scholarly journals ANALISIS MAKRO EKONOMI TERHADAP CADANGAN DEVISA INDONESIA (MELALUI PENDEKATAN MONETER)

2015 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 127
Author(s):  
Novri Candra ◽  
Idris Idris ◽  
Selli Nelonda
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Error Correction ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
National Income ◽  
Foreign Exchange Reserves ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Positive Effect

This study aimed to analyze the change in foreign exchange reserves which are affected by the state of national income, exchange rates, interest rates and inflation. This study was conducted to see the effect of the independent variable on the dependent variable in the long term and short term. The method used is the Error Correction Model (ECM). This study shows that the long-term effects of the variables national income and the exchange rate has a significant positive effect on foreign exchange reserves, while in the short term have a negative effect but not significant. Variable interest rates on long-term have a positive effect but not significant and in the short term have a significant negative effect on foreign exchange reserves. Variable inflation in the long term and short term no significant effect on the foreign exchange reserves. Results Error Correction Term (ECT) in this study amounted to 1,065, which means that in the short-term foreign exchange reserves will undergo considerable change and requires quite a long time to come back into balance.Keyword : Reserves, National Income, Exchange Rates, Interest Rates and Inflation ECM, ECT

scholarly journals THE EFFECT OF GOVERNMENT MACROECONOMIC POLICY ON INDONESIA'S FISHERIES EXPORT TO THE UNITED STATES IN 1989-2019

2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 267
Author(s):  
Akhmad Jayadi ◽  
Tanto Firmansyah
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
The United States ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Positive Effect

Indonesia is a maritime country that has huge potential in fisheries sector. The average of indonesian fisheries production and export volumes always increase every year. This study aims to analyze the effect of exchange rates, government spending, inflation, interest rates, and sanitation policies to Indonesia fishery export to the United States in 1989-2019. Data were obtained from the Indonesian Ministry of Finance, the World Bank, UN COMTRADE, and the Indonesian Ministry of Maritime Affairs and Fisheries. This study uses the Error Coerrection Model (ECM) method to examine the effect of the independent variables on the dependent variable in the long term and short term. This study explains that in the long-term, government spending and exchange rate have positive effect, and interest rates have negative effect on export. In short-term, government spending and exchange rate have positive effect on export. Inflation and sanitation policy do not affect export in the long-term or short-term, while interest rates in the short-term do not affect Indonesian fishery exports. Keywords: Exports, Government Spending, Exchange Rates, Non-Tariff Barriers, Error Correction Model.JEL: F10, F13, C32

scholarly journals ANALYSIS OF THE INFLUENCE OF SHARIA FINANCIAL SECTOR ON INDONESIAN NATIONAL INCOME 2011-2020

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (5) ◽  
pp. 630
Author(s):  
Naufal Haidar Farras ◽  
Darwanto Darwanto
Keyword(s):  
Mutual Funds ◽  
National Income ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Islamic Finance ◽  
Islamic Banking ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Positive Effect

ABSTRAKPenelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh variabel sektor keuangan syariah terhadap Pendapatan Nasional Indonesia yang masih terkenal belum maksimal. Variabel sektor keuangan syariah terdiri dari indeks saham syariah, reksadana syariah, obiligasi syariah, serta perbankan syariah. Variabel Pendapatan Nasional Indonesia menggunakan data Produk Domestik Bruto Indonesia. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode ARDL (Autoregression Distributed Lag) yang mengukur pengaruh dalam jangka pendek maupun panjang secara parsial maupun stimultan. Penelitian ini menggunakan data triwulan yang diperoleh dari Statistik Saham Syariah, Statistik Reksadana Syariah, Statistik Sukuk Syariah, serta Statistik Perbankan Syariah dari Otoritas Jasa Keuangan. Sedangkan data Produk Domestik Bruto Indonesia didapatkan dari Kementerian Perdagangan Republik Indonesia periode waktu antara Januari 2011 sampai dengan Desember 2020. Hasil penelitian secara parsial menunjukkan bahwa dalam jangka pendek, perbankan syariah berpengaruh positif positif terhadap PDB, saham syariah dan reksadana syariah berpengaruh negatif terhadap PDB, sedangkan obligasi syariah tidak berpengaruh terhadap PDB. Dalam jangka panjang, perbankan syariah berpengaruh positif positif terhadap PDB, saham syariah dan reksadana syariah berpengaruh negatif terhadap PDB, sedangkan obligasi syariah tidak berpengaruh terhadap PDB. Secara simultan dalam jangka pendek dan jangka panjang sektor keuangan syariah tidak memiliki hubungan kointegrasi jangka Panjang terhadap Produk Domestik Bruto Indonesia.Kata Kunci: Indeks Saham Syariah, Reksadana Syariah, Obligasi Syariah, Perbankan Syariah, Produk Domestik Bruto. ABSTRACTThis study aims to analyze the effect of Islamic financial sector variables on Indonesia's National Income which is still not maximized. The Islamic finance sector variables consist of Islamic stock index, sharia mutual funds, sharia bonds, and sharia banking. The Indonesian National Income Variable uses Indonesia's Gross Domestic Product data. This study uses the ARDL (Autoregression Distributed Lag) method which measures the effect in the short term either partially or simultaneously. This study uses quarterly data obtained from Sharia Stock Statistics, Sharia Mutual Fund Statistics, Sharia Sukuk Statistics, and Sharia Banking Statistics from the Financial Services Authority. Meanwhile, Indonesia's Gross Domestic Product data was obtained from the Ministry of Trade of the Republic of Indonesia for the period between January 2011 to December 2020. The partial results show that in the short term, Islamic banking has a positive effect on GDP, Islamic stocks and Islamic mutual funds have a negative effect on GDP, while Islamic bondon has no effect on GDP. In the long term, Islamic banking has a positive positive effect on GDP, Islamic stocks and Islamic mutual funds have a negative effect on GDP, while Islamic bonds have no effect on GDP. Simultaneously, in the short and long term, the Islamic finance sector does not have a long-term cointegration relationship with Indonesia's Gross Domestic Product.Keywords: Sharia Stock Index, Sharia Mutual Funds, Sharia Bonds, Sharia Banking.

