scholarly journals Causas, consecuencias y regulación del capital golondrina: el caso de Costa Rica

1969 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 7-20
Author(s):  
José Fulvio Sandoval Vásquez

El siguiente artículo analiza el ingreso de capital financiero de corto plazo (capital golondrina) en el país a partir del segundo semestre de 2012. Interesa revisar lo que establece la teoría económica sobre su origen, causas y consecuencias, así como las medidas regulatorias que pueden tomar las autoridades económicas para limitar estos flujos y contrarrestar sus efectos macroeconómicos. Finalmente, a la luz de estos desarrollos se revisa la propuesta del Poder Ejecutivo tendente a desestimular el arribo de estos capitales.ABSTRACT In this paper we analyze the entry of short-term financial capitals to the country in the second half of 2012. What economic theory says regarding its origin, causes and consequences is going to be reviewed, as well as the regulatory measures that policymakers can take to limit their flows and counteract their macroeconomic effects. Finally, taking into account these developments, an executive proposal aiming to discourage the arrival of these capitals is analyzed. KEYWORDS: CAPITAL FLOWS, IMPOSSIBLE TRINITY, INTEREST RATES, EXCHANGE RATES, INFLATION, INTERNATIONAL MONETARY RESERVES.

1977 ◽  
Vol 113 (1) ◽  
pp. 48-57
Author(s):  
Klaus Friedrich ◽  
Charles D. Cathcart

2022 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Faridsky Faridsky ◽  
Syarwani Canon ◽  
Boby Rantow Payu

This study aims to determine the impact of monetary policy and FDI on economic growth and discuss it. The monetary indicator variables used are inflation, interest rates and exchange rates. The data used in this study are secondary data in 1990-2019 sourced from data from the Central Bureau of National Statistics and the World Bank. The analysis model in this study uses Multiple Linear Regression with the Error Correction Model (ECM) analysis model. The results of the analysis show that in the long term monetary variables (inflation, interest rates and exchange rates) have a significant effect on economic growth. And in the short term FDI has a significant effect on economic growth. It is concluded that monetary variables (inflation, interest rates and exchange rates) are the main variables that affect economic growth in the long and short term.


2015 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 127
Author(s):  
Novri Candra ◽  
Idris Idris ◽  
Selli Nelonda

This study aimed to analyze the change in foreign exchange reserves which are affected by the state of national income, exchange rates, interest rates and inflation. This study was conducted to see the effect of the independent variable on the dependent variable in the long term and short term. The method used is the Error Correction Model (ECM). This study shows that the long-term effects of the variables national income and the exchange rate has a significant positive effect on foreign exchange reserves, while in the short term have a negative effect but not significant. Variable interest rates on long-term have a positive effect but not significant and in the short term have a significant negative effect on foreign exchange reserves. Variable inflation in the long term and short term no significant effect on the foreign exchange reserves. Results Error Correction Term (ECT) in this study amounted to 1,065, which means that in the short-term foreign exchange reserves will undergo considerable change and requires quite a long time to come back into balance.Keyword : Reserves, National Income, Exchange Rates, Interest Rates and Inflation ECM, ECT


2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 267
Author(s):  
Akhmad Jayadi ◽  
Tanto Firmansyah

Indonesia is a maritime country that has huge potential in fisheries sector. The average of indonesian fisheries production and export volumes always increase every year. This study aims to analyze the effect of exchange rates, government spending, inflation, interest rates, and sanitation policies to Indonesia fishery export to the United States in 1989-2019. Data were obtained from the Indonesian Ministry of Finance, the World Bank, UN COMTRADE, and the Indonesian Ministry of Maritime Affairs and Fisheries. This study uses the Error Coerrection Model (ECM) method to examine the effect of the independent variables on the dependent variable in the long term and short term. This study explains that in the long-term, government spending and exchange rate have positive effect, and interest rates have negative effect on export. In short-term, government spending and exchange rate have positive effect on export. Inflation and sanitation policy do not affect export in the long-term or short-term, while interest rates in the short-term do not affect Indonesian fishery exports. Keywords: Exports, Government Spending, Exchange Rates, Non-Tariff Barriers, Error Correction Model.JEL: F10, F13, C32


2001 ◽  
Vol 175 ◽  
pp. 95-108 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin Brookes ◽  
Zaki Wahhaj

This article argues that an effective way to analyse the macroeconomic effects of business-to-business electronic commerce is to regard it as a decline in the cost of information to producers. Calculations based on input-output tables and the IMF's Multimod macroeconomic model show that current estimates of such savings translate into about a 5 per cent long-run increase in output in the major industrialised economies. In the medium term, although the deflationary effects of the shock would provide greater room to central banks to keep interest rates low, the simulation results also hint at short-term inflation risks if current demand outstrips supply in anticipation of higher future incomes.


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