Shifts in Herd Mentality of Investors in Uncertain Market Conditions: New Evidence in the Context of a Frontier Stock Market

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (3(J)) ◽  
pp. 203-219 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kalugala Vidanalage Aruna Shantha
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Learning Effect ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Psychological Effects ◽  
Herd Behavior ◽  
Absolute Deviation ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Post Market ◽  
And Behavior ◽  
New Evidence

This paper examines the herding phenomenon in the context of a frontier stock market, the Colombo Stock Exchange of Sri Lanka, employing the cross - sectional absolute deviation methodology to daily frequencies of data for the period from April, 2000 to September, 2016. The results show significant changes in magnitude and pattern of herding over different episodes of the market. The herd behavior is strongly presence irrespective of the direction of the market movement in the 2000 - 2008 period, during which investments in the stock market is affected by the country’s political instability resulting from the civil war. The evidence also shows herd behavior during the period of market bubble whereas negative herding in the market crash period. However, it becomes less likely to occur during the period after the market crash. The lower tendency to herd during the post- market crash period supports the Adaptive Market Hypothesis, implying that investors are likely to realize the irrationality of herding and learn to be more rational as a consequence of significant losses experienced during the period of the market crash. Accordingly, these findings suggest that period- specific characteristics of the market and the associated psychological effects to investors such as overconfidence and panics would cause changes to their beliefs and behavior, the experiences of which would subsequently produce learning effect to minimize their irrationality in decision making.

scholarly journals Investor Behavior: Does Tax Avoidance and Liquidity Preference Culture Drive Equity Prices in Pakistan

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 63-91
Author(s):  
Rubeena Tashfeen ◽  
Saad Ullah ◽  
Abubaker Naeem
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Tax Avoidance ◽  
Geographical Distance ◽  
Chinese Stock Market ◽  
Absolute Deviation ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Cross Border ◽  
The Usa

The present study investigates market-wide herding of stock market, industry indices of Pakistan, China and USA, A-cross border herding of Pakistan stock market with Chinese stock market and USA stock market. With Cross-Sectional-Absolute-Deviation, to check whether geographical distance matters to influence the stock markets or not and USA is its major influential, cannot be ignored. Market-wide herding in Pakistan is found only during 2004 and 2008 and A-cross border herding for Pakistan is only found from the USA which support asset pricing model and market efficiency. Pakistan market do not herd around China, this negates geographical distance matters, and influence in determining investor behaviour in stock markets. It is revealed, Pakistan stock market does not observe as much herding behaviour in stock investment as other markets (USA and China), so it can be said that Pakistan stock exchange index which is representative of Pakistan Stock market is efficiently operating in contest of Herding.

Herd behavior in the French stock market

2017 ◽  
Vol 16 (4) ◽  
pp. 497-515 ◽  
Author(s):  
Houda Litimi
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
Design Methodology ◽  
Garch Model ◽  
Herd Behavior ◽  
Conditional Volatility ◽  
Herding Behavior ◽  
Absolute Deviation ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Content Type

Purpose This paper aims to investigate the herding behavior in the French stock market and its effect on the idiosyncratic conditional volatility at a sectoral level. Design/methodology/approach This sample covers all the listed companies in the French stock market, classified by sector, over four major crisis periods. The author modifies the cross-sectional absolute deviation (CSAD) model to include trading volume and investors sentiment as herding triggers. Furthermore, the author uses a modified GARCH model to investigate the effect of herding on conditional volatility. Findings Herding is present in the French market during crises, and it is present in only some sectors during the entire period. The main trigger for investors to embark into a collective herding movement differs from one sector to another. Furthermore, herding behavior has an inhibiting effect on market conditional volatility. Originality/value The author modifies the CSAD model to investigate the presence of herding in the French stock market at a sectoral level during turmoil periods. Furthermore, the particularly designed GARCH model provides new insights on the effect of herding and volume turnover on the conditional volatility.

scholarly journals HERDING BEHAVIOR IN THE INDONESIAN ISLAMIC STOCK MARKET

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 673-690 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nora Amelda Rizal ◽  
Mirta Kartika Damayanti
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Return ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Market Condition ◽  
Herding Behavior ◽  
Absolute Deviation ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Market Prices ◽  
Auto Regressive

