scholarly journals Reforming China’s Public Finances for Long-term Growth

Author(s):  
Christine Wong
Keyword(s):  
2010 ◽  
Vol 2010 (13) ◽  
pp. 1 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrea Schaechter ◽  
Carlo Cottarelli ◽  
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Author(s):  
Tilman Slembeck ◽  
Armin Jans ◽  
Thomas Leu

Financial sustainability requires governments to run sufficiently large primary surpluses going forward to cover the cost of servicing its debt budgets to balance in the long run. In democracies, politicians who strive for reelection often tend to systematically violate this tenet. This paper discusses two types of “anchors” that may be used to cope with this problem by limiting the room for new and excessive public debt. First, we analyze national constitutional safeguards on the basis of the “debt brake” in Switzerland and Germany. Second, we discuss international institutions to maintain financial discipline, referring to the Maastricht-criteria. These anchors are designed to allow policymakers to commit to policies that provide long term financial stability and sustainability of public finances. However, as the recent crises have shown, the problem of time inconsistency in policy making remains, especially when anchors are weak. Therefore, the paper discusses the circumstances under which institutional anchors may help to restrict politician behavior to promote sustainability of public finances. We conclude by indentifying three conditions required for the proper functioning of collective anchors in the context of public finances.


Author(s):  
José Alejandro Peres-Cajías

ABSTRACTThis paper offers a long-term comparative study of Bolivian public finances using a new detailed database. First, it shows that Bolivian government revenues and expenditures were particularly small and volatile until the 1980s. Second, it stresses that, whereas the relative importance of social expenditure has grown constantly since the late 1930s, public revenues have always had an unbalanced structure. Finally, it confirms that budget deficits have been constant, at times reaching levels that were especially damaging for the overall economy. This suggests that the potential redistributive impact of Bolivian public finances was not necessarily (or not only) hindered by the lack of an explicit commitment towards redistributive expenses, but by an extreme vulnerability in the revenue side.


2008 ◽  
Author(s):  
Francisco de Castro ◽  
José Manuel Gonzalez Minguez
Keyword(s):  

2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 (1) ◽  
pp. 31-46
Author(s):  
Olena Stepanova

The article investigates the influence of the growing public expenditures on health caused by the demographic aging of the population, on the stability of public finances in the context of the establishment of the "longevity economy". The author conducts a scenario based assessment of the sustainability of public finances in Ukraine in the medium and long term, based on the calculation of the fiscal gap indicator. In particular, investigated the "stress effect" of the changes in the indicators of macroeconomic development and the fiscal position on the sustainability of public finances under the condition of realization of the historical scenario. The author proves a significant influence of demographic aging of Ukraine's population on the sustainability of public finance. It is determined that in the long term there will be a fundamental transformation of the "spending profile" in the health care by sex-age groups, which, for example, is due to a shift in consumption of these expenditures by the population of older age groups and their increased share. The author substantiates the necessity to expand the fiscal space for fulfilling the normative requirements of the Ukrainian legislation on health financing based on the calculation of the necessary structural primary balance to overcome the fiscal gap, which is proposed to be used as one of the benchmarks for the implementation of fiscal policy in order to attain medium and long-term sustainability of public finances for a given period of .fiscal adjustment. It is proposed: to monitor and control the pace and the growth factors of health care expenditures in the medium and long-term; to develop indicators for assessing the fiscal space for healthcare with due regard to potential change in the demographic structure of the population; to assess the transformation of the fiscal space to finance the health care in the context of the establishment of the longevity economy while respecting the sustainability of the system of public finances.


1998 ◽  
Vol 98 (12) ◽  
pp. 1 ◽  
Author(s):  
Karl Friedrich Habermeier ◽  
Fabrice Lenseigne ◽  
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Keyword(s):  

Author(s):  
Jose-Luis Fernandez ◽  
Julien Forder ◽  
Martin Knapp

This article considers the very different context of long-term care (LTC), where the care team often combines formal and informal workers. It focuses on the economics of LTC and in particular on issues such as the organizing and delivery of care and support to meet the significant future growth in demand for LTC. It discusses rapidly growing demand for LTC and resulting pressures on public finances. It means that governments across the globe are increasingly recognizing the need to get a better understanding of financing and allocating LTC resources, achieving individual and societal outcomes cost-effectively, and pursuing equity in the distribution of benefits and burdens. This article discusses provision, financing and governance, respectively and also mentions the consequences of aging populations on the need for and cost of LTC.


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