A Study on the Improvement of Air Force Spare Parts Demand Prediction Accuracy Using Machine Learning

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 43-51
Author(s):  
Myung-Jin Choi ◽  
Dae-Kyung Sung ◽  
Dong-Gyu Jeon ◽  
Byungho Jung
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Air Force ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Spare Parts ◽  
Demand Prediction

Machine Learning Approach for Predicting Lane-Change Maneuvers using the SHRP2 Naturalistic Driving Study Data

2021 ◽  
pp. 036119812110035
Author(s):  
Anik Das ◽  
Mohamed M. Ahmed
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Lane Change ◽  
Adaptive Boosting ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
Naturalistic Driving Study ◽  
Naturalistic Driving ◽  
Change Prediction

Accurate lane-change prediction information in real time is essential to safely operate Autonomous Vehicles (AVs) on the roadways, especially at the early stage of AVs deployment, where there will be an interaction between AVs and human-driven vehicles. This study proposed reliable lane-change prediction models considering features from vehicle kinematics, machine vision, driver, and roadway geometric characteristics using the trajectory-level SHRP2 Naturalistic Driving Study and Roadway Information Database. Several machine learning algorithms were trained, validated, tested, and comparatively analyzed including, Classification And Regression Trees (CART), Random Forest (RF), eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Adaptive Boosting (AdaBoost), Support Vector Machine (SVM), K Nearest Neighbor (KNN), and Naïve Bayes (NB) based on six different sets of features. In each feature set, relevant features were extracted through a wrapper-based algorithm named Boruta. The results showed that the XGBoost model outperformed all other models in relation to its highest overall prediction accuracy (97%) and F1-score (95.5%) considering all features. However, the highest overall prediction accuracy of 97.3% and F1-score of 95.9% were observed in the XGBoost model based on vehicle kinematics features. Moreover, it was found that XGBoost was the only model that achieved a reliable and balanced prediction performance across all six feature sets. Furthermore, a simplified XGBoost model was developed for each feature set considering the practical implementation of the model. The proposed prediction model could help in trajectory planning for AVs and could be used to develop more reliable advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) in a cooperative connected and automated vehicle environment.

419 STOP-Bang Score and History of Radiation Predicts Risk of Obstructive Sleep Apnea in Cancer Patients: A Machine Learning Study

SLEEP ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 44 (Supplement_2) ◽  
pp. A166-A166
Author(s):  
Ankita Paul ◽  
Karen Wong ◽  
Anup Das ◽  
Diane Lim ◽  
Miranda Tan
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Obstructive Sleep Apnea ◽  
Sleep Apnea ◽  
Cancer Patients ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Screening Tools ◽  
Cancer Type ◽  
Sleep Study ◽  
Obstructive Sleep ◽  
History Of

Abstract Introduction Cancer patients are at an increased risk of moderate-to-severe obstructive sleep apnea (OSA). The STOP-Bang score is a commonly used screening questionnaire to assess risk of OSA in the general population. We hypothesize that cancer-relevant features, like radiation therapy (RT), may be used to determine the risk of OSA in cancer patients. Machine learning (ML) with non-parametric regression is applied to increase the prediction accuracy of OSA risk. Methods Ten features namely STOP-Bang score, history of RT to the head/neck/thorax, cancer type, cancer stage, metastasis, hypertension, diabetes, asthma, COPD, and chronic kidney disease were extracted from a database of cancer patients with a sleep study. The ML technique, K-Nearest-Neighbor (KNN), with a range of k values (5 to 20), was chosen because, unlike Logistic Regression (LR), KNN is not presumptive of data distribution and mapping function, and supports non-linear relationships among features. A correlation heatmap was computed to identify features having high correlation with OSA. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) was performed on the correlated features and then KNN was applied on the components to predict the risk of OSA. Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) - Area Under Curve (AUC) and Precision-Recall curves were computed to compare and validate performance for different test sets and majority class scenarios. Results In our cohort of 174 cancer patients, the accuracy in determining OSA among cancer patients using STOP-Bang score was 82.3% (LR) and 90.69% (KNN) but reduced to 89.9% in KNN using all 10 features mentioned above. PCA + KNN application using STOP-Bang score and RT as features, increased prediction accuracy to 94.1%. We validated our ML approach using a separate cohort of 20 cancer patients; the accuracies in OSA prediction were 85.57% (LR), 91.1% (KNN), and 92.8% (PCA + KNN). Conclusion STOP-Bang score and history of RT can be useful to predict risk of OSA in cancer patients with the PCA + KNN approach. This ML technique can refine screening tools to improve prediction accuracy of OSA in cancer patients. Larger studies investigating additional features using ML may improve OSA screening accuracy in various populations Support (if any):

scholarly journals Pattern discovery and disentanglement on relational datasets

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrew K. C. Wong ◽  
Pei-Yuan Zhou ◽  
Zahid A. Butt
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Knowledge Base ◽  
Case Studies ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Pattern Discovery ◽  
Explicit Representation ◽  
Human Cognition ◽  
Source Level ◽  
Low Volume

