scholarly journals Application of a Priori and a Posteriori Estimate on Risk Assessment 

2018 ◽  
Vol 20 (2) ◽  
pp. 56-61
Author(s):  
Lenka Sivakova ◽  
Anna Zubkova ◽  
Witalis Pellowski
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Crisis Management ◽  
A Priori ◽  
Main Idea ◽  
A Posteriori ◽  
Mathematical Methods ◽  
A Posteriori Estimate ◽  
Safety Protection ◽  
Expected Values ◽  
Potential Use

The problem of setting the values and interconnections between elements of the models in the safety, protection and security field, appears as the biggest obstacle in taking crisis management decisions. The article attempts to represent a mathematical approach to modify the expected values and interconnections that can occur in the models describing the protected system in order to minimize errors caused by subjectivity. Here presented procedures are described in the examples of their potential use. The main idea is to focus on improving estimates for better response to reality, then to find new estimates, since those would still be weighed down by the subjectivity caused errors. Based on this premise this article attempts to characterize application of mathematical methods on minimizing the subjectivity caused errors in the models in risk assessment.

scholarly journals Information Collecting and Dissemination in the Network of Taxpayers: Bayesian Approach

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 ◽  
pp. 236-256
Author(s):  
Suriya Sh. Kumacheva ◽  
◽  
Galina A. Tomilina ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Bayesian Approach ◽  
A Priori ◽  
Repeated Game ◽  
Social Connections ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
A Posteriori ◽  
A Posteriori Estimate ◽  
In The Beginning ◽  
Information Collecting ◽  
The Bayesian Approach

The current research is based on the assumption that the result of tax inspections is not only collection of taxes and fines. The information about audited taxpayers is also collected and helps to renew a priori knowledge of each agent's evasion propensity and obtain new a posteriori estimate of this propensity. In the beginning of the following tax period the fiscal authority can correct auditing strategy using updated information on every taxpayer. Each inspection is considered as a repeated game, in which the choice of agents to audit is associated with their revealed tendency to evade. Taxpayers also renew the information on the number of inspected neighbors using their social connections, represented by networks of various con gurations, and estimate the probability of auditing before the next tax period. Thus, the application of the Bayesian approach to the process of collecting and disseminating information in the network of taxpayers allows to optimize the audit scheme, reducing unnecessary expenses of tax authority and eventually increasing net tax revenue. To illustrate the application of the approach described above to the indicated problem, numerical simulation and scenario analysis were carried out.

HEALTH RISK ASSESSMENT OF VIOLATIONS OF WORKERS OF ENTERPRISES OF FUEL AND ENERGY COMPLEX

2017 ◽  
pp. 25-30 ◽  
Author(s):  
L.K. Karimova ◽  
В.А. Kaptsov ◽  
T.M. Salimgareeva ◽  
L.N. Mavrina ◽  
Z.F. Gimaeva ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Risk Management ◽  
Health Risk ◽  
Conceptual Model ◽  
High Efficiency ◽  
A Priori ◽  
Oil Refining ◽  
A Posteriori ◽  
Energy Complex ◽  
Federal Districts

The estimation of professional risk on the basis of a priori and a posteriori criteria at five enterprises of the fuel and energy complex located in the Volga and Urals Federal Districts was carried out. Based on the conducted studies, a conceptual model for assessing risk management in oil producing, oil refining and petrochemical enterprises was developed, tested in real conditions and demonstrated high efficiency.

scholarly journals Impact of ABO blood groups on the fertility of different parental pairs

2004 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 19-24 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ljubomir Berberović ◽  
Amira Redžić ◽  
Bojan Sosić
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Population Genetic ◽  
A Priori ◽  
Blood Groups ◽  
A Posteriori ◽  
Abo Blood Groups ◽  
Pregnancy Risk ◽  
Live Births ◽  
The Individual

Classical works dealing with the possibility of mother-child incompatibility with regard to basic ABO blood groups give contradictory conclusions. Bioreproductive and population-genetic indicators have been studied in a sample of live births and in two pregnancy samples with different "a priori" and "a posteriori" risk assessment. The analysis points out that ABO blood groups can influence fertility of differentparental pairs, and consequently--assessment of the individual pregnancy risk.

