scholarly journals Investigative Study of Investor’s Herding Behavior During Bullish and Bearish Market: A Case of Pakistan Stock Exchange

2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 17-25
Author(s):  
Muhammad Tayyab Ul Hassan ◽  
Syed Hassan Jamil

This study investigates the influence of herd behavior on the Pakistan stock exchange indexes KSE-100 and KSE-30 during bullish and bearish markets. Using the daily market return from 2007 to 2020. We implement the method of main herding measures, Cross-sectional absolute deviation, and Cross-sectional standard deviation, to explore the influence of herd behavior in the emerging market of Pakistan. The results indicate the presence of market-wide herd behavior: (a) along with the different direction of market positive and negative return, (b) when trading volume high, (c) when stock market highly volatile, and (d) during and the post-financial crisis. Moreover, Investors don’t herd when low trading volume and low volatility. Our study fills the gap in the literature and contributes to academic relevance by exploring the influence of herd behavior among both bull and bear periods in markets of Pakistan, it also examines the possible asymmetric effects of herding related to the market with high-low trading volume and market volatility.

2017 ◽  
Vol 16 (4) ◽  
pp. 497-515 ◽  
Author(s):  
Houda Litimi

Purpose This paper aims to investigate the herding behavior in the French stock market and its effect on the idiosyncratic conditional volatility at a sectoral level. Design/methodology/approach This sample covers all the listed companies in the French stock market, classified by sector, over four major crisis periods. The author modifies the cross-sectional absolute deviation (CSAD) model to include trading volume and investors sentiment as herding triggers. Furthermore, the author uses a modified GARCH model to investigate the effect of herding on conditional volatility. Findings Herding is present in the French market during crises, and it is present in only some sectors during the entire period. The main trigger for investors to embark into a collective herding movement differs from one sector to another. Furthermore, herding behavior has an inhibiting effect on market conditional volatility. Originality/value The author modifies the CSAD model to investigate the presence of herding in the French stock market at a sectoral level during turmoil periods. Furthermore, the particularly designed GARCH model provides new insights on the effect of herding and volume turnover on the conditional volatility.


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 34
Author(s):  
Ki-Hong Choi ◽  
Seong-Min Yoon

This paper investigates herding behavior and the connection between herding behavior and investor sentiment. We apply a Cross-Sectional Absolute Deviation (CSAD) approach and the quantile regression method to capture herding behavior in the KOSPI and KOSDAQ stock markets. The analysis results are outlined as follows. First, we find that herding behavior is exhibited during down-market periods in the KOSPI and KOSDAQ stock markets. However, we show that adverse herding behavior occurs in low-trading volume and low-volatility periods. Second, according to the results of the quantile regression, herding behavior is found in the low and high quantiles of the KOSPI and KOSDAQ stock markets. However, adverse herding behavior is also found, which means that investors herd in extreme market conditions. Third, the relationship between investor sentiment and herding behavior is analyzed through regression and quantile regression, and investor sentiment is confirmed to be one of the important factors that can cause herding behavior in the Korean stock market.


2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (3(J)) ◽  
pp. 203-219 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kalugala Vidanalage Aruna Shantha

This paper examines the herding phenomenon in the context of a frontier stock market, the Colombo Stock Exchange of Sri Lanka, employing the cross - sectional absolute deviation methodology to daily frequencies of data for the period from April, 2000 to September, 2016. The results show significant changes in magnitude and pattern of herding over different episodes of the market. The herd behavior is strongly presence irrespective of the direction of the market movement in the 2000 - 2008 period, during which investments in the stock market is affected by the country’s political instability resulting from the civil war. The evidence also shows herd behavior during the period of market bubble whereas negative herding in the market crash period. However, it becomes less likely to occur during the period after the market crash. The lower tendency to herd during the post- market crash period supports the Adaptive Market Hypothesis, implying that investors are likely to realize the irrationality of herding and learn to be more rational as a consequence of significant losses experienced during the period of the market crash. Accordingly, these findings suggest that period- specific characteristics of the market and the associated psychological effects to investors such as overconfidence and panics would cause changes to their beliefs and behavior, the experiences of which would subsequently produce learning effect to minimize their irrationality in decision making.


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdollah Ah Mand ◽  
Hawati Janor ◽  
Ruzita Abdul Rahim ◽  
Tamat Sarmidi

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate whether market conditions have an effect on investors’ propensity to herd in an emerging economy’s stock market. Additionally, given the lack of research on Islamic behavioral finance, the authors further investigate if the herding phenomenon is distinct in Islamic versus conventional stocks. Design/methodology/approach The authors used daily data for the period of 1995–2016 according to the herding behavior model of Chang et al. (2000), which relies on cross-sectional absolute deviation of returns. Findings Findings reveal the herding behavior of investors among Shariah-compliant during up and down market exits with non-linear relationship to the market return, while for conventional stocks herding behavior does not exist with linear nor nonlinear relationships during the up and down market. Furthermore, for the whole market, herding behavior only exists during upmarket with a nonlinear relationship to the market return. However, this relationship is not significant. Moreover, the results of this study are robust with respect to the effect of the Asian and global financial crisis. Practical implications The findings are useful for investors to identify which market conditions are associated with rational and irrational behavior of investors. Originality/value Most of the theoretical and empirical studies on herding behavior have focused on developed countries. Only a few studies have paid attention to the herding behavior in Islamic financial markets, particularly in the context of an emerging market such as Malaysia. This study fills this void.