AbstractMachine Learning has made impressive advances in many applications akin to human cognition for discernment. However, success has been limited in the areas of relational datasets, particularly for data with low volume, imbalanced groups, and mislabeled cases, with outputs that typically lack transparency and interpretability. The difficulties arise from the subtle overlapping and entanglement of functional and statistical relations at the source level. Hence, we have developed Pattern Discovery and Disentanglement System (PDD), which is able to discover explicit patterns from the data with various sizes, imbalanced groups, and screen out anomalies. We present herein four case studies on biomedical datasets to substantiate the efficacy of PDD. It improves prediction accuracy and facilitates transparent interpretation of discovered knowledge in an explicit representation framework PDD Knowledge Base that links the sources, the patterns, and individual patients. Hence, PDD promises broad and ground-breaking applications in genomic and biomedical machine learning.

Innovative Approach to Build a Scalable Hybrid Model for Prescriptive Maintenance

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard Büssow ◽  
Bruno Hain ◽  
Ismael Al Nuaimi
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Big Data ◽  
Hybrid Model ◽  
Domain Knowledge ◽  
Spare Parts ◽  
Good Prediction ◽  
First Principle ◽  
Plant Data ◽  
Rotating Equipment

Abstract Objective and Scope Analysis of operational plant data needs experts in order to interpret detected anomalies which are defined as unusual operation points. The next step on the digital transformation journey is to provide actionable insights into the data. Prescriptive Maintenance defines in advance which kind of detailed maintenance and spare parts will be required. This paper details requirements to improve these predictions for rotating equipment and show potential to integrate the outcome into an operational workflow. Methods, Procedures, Process First principle or physics-based modelling provides additional insights into the data, since the results are directly interpretable. However, such approaches are typically assumed to be expensive to build and not scalable. Identification of and focus on the relevant equipment to be modeled in a hybrid model using a combination of first principle physics and machine learning is a successful strategy. The model is trained using a machine learning approach with historic or current real plant data, to predict conditions which have not occurred before. The better the Artificial Intelligence is trained, the better the prediction will be. Results, Observations, Conclusions The general aim when operating a plant is the actual usage of operational data for process and maintenance optimization by advanced analytics. Typically a data-driven central oversight function supports operations and maintenance staff. A major lesson-learned is that the results of a rather simple statistical approach to detect anomalies fall behind the expectations and are too labor intensive. It is a widely spread misinterpretation that being able to deal with big data is sufficient to come up with good prediction quality for Prescriptive Maintenance. What big data companies are normally missing is domain knowledge, especially on plant critical rotating equipment. Without having domain knowledge the relevant input into the model will have shortcomings and hence the same will apply to its predictions. This paper gives an example of a refinery where the described hybrid model has been used. Novel and Additive Information First principle models are typically expensive to build and not scalable. This hybrid model approach, combining first principle physics based models with artificial intelligence and integration into an operational workflow shows a new way forward.

NIMG-46. SYSTEMATIC LITERATURE REVIEW OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE ALGORITHMS USING PRE-THERAPY MR IMAGING FOR GLIOMA MOLECULAR SUBTYPE CLASSIFICATION

2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (Supplement_6) ◽  
pp. vi139-vi139
Author(s):  
Jan Lost ◽  
Tej Verma ◽  
Niklas Tillmanns ◽  
W R Brim ◽  
Harry Subramanian ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Literature Review ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Molecular Subtypes ◽  
Molecular Subtype ◽  
Tumor Resection ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Hospital Data

