scholarly journals Risk stratification score to determine long-term outcomes based on post-operative complications following cardiac surgery -- need of the hour?

Author(s):  
Siddharth Pahwa

Risk models were developed to provide clinicians and hospitals with a tool to evaluate risk-adjusted outcomes and to guide quality improvement. The Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) Predicted Risk of Mortality (PROM) is the most commonly used risk algorithm, others being the EuroSCORE logistic and additive algorithm and the Ambler Risk Score. These models utilize pre-operative patient characteristics to predict operative risk and early outcomes. Although a great deal of effort has gone into models to predict short-term patient outcomes after common cardiac operations, there has been relatively little effort to develop a statistical algorithm to predict long-term outcomes. Moreover, no risk model takes into account early post-operative complications to construct an algorithm to predict long-term outcomes. The formulation of a risk stratification score based on post-operative complications following common cardiac surgical procedures may be used to estimate the likelihood of long-term survival for individual complications, as well as various permutations and combinations of complications. This may have profound implications in devising strategies to prevent the most devastating combination of complications. Also, this may assist in informing patients and families of the predicted survival after a particular complication or a combination of complications. As Dokollari et all pointed out, there is impetus towards the direction of formulating a risk stratification score, and this may indeed be the need of the hour.

Author(s):  
Fareed Cheema ◽  
Aurora D. Pryor

Weight loss surgery has overall been shown to be very safe and effective. However, long-term outcomes data has allowed codification of post-operative complications specific to the type of weight loss surgery performed. This review focuses specifically on foregut-related postoperative complications after weight loss surgery, most of which are not discussed on a broad scale in the literature yet whose prevalence continues to rise. Clinicians should maintain a broad differential when treating patients with complications after bariatric surgery in order to perform a thorough and precise workup to identify the diagnosis and guide management.


2021 ◽  
Vol 108 (Supplement_9) ◽  
Author(s):  
Edward J Nevins ◽  
Jakub Chmelo ◽  
Joshua Brown ◽  
Pooja Prasad ◽  
Alexander W Phillips

Abstract Background Outcomes following oesophagectomy for oesophageal cancer continue to improve, but complications are common and can result in significant morbidity. Post-operative complications are known to impact upon peri-operative and short-term survival but the effect on long-term survival remains unclear. The aim of this study is to investigate the effect of post-operative complications on long-term survival following oesophagectomy. Methods A contemporaneously maintained database from a single centre was reviewed. All patients who underwent oesophagectomy between January 2010 and January 2019 were included. Patients were separated into three groups, those who experienced no or very minor complications (Clavien-Dindo 0 or 1), minor complications (Clavien-Dindo 2), and major complications (Clavien-Dindo 3-4). Those who died during the index hospital admission were excluded to correct for short-term mortality effects. Overall survival was analysed using Kaplan-Meier and log rank testing. Results Seven hundred and twenty-three patients underwent oesophagectomy during this time. Seventeen (2.4%) died during their index hospital stay, and were excluded from the survival analysis. The 30- and 90- day mortality was 1.1% (8/723) and 2.4% (17/723) respectively. There were 43.2% (305/706), 30.2% (213/706) and 26.6% (188/706) in the Clavien-Dindo 0-1, Clavien-Dindo 2, and Clavien-Dindo 3-4 group respectively. Median survival across the three groups was equivalent (50, 57 and 51 months). Across all three groups, overall long-term survival rates were equivalent at 1 (87.5%, 84.9%, 83.5%), 5 (44.2%, 48.9%, 44.7%) and 10 years (36.7%, 36.0%, 36.7%) (p = 0.730). Conclusions Long term survival is not affected by complications, irrespective of severity, following oesophagectomy.


