Real Estate Risk Measurement: Comparing Commercial Property with Common Stocks

1995 ◽  
Vol 1995 (3) ◽  
pp. 43-49, 58-60
Author(s):  
David M. Geitner
Keyword(s):  
Real Estate ◽  
Risk Measurement ◽  
Commercial Property ◽  
Common Stocks

Real estate risk measurement and early warning based on PSO-SVM

2020 ◽  
pp. 101001
Author(s):  
Wenwen Zhou ◽  
Mengyao Chen ◽  
Zaoli Yang ◽  
Xiaobo Song
Keyword(s):  
Real Estate ◽  
Early Warning ◽  
Risk Measurement

scholarly journals The COVID-19 Pandemic and Commercial Property Rent Dynamics

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (8) ◽  
pp. 360
Author(s):  
Roddy Allan ◽  
Ervi Liusman ◽  
Teddy Lu ◽  
Desmond Tsang
Keyword(s):  
Public Health ◽  
Real Estate ◽  
Asia Pacific ◽  
Pacific Region ◽  
Asia Pacific Region ◽  
Health Crisis ◽  
Commercial Property ◽  
Public Health Crisis ◽  
Industrial Sectors ◽  
Retail Property

This paper utilizes timely proprietary data to examine the contemporary impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on commercial property rent dynamics in the Asia–Pacific region. Given that the Asia–Pacific region was the first to be impacted by the public health crisis, it is important to examine how the COVID-19 pandemic has affected the real estate markets in this region and to assess how the region has been recovering since then. Our regression analysis, controlling for different macroeconomic fundamentals and city and property type fixed effects, documents substantial declines in rents of approximately 15% during the first six months of 2020 across the Asia–Pacific commercial property market. We further observe that the most significant declines in rent occur in regions where exposure to the COVID-19 pandemic is the more severe, and in the retail property sector, where we have been observing continued declines of over 30%, with little recovery as of the second quarter of 2020. In additional analysis, we examine capital values and show that while capital targeting the retail property sector has been muted, there is some evidence showing capital flows into the residential and industrial sectors. We also show that fiscal stimuli imposed by governments have moderated the adverse impact of the pandemic. Overall, our study shows that while the effect of the COVID-19 public health crisis is detrimental to commercial real estate, its impact varies significantly across different regions and property sectors.

scholarly journals Compilation of Commercial Property Price Indices for Germany Tailored for Policy Use

2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas A. Knetsch
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Real Estate ◽  
Commercial Real Estate ◽  
German Population ◽  
Price Indices ◽  
Commercial Property ◽  
Price Increases ◽  
Comprehensive Data ◽  
Property Price ◽  
Existing Data

Abstract The compilation of commercial property price indices (CPPIs) is challenging. Policymakers urge for timely, reliable and comprehensive data. In Germany, lack of data prevents the calculation of official figures by the national statistical authority. Different applications of price indices need different definitions of commercial real estate. CPPIs according to these definitions are constructed on the basis of existing data for 127 German towns and cities (that cover about one-third of German population). The overall price developments revealed by the various indices are rather similar in terms of central time series characteristics, while differences in detail can be explained by their specific compositions. Price increases for all definitions have been strongest in the seven largest cities. The definitions tend to lead to more marked differences for medium-sized towns.

scholarly journals DIVERSIFICATION BENEFITS IN THE FINNISH COMMERCIAL PROPERTY MARKET

2009 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 23-35 ◽  
Author(s):  
Heidi Falkenbach
Keyword(s):  
Real Estate ◽  
21St Century ◽  
Portfolio Theory ◽  
Early Years ◽  
Property Market ◽  
Commercial Property ◽  
Main Motivation ◽  
Real Estate Investments ◽  
Asset Portfolio ◽  
In The Beginning

The Finnish commercial property market internationalised rapidly in the beginning of the 21st century. According to the portfolio theory and previous research on international property investments, the main motivation factor driving international real estate investments is the possibility to reach diversification benefits. The paper discusses the diversification benefits offered by the Finnish property market in its early years of internationalisation. As international real estate investors in the Finnish property market include investors with both real estate only, as well as mixed‐asset portfolios, the diversification benefits are studied both in terms of a Finnish mixed-asset portfolio, as well as international real estate portfolio. Santruka XXI a. pradžioje Suomijos komercinio nekilnojamojo turto rinkoje sparčiai vyko tarptautiniai procesai. Remiantis portfelio teorija ir ankstesniais tyrimais apie tarptautines investicijas i nekilnojamaji turta, pag rindinis veiksnys, kuris skatina tarptautines nekilnojamojo turto investicijas ‐ tai galimybe gauti diversifi kacijos teikiama nauda. Darbe aptariama, kokia nauda siūle Suomijos nekilnojamojo turto rinka ankstyvaisiais internacionalizacijos metais. Kadangi kai kurie Suomijos nekilnojamojo turto rinkoje veikiantys tarptautiniai nekilnojamojo turto investuotojai užsiima tik nekilnojamuoju turtu, o yra ir tokiu, kurie turi mišraus turto portfelius, diversifi kacijos nauda nagrinejama ir pagal Suomijos mišraus turto portfeli, ir pagal tarptautini nekilnojamojo turto portfeli.

