scholarly journals External Factors on Turkish Short-Term Interest Rates and Daily Exchange Rates: Tranquil Periods versus Politically Stressed Times

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dogus Emin
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
External Factors ◽  
Short Term

scholarly journals Causas, consecuencias y regulación del capital golondrina: el caso de Costa Rica

1969 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 7-20
Author(s):  
José Fulvio Sandoval Vásquez
Keyword(s):  
Economic Theory ◽  
Costa Rica ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Capital Flows ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Regulatory Measures ◽  
Macroeconomic Effects

El siguiente artículo analiza el ingreso de capital financiero de corto plazo (capital golondrina) en el país a partir del segundo semestre de 2012. Interesa revisar lo que establece la teoría económica sobre su origen, causas y consecuencias, así como las medidas regulatorias que pueden tomar las autoridades económicas para limitar estos flujos y contrarrestar sus efectos macroeconómicos. Finalmente, a la luz de estos desarrollos se revisa la propuesta del Poder Ejecutivo tendente a desestimular el arribo de estos capitales.ABSTRACT In this paper we analyze the entry of short-term financial capitals to the country in the second half of 2012. What economic theory says regarding its origin, causes and consequences is going to be reviewed, as well as the regulatory measures that policymakers can take to limit their flows and counteract their macroeconomic effects. Finally, taking into account these developments, an executive proposal aiming to discourage the arrival of these capitals is analyzed. KEYWORDS: CAPITAL FLOWS, IMPOSSIBLE TRINITY, INTEREST RATES, EXCHANGE RATES, INFLATION, INTERNATIONAL MONETARY RESERVES.

scholarly journals Impact of Monetary Policy and Foreign Direct Investment Against Indonesia's Economic Growth

2022 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Faridsky Faridsky ◽  
Syarwani Canon ◽  
Boby Rantow Payu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Analysis Model ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Indicator Variables ◽  
The Impact

This study aims to determine the impact of monetary policy and FDI on economic growth and discuss it. The monetary indicator variables used are inflation, interest rates and exchange rates. The data used in this study are secondary data in 1990-2019 sourced from data from the Central Bureau of National Statistics and the World Bank. The analysis model in this study uses Multiple Linear Regression with the Error Correction Model (ECM) analysis model. The results of the analysis show that in the long term monetary variables (inflation, interest rates and exchange rates) have a significant effect on economic growth. And in the short term FDI has a significant effect on economic growth. It is concluded that monetary variables (inflation, interest rates and exchange rates) are the main variables that affect economic growth in the long and short term.

scholarly journals ANALISIS MAKRO EKONOMI TERHADAP CADANGAN DEVISA INDONESIA (MELALUI PENDEKATAN MONETER)

2015 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 127
Author(s):  
Novri Candra ◽  
Idris Idris ◽  
Selli Nelonda
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Error Correction ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
National Income ◽  
Foreign Exchange Reserves ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Positive Effect

This study aimed to analyze the change in foreign exchange reserves which are affected by the state of national income, exchange rates, interest rates and inflation. This study was conducted to see the effect of the independent variable on the dependent variable in the long term and short term. The method used is the Error Correction Model (ECM). This study shows that the long-term effects of the variables national income and the exchange rate has a significant positive effect on foreign exchange reserves, while in the short term have a negative effect but not significant. Variable interest rates on long-term have a positive effect but not significant and in the short term have a significant negative effect on foreign exchange reserves. Variable inflation in the long term and short term no significant effect on the foreign exchange reserves. Results Error Correction Term (ECT) in this study amounted to 1,065, which means that in the short-term foreign exchange reserves will undergo considerable change and requires quite a long time to come back into balance.Keyword : Reserves, National Income, Exchange Rates, Interest Rates and Inflation ECM, ECT

scholarly journals THE EFFECT OF GOVERNMENT MACROECONOMIC POLICY ON INDONESIA'S FISHERIES EXPORT TO THE UNITED STATES IN 1989-2019

2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 267
Author(s):  
Akhmad Jayadi ◽  
Tanto Firmansyah
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
The United States ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Positive Effect

