rainforest have been converted into oil palm (Elaeis guineensis Jacq.) plantations during the past decades. In this study, we investigate the impact of drought and smoke haze on the net ecosystem CO2 exchange, evapotranspiration, yield and surface energy budget in a commercial oil palm plantation in Jambi province (Sumatra, Indonesia) by using micrometeorological measurements, the eddy covariance method, yield data and a multiple linear regression model (MLRM). With the MLRM we identify the contribution of meteorological and environmental parameters to the net ecosystem CO2 exchange. During the initial part of the drought, when incoming shortwave radiation was elevated, net CO2 uptake increased by 50 % despite a decrease in upper-layer soil moisture by 35 %, an increase in air temperature by 10 % and a tripling of atmospheric vapour pressure deficit. Emerging smoke haze decreased incoming solar radiation by 35 % compared to non-drought conditions and diffuse radiation almost became the sole shortwave radiation flux for 2 months, resulting in a strong decrease in net CO2 uptake by 86 %. Haze conditions resulted in a complete pause of oil palm net carbon accumulation for about 1.5 months and contributed to a decline in oil palm yield by 35 %. With respect to a projected pronounced drying trend over the western Pacific during a future El Niño, our model showed that an increase in drought may stimulate net CO2 uptake, while more severe smoke haze, in combination with drought, can lead to pronounced losses in productivity and net CO2 uptake, highlighting the importance of fire prevention.

scholarly journals El Niño modifies nutrient status in oil palm and helps foliage to recover from yellowing symptoms: new analysis and perspectives

2021 ◽  
Vol 30 ◽  
pp. 34
Author(s):  
Bernard Dubos ◽  
Marcel de Raïssac
Keyword(s):  
Oil Palm ◽  
El Niño ◽  
Magnesium Deficiency ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Annual Rainfall ◽  
Mineral Deficiency ◽  
Local Climate ◽  
Climate Conditions

In Ecuador, oil palm plantations from the Quinindé-Quevedo region are subject to El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) with a preponderance of La Niña weather conditions. With more than 2,000 mm, the total annual rainfall is theoretically non-limiting but, with only 1,000 h, the total annual sunshine is well below the 1,800 h minimum recommended. Starting in the 1970s, the frequent occurrence of frond yellowing symptoms in the region became a recurrent worry for growers, convinced that they were facing the expression of a mineral deficiency. In this study, we used experimental results to examine the actual role of mineral nutrition in yellowing manifestation. We described the effects of two El Niño events (1982/1983 and 1997/1998) on climate variables and analysed their putative consequences on palm physiological functioning that could explain the observed foliage recovery. Our analysis led us to conclude that a direct mineral deficiency was not involved, as the soil reserves for the main nutrients were not to blame. We rejected the most frequently proposed hypothesis, whereby yellowing is caused by magnesium deficiency. Our study revealed the key role played by nitrogen, the best indicator of yellowing. Variations in N status appear to be linked to the same factors that determine the symptoms and we opted for the hypothesis of physiological disruption generated by low solar radiation levels under normal conditions. The study also reveals the need to consider specific optimum contents for N and Mg and to adjust fertilizer recommendations to local climate conditions.

scholarly journals INFLUENCE OF ENSO ON WET AND DRY SPELL FREQUENCY FOR RAINFED CROPPING PERIOD OVER TAMIL NADU

2019 ◽  
Vol XLII-3/W6 ◽  
pp. 63-65
Author(s):  
M. Vengateswari ◽  
V. Geethalakshmi ◽  
K. Bhuvaneswari ◽  
S. Panneerselvam
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
Tamil Nadu ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
India Meteorological Department ◽  
Dominant Mode ◽  
La Niña ◽  
Annual Rainfall ◽  
La Nina ◽  
Dry Spell

<p><strong>Abstract.</strong> Several factors are responsible for recent climatic anomalies includes seasonal and inter-annual variability of rainfall in the region in which regional and global sea surface temperature (SST) changes is the most significant factor. It is well recognized that El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the dominant mode of climate variability on seasonal to inter-annual scales and its impacts are felt worldwide. Seasonal to inter-annual rainfall fluctuations strongly affect the success of agriculture and the abundance of water resources. Daily rainfall data at district scale was obtained from India Meteorological Department (IMD) for a period of 43 years (1971&amp;ndash;2013) was categorized based on the ENSO episodes and the analysis was performed for the rainfed cropping period (RCP, September&amp;ndash;December). A week (7 days) with the cumulative rainfall amount of 50&amp;thinsp;mm was considered as one wet spell. Non rainy days observed continuously for a decade (10 days) that period was considered to be one dry spell. Results revealed that El Niño conditions positively influenced the rainfall. Compared to neutral years, La Niña years received less rainfall as it showed the negative deviation in most of districts of Tamil Nadu. More wet spell and lesser dry spell weeks was observed under El Niño condition while the lesser wet spell and more dry spell was observed under La Niña conditions. Higher amount of rainfall during El Niño led to more number of wet spells under El Niño event.</p>

scholarly journals Impacts of Two-Type ENSO on Rainfall over Taiwan

2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chen-Chih Lin ◽  
Yi-Jiun Liou ◽  
Shih-Jen Huang
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Correlation Method ◽  
Rainfall Data ◽  
Enso Modoki ◽  
Geographical Regions ◽  
Different Types ◽  
Rainfall Variations ◽  
Central Weather Bureau

Impacts of two-type ENSO (El Niño/Southern Oscillation), canonical ENSO and ENSO Modoki, on rainfall over Taiwan are investigated by the monthly mean rainfall data accessed from Taiwan Central Weather Bureau. The periods of the two-type ENSO are distinguished by Niño 3.4 index and ENSO Modoki index (EMI). The rainfall data in variously geographical regions are analyzed with the values of Niño 3.4 and EMI by correlation method. Results show that the seasonal rainfalls over Taiwan are different depending on the effects of two-type ENSO. In canonical El Niño episode, the rainfall increases in winter and spring while it reduces in summer and autumn. On the contrary, the rainfall increases in summer and autumn but reduces in winter and spring in El Niño Modoki episode. Nevertheless, two types of La Niña cause similar effects on the rainfall over Taiwan. It increases in autumn only. The rainfall variations in different types of ENSO are mainly caused by the monsoon and topography.

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