RELIABILITY OF TIME ESTIMATES

1957 ◽  
Vol 7 ◽  
pp. 23 ◽  
Author(s):  
PAUL BAKAN
Keyword(s):  
Time Estimates

Molecular phylogeny and divergence time estimates of Penaeid Shrimp Lineages (Decapoda: Penaeidae)

Zootaxa ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 2107 (1) ◽  
pp. 41-52 ◽  
Author(s):  
CAROLINA M VOLOCH ◽  
PABLO R FREIRE ◽  
CLAUDIA A M RUSSO
Keyword(s):  
Fossil Record ◽  
Divergence Time ◽  
Penaeid Shrimp ◽  
Divergence Time Estimates ◽  
Time Estimates ◽  
Global Clock ◽  
Late Tertiary ◽  
The Family ◽  
Molecular Studies ◽  
Triassic Period

Fossil record of penaeids indicates that the family exists since the Triassic period, but extant genera appeared only recently in Tertiary strata. Molecular based divergence time estimates on the matter of penaeid radiation were never properly addressed, due to shortcomings of the global molecular clock assumptions. Here, we studied the diversification patterns of the family, uncovering, more specifically, a correlation between fossil and extant Penaeid fauna. For this, we have used a Bayesian framework that does not assume a global clock. Our results suggest that Penaeid genera originated between 20 million years ago and 43 million years ago, much earlier than expected by previous molecular studies. Altogether, these results promptly discard late Tertiary or even Quaternary hypotheses that presumed a major glaciations influence on the diversification patterns of the family.

scholarly journals Estimating epidemiologic dynamics from cross-sectional viral load distributions

Science ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. eabh0635
Author(s):  
James A. Hay ◽  
Lee Kennedy-Shaffer ◽  
Sanjat Kanjilal ◽  
Niall J. Lennon ◽  
Stacey B. Gabriel ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Population Distribution ◽  
Quantitative Polymerase Chain Reaction ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Outbreak Management ◽  
Viral Loads ◽  
Time Estimates ◽  
Load Distributions ◽  
Random Samples ◽  
Combining Data ◽  
Polymerase Chain

Estimating an epidemic’s trajectory is crucial for developing public health responses to infectious diseases, but case data used for such estimation are confounded by variable testing practices. We show that the population distribution of viral loads observed under random or symptom-based surveillance, in the form of cycle threshold (Ct) values obtained from reverse-transcription quantitative polymerase chain reaction testing, changes during an epidemic. Thus, Ct values from even limited numbers of random samples can provide improved estimates of an epidemic’s trajectory. Combining data from multiple such samples improves the precision and robustness of such estimation. We apply our methods to Ct values from surveillance conducted during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in a variety of settings and offer alternative approaches for real-time estimates of epidemic trajectories for outbreak management and response.

scholarly journals Real-Time Musculoskeletal Kinematics and Dynamics Analysis Using Marker- and IMU-Based Solutions in Rehabilitation

Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (5) ◽  
pp. 1804
Author(s):  
Dimitar Stanev ◽  
Konstantinos Filip ◽  
Dimitrios Bitzas ◽  
Sokratis Zouras ◽  
Georgios Giarmatzis ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Real Time ◽  
Small Error ◽  
Grand Challenge ◽  
Muscle Forces ◽  
Time Estimates ◽  
Musculoskeletal Models ◽  
Open Source Framework ◽  
Measurement Units ◽  
Technical Details ◽  
Significant Milestone

This study aims to explore the possibility of estimating a multitude of kinematic and dynamic quantities using subject-specific musculoskeletal models in real-time. The framework was designed to operate with marker-based and inertial measurement units enabling extensions far beyond dedicated motion capture laboratories. We present the technical details for calculating the kinematics, generalized forces, muscle forces, joint reaction loads, and predicting ground reaction wrenches during walking. Emphasis was given to reduce computational latency while maintaining accuracy as compared to the offline counterpart. Notably, we highlight the influence of adequate filtering and differentiation under noisy conditions and its importance for consequent dynamic calculations. Real-time estimates of the joint moments, muscle forces, and reaction loads closely resemble OpenSim’s offline analyses. Model-based estimation of ground reaction wrenches demonstrates that even a small error can negatively affect other estimated quantities. An application of the developed system is demonstrated in the context of rehabilitation and gait retraining. We expect that such a system will find numerous applications in laboratory settings and outdoor conditions with the advent of predicting or sensing environment interactions. Therefore, we hope that this open-source framework will be a significant milestone for solving this grand challenge.

