scholarly journals SPILLOVER EFFECT PEREKONOMIAN PROVINSI DKI JAKARTA DAN SUMATERA SELATAN TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI PROVINSI LAMPUNG

2009 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 32
Author(s):  
I Wayan Suparta
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Local Governments ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Spillover Effect ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Economic Variables ◽  
The People ◽  
Private Investments ◽  
Spatial Spillover Effect

This study was based on 23-year period time series data from 1983 to 2005. An OLS method was applied to test the hypothesis that economic variables such as private investments, local government spending, prices of domestic goods, prices of goods and income of the adjacent regions (Jakarta and South Sumatera Province) have effects on the economic growth of Lampung Province. The results of this study show that the independent economic variables have significant effects on the economic growth of Lampung Province. It is found that the interregional linkage is important. A comparison of the two neighbor provinces shows that the linkage of Lampung’s economy with Jakarta’s economy is relatively stronger than that with South Sumatera Province. The implication of this study is that the provincial and local governments of Lampung as well as the people of Lampung should make better use of the spatial spillover effect of DKI Jakarta and South Sumatera Province.

scholarly journals ANALISIS DETERMINASI PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI PROVINSI JAMBI

2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Ali Fahmi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Capital Investment ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Investment Capital

This research aims to analyze the effect of government spending, investment of foreign capital investment, capital investment In Land and labor against growth of Jambi province during the 2004-2015. This research using Time Series data with regression analysis "Ordinary Least Square (OLS) wear EViews 8.  The findings from this research indicate that Labor become the most variable gives a positive impact against the next economic growth, government spending and investment, while investing PMDN PMA gives negative impact on The Economic Growth Of The Province Of Jambi. PMA investment posit no impact and no signikan against economic growth this is not prevalent, but it is possible the investment PMA in Jambi province is relatively small and still no impact in the absorption of the local Workforce. Menyikapai is an effort to boost the Economic growth of the Province of Jambi then needed a special business development policies should be directed at the activities that are labor-intensive to absorb labor as much as possible. Keywords: economic growth, government spending, PMA, the PMDN, and labor.

Investigating the non-linear Wagner’s hypothesis in South Africa

2017 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 462-473 ◽  
Author(s):  
Temitope Lydia A. Leshoro
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
South Africa ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Unique Contribution ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Non Linear ◽  
Regression Error ◽  
The Government

Purpose The commonly adopted view of the relationship between government spending and economic growth follows the Keynesian approach, in which government spending is considered to determine economic growth. However, there is another theory, which suggests that economic growth in fact determines government spending. This is Wagner’s hypothesis. The purpose of this paper is to investigate which of the two approaches applies to South Africa, and further observes the level of non-linearity between the two variables. Design/methodology/approach This study was carried out using quarterly time series data from 1980Q1 to 2015Q1. Granger causality technique was used to observe the direction of causality between the two variables, while regression error specification test (RESET) was employed to determine whether the variables exhibit linear or non-linear behaviour. This was followed by observing the threshold band, using two techniques, namely, sample splitting threshold regression and quadratic generalised method of moments. Findings The causality result shows that South Africa follows Wagner’s law, whereby government spending is determined by economic growth, supporting Odhiambo (2015). The RESET result shows that the variables depict a non-linear relationship, thus the government spending economic growth model is non-linear. It was found that if positive economic development is to be achieved, economic growth should preferably be kept within the −1.69 and 3.0 per cent band, and specifically above 1 per cent band. Originality/value The unique contribution of this study is that no previous study has attempted the non-linear government spending-economic growth nexus whether within the Keynesian or Wagner law for South Africa.

scholarly journals The Effect Of Fiscal Decentralization And Economic Growth On Poverty In Gorontalo Province

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dahlia Destari Inayah Ali ◽  
Sri Endang Saleh
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Local Governments ◽  
Quantitative Methods ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Fiscal Decentralization ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Fixed Effect Model ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Section Data ◽  
Negative Effect

The implementation of fiscal decentralization policy has a good impact on the development of the potential and creativity of local governments. Effectiveness in managing the results of regional wealth will affect the original income of the region which can then be utilized for the welfare of the community. This study aims to determine the effect of fiscal decentralization and economic growth on poverty in Gorontalo Province. This research uses quantitative methods. The data used in this study were sourced from the Central Statistics Agency and the Directorate General of Fiscal Balance so that the data in this study were secondary data using the econometrics method through a panel data regression equation in the form of a combination of 10-year time series data (2008-2017) and cross section data 6 Regency / City areas in Gorontalo Province. Estimation is done using the Fixed Effect Model (FEM). The results of this study indicate that (1) Partially the degree of fiscal decentralization has a negative effect (unidirectional relationship) and significant on poverty means that the greater the fiscal decentralization variable will have an impact on reducing the level of poverty (2) Partially economic growth has a negative effect (unidirectional relationship) and significant to poverty means increasing economic growth can reduce poverty levels (3) Simultaneously the degree of fiscal decentralization and economic growth have a significant effect on poverty in Gorontalo Province. Keywords: fiscal decentralization, economic growth, poverty

scholarly journals The Reform in Government Expenditure and the Standard of Living in Bahrain