2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 7-10
Author(s):  
Nader Alber ◽  
Ehab Ezzat

This paper aims at examining the impact of herding behavior on stock mispricing. Herding behavior is measured by Cross Sectional of Standard Deviation (CSSD), while stock mispricing is measured by the difference between the market value and intrinsic value of stock. This has been conducted using a sample of 24 companies are listed at the Egyptian exchange during the period from 2002 to 2018. Results indicate there is a significant effect of herd behavior on stock mispricing in a bivariate context, while the effect remains significant, even after controlling for inflation rate and discount rate. Besides, the discount rates don’t seem to have any significant effects on stock mispricing.


2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 673-690 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nora Amelda Rizal ◽  
Mirta Kartika Damayanti

Indonesia Stock Exchange provides Islamic stocks for Muslim investors who want toinvest, with the first Islamic stock index in Indonesia being Jakarta Islamic Index or JIIthat consists of thirty of the most liquid Islamic stocks. The market capitalization of JIItends to increase every year. This paper examines the presence of herding behavior inemerging Islamic stock market of Indonesia using daily return of Indonesia CompositeIndex and JII from October 6, 2000 to October 5, 2018. Herding behavior could generallytrigger shifting market prices from equilibrium values. Herding behavior may beidentified from the relation between stock return dispersion and market return. Stockreturn dispersion is measured using Cross Sectional Absolute Deviation or CSAD.Generalized Auto Regressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity or GARCH method isused to detect herding behavior. GARCH does not see heteroskedasticity as a problem,instead uses it to make a model. The result indicates that herding behavior exist inIslamic stock market of Indonesia. Asymmetric herding occurs in Indonesia Islamicstock market where herding behavior exists during falling market condition only.


2018 ◽  
Vol 44 (4) ◽  
pp. 439-458 ◽  
Author(s):  
Houda BenMabrouk

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate herding behavior around the crude oil market and the stock market and the possible cross-herding behavior between the two markets. The analysis examines also the herding behavior during financial turmoil and includes the investor sentiment and market volatility. Design/methodology/approach The authors use a modified version of the cross-sectional standard deviation and the cross-sectional absolute deviation to include investor sentiment, financial crisis and market volatility. Findings The authors find that the volatility of the stock market reduces the herding behavior around the oil market and boosts that around the stock market. However, the investors’ sentiment reduces the herding around the stock market and boosts that around the crude oil market. Consequently, the authors can conclude that the herding behavior around the two markets moves inversely and the herding in each market is enhanced by the lack of information in the other market. Research limitations/implications This paper is limited to the herding of stocks around the crude oil market and ignores the possible herding of commodities around the oil market. Originality/value The originality of the paper rests on the study of the possible cross-herding behavior between the oil market and the stock market especially during financial turmoil.


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (8) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Mohammad K. Elshqirat

Herding behavior was concluded to exist in some sectors and under some market conditions in the Jordanian stock market when measured using the cross-sectional absolute deviation. The purpose of this study was to retest the existence of the sectoral herding using the cross-sectional dispersion of betas and compare the results with those reached using the measure of the cross-sectional absolute deviation. Behavioral finance theory represents the main base on which this study was built. In this study, the researcher tried to answer questions related to whether herding behavior exists in the Jordanian market and its sectors if measured using cross-sectional dispersion of betas and whether results will be different from those reached using other measures. In this quantitative study, data from Amman stock exchange were used and the period covered was from 2000 to 2018. These data were used to calculate the cross-sectional dispersion of betas which was tested using t-test, Kruskal–Wallis test, Mann-Whitney U test, and Wilcoxon Signed-Rank test. Results indicated that herding behavior existed in market and in each sector at the same level which was not affected by the financial crisis. Furthermore, the study revealed that herding level was the same when the market (sector) was rising and when it was falling and this similarity has not been changed by the occurrence of the global financial crisis. Finally, results indicated that herding was at its lowest level in the entire market and in the industrial sector during the time of financial crisis. These results are different from those of the study conducted in Jordan using cross-sectional absolute deviation which implies that using different herding measures yields different results.


2017 ◽  
Vol 21 (4) ◽  
pp. 350-355 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sayantan Khanra ◽  
Sanjay Dhir

Extant research has explored numerous ideal approaches to predict and anticipate the unpredictability in stocks to mitigate business risks. This article attempts to offer an important insight on creating values in terms of financial returns dodging the risks associated with the market volatility in emerging market economies by exploring the context of National Stock Exchange (NSE), India. The study establishes that Small-cap companies, which are included in NSE Small 100 index, are less inclined to be impacted by the market volatility index (NVIX) compared to the Large-cap companies and Mid-cap companies that are under respective Broad Market Indices. Furthermore, this article examines 64 Small-cap companies, belonging to nine different sectors, to investigate the sector-wise impact of market volatility on Small-cap businesses in India.


2008 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 379-392
Author(s):  
Wesley Mendes-da-Silva ◽  
Theodore E. Christensen ◽  
Vernon J. Richardson

Disclosure transparency is one of the pillars of good corporate governance. Moreover, the digital age has produced a dramatic shift in the corporate communication paradigm. As a result, companies increasingly use the Internet as a means of disseminating and disclosing financial information to shareholders, analysts and other interested capital market participants. This research examines the determinants of voluntary disclosure of financial information on the Internet by Brazilian firms. Cross-sectional analyses based on 291 non-financial companies listed on the São Paulo Stock Exchange in 2002 indicate that both firm size and the quality of corporate governance are positively related to the level of voluntary disclosure of financial information on the Internet. These results are consistent with the notion that Brazilian firms with incentives to improve financial transparency disclose more financial information on the Internet. Compared to similar Internet disclosures of U.S.-domiciled companies, this study finds that corporate governance is an incremental determinant of Internet financial disclosure for Brazilian enterprises


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