Abstract PURPOSE Identifying molecular subtypes in gliomas has prognostic and therapeutic value, traditionally after invasive neurosurgical tumor resection or biopsy. Recent advances using artificial intelligence (AI) show promise in using pre-therapy imaging for predicting molecular subtype. We performed a systematic review of recent literature on AI methods used to predict molecular subtypes of gliomas. METHODS Literature review conforming to PRSIMA guidelines was performed for publications prior to February 2021 using 4 databases: Ovid Embase, Ovid MEDLINE, Cochrane trials (CENTRAL), and Web of Science core-collection. Keywords included: artificial intelligence, machine learning, deep learning, radiomics, magnetic resonance imaging, glioma, and glioblastoma. Non-machine learning and non-human studies were excluded. Screening was performed using Covidence software. Bias analysis was done using TRIPOD guidelines. RESULTS 11,727 abstracts were retrieved. After applying initial screening exclusion criteria, 1,135 full text reviews were performed, with 82 papers remaining for data extraction. 57% used retrospective single center hospital data, 31.6% used TCIA and BRATS, and 11.4% analyzed multicenter hospital data. An average of 146 patients (range 34-462 patients) were included. Algorithms predicting IDH status comprised 51.8% of studies, MGMT 18.1%, and 1p19q 6.0%. Machine learning methods were used in 71.4%, deep learning in 27.4%, and 1.2% directly compared both methods. The most common algorithm for machine learning were support vector machine (43.3%), and for deep learning convolutional neural network (68.4%). Mean prediction accuracy was 76.6%. CONCLUSION Machine learning is the predominant method for image-based prediction of glioma molecular subtypes. Major limitations include limited datasets (60.2% with under 150 patients) and thus limited generalizability of findings. We recommend using larger annotated datasets for AI network training and testing in order to create more robust AI algorithms, which will provide better prediction accuracy to real world clinical datasets and provide tools that can be translated to clinical practice.

scholarly journals Using machine learning and big data to explore the drug resistance landscape in HIV

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Luc Blassel ◽  
Anna Tostevin ◽  
Christian Julian Villabona-Arenas ◽  
Martine Peeters ◽  
Stephane Hue ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Drug Resistance ◽  
Reverse Transcriptase ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Sequence Data ◽  
Transcriptase Inhibitor ◽  
Binary Representation ◽  
Resistance Mutations ◽  
Genetic Barrier ◽  
The Uk

Drug resistance mutations (DRMs) appear in HIV under treatment pressure. DRMs are commonly transmitted to naive patients. The standard approach to reveal new DRMs is to test for significant frequency differences of mutations between treated and naive patients. However, we then consider each mutation individually and cannot hope to study interactions between several mutations. Here, we aim to leverage the ever-growing quantity of high-quality sequence data and machine learning methods to study such interactions (i.e. epistasis), as well as try to find new DRMs. We trained classifiers to discriminate between Reverse Transcriptase Inhibitor (RTI)-experienced and RTI-naive samples on a large HIV-1 reverse transcriptase (RT) sequence dataset from the UK (n ≈ 55; 000), using all observed mutations as binary representation features. To assess the robustness of our findings, our classifiers were evaluated on independent data sets, both from the UK and Africa. Important representation features for each classifier were then extracted as potential DRMs. To find novel DRMs, we repeated this process by removing either features or samples associated to known DRMs. When keeping all known resistance signal, we detected sufficiently prevalent known DRMs, thus validating the approach. When removing features corresponding to known DRMs, our classifiers retained some prediction accuracy, and six new mutations significantly associated with resistance were identified. These six mutations have a low genetic barrier, are correlated to known DRMs, and are spatially close to either the RT active site or the regulatory binding pocket. When removing both known DRM features and sequences containing at least one known DRM, our classifiers lose all prediction accuracy. These results likely indicate that all mutations directly conferring resistance have been found, and that our newly discovered DRMs are accessory or compensatory mutations. Moreover, we did not find any significant signal of epistasis, beyond the standard resistance scheme associating major DRMs to auxiliary mutations.

scholarly journals Application of Various Machine Learning Models for Process Stability of Bio-Electrochemical Anaerobic Digestion

Processes ◽  
2022 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 158
Author(s):  
Ain Cheon ◽  
Jwakyung Sung ◽  
Hangbae Jun ◽  
Heewon Jang ◽  
Minji Kim ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Anaerobic Digestion ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Input Data ◽  
Process Stability ◽  
Operational Parameters ◽  
Monitoring Parameter ◽  
Efficient Prediction ◽  
Single Input ◽  
Machine Learning Models

The application of a machine learning (ML) model to bio-electrochemical anaerobic digestion (BEAD) is a future-oriented approach for improving process stability by predicting performances that have nonlinear relationships with various operational parameters. Five ML models, which included tree-, regression-, and neural network-based algorithms, were applied to predict the methane yield in BEAD reactor. The results showed that various 1-step ahead ML models, which utilized prior data of BEAD performances, could enhance prediction accuracy. In addition, 1-step ahead with retraining algorithm could improve prediction accuracy by 37.3% compared with the conventional multi-step ahead algorithm. The improvement was particularly noteworthy in tree- and regression-based ML models. Moreover, 1-step ahead with retraining algorithm showed high potential of achieving efficient prediction using pH as a single input data, which is plausibly an easier monitoring parameter compared with the other parameters required in bioprocess models.

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