scholarly journals Real estate as a portfolio risk diversifier

2016 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 45-52
Author(s):  
Ahmad Etebari
Keyword(s):  
Real Estate ◽  
Portfolio Risk ◽  
Optimal Portfolios ◽  
Investment Performance ◽  
Optimization Framework ◽  
Expected Inflation ◽  
Common Stocks ◽  
Asset Class ◽  
The U.S ◽  
Return Data

This study provides evidence on the investment performance of real estate relative to bonds and common stocks in the U.S. Using quarterly total return data over the years 1978-2012, the analyses show that, over this period, on a risk-adjusted basis real estate was the top performing asset class, outperformed both bonds and stocks. Real estate, in the Eastern U.S., was the top performer, outperforming both bonds and stocks. The results also show that real estate provided a partial hedge against actual and expected inflation, and that, in combinations with bonds and stocks, it made up a major share of optimal portfolios constructed for various target returns within the Markowitz optimization framework

Expect the Unexpected: Risk Measurement and Management in Commercial Real Estate

2017 ◽  
pp. 1-16
Author(s):  
Craig Furfine
Keyword(s):  
Real Estate ◽  
Private Equity ◽  
Foreign Currency ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Commercial Real Estate ◽  
Risk Measurement ◽  
High Quality ◽  
Logistics Market ◽  
Overseas Investment ◽  
Future Condition

In early December 2013, Roxann Biller, Associate at the Chicago-based private equity firm Delta Quantitative Real Estate Capital, was asked to assess the risk associated with the firm's first potential overseas investment. Haifu Sentā Gendaino (HSG) was a large multi-tenant logistics property located in the Gaikando area of Tokyo. High-quality tenants currently occupied the property, so at first glance the risks of investing in the property seemed minimal. However, Biller knew that she had to consider the potential drawbacks. This would mean gaining a better understanding of each tenant, trying to forecast the future condition of the Tokyo logistics market, and considering what new risks her firm would face because the property's cash flows were in a foreign currency.

scholarly journals The Increasing Financialization of China’s Urbanization

2016 ◽  
Vol 52 (04) ◽  
pp. 1640002 ◽  
Author(s):  
THIERRY THEURILLAT ◽  
JAMES H. LENZER ◽  
HONGYU ZHAN
Keyword(s):  
Real Estate ◽  
Local Governments ◽  
Central Government ◽  
Institutional Setting ◽  
Financial Assets ◽  
Property Development ◽  
Commercial Property ◽  
The Real Estate ◽  
Regulation Changes

This paper provides a heuristic framework to address issues about China’s ongoing urbanization in relation to the role of land and built environment as triggers for economic growth and to the increasing financialization of urban production. While a dominant field of literature highlights the interrelation between land and capital within a specific institutional setting between Central and local governments, it argues to include other key linkages between infrastructures, property development and finance to understand China’s recent exponential urban growth. It first places the current consequent local governments’ debt into perspective along with the evolution of financial circuits for urban infrastructures resulting from Central Government policy and regulation changes. Next, and in line with the real estate literature that highlights the key role of demand, it develops an original understanding of the financialization of urban production from the perspective of China’s property industry. Besides the role of homeownership policies since 1998 which boosted urban production based on use value, various ways of the transformation of property into financial assets have occurred. Chinese households as the main investors have not only been able to directly invest in housing and in non-housing by purchasing flats or commercial property but indirectly by increasing investments in special purpose vehicles such as trust-bank and funds finance and new kinds of investment platforms. In both cases, Central Government macropolicies, both stimulating and restricting from 2008–2016, have gone in hand with increasing financialization processes for local governments’ debt, urban infrastructure financing and real estate.

scholarly journals THE CHANGING NATURE OF TRANSACTIONS ACTIVITY AND LIQUIDITY IN UK COMMERCIAL PROPERTY

2016 ◽  
Vol 20 (4) ◽  
pp. 384-396 ◽  
Author(s):  
Colin JONES ◽  
Nicola LIVINGSTONE ◽  
Neil DUNSE
Keyword(s):  
Real Estate ◽  
Real Estate Market ◽  
Commercial Real Estate ◽  
Active Management ◽  
Urban Change ◽  
Commercial Property ◽  
Causality Tests ◽  
One Year ◽  
The Uk

This paper examines changing transactions activity and liquidity over thirty years in the UK. It reviews the multi-dimensional concept of liquidity analysis and demonstrates that it is not just a function of the time necessary to sell an asset, a typical real estate perspective. Instead liquidity is defined in terms of transactions activity. The paper then hypothesises that urban change and an increased information base has contributed to a more active management of real estate portfolios and increased liquidity. Superimposed on this long term trend it is also hypothesised that property cycles create rise and falls in liquidity. The empirical core quantifies the changing nature of liquidity and transactions activity over thirty years from 1981 based on the IPD database. It confirms the hypothesised substantial rise in liquidity but increasing variability in the level of transactions activity from one year to the next queries the cyclical liquidity hypothesis. This is supported by causality tests. Over the last two decades a short term opportunity driven real estate investment culture appears to have emerged stimulated by the increased churn of properties, partly the consequence of the pace of urban change. It has brought greater volatility to the commercial real estate market.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document