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fatema Alaali
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Standard Of Living ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Education And Health ◽  
Oil Revenues ◽  
The Relationship

The drop of oil prices since the second half of 2014 have affected the credit risk and liquidity situation in Bahrain. Therefore, Bahrain have implemented substantial economic diversification in the economic structure including manufacturing, refining, tourism, trade and finance. With the recognition of the importance of governments expenditure restructuring, Bahrain government introduced number of initiatives such as streamlining government expenditure, increasing revenues, and redirecting government subsidies towards eligible citizens. Understanding the relationship between revenues, government spending and economic growth is an essential perception in evaluating the efficiency of government’s strategy in managing its resources and the impact on the standard of living in any country. This chapter examines the relationship between total government expenditure as well as sectoral government spending (specifically education and health sectors), oil revenues and the economic growth of Bahrain using time series data over the period 1989–2015. To achieve this aim, the vector error correction model (VECM) is employed. In order to ensure the sustainability of resources and maintain economic growth, Bahrain should continue managing its expenditure, by cutting down expenses on certain sectors through privatization, and increasing spending on health and education sectors.

scholarly journals Effect of Apportioned Federal Revenue on Economic Growth: The Nigerian Experience

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 172
Author(s):  
Cordelia Onyinyechi Omodero
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Local Governments ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Negative Influence ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Federal State ◽  
State Governments ◽  
State And Local

The major objective of income distribution to the federal, state and local governments in Nigeria is to achieve economic growth which leads to economic development. This ultimate aim of governance in Nigeria appears not to have been achieved due to alleged corruption and mismanagement of the monthly allocated funds. Thus, this study investigates the effect of revenue apportioned to the three levels of government on economic growth in Nigeria.  The study employs annual time series data which cover a period from 1981-2016 and have been collected from CBN Statistical Bulletin, 2016 edition. Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method is used to perform the multi-regression analysis with the aid of e-views version 9. The findings of the study reveal that the federally apportioned revenue to the federal government (FAFG) has a significant positive impact on RGDP while FALG has a robust significant positive impact on RGDP. The result also indicates that FASG has a significant negative influence on RGDP. This leads to a conclusion that mismanagement of funds by the state governments is a cause for concern. Therefore, the study suggests, among others, that revenue sharing formula in the country should be based more on impact of expenditure incurred on executed projects (long term and short term) by each tier of government than on any other parameter to achieve fairness and efficiency in public service delivery at all levels of governance.

scholarly journals Analisis faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi pertumbuhan ekonomi di Kabupaten Sarolangun

2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 83-100
Author(s):  
Rosminah Rosminah ◽  
Rahma Nurjanah ◽  
Etik Umiyati
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Domestic Investment ◽  
Ordinary Least Square

Investment (PMDN) and government expenditures have on economic growth in Sarolangun Regency. The type of data used is secondary data in the form of time series data for 2000-2017, in the form of data on economic growth, the number of workers, PMDN, and government spending. The analytical method used in this study is multiple linear regression or Ordinary Least Square (OLS). Based on the analysis results indicate that the workforce has a positive and significant effect on economic growth. PMDN has a positive and significant effect on economic growth. Likewise, government spending has a positive and significant effect on economic growth. Keywords: Economic growth, Labor, Domestic investment (PMDN), Goverment expenditure.

scholarly journals THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN ECONOMIC GROWTH AND GOVERNMENT SPENDING: A CASE STUDY OF OIC COUNTRIES

2015 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 149 ◽  
Author(s):  
Heri Sudarsono
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Wagner’S Law ◽  
The Public ◽  
Wagner's Law ◽  
The Relationship

This paper presents the results for testing for causal relationship between economic growth and goverment spending for OIC countries covering the time series data 1970~2006. There are usually two propositions regarding the relation between economic growth and government spending: Wagner’s Law states that as GDP grows, the public sector tends to grow; and the Keynesian framework postulates that public expenditure causes GDP to grow. The primary strength and originality of this paper is that we used aggregate data as well as disaggregate data for Granger causality test. By testing for causality between economic growth and government spending, we find that government spending does cause economic growth in Iran, Nigeria and Tunisia, which are compatible with Keynesian’s theory. However, the economic growth does cause the increase in goverment spending in Algeria, Burkina Faso, Benin, Indonesia, Libya Malaysia, Marocco, and Saudi, which are well-suited with Wagner’s law.

