Perception of Risk as Related to Choice in a Two-Dimensional Risk Situation

1978 ◽  
Vol 43 (3_suppl) ◽  
pp. 1059-1062 ◽  
Author(s):  
John W. Dickson

A risky choice was created by manipulating two dimensions of risk for 21 managers attending a conference. The first dimension varied risk by altering the difference in expected value between two alternatives of widely differing variance. The second dimension varied the expectancy of achieving a particular outcome. Whereas choice was significantly related to both dimensions of risk, it was not significantly related to estimates of the subjective risk inherent in the choice situation. It appears that subjective risk does not mediate between objective risk and choice.

2009 ◽  
Vol 07 (05) ◽  
pp. 959-968
Author(s):  
Z. Z. GUO ◽  
Z. G. XUAN ◽  
Y. S. ZHANG ◽  
XIAOWEI WU

The ground state entanglement in one- and two-dimensional Anderson models are studied with consideration of the long-range correlation effects and using the measures of concurrence and von Neumann entropy. We compare the effects of the long-range power-law correlation for the on-site energies on entanglement with the uncorrelated cases. We demonstrate the existence of the band structure of the entanglement. The intraband and interband jumping phenomena of the entanglement are also reported and explained to as the localization-delocalization transition of the system. We also demonstrated the difference between the results of one- and two-dimensions. Our results show that the correlation of the on-site energies increases the entanglement.


2016 ◽  
Vol 28 (9) ◽  
pp. 1358-1373 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anna C. K. Van Duijvenvoorde ◽  
Bernd Figner ◽  
Wouter D. Weeda ◽  
Maurits W. Van der Molen ◽  
Brenda R. J. Jansen ◽  
...  

Individuals may differ systematically in their applied decision strategies, which has critical implications for decision neuroscience but is yet scarcely studied. Our study's main focus was therefore to investigate the neural mechanisms underlying compensatory versus noncompensatory strategies in risky choice. Here, we compared people using a compensatory expected value maximization with people using a simplified noncompensatory loss-minimizing choice strategy. To this end, we used a two-choice paradigm including a set of “simple” items (e.g., simple condition), in which one option was superior on all attributes, and a set of “conflict” items, in which one option was superior on one attribute but inferior on other attributes. A binomial mixture analysis of the decisions elicited by these items differentiated between decision-makers using either a compensatory or a noncompensatory strategy. Behavioral differences were particularly pronounced in the conflict condition, and these were paralleled by neural results. That is, we expected compensatory decision-makers to use an integrated value comparison during choice in the conflict condition. Accordingly, the compensatory group tracked the difference in expected value between choice options reflected in neural activation in the parietal cortex. Furthermore, we expected noncompensatory, compared with compensatory, decision-makers to experience increased conflict when attributes provided conflicting information. Accordingly, the noncompensatory group showed greater dorsomedial PFC activation only in the conflict condition. These pronounced behavioral and neural differences indicate the need for decision neuroscience to account for individual differences in risky choice strategies and to broaden its scope to noncompensatory risky choice strategies.