A priori/a posteriori

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Heinrich Schepers ◽  
Giorgio Tonelli ◽  
Rudolf Eisler
Keyword(s):  
A Priori ◽  
A Posteriori

A Critique of Modernist Synthesis in Islamic Thought

1994 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 475-503
Author(s):  
Masudul Alum Choudhury
Keyword(s):  
Scientific Inquiry ◽  
A Priori ◽  
Scientific Investigation ◽  
Muslim World ◽  
A Posteriori ◽  
Islamic Thought ◽  
And Behavior ◽  
Muslim Scholars

Is it the realm of theoretical constructs or positive applications thatdefines the essence of scientific inquiry? Is there unison between thenormative and the positive, between the inductive and deductivecontents, between perception and reality, between the micro- andmacro-phenomena of reality as technically understood? In short, isthere a possibility for unification of knowledge in modernist epistemologicalcomprehension? Is knowledge perceived in conceptionand application as systemic dichotomy between the purely epistemic(in the metaphysically a priori sense) and the purely ontic (in thepurely positivistically a posteriori sense) at all a reflection of reality?Is knowledge possible in such a dichotomy or plurality?Answers to these foundational questions are primal in order tounderstand a critique of modernist synthesis in Islamic thought thathas been raging among Muslim scholars for some time now. Theconsequences emanating from the modernist approach underlie muchof the nature of development in methodology, thinking, institutions,and behavior in the Muslim world throughout its history. They arefound to pervade more intensively, I will argue here, as the consequenceof a taqlid of modernism among Islamic thinkers. I will thenargue that this debility has arisen not because of a comparativemodem scientific investigation, but due to a failure to fathom theuniqueness of a truly Qur'anic epistemological inquiry in the understandingof the nature of the Islamic socioscientific worldview ...

Qualifier la qualité des données localisées numériques des réseaux d’eau et d’assainissement

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
pp. 51-64
Author(s):  
M. LE MOAL
Keyword(s):  
A Priori ◽  
A Posteriori ◽  
Systèmes D’Information Géographique ◽  
Systèmes D’Information

Les systèmes d’information géographique (SIG) sont devenus incontournables dans la gestion des réseaux d’eau et d’assainissement et leur efficacité repose en très grande partie sur la qualité des données exploitées. Parallèlement, les évolutions réglementaires et les pratiques des utilisateurs augmentant notamment les échanges d’informations renforcent le rôle central des données et de leur qualité. Si la plupart des solutions SIG du marché disposent de fonctions dédiées à la qualification de la qualité des données, elles procèdent de la traduction préalable de spécifications des données en règles informatiques avant de procéder aux tests qualitatifs. Cette approche chronophage requiert des compétences métier. Pour éviter ces contraintes, Axes Conseil a élaboré un procédé de contrôle des données SIG rapide et accessible à des acteurs métier de l’eau et de l’assainissement. Plutôt qu’une lourde approche de modélisation a priori, le principe est de générer un ensemble d’indicateurs explicites facilement exploitables a posteriori par les acteurs du métier. Cette approche offre une grande souplesse d’analyse et ne nécessite pas de compétences informatiques avancées.

Kant’s ‘Transcendental Deduction’

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Barry Stroud
Keyword(s):  
A Priori ◽  
Human Mind ◽  
Critical Assessment ◽  
Structural Description ◽  
A Posteriori ◽  
Human Knowledge ◽  
Transcendental Deduction ◽  
The World ◽  
Empirical Realism

This chapter presents a straightforward structural description of Immanuel Kant’s conception of what the transcendental deduction is supposed to do, and how it is supposed to do it. The ‘deduction’ Kant thinks is needed for understanding the human mind would establish and explain our ‘right’ or ‘entitlement’ to something we seem to possess and employ in ‘the highly complicated web of human knowledge’. This is: experience, concepts, and principles. The chapter explains the point and strategy of the ‘deduction’ as Kant understands it, as well as the demanding conditions of its success, without entering into complexities of interpretation or critical assessment of the degree of success actually achieved. It also analyses Kant’s arguments regarding a priori concepts as well as a posteriori knowledge of the world around us, along with his claim that our position in the world must be understood as ‘empirical realism’.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document