scholarly journals The Effect of Fiscal Policy on Capital Flight in Namibia

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (4(J)) ◽  
pp. 18-31
Author(s):  
Valdemar J. Undji ◽  
Teresia Kaulihowa
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Capital Flight ◽  
Tax Rates ◽  
Financial Deepening ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Policy Interventions ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Bound Test

The occurrences of capital flight continue to be of great concern for many developing countries and Namibia is not an exception to this. This study aimed at examining the effect of fiscal policy on capital flight in Namibia for the period, 2009-2018. To assess this, the Auto-Regressive Distributive Lag (ARDL) bound test to cointegration technique was employed. The finding revealed that there is a long-run relationship between the selected macroeconomic factors and capital flight. In particular in the long-run government expenditure and its interaction with debt stock are found to positively affect capital flight. In the short-run however, past capital flight, previous period tax rates, previous external debt, current debt stock, previous inflation rate, as well as previous financial deepening were found to bear a positive effect on capital flight. Estimate of capital flight using the residual approach shows that Namibia lost about N$ 42 billion in 9 years through capital flight. This means on average Namibia lost close to N$ 5 billion in capital flight. These empirical findings, call for serious policy interventions in order to minimize and contain the issue of capital flight in the country.

scholarly journals An econometric analysis of the effectiveness of fiscal and monetary policies in India

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anand Nadar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Development Indicator ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Bound Test

This study investigate the effectiveness of fiscal policy and monetary policy in India. We collected thetime series data for India ranging from 1960 to 2019 from World Development Indicator (WDI). Weapplied the bound test to check the long-run relationship between fiscal policy, monetary policy andeconomic growth. The short-run and long-run effects of fiscal policy and monetary policy have beenestimated using ARDL models. The results showed that there is a long-run relationship between fiscaland monetary policies with economic growth. The estimated short-run coefficients indicated that afew immediate short run impact of fiscal and monetary policies are insignificant. However, the shortrun impacts become significant as time passes. The long-run results suggested that the long-runimpact of both fiscal and monetary policies on economic growth are positive and significant. Morespecifically, the GDP level increases if the money supply and government expenditure increase(Expansionary fiscal and monetary policies). On the other hand, the GDP level decrease if the moneysupply and government expenditure decrease (contractionary fiscal and monetary policies).Therefore, this study recommend to use expansionary policies to spur the Indian economy.

scholarly journals An econometric analysis of the effectiveness of fiscal and monetary policies in India

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anand Nadar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
Indian Economy ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Bound Test

This study investigatesthe effectiveness of fiscal policy and monetary policy in India. We collected thetime series data for India ranging from 1960 to 2019 from World Development Indicator (WDI). Weapplied the bound test co-integration approach to check the long-run relationship between fiscalpolicy, monetary policy, and economic growth in the context of Indian economy. The short-run andlong-run effects of fiscal policy and monetary policy have been estimated using ARDL models. Theresults showed that there is a long-run relationship between fiscal and monetary policies witheconomic growth. The estimated short-run coefficients indicated that a few immediate short runimpacts of fiscal and monetary policies are insignificant. However, the short-run impacts becomesignificant as time passes. The long-run results suggested that the long-run impact of both fiscal andmonetary policies on economic growth are positive and significant. More specifically, the GDP levelincreases if the money supply and government expenditure increase (Expansionary fiscal andmonetary policies). On the other hand, the GDP level decreasesif the money supply and governmentexpenditure decrease (contractionary fiscal and monetary policies). Therefore, this studyrecommends to use expansionary policies to spur the Indian economy.

scholarly journals Does Government Expenditure Reduce GDP Gap? Evidence from Bangladesh

2007 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
M. Rafiqul Islam ◽  
A.F.M. Kamrul Hassan
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Dominant Role ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Equilibrium Path ◽  
Role Of Government ◽  
Business Studies ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Gdp Gap ◽  
Long Run Equilibrium

