scholarly journals Testing trade-off theory and pecking order theory under managerial overconfidence

2019 ◽  
Vol 55 (2) ◽  
pp. 99-117
Author(s):  
Elżbieta Bukalska

Abstract We address our research to the problem of managerial overconfidence and financing behavior. The aim of the paper is, hence, to ascertain the pattern of financing decisions of overconfident managers and identify the relevant capital structure theory (trade-off or pecking order theory) that can be used to explain financing decisions of overconfident managers. We collected a sample of 145 private companies. The degree of overconfidence was distinguished by surveying the managers on overestimation, overplacement, and overoptimism. The financial data covers the period of 2010–2015. We calculated static ratios of capital structure and uncovered the determinants of capital structure. We then unveiled the target debt ratios using Fama and French methodology and identified the difference between target and actual debt ratios. We also calculated the value of deficit and the sources of financing according to Shyam-Sunder and Myers. We found that the companies managed by overconfident managers use higher value of equity and display similar debt ratios. They also utilize reverse pecking order preference—trying to use internal funds and then turning to equity. Moreover, we noted that companies managed by overconfident managers come closer to target debt ratios and implement more risky fixed assets financing strategies. The significance of our research is that we contribute to the understanding of capital structure decisions by taking into account behavioral biases and conducting comprehensive research on both static and dynamic capital structure.

2017 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 133 ◽  
Author(s):  
D.K.Y Abeywardhana

Capital structure is still a puzzle among finance scholars. Purpose of this study is to review various capital structure theories that have been proposed in the finance literature to provide clarification for the firms’ capital structure decision. Starting from the capital structure irrelevance theory of Modigliani and Miller (1958) this review examine the several theories that have been put forward to explain the capital structure.Three major theories emerged over the years following the assumption of the perfect capital market of capital structure irrelevance model. Trade off theory assumes that firms have one optimal debt ratio and firm trade off the benefit and cost of debt and equity financing. Pecking order theory (Myers, 1984, Myers and Majluf, 1984) assumes that firms follow a financing hierarchy whereby minimize the problem of information asymmetry. But neither of these two theories provide a complete description why some firms prefer debt and others prefer equity finance under different circumstances.Another theory of capital structure has introduced recently by, Baker and Wurgler (2002), market timing theory, which  explains the current capital structure as the cumulative outcome of past attempts to time the equity market. Market timing issuing behaviour has been well established empirically by others already, but Baker and Wurgler (2002) show that the influence of market timing on capital structure is regular and continuous. So the predictions of these theories sometimes acted in a contradictory manner and Myers (1984) 32 years old question “How do firms choose their capital structure?” still remains. 


2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Moncef Guizani

AbstractThe purpose of this paper is to examine whether or not the basic premises according to the pecking order theory provide an explanation for the capital structure mix of firms operating under Islamic principles. Pooled OLS and random effect regressions were performed to test the pecking order theory applying data from a sample of 66 Islamic firms listed on Kingdom of Saudi Arabia stock market over the period 2006–2016. The results show that sale-based instruments (Murabahah, Ijara) track the financial deficit quite closely followed by equity financing and as the last alternative to finance deficit, Islamic firms issue Sukuk. In the crisis period, these firms seem more reliant on equity, then on sale-based instrument and on Sukuk as last option. The study findings also indicate that the cumulative financing deficit does not wipe out the effects of conventional variables, although it is empirically significant. This provides no support for the pecking order theory attempted by Saudi Islamic firms. This research highlights the capital structure choice of firms operating under Islamic principles. It explores the implication of the relevant Islamic principles on corporate financing preferences. It can serve firm executive managers in their financing decisions to add value to the companies.


2016 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 82-88 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pradeepta Sethi ◽  
Ranjit Tiwari

In the backdrop of Make in India push by Indian government the purpose of this study is to examine the determinants of capital structure towards a better understanding of financing decisions to be undertaken by the Indian manufacturing firms. The data for the analysis is drawn from COSPI manufacturing index of Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE). Our sample is an unbalanced panel of 1077 firms over the period 2000-01 to 2012-13. We apply system-GMM to study different factors that affect the leverage decision of firms in India. The findings of the study reveals that the choice of optimal capital structure can be influenced by factors such as profitability, size, growth, tangibility, non-debt tax shields, uniqueness and signal. We also find the existence of both pecking order theory and static trade-off theory in the case of Indian manufacturing firms. The results thus obtained are robust across the different proxies of leverage


2019 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuxi (Lance) Cheng ◽  
Ani L. Katchova

This study investigates adjustments in capital structures for agricultural cooperatives and differences before and during the agricultural downturn which started in 2013. We estimate a simultaneous equation model to test for cooperatives’ capital structure strategies based on two main theories from the corporate finance literature: the trade-off theory and the pecking order theory. Estimation results reveal that agricultural cooperatives in the U.S. generally adjust to short-term financial targets for equity and debt, supporting the trade-off theory while there is little support for the pecking order theory within the agricultural cooperatives sector.