Indonesia is a maritime country that has huge potential in fisheries sector. The average of indonesian fisheries production and export volumes always increase every year. This study aims to analyze the effect of exchange rates, government spending, inflation, interest rates, and sanitation policies to Indonesia fishery export to the United States in 1989-2019. Data were obtained from the Indonesian Ministry of Finance, the World Bank, UN COMTRADE, and the Indonesian Ministry of Maritime Affairs and Fisheries. This study uses the Error Coerrection Model (ECM) method to examine the effect of the independent variables on the dependent variable in the long term and short term. This study explains that in the long-term, government spending and exchange rate have positive effect, and interest rates have negative effect on export. In short-term, government spending and exchange rate have positive effect on export. Inflation and sanitation policy do not affect export in the long-term or short-term, while interest rates in the short-term do not affect Indonesian fishery exports. Keywords: Exports, Government Spending, Exchange Rates, Non-Tariff Barriers, Error Correction Model.JEL: F10, F13, C32

scholarly journals The Influence of Determining Factors on Islamic Stock Index in Indonesia

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-15
Author(s):  
Azhar Alam ◽  
Galuh Thifal Anggraeni ◽  
Muhammad Anas
Keyword(s):  
Central Bank ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Return Rates ◽  
Currency Exchange ◽  
Determining Factors ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Term Analysis

This paper investigated some determining factors that influence Indonesia Sharia Stock Index (ISSI). Some macroeconomic variables are used as an independent variable such as central bank interest rates, inflation, currency exchange rate, and return rates of Bank Indonesia Sharia Certificates (SBIS). This study conducted the Error Correction Model (ECM)  to analyze times series data during October 2013 and September 2017. The findings showed that Indonesia Sharia Stock Index (ISSI) is influenced significantly and negatively by central bank interest rates in long term analysis. Similarly, in short term analysis, the central bank interest rates affect significantly and negatively on ISSI as well as the currency exchange rates. On the other hand, SBIS return rates and inflation are indicated to have a non-significant negative effect on ISSI. This study suggested that investors of ISSI consider Central Bank interest rates, inflation, rupiah exchange rates, and SBIS rates of return to predict the stock price so investors can make the right decisions in their investment policies. This paper also recommended the Indonesian Central Bank to effectively manage their monetary policy and promote ISSI as an alternative investment which is resistant by the negative effect of inflation in short term analysis.

scholarly journals The Impact of Exchange Rates and Interest Rates on Bank Stock Returns: Evidence from U.S. Banks

2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 124-139 ◽  
Author(s):  
Verma Priti
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Volatility Spillovers ◽  
Hedging Strategies ◽  
Bank Stock ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Bank Portfolios

AbstractThis paper examines the mean, volatility spillovers and response asymmetries between short-term and long-term interest rates, exchange rates and portfolios of money center, large and medium-sized banks in the U.S. I use the multivariate version of Nelson’s (1991) Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditionally Heteroscedastic (EGARCH) model. Results indicate mean and volatility spillovers from short-term interest rates and exchange rates and long-term interest rates and exchange rates to three bank portfolios. Results also show response asymmetries from short-term interest rates and exchange rates and long-term interest rates and exchange rates to all the three bank portfolios. These findings have important implications for bankers in terms of devising different hedging strategies against interest rates and exchange rate risks.

scholarly journals GONCANGAN FAKTOR INTERNAL DAN EKSTERNAL TERHADAP INVESTASI ASING LANGSUNG DI INDONESIA

2017 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 149
Author(s):  
Yuliarti Yuliarti ◽  
Hasdi Aimon ◽  
Melti Roza Adry
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
External Factors ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Economic Openness

The purpose of this research to analyze the long-term effects and short-term shocks of internal factors (inflation, economic growth, Indonesian interest rates) and external factors (economic openness, foreign interest rates, exchange rates) to foreign direct investment in Indonesia. The effects and impacts of these shocks will form the basis for decision-making and policy-setting in achieving optimal economic growth. This study uses the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) and Error Correction Model (ECM) method to see the long-term and short-term effects of internal and external factors on foreign direct investment in Indonesia. The data used time series data from fisrt quarterly in 2000 to fourth quarterly in 2016. In more detail, ECM used to analyze short-term shocks. The results show that in the short term the internal factor of inflation caused shocks to foreign direct investment and in the long run, the variable of inflation and economic growth have a significant effect on foreign direct investment. External factors such as: economic openness, foreign interest rate and exchange rate in the short run cause shocks to foreign direct investment, and in the long term the openness of economy and exchange rate have a significant influence.

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