DETERMINAN KREDIT BANK UMUM UNTUK SEKTOR PERTANIAN: ANALISIS DARI SISI PERMINTAAN DAN PENAWARAN

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Yunnise Putri ◽  
Idris Idris
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Commercial Bank ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
Agricultural Sector ◽  
Bank Loans ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Loan Interest Rates ◽  
Positive Effect

This study examines Agricultural Loans Determinants: Analysis from the Supply and Demand Side with the scope of Indonesia starting from 2012 to 2019. This study uses Error Correction Model (ECM) analysis as an estimation method that shows the effect of the independent variable on the dependent variable in the short term. as well as long term. The results of the study show that in the short term, the variables of CAR, NPL and Inflation have a negative effect on Commercial Bank Loans for the Agricultural Sector, while the variables of TPF, Economic Activity and Loan Interest Rates have a positive effect. On the other hand, in the long term, the variables of DPK, Economic Activity and Loan Interest Rates actually have a negative effect and it is the variables of CAR, NPL and Inflation that have a positive effect on Commercial Bank Loans for the Agricultural Sector.

scholarly journals PENGARUH EKSPOR, NILAI TUKAR, FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT DAN UTANG LUAR NEGERI TERHADAP CADANGAN DEVISA INDONESIA TAHUN 2014-2019.

account ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Arti Saleha ◽  
Heri Abrianto ◽  
Mulia Nasution
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Foreign Debt ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Significant Positive Effect ◽  
Foreign Exchange Reserves ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Positive Effect

ABSTRACT  This study aims to analyze the effect of Exports, Exchange Rates, Foreign Direct Investment and Foreign Debt on Indonesia's Foreign Exchange Reserves partially or simultaneously in the 2014 to 2019 period. The type of data used was secondary data obtained from the official website of Bank Indonesia, the Central Bureau of Statistics. And the Investment Coordinating Board. The analytical method used is multiple linear regression with a confidence level of 95%. The results indicate that Export partially has a significant positive effect on Foreign Exchange Reserves, Exchange Rate partially has a significant negative effect on Foreign Exchange Reserves, Foreign Direct Investment partially has a significant positive effect on Foreign Exchange Reserves and External Debt partially has a significant positive effect on Foreign Exchange Reserves. Simultaneously, all variables have a significant effect on Foreign Exchange Reserves by 88% while the remaining 12% is influenced by other factors outside of this research model.   Keywords: Exports, Exchange Rates, Foreign Direct Investment, Foreign Debt, Foreign Exchange Reserves ABSTRAK Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh Ekspor, Nilai Tukar, Foreign Direct Investment dan Utang Luar Negeri terhadap Cadangan Devisa Indonesia secara parsial maupun simultan pada periode 2014 sampai 2019. Jenis data yang digunakan adalah data sekunder yang diperoleh dari website resmi Bank Indonesia, Badan Pusat Statistik dan Badan Koordinasi Penanaman Modal. Metode analisis yang digunakan adalah Regresi Linier Berganda dengan tingkat kepercayaan 95%. Hasil dari penelitian ini menunjukan bahwa Ekspor secara parsial berpengaruh positif signifikan terhadap Cadangan Devisa, Nilai Tukar secara parsial berpengaruh negatif signifikan terhadap Cadangan Devisa, Foreign Direct Investment secara parsial berpengaruh positif signifikan terhadap Cadangan Devisa dan Utang Luar Negeri secara parsial berpengaruh positif signifikan terhadap Cadangan Devisa. Dan secara  simultan, variabel Ekspor, Nilai Tukar, Foreign Direct Investment dan Utang Luar Negeri berpengaruh signifikan terhadap Cadangan Devisa sebesar 88% sedangkan sisanya sebesar 12% dipengaruhi oleh faktor lain di luar model penelitian ini.   Kata kunci: Ekspor, Nilai Tukar, Foreign Direct Investment, Utang Luar Negeri, Cadangan Devisa

scholarly journals DETERMINAN INDEKS SAHAM SYARIAH INDONESIA

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 179-194
Author(s):  
Ayif Fathurrahman ◽  
Rahma Aprilia Widiastuti
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Error Correction ◽  
Error Correction Model ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Significant Negative Effect ◽  
Negative Effect