2021 ◽  
Vol 108 (Supplement_7) ◽  
Author(s):  
Emily Durrity ◽  
Grace Elliott ◽  
Tabitha Gana

Abstract Introduction The management of complicated diverticulitis has evolved over the years, with a shift towards a conservative approach. The aim of this study was to evaluate the feasibility and long-term outcomes of conservative management of an episode of complicated diverticulitis. Method We retrospectively evaluated patients presenting with perforated colonic diverticulitis between 2013 and 2017. Demographic, presentation and management data was recorded. CT grading system and Clavien-Dindo classification of complications was used. Results Ninety-two patients were included, with a male-to-female ratio of 1:2. Forty patients had a Hartmann’s procedure on the first admission (Group A), the remaining 52 patients were managed conservatively with antibiotics +/- radiological drainage (Group B). Mean follow-up was 64.9 months (range 3-7 years). CT Grade 3 and 4 disease was observed in 65% of Group A and in 40.4% of Group B patients. 14 (26.9%) patients re-presented with recurrent diverticulitis in Group B, 12 (23.1%) of whom required surgical resection in the course of follow-up. Group A had significantly increased morbidity and poorer outcomes compared to Group B with a longer median length of stay (23.5 vs 10.2 days). Post-operative complications affected 72.5% (29 patients), with 40% being grade III or higher. Stoma reversal was performed in 10 (25.8%). Conclusion In carefully selected cases, complicated diverticulitis including CT grade 3 and 4, can be managed conservatively with acceptable rates of recurrence. Better overall outcomes were observed compared to surgical intervention, which is associated with high rates of post-operative complications (72.5%) and low stoma reversal rates 25.8%.


Author(s):  
Jia-Yu Yan ◽  
Chun-Hui Peng ◽  
Wen-Bo Pang ◽  
Yong-Wei Chen ◽  
Cai-Ling Ding ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Reoperation for total colonic aganglionosis (TCA) may be required for residual aganglionosis after an initial radical operation. We aimed to investigate the symptoms, management, and outcomes of patients who required a redo pull-through (Redo PT). Methods Nine TCA patients underwent Redo PT at our center between 2007 and 2017. Their medical records were reviewed. Parental telephone interviews that included disease-specific clinical outcomes were conducted, and post-operative complications and long-term outcomes (including height-for-age/weight-for-age and bowel-function score) were compared to those of single-pull-through (Single PT) patients (n = 21). Results All the nine Redo PT patients suffered obstruction within 1 month after the initial operation that could not be alleviated by conservative treatment. All abdominal X-ray/contrast barium enemas showed proximal bowel dilatation, indicating residual aganglionosis. The median ages at the initial operation and Redo PT were 200 and 509 days, respectively. Reoperation consisted of an intraoperative frozen biopsy and a modified laparotomic Soave procedure in all patients. Post-operative complications included perianal excoriation (n = 3), intestinal obstruction (n = 2), enterocolitis (n = 2), and rectovestibular fistula (n = 1). Seven Redo PT patients were followed up for a mean time of 7.1 ± 2.3 years; six (85.7%) had good growth and four (57.1%) had good bowel-function recovery. Post-operative complications and long-term outcomes were almost equal between the Redo PT and Single PT groups (all P > 0.05). Conclusion TCA patients with recurrent obstructive symptoms and dilated proximal bowel may have residual aganglionosis after an initial operation. Redo PT is effective and provides good long-term outcomes comparable to those of patients who benefited from Single PT.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Siddharth Pahwa ◽  
Annalisa Bernabei ◽  
Hartzell Schaff ◽  
John Stulak ◽  
Kevin Greason ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 162
Author(s):  
Christian-Alexander Behrendt ◽  
Thea Kreutzburg ◽  
Jenny Kuchenbecker ◽  
Giuseppe Panuccio ◽  
Mark Dankhoff ◽  
...  