Measuring battery discharge characteristics for accurate UAV endurance estimation

2020 ◽  
Vol 124 (1277) ◽  
pp. 1099-1113
Author(s):  
L. Mariga ◽  
I. Silva Tiburcio ◽  
C.A. Martins ◽  
A.N. Almeida Prado ◽  
C. Nascimento
Keyword(s):  
Low Cost ◽  
Estimation Error ◽  
Flight Time ◽  
Time Estimates ◽  
Discharge Rates ◽  
Nonlinear Optimisation ◽  
Time Calculation ◽  
Discharge Profile ◽  
Battery Discharge ◽  
Battery Discharge Characteristics

ABSTRACTThe increasing use of unmanned aerial vehicles in areas such as rescue, mapping, and transportation have made it necessary to study more accurate techniques for calculating flight time estimates. Such calculations require knowing the battery discharge profile. Simplified flight time calculation methods provide data with uncertainties as they are based solely on manufacturer datasheet information. This study presents a setup to measure the battery discharge curve using a LabVIEW interface with a low-cost acquisition system. The acquired data passes through a nonlinear optimisation algorithm to find the battery coefficients, which enables the more precise estimation of its range and endurance. The great advantage of this model is that it makes it possible to predict how the battery will discharge at different rates using just one experimental curve. The methodology was applied to three different batteries and the model was validated with different discharge rates in a controlled environment, which resulted in endurance lower than 3.0% for most conditions and voltage estimation error lower than 3.0% in operational voltage. The work also presented a methodology for estimating cruise time based on the current used during each flight stage.

scholarly journals Out of the Neotropics: Late Cretaceous colonization of Australasia by American arthropods

2012 ◽  
Vol 279 (1742) ◽  
pp. 3501-3509 ◽  
Author(s):  
Prashant P. Sharma ◽  
Gonzalo Giribet
Keyword(s):  
Late Cretaceous ◽  
Divergence Time ◽  
Disjunct Distribution ◽  
Continental Margins ◽  
Divergence Time Estimates ◽  
Evolutionary Origins ◽  
Source Regions ◽  
Time Estimates ◽  
Fiji Islands ◽  
The Pacific

The origins of tropical southwest Pacific diversity are traditionally attributed to southeast Asia or Australia. Oceanic and fragment islands are typically colonized by lineages from adjacent continental margins, resulting in attrition of diversity with distance from the mainland. Here, we show that an exceptional tropical family of harvestmen with a trans-Pacific disjunct distribution has its origin in the Neotropics. We found in a multi-locus phylogenetic analysis that the opilionid family Zalmoxidae, which is distributed in tropical forests on both sides of the Pacific, is a monophyletic entity with basal lineages endemic to Amazonia and Mesoamerica. Indo-Pacific Zalmoxidae constitute a nested clade, indicating a single colonization event. Lineages endemic to putative source regions, including Australia and New Guinea, constitute derived groups. Divergence time estimates and probabilistic ancestral area reconstructions support a Neotropical origin of the group, and a Late Cretaceous ( ca 82 Ma) colonization of Australasia out of the Fiji Islands and/or Borneo, which are consistent with a transoceanic dispersal event. Our results suggest that the endemic diversity within traditionally defined zoogeographic boundaries might have more complex evolutionary origins than previously envisioned.

scholarly journals Interception effects on stable isotope driven streamwater transit time estimates

2015 ◽  
Vol 42 (13) ◽  
pp. 5299-5308 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael P. Stockinger ◽  
Andreas Lücke ◽  
Jeffrey J. McDonnell ◽  
Bernd Diekkrüger ◽  
Harry Vereecken ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Stable Isotope ◽  
Transit Time ◽  
Time Estimates

scholarly journals Using a GTR+Γ substitution model for dating sequence divergence when stationarity and time-reversibility assumptions are violated

2020 ◽  
Vol 36 (Supplement_2) ◽  
pp. i884-i894
Author(s):  
Jose Barba-Montoya ◽  
Qiqing Tao ◽  
Sudhir Kumar
Keyword(s):  
Divergence Time ◽  
Sequence Divergence ◽  
Molecular Dating ◽  
Divergence Times ◽  
Time Reversibility ◽  
Sequence Alignments ◽  
Divergence Time Estimates ◽  
Time Estimates ◽  
Substitution Process ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Motivation As the number and diversity of species and genes grow in contemporary datasets, two common assumptions made in all molecular dating methods, namely the time-reversibility and stationarity of the substitution process, become untenable. No software tools for molecular dating allow researchers to relax these two assumptions in their data analyses. Frequently the same General Time Reversible (GTR) model across lineages along with a gamma (+Γ) distributed rates across sites is used in relaxed clock analyses, which assumes time-reversibility and stationarity of the substitution process. Many reports have quantified the impact of violations of these underlying assumptions on molecular phylogeny, but none have systematically analyzed their impact on divergence time estimates. Results We quantified the bias on time estimates that resulted from using the GTR + Γ model for the analysis of computer-simulated nucleotide sequence alignments that were evolved with non-stationary (NS) and non-reversible (NR) substitution models. We tested Bayesian and RelTime approaches that do not require a molecular clock for estimating divergence times. Divergence times obtained using a GTR + Γ model differed only slightly (∼3% on average) from the expected times for NR datasets, but the difference was larger for NS datasets (∼10% on average). The use of only a few calibrations reduced these biases considerably (∼5%). Confidence and credibility intervals from GTR + Γ analysis usually contained correct times. Therefore, the bias introduced by the use of the GTR + Γ model to analyze datasets, in which the time-reversibility and stationarity assumptions are violated, is likely not large and can be reduced by applying multiple calibrations. Availability and implementation All datasets are deposited in Figshare: https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.12594638.

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