scholarly journals Information and Heterogeneous Beliefs: Cost of Capital, Trading Volume, and Investor Welfare

2013 ◽  
Vol 89 (1) ◽  
pp. 209-242 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter O. Christensen ◽  
Zhenjiang Qin

ABSTRACTIn an incomplete market with heterogeneous prior beliefs, we show that public information can have a substantial impact on the ex ante cost of capital, trading volume, and investor welfare. The Pareto efficient public information system is the system enjoying the maximum ex ante cost of capital and the maximum expected abnormal trading volume. Imperfect public information increases the gains-to-trade based on heterogeneously updated posterior beliefs. In an exchange economy, this leads to higher growth in the investors' certainty equivalents and, thus, a higher equilibrium interest rate, whereas the ex ante risk premium is unaffected by the informativeness of the public information system. Similar results are obtained in a production economy, but the impact on the ex ante cost of capital is dampened compared to the exchange economy due to welfare-improving reductions in real investments to smooth the investors' certainty equivalents over time.

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Kudakwashe J. Chipunza ◽  
Kerry McCullough

Maximising firm value remains a key tenet of corporate managers. Firms with lower illiquidity and volatility attract lower risk premiums, and these are associated with a lower cost of capital and higher firm value. Internationalisation is one avenue purported to provide liquidity and volatility benefits – possibly lowering both liquidity and volatility risk premiums. This study investigated whether South African domiciled stocks experience a surge in liquidity and/or decline in volatility subsequent to internationalisation. The findings show that internationalisation resulted in a surge in liquidity, and this increase was persistent as suggested by the trading volume and Amihud illiquidity measures of stock liquidity; however, the turnover measure indicated that such liquidity gains were temporary. Similarly, volatility declines after internationalisation were temporary. There was inconclusive evidence to show that internationalised stocks had higher liquidity relative to purely domestic shares, and no statistically significant difference between the volatility of internationalised and purely domestic shareholders’ equity was noted. There is only weak evidence to support internationalisation as a route for lowering cost of capital via a reduction in the liquidity risk premium.


2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 86 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael A. Goldstein ◽  
Edith S. Hotchkiss ◽  
David J. Pedersen

This paper studies the link between secondary market liquidity for a corporate bond and the bond’s yield spread at issuance. Using ex-ante measures of expected liquidity at the time of issuance, based on the characteristics of the underwriting syndicate, we find an economically large impact of liquidity on yield spreads. We estimate that a 10% increase in expected liquidity implies a decrease in the yield spread at issuance of between 8% and 14%. Our results suggest that liquidity has an important effect on firms’ cost of capital, and they contribute to the literature which examines the impact of liquidity on asset prices.


2018 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Fiki Kartika

This research aims to determine the impact of Good Corporate Governance (GCG) on the cost of equity for manufacturing companies in Indonesia. The sampling technique uses purposive sampling, namely companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The analysis was carried out in the Manufacturing industry sector in 2013 - 2015. The GCG index was measured using five dimensions adopted from Black et al. (2003) and Cost of Equity is measured by the ex ante cost of equity capital using the Price Earning Growth (PEG) proxy. The reason for using ex ante cost of equity capital is ex-ante is more describing the role of investors in seeing the risk of a company. The results of this study indicate that GCG negatively affects on the cost of equity. GCG limits managerial opportunism and reduces agency conflicts between owners and agents. Therefore, shareholders are willing to accept a lower risk premium, effectively reducing equity costs.


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Snow Han

PurposeThis study aims to provide new explanation of the new issue puzzle.Design/methodology/approachThis study uses market implied cost of capital (ICC), rather than ex post realized returns, as proxy for ex ante expected returns, and sheds new light on the question why initial public offering (IPO) firms underperform the market within a 3–5 years period after the offerings.FindingsUsing ICC, the author finds that the market expects to earn higher risk premium for new listing firms than similar firms, which is contradictory to the documented new issue puzzle. The higher expected returns come from higher idiosyncratic volatility for newly listed firms, which are young and have more growth opportunities. The author also reports that investors are negatively surprised by lower-than-expected performances of newly listed firms.Originality/valueThe author’s results provide new empirical evidence that the new issue puzzle does not exist. Previous results observed IPO firms' under-performance is attributable to that ex post realized returns are a noisy proxy for ex ante expected returns, especially for newly listed firms with limited information.