In Keynesian macroeconomics fiscal policy plays the dominant role to steer the economy along its long run equilibrium path and also to cure the short run deviation from its long run level. Present paper examines this role of government expenditure, a tool of fiscal policy, in the context of the economy of Bangladesh. The paper employs cointegration and Error Correction Mechanism (ECM) to examine the short and long run relationship between economic growth and government expenditure. Findings of the study indicate that, in the short run, government expenditure does not play any statistically significant role in eliminating the gap between actual and potential output. However, a statistically significant cointegrating relationship is found between government expenditure and long run equilibrium output Journal of Nepalese Business Studies 2006/III/1 pp. 1-8

scholarly journals Determinants of fiscal policy behavior in Nigeria

2019 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 1-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Patrick Ologbenla
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Commodity Price ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Government Revenue ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Fiscal Behavior ◽  
Policy Behavior

The study investigated the factors that determine fiscal behavior in Nigeria. The vulnerability of fiscal policy framework in Nigeria to different shocks and the attendant effects on the behavior of fiscal policy are parts of the reasons that prompted this research work. Annual data between 1980 and 2015 on core fiscal variables such as government revenue, government expenditure, fiscal balance, public debt, as well as other variables such as oil price, exchange rate, and inflation rate commodity price among others, are used. The Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag ARDL estimating technique is used to analyze both the long-run and short-run effects of these variables on fiscal behavior in Nigeria. Findings from the study show that fiscal policy in Nigeria is highly vulnerable to shocks from these variables mostly in the short run. Notwithstanding, variables like government revenue, government expenditure, regime of administration, oil price and commodity price volatilities all have sustained effects till the long-run periods. It was discovered that oil price movements is not the only external factor that has pronounced effects on fiscal behavior, but commodity prices volatility generally constitutes an important influential factor in determination of fiscal policy behavior in Nigeria.

scholarly journals The Determinants of Tax Revenues: Empirical Evidence From Jordan

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 43
Author(s):  
Ali Mustafa Al-Qudah
Keyword(s):  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Industrial Sector ◽  
Fiscal Deficit ◽  
Economic Openness ◽  
Tax Revenues ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
Bound Test

The purpose of this study is to identify the determinants of tax revenues (TXR) in Jordan. The study covered the period (1990-2019) and used ARDL Bound test for co-integration, ARDL Long Run form, and ARDL Error Correction regression to examine the study hypotheses. The results of the bound test and co-integration equation (CointEq1) shows that there exists a long run relationship between (INDUST, LPCI, FD, FAID, GE, OPEN) and (TXR) in Jordan. The analysis results revealed that per capita GDP, fiscal deficit and government expenditure have a positive significant impact on tax revenues in the short run and long run. While, Foreign aids has a negative significant impact on tax revenues. Industrial sector Value added and economic openness have a positive significant impact in the short run while having a positive insignificant impact on tax revenues in the long run. The results explore that per capita GDP, fiscal deficit, foreign aids and government expenditure are good determinants for tax revenues in the short run as well as in the long run, while industrial sector value added and economic openness are good determinants in the short run. The findings suggest a reduction in government expenditure due to the upward trend in the fiscal deficit and public debt, and the continued increase in (GE) leading to more internal and external imbalances.

scholarly journals Government Expenditure and Tax Revenue, Causality and Cointegration: The Experience of Pakistan (1972-2007).

2009 ◽  
Vol 48 (4II) ◽  
pp. 951-959 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zinaz Aisha ◽  
Samina Khatoon
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Economic Consequences ◽  
Government Expenditures ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Tax Hypothesis

This paper establishes empirically the causal relationship and long run relationship between government expenditures and government revenues for the case of Pakistan from 1972 to 2007. Fiscal policy, a short run issue, but that can have testing macro economic consequences. Fiscal policy is viewed as an instrument to mitigate short run fluctuations. In this paper we examine tax/spend or spend/tax hypothesis. For this purpose, bi-directional Granger causality will be applied for instance flow from government expenditure to revenue or revenue to government expenditure. This issue has been concerned with intretemporal relationship between revenue and expenditure, so to check long run relationship Engel Granger cointegration will be used. For checking data stationary, non stationary unit root, and ADF/DF approaches give the proof for this hypothesis. The results show the presence of co-integration between government expenditure and tax revenue variables implying evidence of a stable long-run relationship between them. The Granger Causality test suggest the unidirectional causality flow from government expenditure to tax revenue. Keywords: Government Expenditures, Government Revenues, Granger Causality, Stationary, Co-integration

scholarly journals Financial Deepening, Foreign Direct Investment and Output Performance in Nigeria