The treatment of two-dimensional jet-flapped wings in incompressible flow by the methods of thin-aerofoil theory given by one of the authors (Spence 1956) has been extended to the case of a thin wing of finite aspect ratio which possesses a deflected jet sheet of zero thickness emerging with a small angular deflexion at its trailing edge. The restriction is imposed that the streamlines of the jet flow lie in planes perpendicular to the wing-span, transverse momentum-transport being thus excluded. As in classical theories, the downwash field is assumed to arise from elementary horseshoe vortices proportional in strength to the local lift distribution; a new feature is the ability of the sheet formed by these elements to sustain a pressure difference on account of the longitudinal flux of momentum of the jet within it. The induced downwash w i ( x, y ) in the plane z = 0 at intermediate distances x from the wing cannot be calculated, and is therefore replaced by an interpolation formula having the correct values U ∞ α i at the wing and U ∞ α i ∞ far downstream. To ensure that the errors so introduced are small the aspect ratio A must be large, its permissible minimum increasing with the jet momentum coefficient C J . Two methods of interpolating to w i ( x, y ), both of which lead within close limits to the same expression for C L , are discussed. They are chosen so as to allow the two-dimensional equation for loading, whose solution is known, to be used to calculate the loading in a streamwise section in three dimensions. The spanwise variation of loading could be calculated for arbitrary planforms and jet-momentum distributions, but the present paper is confined to the case in which the loading and downwash distribution depend only on x/c , where x measures distance from the leading edge and c ( y ) is the local chord. This is shown to require both c and the jet-momentum flux per unit span to be elliptically distributed, the deflexion τ and incidence a being constant over the span. The relation between the coefficients of induced drag and lift is then C D i = C (2) L /( πA + 2 C J ) induced drag being defined as the difference between the thrust and the (constant) flux of momentum in the jet. (The interpolations for induced downwash are not used in deriving this relation.) The ratio of C L to the value C (2) L which it would have in two dimensions is C L / C (2) L = { A + (2/π) C J } / { A + 2/π ) (∂ C (2) L /∂α) - 2(1+ σ)}, where ∂ C (2) L /∂α is the two-dimensional derivative of lift with respect to incidence, a known function of C J and σ = 1 — α i /(½ α i ∞ ). An expression for σ is found in terms of known quantities by equating the induced drag calculated from the detailed forces on the wing to that given above. The results have been compared with experimental measurements made on an 8:1 elliptic cylinder of rectangular planform at aspect ratios 2⋅75, 6⋅8 and infinity. Remarkably close agreement with observed values of C L is obtained in all cases, and the difference C D — C Di = C D 0 , say, between the total- and induced-drag coefficients, is virtually independent of the aspect ratio. C D 0 represents the effects of the Reynolds number, section shape and jet configuration, which are excluded from the present theory.


2017 ◽  
Vol 829 ◽  
pp. 89-111 ◽  
Author(s):  
Duncan R. Hewitt ◽  
John R. Lister

The stability of steady convective exchange flow with a rectangular planform in an unbounded three-dimensional porous medium is explored. The base flow comprises a balance between vertical advection with amplitude $A$ in interleaving rectangular columns with aspect ratio $\unicode[STIX]{x1D709}\leqslant 1$ and horizontal diffusion between the columns. Columnar flow with a square planform ($\unicode[STIX]{x1D709}=1$) is found to be weakly unstable to a large-scale perturbation of the background temperature gradient, irrespective of $A$, but to have no stronger instability on the scale of the columns. This result provides a stark contrast to two-dimensional columnar flow (Hewitt et al., J. Fluid Mech., vol. 737, 2013, pp. 205–231), which, as $A$ is increased, is increasingly unstable to a perturbation on the scale of the columnar wavelength. For rectangular planforms with $\unicode[STIX]{x1D709}<1$, a critical aspect ratio is identified, below which a perturbation on the scale of the columns is the fastest growing mode, as in two dimensions. Scalings for the growth rate and the structure of this mode are identified, and are explained by means of an asymptotic expansion in the limit $\unicode[STIX]{x1D709}\rightarrow 0$. The difference between the stabilities of two-dimensional and three-dimensional exchange flow provides a potential explanation for the apparent difference in dominant horizontal scale observed in direct numerical simulations of two-dimensional and three-dimensional statistically steady ‘Rayleigh–Darcy’ convection at high Rayleigh numbers.


Author(s):  
Thomas K. Ogorzalek

This theoretical chapter develops the argument that the conditions of cities—large, densely populated, heterogeneous communities—generate distinctive governance demands supporting (1) market interventions and (2) group pluralism. Together, these positions constitute the two dimensions of progressive liberalism. Because of the nature of federalism, such policies are often best pursued at higher levels of government, which means that cities must present a united front in support of city-friendly politics. Such unity is far from assured on the national level, however, because of deep divisions between and within cities that undermine cohesive representation. Strategies for success are enhanced by local institutions of horizontal integration developed to address the governance demands of urbanicity, the effects of which are felt both locally and nationally in the development of cohesive city delegations and a unified urban political order capable of contending with other interests and geographical constituencies in national politics.