Objective: Previous studies have showed a potential disadvantage of female patients who underwent abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repair. The current study aims to determine sex-specific perioperative and long-term outcomes using propensity score matched unselected nationwide health insurance claims data. Methods: Insurance claims from a large German fund were used, covering around 8% of the insured German population. Patients who underwent endovascular aortic repair (EVAR) for intact AAA from 1 January 2011 to 30 April 2017 were included in the cohort. A 1:2 female to male propensity score matching was applied to adjust for confounding variables. Perioperative and long-term outcomes after 5 years were determined using matching and regression methods. Results: Among a total of 3736 patients (19.3% females, mean 75 years) undergoing EVAR for intact AAA, we identified 1863 matched patients. Before matching, females were more likely to be previously diagnosed with hypothyroidism, electrolyte disorders, rheumatoid disorders, and depression, while males were more often diabetics. In the matched sample, 23.4% of the females and 25.8% of the males died during a median follow-up of 776 and 792 days, respectively. Perioperatively, females were more likely to exhibit acute limb ischemia (5.3% vs. 3.2%, p = 0.031) and major bleeding (22.0% vs. 15.9%, p = 0.001) before they were discharged to rehabilitation (5.5% vs. 1.5%, p < 0.001) when compared to males. No statistically significant difference in perioperative (odds ratio 1.12, 95% CI 0.54–2.16) or long-term mortality (hazard ratio 0.91, 95% CI 0.76–1.08) was observed between sexes. This was also true regarding aortic reintervention rates after 1 year (2.0% vs. 2.9%) and 5 years (10.9% vs. 8.1%). Conclusion: The current retrospective matched analysis of insurance claims revealed high early access-related morbidity in females when compared to their male counterparts. Short-term or long-term survival and reintervention outcomes were similar between sexes.


2016 ◽  
Vol 65 (07) ◽  
pp. 528-534 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuping Li ◽  
Gening Jiang ◽  
Chang Chen ◽  
Xuefei Hu

Objectives Whether pneumonectomy is needed for the treatment of destroyed lungs is still controversial and unresolved in the clinic. Pneumonectomy is destructive and is associated with a significant incidence of postoperative complications. The purpose of this study is to analyze the operative techniques, postoperative morbidity, mortality, and long-term outcomes of patients with destroyed lungs who underwent pneumonectomy. Patients and Methods We retrospectively analyzed 137 patients with destroyed lungs who underwent pneumonectomy. The data were queried for the details of operative technique, development of perioperative complications, mortality, and long-term survival. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to investigate the risk factors of pneumonectomy among the patients. Results A total of 77 male and 60 female patients were reviewed. The youngest patient was 18 years, and the oldest was 75 years, with a mean age of 40.1 years. Postoperative complications were observed in 25 patients (18.2%). The rate of bronchopleural fistula (BPF) was 5.1% (7/137). Two perioperative deaths (1.5%) were noted. Univariate and multivariate analyses indicated the blood loss (hazard ratio [HR], 5.32; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.27–18.50; p = 0.021) was the independent risk factor of postoperative complications, and the type of the disease (HR, 4.50; 95% CI, 1.19–9.69; p = 0.034) was the independent risk factor of the BPF, for the patients with destroyed lung after pneumonectomy. Conclusion Pneumonectomy for destroyed lung is a high risk for postoperative complications. Our findings suggested that pneumonectomy in destroyed lung was satisfactory with strict surgical indications, adequate preoperative preparation, and careful operative technique, and the long-term outcomes can be especially satisfactory. Pneumonectomy for destroyed lung is still a treatment option.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yun Xu ◽  
Cong Li ◽  
Charlie Zhi-Lin Zheng ◽  
Yu-Qin Zhang ◽  
Tian-An Guo ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Lynch syndrome (LS) is the most common hereditary colorectal cancer (CRC) syndrome. Comparison of prognosis between LS and sporadic CRC (SCRC) were rare,with conflicting results. This study aimed to compare the long-term outcomes between patients with LS and SCRC. Methods Between June 2008 and September 2018, a total of 47 patients were diagnosed with LS by genetic testing at Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center. A 1:2 propensity score matching was performed to obtain homogeneous cohorts from SCRC group. Thereafter, 94 SCRC patients were enrolled as control group. The long-term survival rates between the two groups were compared, and the prognostic factors were also analyzed. Results The 5-year OS rate of LS group was 97.6%, which was significantly higher than of 82.6% for SCRC group (p = 0.029). The 5-year PFS rate showed no significant differences between the two groups (78.0% for LS group vs. 70.6% for SCRC patients; p = 0.262). The 5-year TFS rates in LS group was 62.1% for LS patients, which were significantly lower than of 70.6% for SCRC group (p = 0.039). By multivariate analysis, we found that tumor progression of primary CRC and TNM staging were independent risk factors for OS. Conclusion LS patients have better long-term survival prognosis than SCRC patients. Strict regular follow-up monitoring, detection at earlier tumor stages, and effective treatment are key to ensuring better long-term prognosis.


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