Indonesia Stock Exchange provides Islamic stocks for Muslim investors who want toinvest, with the first Islamic stock index in Indonesia being Jakarta Islamic Index or JIIthat consists of thirty of the most liquid Islamic stocks. The market capitalization of JIItends to increase every year. This paper examines the presence of herding behavior inemerging Islamic stock market of Indonesia using daily return of Indonesia CompositeIndex and JII from October 6, 2000 to October 5, 2018. Herding behavior could generallytrigger shifting market prices from equilibrium values. Herding behavior may beidentified from the relation between stock return dispersion and market return. Stockreturn dispersion is measured using Cross Sectional Absolute Deviation or CSAD.Generalized Auto Regressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity or GARCH method isused to detect herding behavior. GARCH does not see heteroskedasticity as a problem,instead uses it to make a model. The result indicates that herding behavior exist inIslamic stock market of Indonesia. Asymmetric herding occurs in Indonesia Islamicstock market where herding behavior exists during falling market condition only.

Impact of herding on the returns in the Indian stock market: an empirical study

2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sunaina Kanojia ◽  
Deepti Singh ◽  
Ashutosh Goswami
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Market Condition ◽  
Individual Investors ◽  
Herd Behavior ◽  
Market Conditions ◽  
Absolute Deviation ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Indian Stock Market

PurposeHerd behavior has been studied herein and tested based on primary respondents from Indian markets.Design/methodology/approachThe paper expounds the empirical evidence by applying the cross-sectional absolute deviation method and reporting on herd behavior among decision-makers who are engaged in trading in the Indian stock market. Further, the study attempts to analyze the market-wide herding in the Indian stock market using 2230 daily, 470 weekly and 108 monthly observations of Nifty 50 stock returns for a period of nine years from April 1, 2009 to March 31, 2018 during the normal market conditions, extreme market conditions and in both increasing and decreasing market conditions.FindingsIn a span of a decade witnessing different market cycles, the authors’ results exhibit that there is no evidence of herding in any market condition in Indian stock market primarily due to the dominance of institutional investors and secondly because of low market participation by individual investors.Originality/valueThe results reveal that there is no impact of herd behavior on the stock returns in the Indian equity market during the normal market conditions. It highlights that the participation of individuals who are more prone to herding is more evident for short-run investments, contrary to long-term holdings.

scholarly journals Investigative Study of Investor’s Herding Behavior During Bullish and Bearish Market: A Case of Pakistan Stock Exchange

2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 17-25
Author(s):  
Muhammad Tayyab Ul Hassan ◽  
Syed Hassan Jamil
Keyword(s):  
Standard Deviation ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Market Volatility ◽  
Herd Behavior ◽  
Herding Behavior ◽  
Absolute Deviation ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Asymmetric Effects

This study investigates the influence of herd behavior on the Pakistan stock exchange indexes KSE-100 and KSE-30 during bullish and bearish markets. Using the daily market return from 2007 to 2020. We implement the method of main herding measures, Cross-sectional absolute deviation, and Cross-sectional standard deviation, to explore the influence of herd behavior in the emerging market of Pakistan. The results indicate the presence of market-wide herd behavior: (a) along with the different direction of market positive and negative return, (b) when trading volume high, (c) when stock market highly volatile, and (d) during and the post-financial crisis. Moreover, Investors don’t herd when low trading volume and low volatility. Our study fills the gap in the literature and contributes to academic relevance by exploring the influence of herd behavior among both bull and bear periods in markets of Pakistan, it also examines the possible asymmetric effects of herding related to the market with high-low trading volume and market volatility.

scholarly journals Peut-On Expliquer La Volatilite Du Marche Boursier Marocain Par Un Comportement Mimetique Des Investisseurs?