scholarly journals Human Development, Government Spending and Economic Growth in West Africa

2020 ◽  
pp. 30-36
Author(s):  
Olabode Philip Olofin
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Environmental Factors ◽  
Human Development ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Environmental Influence ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Series Data ◽  
African Countries

This study verifies the role of government spending on the relationship between human development and economic growth in West African Countries using an extension of human development measure. We generate a new measure of human development that considered environmental influence by performing Principal Component Analysis on environmental variables such as: (i) Atmospheric Pollution (i.e. carbondioxide (CO2), (ii) emmissions, fossil fuel energy consumption, methane (CH4) and (iii) Nitrous (N2)) and incorporate welfare measures used by HDI (i.e. Education, Health and Income) to generate a scientifically weighted index (HDIGEN).The study employed Fixed effect method using annual time series data between 1980 and 2017. The results showed that human capital on its own is positively, statistically and significantly related with output. However, when human capital is interacted with government spending (GSHK), negative relation was found, but not statistically significant. These results might not be found wanton in the sense that all the countries under study are documented among the corrupt nations. Most of the funds meant for augmenting human capital might not be spent for the purpose for which they are meant. We found negative relationship between human development and output when we used the most common measure of human development (HDI) and the generated one (HDIGEN), but only the one generated was statistically significant. The results showed that measuring human development requires holistic approach of measure, especially consideration of environmental factors. When we interacted government spending with HDIGEN, we discovered positive relation and statistically significant results, while the interaction of government spending with HDI, showed negative and statistically insignificant results. The implication is that if government of these countries can be sincere in spending on improving environmental factors while focusing on improving human development, sustainable development goal can equally be achieved.

The Nexus between Government Expenditure and Economic Growth: Evidence of the Wagner’s Law in Kuwait

2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ali Ebaid ◽  
Zakaria Bahari
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Policy Instrument ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Wagner’S Law ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
Wagner's Law

Abstract This study is the first attempt to examine the validity of the Wagner’s law hypothesis by employing time-series data over the period from 1970 to 2015 in Kuwait. In this paper, the causal relationship between government expenditure and economic growth is tested by conducting the Granger non-causality test developed by (Toda, H. Y., and T. Yamamoto. 1995. “Statistical Inference in Vector Autoregressions with Possibly Integrated Processes.” Journal of Econometrics 66 (1): 225–250.) and (Dolado, J. J., and H. Lütkepohl. 1996. “Making Wald Tests Work for Cointegrated VAR Systems.” Econometric Reviews 15 (4): 369–386.). The empirical results support the unidirectional causality running from government spending to economic growth. This occurs only when real government expenditure per capita is a proxy for state activity and real gross domestic product (GDP) per capita is a measure of economic growth. This implies that Wagner’s law does not apply for Kuwait’s economy, and the Keynesian proposition of government spending as a policy instrument that encourages and leads economic growth is supported by the data used.

scholarly journals Multivariate Dynamic Co-integration and Causality Analysis between Inflation and its Determinants

2016 ◽  
Vol 8 (5(J)) ◽  
pp. 240-250
Author(s):  
Md. Sharif Hossain ◽  
Md. Thasinul Abedin
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Value Addition ◽  
Speed Of Adjustment ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Adf Test

This paper investigates the impacts of money supply, government expenditure, velocity, industry value addition and economic growth on inflation of Bangladesh using time series data from 1978-2014. The ADF test results suggest that the variables are of I(1). It is found that there exist five co-integration equations. The outcome of the Granger Causality test suggests the short-run unidirectional causality running from industrial value addition to money supply, from inflation, money supply, velocity, industrial value addition and economic growth to government spending. Bidirectional causality has been found between economic growth and industrial value addition. Finally, short-run and long-run effects of money supply, government spending, velocity, industry value addition and economic growth on inflation are estimated. It is found that the speed of adjustment for short-run to approach to the long-run equilibrium level is significant at any significance level. It has been found that it will take about 1.25 years for a complete convergence process to approach its equilibrium. Therefore, in case of any shock to the inflation equation, the speed of adjustment is significantly faster. It has also been found that the long-run effects of money supply and velocity have positive significant effects while the economic growth has significant negative effect on inflation in Bangladesh economy. It has been found that the long-run effects of money supply and velocity are more than short-run effects meaning that over the time more money supply and velocity increase the more and more inflation in Bangladesh but economic growth decreases the inflation.

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