This study was conducted to determine and analyze the effect of inflation, exchange rates, and the BI Rate on the Indonesian Sharia Stock Index (ISSI). The method used in this research is the Error Correction Model (ECM). The data used are 55time series. Based on the analysis that has been done, the research results show that in the short term only the BI Rate has a significant negative effect on the Indonesian Sharia Stock Index (ISSI). Meanwhile, in the long term, the Exchange Rate and BI Rate variables have a significant negative effect on the Indonesian Sharia Stock Index (ISSI). Variable inflation has no effect on the Indonesian Sharia Stock Index (ISSI).

scholarly journals PENGARUH GLOBALISASI KEPADATAN PENDUDUK DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI TERHADAP DEGRADASI LINGKUNGAN DI INDONESIA

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Safriwan Safriwan ◽  
Idris Idris
Keyword(s):  
Population Density ◽  
Environmental Degradation ◽  
Research Result ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Method Error ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Economic Institute ◽  
Carbon Project ◽  
Positive Effect

Abstract : The study describes the effects on globalization population density andeconomic growth on environmental degradation in Indonesia. This research uses a timeseries data from year 1971 - 2017, with method Error Correction Model (ECM). Datasources from Global Carbon Project, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, and WorldBank. Research result explain that (1) Globalization in long term has a insignificantpositive effect on environmental degradation in Indonesia, but short term globalizationhas a insignificant negative effect on environmental degradation in Indonesia (2)Population density in long term has a significant positive , and short term has ainsignificant positive effect on environmental degradation in Indonesia (3) Economicgrowth in long and short term has a significant positive effect on environmentaldegradation in Indonesia.Keywords : Environmental Degradation, Globalization Population Density AndEconomic Growth.

scholarly journals ANALISIS HARGA SAHAM INDEX KOMPAS 100 DENGAN PENDEKATAN ERROR CORRECTION MODEL

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 406-414
Author(s):  
Amir Hamzah
Keyword(s):  
Error Correction ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Financial Statements ◽  
Error Correction Model ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Positive Effect

The purpose of this research is to analyze the short term and long term relationship between ROI, EPS, PER ,inflation, SBI, exchange rate,and GDP on Stock Price. The data in this research is company financial statements which included Compas 100 Index on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. statistical analysis in this research used stasionarity test, The Classical Assumptions Test, Cointegration Test, Error Correction Model Test. This research found that partially ROI, EPS, PER variables a positive effect on stock prices in the short term and long term, KURS and SBI a positive effect on stock prices in the short term, but there is no effect in the long term, inflation and GDP do not affect the stock price both in the short term and long term. Simultaneously affected the stock prices significantly affect on stock price both in the short term and long term.

scholarly journals PENGARUH VARIABEL MAKRO EKONOMI TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI INDONESIA TAHUN 2015-2019

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 88-99
Author(s):  
Feby Kinanda
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Unemployment Rate ◽  
Trade Balance ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
Positive Effect

This study aims to analyze the effect of macroeconomic variables including the open unemployment rate, trade balance, inflation rate and the rupiah exchange rate against the dollar on Indonesian economic growth by using the ECM error correction model approach to see the long-term and short-term relationships that influence macro variables on economic growth. , in the long term the open unemployment rate variable, the trade balance, the inflation rate have a negative effect while the exchange rate has a positive effect, while in the short term the open unemployment rate, the inflation rate and the exchange rate have a negative effect while the trade balance has a positive effect.   Keywords: Economic Growth, Open Unemployment Rate, Trade Balance, Inflation, Exchange Rate

scholarly journals Struktur Pendanaan dan Profitabilitas: Studi pada Perusahaan Non-Keuangan yang Listing di Bursa Efek Indonesia

2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 55-66
Author(s):  
Irene Rini Demi Pangestuti ◽  
Dinar Nur Septiyanto
Keyword(s):  
Capital Structure ◽  
Random Sampling ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Sampling Technique ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Return On Assets ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Equity Ratio ◽  
Positive Effect

Purpose- The study was conducted to examine the effect of capital structure on profitability. Variables of the capital structure are Long-term Debt to total assets (LTD), Short-term Debt to total assets (STD) and Debt to Equity Ratio (DER) while profitability is proxied by Return on Assets (ROA. Research is conducted on all Non-Financial companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) in the period 2014-2016. Methods- Use the Purposive Random Sampling technique to take samples. Samples taken from Bloomberg. The sample used amounted to 175 companies using multiple regression analysis SPSS program assistance. Finding- The results of the study note that LTD and STD have a significant negative effect on ROA. DER has not a significant positive effect on ROA.

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