2020 ◽  
pp. 31-39
Author(s):  
Nabil Sifouh ◽  
Khdija Oubal
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Absolute Deviation ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Mimetic Behavior

The purpose of this paper is to test empirically, if during the period 2002-2017, the volatility of the Moroccan stock market could be linked to mimetic behavior of investors. On a sample made up of 22 firms listed on the Casablanca stock exchange, we adopted an estimate of this behavior according to the measure of cross sectional absolute deviation CSAD to show that there is no solid evidence on the presence of mimicry at least for the period considered in this study.

scholarly journals Pengaruh Perilaku Follower Investor pada Volatilitas Saham

2017 ◽  
pp. 44
Author(s):  
Made Dewi Ayu Untari
Keyword(s):  
Service Sector ◽  
Raw Materials ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Sampling Technique ◽  
Total Sample ◽  
Absolute Deviation ◽  
Population Number ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Industrial Sectors ◽  
Significant Difference

The purposes of this study are to obtain emperical evidence about the influence of followers investor’s behaviour to the stock volatility and analyze the difference offollowers investor’s betweenindustry sectors producing raw materials,manufacture industry and service industry in the Indonesia Stock Exchange (BEI), during the market crash happened in Indonesia. The population number are 507 companies, while the total sample of 247 companies. Sampling technique used purposive sampling. The analysis technique used was a cross-sectional absolute Deviation (CSADand test One Way ANOVA with Post Hoc Test and Least Significant Difference (LSD. Data shows that the behavior of follower investors has positive effect on the volatility of the current stock market crash occurs. Meanwhile, there was no difference in behavior between the follower investor industrial sectors producing raw materials, the manufacturing sector and the service sector when  the market crash.

scholarly journals Analysis of Herding Behavior in Moroccan Stock Market

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (1(J)) ◽  
pp. 181-190
Author(s):  
Mustapha El Hami ◽  
Ahmed Hefnaoui
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Quantitative Research ◽  
Stock Exchanges ◽  
Research Approach ◽  
Linear Inversion ◽  
Absolute Deviation ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Econometric Methods ◽  
Daily Data

Frontier markets, particularly the Moroccan financial market, are characterized by a narrowness of market, inability to absorb erratic price fluctuations and the low liquidity of securities that encourage investors to herd and imitate those who have all the information about the market. A quantitative research approach was used to analyze the existence of herding n Moroccan stock market. The daily data used in this study concerns the period from 04/01/2010 to 29/12/2017 and contains the daily returns of the MASI and a total of 43 traded stocks. Statistical and econometric methods such as multidimensional scaling and Cross-sectional absolute deviation were used. Subsequently, after the regression models were examined, findings indicated that the first stocks with the highest similarity to the index return are BMCE, BCP, IAM, ATW and CMSR, and the first stocks with the highest dissimilarity are PAP, IBC and SNP, This will have to allow investors to choose profitable alternatives and avoid those that present a possible risk. The results did also show the existence of herding in the Moroccan stock market both upward and downward. This finding was supported by the clear existence of a non-linearity between market performance and CSAD measurement, which confirms the prediction of a non-linear inversion relationship between CSAD and 𝑅𝑚. This could be due to the low level of transparency that prevails in frontier stock exchanges and reduces the quality of their information environment, which leads investors not to react rationally and to draw information from the transactions of their peers.

scholarly journals Investor Sentiment and Herding Behavior in the Korean Stock Market

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 34
Author(s):  
Ki-Hong Choi ◽  
Seong-Min Yoon
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Quantile Regression ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
Investor Sentiment ◽  
Herding Behavior ◽  
Absolute Deviation ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Korean Stock Market ◽  
Quantile Regression Method

This paper investigates herding behavior and the connection between herding behavior and investor sentiment. We apply a Cross-Sectional Absolute Deviation (CSAD) approach and the quantile regression method to capture herding behavior in the KOSPI and KOSDAQ stock markets. The analysis results are outlined as follows. First, we find that herding behavior is exhibited during down-market periods in the KOSPI and KOSDAQ stock markets. However, we show that adverse herding behavior occurs in low-trading volume and low-volatility periods. Second, according to the results of the quantile regression, herding behavior is found in the low and high quantiles of the KOSPI and KOSDAQ stock markets. However, adverse herding behavior is also found, which means that investors herd in extreme market conditions. Third, the relationship between investor sentiment and herding behavior is analyzed through regression and quantile regression, and investor sentiment is confirmed to be one of the important factors that can cause herding behavior in the Korean stock market.

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