To achieve the real-time application of a dynamic programming (DP) control strategy, we propose a predictive energy management strategy (PEMS) based on full-factor trip information, including vehicle speed, slip ratio and slope. Firstly, the prediction model of the full-factor trip information is proposed, which provides an information basis for global optimization energy management. To improve the prediction’s accuracy, the vehicle speed is predicted based on the state transition probability matrix generated in the same driving scene. The characteristic parameters are extracted by a feature selection method taken as the basis for the driving condition’s identification. Similar to speed prediction, regarding the uncertain route at an intersection, the slope prediction is modelled as a Markov model. On the basis of the predicted speed and the identified maximum adhesion coefficient, the slip ratio is predicted based on a neural network. Then, a predictive energy management strategy is developed based on the predictive full-factor trip information. According to the statistical rules of DP results under multiple standard driving cycles, the reference SOC trajectory is generated to ensure global sub-optimality, which determines the feasible state domain at each prediction horizon. Simulations are performed under different types of driving conditions (Urban Dynamometer Driving Schedule, UDDS and World Light Vehicle Test Cycle, WLTC) to verify the effectiveness of the proposed strategy.
Reduction of the prediction horizon of predictive energy management for a plug-in HEV in hilly terrain