2010 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 13-50 ◽  
Author(s):  
André C. Martinez Fritscher ◽  
Aldo Musacchio

There is a large literature that aims to explain what determines country risk (defined as the difference between the yield of a sovereign's bonds and the risk free rate). In this article, we contribute to the discussion by arguing that an important explanatory factor is the impact that commodities have on the capacity to pay. We use a newly created database with state-level fiscal and risk premium data (between 1891 and 1930) to show that Brazilian states with natural endowments that allowed them to export commodities that were in high demand (e.g. rubber and coffee) ended up having higher revenues per capita and lower cost of capital. We also explain that the variation in revenues per capita was both a product of the variation in natural endowments (i.e. the fact that states cannot produce any commodity they want) and a commodity boom that had asymmetric effects among states. These two effects generated variation in revenues per capita at the state level thanks to the extreme form of fiscal decentralisation that the Brazilian government adopted in the constitution of 1891, which gave states the sole right to tax exports. We also run instrumental variable estimates using indices of export prices for each state. These estimates confirm our findings that states with commodities that had higher price increases had lower risk premia.


2011 ◽  
Vol 27 (3) ◽  
pp. 55
Author(s):  
Alexis Cellier ◽  
Waël Louhichi

<span>This paper aims to study the relationship between public information arrival and Euronext Paris intraday activity. The information flow is measured as the number of news items recorded by Reuters and conditional volatility is modeled by an EGARCH process. Our results reveal a strong positive relationship between public information flow and trading volume and a moderate positive relation between stock returns volatility and the information flow. These results are available for the CAC40 Index as well as for individual stocks and are robust even after controlling for the impact of the intraday patterns.</span>


2010 ◽  
Vol 85 (3) ◽  
pp. 817-848 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter O. Christensen ◽  
Leonidas E. de la Rosa ◽  
Gerald A. Feltham

ABSTRACT: Recent articles have demonstrated that increased public disclosure can decrease firms’ cost of capital. The focus has been on the impact of information on the cost of capital subsequent to the release of the information (the ex post cost of capital). We show that the reduction in the ex post cost of capital is offset by an equal increase in the cost of capital for the period leading up to the release of the information (the preposterior cost of capital). Thus, within the class of models framing the recent discussion, there is no impact on the ex ante cost of capital covering the full time span of the firm. The extent to which information is made publicly or privately available affects the timing of the resolution of uncertainty and when the information is reflected in equilibrium prices, but there is no impact on initial equilibrium prices. Within a noisy rational expectations equilibrium, rational investors may actually benefit from a higher ex post cost of capital.


2016 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sajid Gul

Purpose: This study is an empirical examination of the argument that higher Corporate Governance (CG) is associated with decreased cost of capital. Methodolgy: The sample of the study comprise of 200 small, medium, and large corporate firms listed at the Pakistan Stock Exchange. Findings: The results reveal that CG and cost of capital is negatively correlated in large, medium, and small Cap firms. The result confirms the theoretical proposition of the agency theory that investors will be willing to accept a lower risk premium if firms have robust oversight mechanisms to curb managerial opportunism. In case of interaction effect the results show that in medium Cap firm’s investors demand lower cost of capital from high CG-medium ownership group. Nonetheless, pool and large Cap firms in the high CG predominant ownership group category pay higher cost of capital. The result also indicates that large and small Cap firms as compare to medium Cap firms in low CG-medium ownership category pay higher cost of capital. Further, it appears that investors demand higher cost of capital from pool and small Cap firms in low CG-predominant ownership group. Practical Implication: There are significant academic and practical implications which are briefly described in last part of the study.


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