scholarly journals Weak Form Efficiency of Pakistan Stock Market using Non-Parametric Approaches

2011 ◽  
Vol 2 (6) ◽  
pp. 249-257
Author(s):  
Muhammad Irfan ◽  
Maria Irfan .

This paper studies the performance of Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) of Pakistan via nonparametric approaches. The study includes the weekly open and closing prices of KSE- 100 indexes for the period of 1st January 1999 to 31st August 2009. Several non-parametric approaches including KolmogorovSmirnov test (Lilliefors test), Ryan-Joiner test (Shapiro-Wilk), Anderson-Darling test, Phillips Perron (PP) unit root test and Runs test are used to test the conviction of the KSE stock market. All non-parametric tests graphically and numerically inform us that both return series do not follow the assumption of normality and randomness, which means rejecting the hypothesis of weak form of efficiency. Generally, results from the observed analysis strongly recommend that the Karachi Stock Market of Pakistan is not efficient.

2019 ◽  
Vol 21 (3) ◽  
pp. 285
Author(s):  
Shafir Zaman

Investors need to have an idea about stock market before making investment whether the stock markets are efficient or not to take investment decision in stock market. For that reason, measurement of market efficiency of stock market bears significance to investors. Bearing it in mind, the study is undertaken to find out the existence of weak form efficiency prevails in largest stock market of Bangladesh. In order to get perfect result Parametric and Non Parametric tests were conducted of DSE & CSE for 2013 to 2017. It was found from all tests that Dhaka and Chittagong Stock exchange are not weak form efficient. Therefore, the result of the study will act as a helping hand to researchers to find out the reason of Bangladesh stock market not being weak form efficient as well as providing measurement to make the stock market weak form efficient.


2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 75-86 ◽  
Author(s):  
Josephine Njuguna

The purpose of this article is to examine the efficiency of the Tanzania stock market. The study attempts to answer whether the Tanzania stock market is weak-form efficient. The study applies a battery of tests: the serial correlation test, unit root tests, runs test and the variance ratio test using daily and weekly data with a sample spanning from November 2006 to August 2015 for the Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange (DSE) all share index and from January 2009 to August 2015 for the DSE share index. Overall, the results of the market efficiency are mixed. The serial correlation test, unit root test and the runs test do not support weak-form efficiency, while the more robust variance ratio test supports weak-form efficiency for the DSE. The main contribution of the study is that the market efficiency of the Tanzania stock market has increased over the sample period. Keywords: adaptive market hypothesis, efficiency market hypothesis, serial correlations test, unit root test, runs test, variance ratio test, Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange. JEL Classification: G14, G15


2015 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 52-61
Author(s):  
Tamilselvan Manickam ◽  
R Madhumitha

The competence of a financial system is entirely depending upon the stock market efficiency. The gradual growth of equity investor’s participation is inevitable to enrich the overall growth of emerging economies.Hence the necessity is felt to provide an empirical support to the investing community. For the purpose, this study attempts to examine the weak-form efficiency of Indian stock market – National Stock Exchange (NSE). The study has used the daily closing price of the Nifty fifty stocks from 3rdJanuary 2011 to 24thApril 2015. To test the weak form efficiency both parametric and non-parametric tests called Autocorrelation, Augmented Dicky Fuller test, and Runs Test were performed.  The study reveals that 39 stocks of NSE-Nifty Fifty are found to be weak form inefficient, so that the investors can formulate trading strategies to gain abnormal returns. The Index and 10 stocks are found to be weak form efficient during the study period since the price series found to be autocorrelation existence.


This study; Nigerian Stock Exchange and Efficient Market Hypothesis was done using All Share Index (ASI) with daily data from January 02, 2014 to May 20, 2019 (1333 observations) and annual data from 1985 to 2018 (34 observations) collected from the Nigeria Stock Market fact books. The study employed three analytical methods namely the unit root test, GARCH Model and the Autocorrelation cum patial autocorrelation method for the assessment of weak form hypothesis on the daily and annual all share index in the Nigerian Stock market. The results of these evaluations indicated a significant relationship between the price series and their lagged values implying that stock price series do not follow a random walk process in Nigerian stock market. Thus, affirming that the Nigeria Stock Exchange is not efficient in weak form. In the light of this, the researchers recommend that the supervisory and regulatory authorities should strengthen the Nigerian Stock Market through palliating its regulations pertaining to transparency of information management rules such as market barriers and stringent listing requirement, publication of accounts, notices of annual general meeting and the like.


