scholarly journals PRELIMINARY STUDY OF IMPACT WARMING EFFECT TO SPRAT QUALITY CHARACTERISTICS IN RUSSIAN WATERS OF THE BLACK SEA (1951–2019)

Author(s):  
M.M. Piatinskii ◽  
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D.O. Krivoguz ◽  
V.A. Shlyakhov ◽  
R.V. Borovskaya

Preliminary study of impact of temperature factor to sprat quality characteristics in Russian waters of the Black sea in period 1951–2019 was performed. In this research statistical hyphothesis about relationship between indicator sea surface temperature factor near to Chernomorskoe, Yalta, Feodosia and long-term sprat mean weight fishery statistics was done. Linear relationship hyphothesis performed by Pearson correlation test. Preliminary cross-correlation test results shows significant moderate relationship between temperature factor average and mean sprat weights (r = –0,60). After preliminary diagnostics input data was smoothed by polynomial regression to reduce interannual fluctuations and cross-correlation test to smoothed data was repeated. Correlation test by smoothed data indicate strong negative (r = –0,75) relationship between long-term sea surface temperature in all indicator points and mean sprat weights and high powerful relationship between sea surface temperature and oldest sprat classess (r = –0,86). Performed study underline the primary part of temperature factor and warming effect to degradation result in Black sprat fishery quality characteristcs. Global warming effect starting from 1990 made significant negative impact into sprat environment in the Black sea

Ocean Science ◽  
2010 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 491-501 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. I. Shapiro ◽  
D. L. Aleynik ◽  
L. D. Mee

Abstract. There is growing understanding that recent deterioration of the Black Sea ecosystem was partly due to changes in the marine physical environment. This study uses high resolution 0.25° climatology to analyze sea surface temperature variability over the 20th century in two contrasting regions of the sea. Results show that the deep Black Sea was cooling during the first three quarters of the century and was warming in the last 15–20 years; on aggregate there was a statistically significant cooling trend. The SST variability over the Western shelf was more volatile and it does not show statistically significant trends. The cooling of the deep Black Sea is at variance with the general trend in the North Atlantic and may be related to the decrease of westerly winds over the Black Sea, and a greater influence of the Siberian anticyclone. The timing of the changeover from cooling to warming coincides with the regime shift in the Black Sea ecosystem.


2010 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 91-119
Author(s):  
G. I. Shapiro ◽  
D. L. Aleynik ◽  
L. D. Mee

Abstract. There is growing understanding that recent deterioration of the Black Sea ecosystem was partly due to changes in the marine physical environment. This study uses high resolution 0.25° climatology to analyze sea surface temperature variability over the 20th century in two contrasting regions of the sea. Results show that the deep Black Sea was cooling during the first three quarters of the century and was warming in the last 15–20 years; on aggregate there was a statistically significant cooling trend. The SST variability over the Western shelf was more volatile and it does not show statistically significant trends. The cooling of the deep Black Sea is at variance with the general trend in the North Atlantic and may be related to the decrease of westerly winds over the Black Sea, and a greater influence of the Siberian anticyclone. The timing of the changeover from cooling to warming coincides with the regime shift in the Black Sea ecosystem.


Author(s):  
Boris N. Panov ◽  
Elena O. Spiridonova ◽  
Michail M. Pyatinskiy ◽  
Aleksandr S. Arutyunyan

The paper presents the results of monitoring the process of migration and fishing of the Azov khamsa in April-May and October-November, 2019. The research used daily maps of sea surface temperature (SST) of the Black and Azov seas, built in the hydrometeorological Center of Russia according to NCDC/NOAA (Operational module Yessim - hmc.meteorf.ru/sea/black/sst/sst_black.htm) and daily fishing information of the Center for Monitoring of Fisheries and Communications. It is shown that in the spring, khamsa clusters begin to disperse and move to feeding places after the water temperature reaches 11 °C, and at a water temperature of 14-15 °C, the fish becomes much more mobile and the clusters finally disperse. In autumn, the Azov khamsa began to concentrate in the pre-flood zone of the Sea of Azov at an average SST of 16-17 °C, with a SST of 14-16 °C, the khamsa went out into the Kerch Strait. The active output of the khamsa into the Black Sea began at the SST of the pre-flood zone of 15 °C and almost stopped at the SST of about 13 °C. The average SST in the Kerch Strait dropped to 11 °C these days.


2011 ◽  
Vol 32 (23) ◽  
pp. 8891-8897
Author(s):  
Valery N. Eremeev ◽  
Alexander N. Jukov ◽  
Sergey A. Piontkovski ◽  
Anatoliy A. Sizov

2020 ◽  
Vol 27 (5) ◽  
Author(s):  
P. N. Lishaev ◽  
V. V. Knysh ◽  
G. K. Korotaev ◽  
◽  
◽  
...  

Purpose. The investigation is aimed at increasing accuracy of the temperature field reconstruction in the Black Sea upper layer. For this purpose, satellite observations of the sea surface temperature and the three-dimensional fields of temperature (in the 50–500 m layer) and salinity (in the 2.5–500 m layer) pseudo-measurements, previously calculated by the altimetry and the Argo floats data, were jointly assimilated in the Marine Hydrophysical Institute model. Methods and Results. Assimilation of the sea surface temperature satellite observations is the most effective instrument in case the discrepancies between the sea surface and the model temperatures are extrapolated over the upper mixed layer depth up to its lower boundary. Having been analyzed, the temperature profiles resulted from the forecast calculation for 2012 and from the Argo float measurements made it possible to obtain a simple criterion (bound to the model grid) for determining the upper mixed layer depth, namely the horizon on which the temperature gradient was less or equal to ≤ 0.017 °C/m. Within the upper mixed layer depth, the nudging procedure of satellite temperature measurements with the selected relaxation factor and the measurement errors taken into account was used in the heat transfer equation. The temperature and salinity pseudo-measurements were assimilated in the model by the previously proposed adaptive statistics method. To test the results of the sea surface temperature assimilation, the Black Sea hydrophysical fields were reanalyzed for 2012. The winter-spring period (January – April, December) is characterized by the high upper mixed layer depths, well reproducible by the Pacanowski – Philander parameterization, and also by the low values (as compared to the measured ones) of the basin-averaged monthly mean square deviations of the simulated temperature fields. The increased mean square deviations in July – September are explained by absence of the upper mixed layer in the temperature profiles measured by the Argo floats that is not reproduced by the Pacanowski – Philander parameterization. Conclusions. The algorithm for assimilating the sea surface temperature together with the profiles of the temperature and salinity pseudo-measurements reconstructed from the altimetry data was realized. Application of the upper mixed layer depths estimated by the temperature vertical profiles made it possible to correct effectively the model temperature by the satellite-derived sea surface temperature, especially for a winter-spring period. It permitted to reconstruct the temperature fields in the sea upper layer for 2012 with acceptable accuracy.


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