Author(s):  
Erika Viktória Miszory ◽  
Melinda Járomi ◽  
Annamária Pakai

Abstract Aim The number of Hungarian polio patients can be estimated at approximately 3000. Polio infection is currently affecting people 56–65 years of age. The aim of the study was to reveal the quality of life of patients living with polio virus in Hungary. Subject and methods The quantitative cross-sectional study was conducted in January–April 2017 among polyomyelitis patients living in Hungary. In the non-random, targeted, expert sample selection, the target group was composed of patients infected with poliovirus (N = 268). We have excluded those who refused to sign the consent statement. Our data collection method was an SF-36 questionnaire. Using the IBM SPSS Statistics Version 22 program, descriptive and mathematical statistics (χ2-test) were calculated (p < 0.05). Results The mean age of the members of the examined population is 63.5 years; 68.1% were women and 31.90% were men. The majority of the respondents were infected by the polyovirus in 1956 (11.9%), 1957 (24.3%), and 1959 (19.5%). Polio patients, with the exception of two dimensions (mental health, social operation), on the scale of 100 do not reach the “average” quality of life (physical functioning 23 points, functional role 36 points, emotional role 47 points, body pain 48 points, general health 42 points, vitality 50 points, health change 31 points). Conclusion The quality of life of polio patients is far below the dimensions of physical function, while the difference in mental health compared to healthy people is minimal. It would be important to educate health professionals about the existing disease, to develop an effective rehabilitation method.


Author(s):  
Jianping Fan ◽  
Jing Wang ◽  
Meiqin Wu

The two-dimensional belief function (TDBF = (mA, mB)) uses a pair of ordered basic probability distribution functions to describe and process uncertain information. Among them, mB includes support degree, non-support degree and reliability unmeasured degree of mA. So it is more abundant and reasonable than the traditional discount coefficient and expresses the evaluation value of experts. However, only considering that the expert’s assessment is single and one-sided, we also need to consider the influence between the belief function itself. The difference in belief function can measure the difference between two belief functions, based on which the supporting degree, non-supporting degree and unmeasured degree of reliability of the evidence are calculated. Based on the divergence measure of belief function, this paper proposes an extended two-dimensional belief function, which can solve some evidence conflict problems and is more objective and better solve a class of problems that TDBF cannot handle. Finally, numerical examples illustrate its effectiveness and rationality.


2021 ◽  
Vol 182 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Gernot Münster ◽  
Manuel Cañizares Guerrero

AbstractRoughening of interfaces implies the divergence of the interface width w with the system size L. For two-dimensional systems the divergence of $$w^2$$ w 2 is linear in L. In the framework of a detailed capillary wave approximation and of statistical field theory we derive an expression for the asymptotic behaviour of $$w^2$$ w 2 , which differs from results in the literature. It is confirmed by Monte Carlo simulations.


Genetics ◽  
1990 ◽  
Vol 126 (1) ◽  
pp. 235-247 ◽  
Author(s):  
Z B Zeng ◽  
D Houle ◽  
C C Cockerham

Abstract S. Wright suggested an estimator, m, of the number of loci, m, contributing to the difference in a quantitative character between two differentiated populations, which is calculated from the phenotypic means and variances in the two parental populations and their F1 and F2 hybrids. The same method can also be used to estimate m contributing to the genetic variance within a single population, by using divergent selection to create differentiated lines from the base population. In this paper we systematically examine the utility and problems of this technique under the influences of unequal allelic effects and initial allele frequencies, and linkage, which are known to lead m to underestimate m. In addition, we examine the effects of population size and selection intensity during the generations of selection. During selection, the estimator m rapidly approaches its expected value at the selection limit. With reasonable assumptions about unequal allelic effects and initial allele frequencies, the expected value of m without linkage is likely to be on the order of one-third of the number of genes. The estimates suffer most seriously from linkage. The practical maximum expectation of m is just about the number of chromosomes, considerably less than the "recombination index" which has been assumed to be the upper limit. The estimates are also associated with large sampling variances. An estimator of the variance of m derived by R. Lande substantially underestimates the actual variance. Modifications to the method can ameliorate some of the problems. These include using F3 or later generation variances or the genetic variance in the base population, and replicating the experiments and estimation procedure. However, even in the best of circumstances, information from m is very limited and can be misleading.


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