Author(s):  
Chukwu Agwu Ejem ◽  
Udochukwu Godfrey Ogbonna ◽  
Godwin Chigozie Okpara

This study; Nigerian Stock Exchange and Efficient Market Hypothesis was done using All Share Index (ASI) with daily data from January 02, 2014 to May 20, 2019 (1333 observations) and annual data from 1985 to 2018 (34 observations) collected from the Nigeria Stock Market fact books. The study employed three analytical methods namely the unit root test, GARCH Model and the Autocorrelation cum patial autocorrelation method  for the assessment of weak form hypothesis on the daily and annual all share index in the Nigerian Stock market. The results of these evaluations indicated a significant relationship between the price series and their lagged values implying that stock price series do not follow a random walk process in Nigerian stock market. Thus, affirming that the Nigeria Stock Exchange is not efficient in weak form.  In the light of this, the researchers recommend that the supervisory and regulatory authorities should strengthen the Nigerian Stock Market through palliating its regulations pertaining to transparency of information management rules such as market barriers and stringent listing requirement, publication of accounts, notices of annual general meeting and the like. JEL Classification: C1, C4, E6, G1


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 1-6
Author(s):  
Aditya Prasad Sahoo

The main aim of this study is to find out the whether the Indian stock market efficiency is in weak form. The aim of this study is to look into the Indian Stock Market’s lack of market performance. From 2000 to 2015, sample is gathered on a daily, weekly, and monthly basis. Unit Root Test, Run Test, and KS Test are used to examine the data. According to the findings, The Runs Test disproves the existence of a random walk and demonstrates that the Indian stock market is not weakly efficient. Through stock valuation strategies, technical and fundamental analysts may generate volatile returns.


Author(s):  
Melik Kamışlı ◽  
Serap Kamışlı ◽  
Fatih Temizel

The main purpose of this study is to determine time-varying weak form efficiency of 18 Borsa İstanbul sub-sector indices. In line with this purpose weak form efficiency is tested with innovative technique alongside traditional methods. The study indicated that bank, real estate invest trusts, holding & investments, telecommunication, wood, paper & printing, insurance, tourism and transportation indices are not linear. The weak form efficiency of aforementioned indices is analyzed with a rolling KSS unit root test developed by Yılancı. It is concluded depending on the applied tests that weak form efficiency of all of the nonlinear sub-sector indices has a time-varying structure. Results also showed that global scale events affect weak form efficiency of the indices in different durations. Findings gained from the study can be used by investors in strategic portfolio management decisions and by policy makers as well.


This study aims to test the weak form market efficiency for five developed markets, nine emerging markets and three frontier markets in the Asia-Pacific region. The tools applied in the test of this form of market efficiency are serial correlation test, runs test and unit root test. The analysis is performed by using logarithm return for the period of 2008 to 2018. For all markets in our research, the results strongly reject the weak form efficiency when the unit root tests are carried out, while the results from the Durbin-Watson test are in complete contrast. However, in the runs test and variance ratio test, the results provide mixed evidences of weak form efficiency of the markets


2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (5) ◽  
pp. 29 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olwetu Fusthane ◽  
Kapingura F M

The importance of the efficiency of the stock market cannot be underestimated, given the critical role the stock market plays through brings together those who demand and supply development finance. It is against this background that this study focused on analysing the weak form efficiency of the Johannesburg Stock Exchange for the period 2005 to 2016 utilising several methodologies which include unit root tests, autocorrelation test and variance ratio. The empirical results from unit root tests indicated that the null hypothesis of a random walk could not be rejected. The same also applied to the autocorrelation test and variance ratio test except for a few instances. Thus irrespective of the few instances which represent the inefficiency of the market, to a greater extent there is evidence of the market being weak form efficient. Thus even though the work done towards ensuring that the market is efficient is commendable, there is need to ensure that further steps are taken to enhance the efficiency of the market. This is, to some extent suggest that investors are able to make abnormal profits from the market.   


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