scholarly journals Interannual Variability of Thermal Conditions in the Extratropical Zone of the South Pacific at the Turn of the XX–XXI Centuries

2021 ◽  
Vol 28 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
I. D. Rostov ◽  
E. V. Dmitrieva ◽  
N. I. Rudykh ◽  
◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Interannual Variability ◽  
Thermal Conditions ◽  
South Pacific ◽  
The South

scholarly journals Mesoscale Simulation of Tropical Cyclones in the South Pacific: Climatology and Interannual Variability

2011 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-25 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicolas C. Jourdain ◽  
Patrick Marchesiello ◽  
Christophe E. Menkes ◽  
Jérome Lefèvre ◽  
Emmanuel M. Vincent ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Interannual Variability ◽  
Tropical Cyclones ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Regional Scale ◽  
South Pacific ◽  
South Pacific Convergence Zone ◽  
Dimensional Structure ◽  
The South ◽  
Wide Range

Abstract The Weather Research and Forecast model at ⅓° resolution is used to simulate the statistics of tropical cyclone (TC) activity in the present climate of the South Pacific. In addition to the large-scale conditions, the model is shown to reproduce a wide range of mesoscale convective systems. Tropical cyclones grow from the most intense of these systems formed along the South Pacific convergence zone (SPCZ) and sometimes develop into hurricanes. The three-dimensional structure of simulated tropical cyclones is in excellent agreement with dropsondes and satellite observations. The mean seasonal and spatial distributions of TC genesis and occurrence are also in good agreement with the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) data. It is noted, however, that the spatial pattern of TC activity is shifted to the northeast because of a similar bias in the environmental forcing. Over the whole genesis area, 8.2 ± 3.5 cyclones are produced seasonally in the model, compared with 6.6 ± 3.0 in the JTWC data. Part of the interannual variability is associated with El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). ENSO-driven displacement of the SPCZ position produces a dipole pattern of correlation and results in a weaker correlation when the opposing correlations of the dipole are amalgamated over the entire South Pacific region. As a result, environmentally forced variability at the regional scale is relatively weak, that is, of comparable order to stochastic variability (±1.7 cyclones yr−1), which is estimated from a 10-yr climatological simulation. Stochastic variability appears essentially related to mesoscale interactions, which also affect TC tracks and the resulting occurrence.

Seasonal variations of the links between the interannual variability of South America and the South Pacific

2011 ◽  
Vol 38 (9-10) ◽  
pp. 2115-2129 ◽  
Author(s):  
Laura Zamboni ◽  
Fred Kucharski ◽  
C. Roberto Mechoso
Keyword(s):  
South America ◽  
Interannual Variability ◽  
Seasonal Variations ◽  
South Pacific ◽  
The South

scholarly journals Evaluation of the South Pacific Convergence Zone in IPCC AR4 Climate Model Simulations of the Twentieth Century

2011 ◽  
Vol 24 (6) ◽  
pp. 1565-1582 ◽  
Author(s):  
Josephine R. Brown ◽  
Scott B. Power ◽  
Francois P. Delage ◽  
Robert A. Colman ◽  
Aurel F. Moise ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Twentieth Century ◽  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Sea Surface Temperature ◽  
Interannual Variability ◽  
South Pacific ◽  
Sea Surface ◽  
South Pacific Convergence Zone ◽  
Convergence Zone ◽  
The South ◽  
Model Simulations

Abstract Understanding how the South Pacific convergence zone (SPCZ) may change in the future requires the use of global coupled atmosphere–ocean models. It is therefore important to evaluate the ability of such models to realistically simulate the SPCZ. The simulation of the SPCZ in 24 coupled model simulations of the twentieth century is examined. The models and simulations are those used for the Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The seasonal climatology and interannual variability of the SPCZ is evaluated using observed and model precipitation. Twenty models simulate a distinct SPCZ, while four models merge intertropical convergence zone and SPCZ precipitation. The majority of models simulate an SPCZ with an overly zonal orientation, rather than extending in a diagonal band into the southeast Pacific as observed. Two-thirds of models capture the observed meridional displacement of the SPCZ during El Niño and La Niña events. The four models that use ocean heat flux adjustments simulate a better tropical SPCZ pattern because of a better representation of the Pacific sea surface temperature pattern and absence of cold sea surface temperature biases on the equator. However, the flux-adjusted models do not show greater skill in simulating the interannual variability of the SPCZ. While a small subset of models does not adequately reproduce the climatology or variability of the SPCZ, the majority of models are able to capture the main features of SPCZ climatology and variability, and they can therefore be used with some confidence for future climate projections.

scholarly journals Interannual variability of the South Pacific Convergence Zone and implications for tropical cyclone genesis

2009 ◽  
Vol 36 (9-10) ◽  
pp. 1881-1896 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emmanuel M. Vincent ◽  
Matthieu Lengaigne ◽  
Christophe E. Menkes ◽  
Nicolas C. Jourdain ◽  
Patrick Marchesiello ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Cyclone ◽  
Interannual Variability ◽  
South Pacific ◽  
South Pacific Convergence Zone ◽  
Tropical Cyclone Genesis ◽  
Convergence Zone ◽  
The South ◽  
Cyclone Genesis

Culture and leadership: Project GLOBE in the South Pacific

2009 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anthony R. Paquin ◽  
Reinout E. de Vries ◽  
Raghuvar D. Pathak ◽  
Rafia Naz
Keyword(s):  
South Pacific ◽  
The South

Tourism Development in the South Pacific: The Cases of Nauru and Tuvalu

2019 ◽  
Vol 39 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nick Towner ◽  
Semisi Taumoepeau
Keyword(s):  
Swot Analysis ◽  
Tourism Development ◽  
Geographic Location ◽  
South Pacific ◽  
The South ◽  
South Pacific Ocean ◽  
Economic Survival ◽  
Processing Centre ◽  
Remote Island ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Tuvalu and Nauru are isolated developing island nations located in the South Pacific Ocean. In contrast to the established larger Pacific destinations such as Fiji and Tahiti, the tourism industries on both Tuvalu and Nauru are in their infancy. Tourism development in these remote island nations faces a myriad of challenges which include a lack of infrastructure, environmental susceptibility, economic vulnerability, difficulties with access and considerable distances from major tourist markets. This paper reviews tourism on Tuvalu and Nauru and evaluates their current situation regarding potential tourism development through workshops with relevant stakeholders, surveys and subsequent SWOT analysis. The results of the paper outlined a large number of challenges faced by Tuvalu and Nauru due to their geographic location but also highlighted that both Islands possess fascinating and unique features that have the potential to attract niche tourism markets. A key finding of this paper is that the tourism stimulus or potential attraction can also be the chief threat to the islands’ economic survival hence the two edges of the sword. Further research is required to assess the effect of the withdrawal of the Refugee Processing Centre on Nauru’s economy and to evaluate the impact of climate change on Tuvalu’s society and potential adaption strategies.

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