2016 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
pp. 113-132 ◽  
Author(s):  
Luís Pacheco ◽  
Fernando Tavares

The main objective of this article is to study the capital structure determinants of small and medium enterprises (SMEs) in the hospitality sector and how this can influence their level of indebtedness. Using panel data methodology and considering a sample of 43 Portuguese hotels, the authors study the capital structure determinants between 2004 and 2013. The study examines the indebtedness level in light of the two main theories – the Trade-off theory and the Pecking Order theory. The hospitality sector was chosen because of its importance in the Portuguese economy and because this particular sector has hardly been studied. In addition to total indebtedness, the authors extend the literature by analysing the differences between short-term and long-term indebtedness. The results obtained suggest that profitability, assets tangibility, firm dimension, total liquidity and risk are key factors affecting the capital structure of hospitality sector SMEs, while growth, other tax benefits and age were not deemed relevant. These results allow us to conclude that Trade-off and Pecking Order theories should not be considered in isolation to explain the capital structure of hospitality sector SMEs.


2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 2694-2701
Author(s):  
Prof. Dr. Abdul Ghafoor Awan ◽  
Prof. Dr ZahirFaridi ◽  
Abdullahi ShahbazAnwer Ghaz

Capital structure is one of the most complex areas of financial decision making because of its inter-relationship with other financial decision variables. Poor capital structure decisions can result in a high cost of capital which decreases the value of a firm. Effective capital structure decisions decrease the cost of capital and hence the value of a firm increases.  The objective of this empirical study is to analyze the factors affecting capital structure of sugar industry in Pakistan and to check whether the results confirm or not pecking order theory and trade-off theory. Different theories of capital structure have been reviewed like Modigliani and miller theory, trade-off theory, pecking order theory and market timing theory to make assumptions regarding capital structure of sugar firms. The findings are based on empirical results using panel data techniques for a sample of 30 firms listed on Karachi Stock Exchange from 2008-2011. The results show that tangibility is positively associated with leverage whereas size of the firm and liquidity are negatively associated with leverage. The results of profitability and growth opportunities are insignificant.


2012 ◽  
Vol 4 (11) ◽  
pp. 553-557 ◽  
Author(s):  
Syed Muhammad Javed ◽  
Agha Jahanzeb . ◽  
Saif-ur-Rehman .

The purpose of this paper is to scrutinize and appreciate the theories of capital structure starting from theory of Miller and Modigliani (1958) of capital structure, which is also known as irrelevance theory of capital structure and also including theory like pecking order theory, trade off theory, market timing theory and agency cost theory. In addition, authors have tried to explain the theories and their contradiction with each other in detail. This paper will be an addition to understand the theories of capital structure.


Media Ekonomi ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 229
Author(s):  
Ika Yustina Rahmawati

This study aims to determine the effect of profitability, size and growth of the company's capital structure in the consumer goods industry sector based on the pecking order theory and trade-off theory. This research was conducted using the procedure panel data for a sample of 26 consumer goods industry sector companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange during 2009- 2013. The findings of this study is to support H1a, H2b and H3b. based on the results of the analysis of the profitability variable (measured ROE) there is a negative correlation significant at α = 5%, which means supporting the pecking order theory. The size variable (as measured by total assets) and growth (which was measured by the Market to Book Value) positively associated significant at α = 5% and 10%, which means supporting the trade-off theory. For the selection method of FEM and REM, researchers used a test in which the capital REM Test Hausmant be an option for the measurement of capital structure (DER, DAR and Working capital) while FEM selected for the measurement of capital structure (Leverage). Keyword: profitability, size, growth, capital struktur, pecking order theory and trade-off theory


2018 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 129-144 ◽  
Author(s):  
Winston Pontoh ◽  
Novi Swandari Budiarso

The adjustment for the firm capital structure is unclear from perspectives of trade-off theory, pecking order theory, life cycle theory, market timing theory, and free cash flow theory, since many research findings contradict each other. Adjustments for the capital structure are complex, since the conditions for each firm are different. The objective of this study is to provide empirical evidence of how firms adjust capital structure in relationship with maturity in context of trade-off, pecking order, free cash flow, and market timing theory. In terms of hypotheses testing, this study conducts logistic regression analysis with 138 Indonesian public firms as the sample in the observed period from 2010 to 2015. To distinguish the results, this study controls the sample by size and age based on the median. The study reports that preferences for the source of funds based on the cost of capital, internal conflict, and firm maturity indicate adjustments for the firm capital structure. Based on Indonesian firms, the form of capital structure in developing countries can refer to a single model or a combination of the trade-off model and pecking order model, as well as market timing.


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