2018 ◽  
Vol 65 (2) ◽  
pp. 193-204
Author(s):  
Mumeen Olatunbosun Alabi ◽  
Sheriffdeen Adewale Tella ◽  
Ibrahim Abidemi Odusanya ◽  
Olumuyiwa Ganiyu Yinusa
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Financial Deepening ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Output Performance ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Financial Depth ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Bound Test

Abstract This study examines the relationship between financial deepening, foreign direct investment and output performance in Nigeria from 1980-2015 using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Bound Test approach. A long-run relationship was established between financial deepening indicators, foreign direct investment and output performance in Nigeria. Foreign direct investment and market capitalization as a percentage of the GDP exerted significantly on output performance both in the short-run and in the long-run periods. It is recommended that financial depth should be enhanced through improved and highly efficient provision of credit by banks to the real sector of the Nigerian economy.

Shopping for Lower Sales Tax Rates

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 209-250
Author(s):  
Scott R. Baker ◽  
Stephanie Johnson ◽  
Lorenz Kueng
Keyword(s):  
Shopping Behavior ◽  
Sales Tax ◽  
Fixed Costs ◽  
Tax Rates ◽  
Inventory Problem ◽  
Sales Taxes ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Short Run ◽  
State And Local

Using comprehensive high-frequency state and local sales tax data, we show that shopping behavior responds strongly to changes in sales tax rates. Even though sales taxes are not observed in posted prices and have a wide range of rates and exemptions, consumers adjust in many dimensions. They stock up on storable goods before taxes rise and increase online and cross-border shopping in both the short and long run. The difference between short- and long-run spending responses has important implications for the efficacy of using sales taxes for countercyclical policy and for the design of an optimal tax framework. Interestingly, households adjust spending similarly for both taxable and tax-exempt goods. We embed an inventory problem into a continuous-time consumption-savings model and demonstrate that this behavior is optimal in the presence of shopping trip fixed costs. The model successfully matches estimated short-run and long-run tax elasticities. We provide additional evidence in favor of this new shopping complementarity mechanism. (JEL E21, E32, G51, H21, H25, H71)

ATTAINMENT OF HIGHER ENROLLMENT RATES IN PAKISTAN: A MACROECONOMIC AND ECONOMETRIC STUDY

2012 ◽  
Vol 01 (07) ◽  
pp. 17-29
Author(s):  
Furrukh Bashir ◽  
Shahbaz Nawaz ◽  
Rahat Ullah ◽  
Muhammad Ramzan Arshad ◽  
Munwar Bagum ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Labor Force ◽  
Health Expenditure ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Government Revenue ◽  
Long Run ◽  
University Enrollment ◽  
Enrollment Rates ◽  
Short Run

Education is always considered as the major determinant for the development of any economy. Enrollment at various levels also shows that how much education is common within the citizens of the country. Considering the importance of enrollment, the current study examines the influence of some macroeconomic variables on various levels i.e. primary, secondary, higher, college, professional and university enrollment in Pakistan. Time series data has been gathered on consumer price index, government revenue, employed labor force, government expenditure, and health expenditure for the period from 1972 to 2010. For long run estimates, Johansen Co integration test is used and short run estimates are taken through error correction model. The results of the study exhibit positive association of employed labor force, government expenditure and health expenditure with primary, secondary, higher, college, professional and university enrollment in Pakistan. On the other side, consumer price index and government revenue have been found to be inversely influencing enrollment at various levels. Short run results are also much favorable for the economy and reveals convergence towards long run equilibrium due to any disturbances in the short run period. At the end study gives some policy implications that government should decrease consumer price index and tax rate and to increase government expenditure in terms of education and health for higher enrollment rates in Pakistan.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document