scholarly journals TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER AND MANUFACTURING PERFORMANCE: NIGERIA’S COINTEGRATION AND CAUSAL EVIDENCE

2021 ◽  
Vol 06 (01) ◽  
pp. 09-25
Author(s):  
Olumuyiwa Olamade ◽  

This paper investigates the long-run and causal relationships of technology spillovers on manufacturing performance in Nigeria using the share of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in gross fixed capital formation as a proxy for technology transfer for the period 1981 to 2019 in a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). The FDI stock appears to be too low at less than 1% of capital formation to generate any significant positive spillovers on manufacturing performance, resulting in an insignificant negative long-run relationship and the absence of causal relationships. The size of the local market has the most significant positive long-run effect on manufacturing performance, and the causality for this effect is one-way from manufacturing. A one-way causality was also observed from manufacturing to income per capital, though the long-run effect was significantly negative. The paper concluded that FDI technology spillover is presently not a major factor in Nigeria’s manufacturing performance. This may be redressed with policies aimed at increasing FDI inflows, increasing the technology-learning capacity of local firms and their vertical integration with foreign firms, and the creation of national infrastructure for technology development and diffusion

2020 ◽  
Vol 31 (4) ◽  
pp. 425-436
Author(s):  
Petar Mitić ◽  
Aleksandar Kostić ◽  
Evica Petrović ◽  
Slobodan Cvetanovic

The examination of the economy-environment nexus is one of the focal issues in the field of environmental economics. This study examines the causal relationships between carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, industry, services, and gross fixed capital formation for a panel of Balkan countries over the period 1996-2017. A three-step methodological approach is used, including panel unit root tests, panel cointegration tests, and panel causality tests. The results suggest a strong cointegration between the variables, meaning that all variables have a long-run relationship with CO2 emissions. The results of the panel causality show that there is a short-run bidirectional panel causality running between industry and services, and gross fixed capital formation and services. Moreover, there is a unidirectional causality running from industry and gross fixed capital formation to CO2 emissions, and from industry to gross fixed capital formation. The results of the long-run causal relationships show that estimated coefficients of the error correction terms (ECT) in the case of CO2 emissions, industry and gross fixed capital formation are statistically significant, indicating that these three variables are an important part in the adjustment process as the model diverges from the long-run equilibrium. Balkan countries need to further invest in the modernisation of their technological process, as well as to act following the global policy incentives. Environmental taxes, carbon capture and storage, taking part in emission trading schemes and orientation towards renewable energy sources, should further strengthen Balkan countries in achieving environmentally sound economic growth.


Author(s):  
Pujan Adhikari

This paper examines the long run and short-run dynamics relationship between broad money, consumption expenditure, capital stock and interest rate in Nepal over the period of 1975-2017. This paper employs ARDL bound testing approach for co-integration between the broad money demand and its determinants. Result reveals the evidence of cointegration among the variables. The empirical results show that the demand for money is affected by the interest rate and final consumption expenditure both in the long run and short-run. However, the gross fixed capital formation has no impact on demand for money in the long-run and short-run as well. On contrast, interest rate is positively associated with Broad money demand, which is not consistent with theoretically. Positive association of money demand with interest rate shows that demand for money function is instability in Nepal. Thus, this study suggests that policy maker to correct price fluctuation through the control of various expenditure components, particularly, real final consumption expenditure might be an important strategy in the long run. However, the gross fixed capital formation has no impact on demand for money in the long-run.


2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 95-128
Author(s):  
Irfan Ali ◽  
Zafar Mahmood

Productivity (TFP) performance is not only influenced by the direct effects of human capital, R&D (technology development)), embodied and disembodied forms of technology transfer and know-how through capital imports, FDI and use of foreign IPRs (technology transfer activities), but importantly is indirectly affected by compo-nents like the interactive effects of machinery and equipment imports, royalties and licenses fee payments, FDI, human capital and technology deployment. In this context, we analyzed internal technology building capabilities, trade-related technology transf-er activities and foreign technology absorption capabilities. The ARDL technique demonstrates that stable long-run association exists amongst all the chosen variables. The results indicate that investment in human capital boost the TFP, in addition expenditures on R&D, imports of machinery are crucial determinants of TFP growth. Surprisingly, FDI appears with a negative sign but the indirect effect of FDI through its interaction with human capital is positive. This indicates that FDI in the presence of human capital plays a favourable role in enhancing TFP. Moreover, the imports of machinery directly and indirectly, in association with both human capital and R&D, increase the growth of TFP. These findings provide evidence that internal technology building capabilities enhances the TFP growth significantly; while, embodied form of technology transfer has a positive and significant impact on the growth of TFP; whereas, disembodied technology transfer exerts positive but statistically insignificant impact on TFP growth. Furthermore, the study lends support for the existence of strong foreign technology absorption capabilities.


1993 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 155-162
Author(s):  
W. Michael Denny ◽  
Winston W. Liang

Small Hong Kong companies are able to adapt quickly to changing conditions and once a new technology has been introduced into Hong Kong, it can spread quickly. However, small companies often have difficulty in identifying, acquiring, and integrating emerging technologies into their businesses because of the rapid proliferation of technology, its high cost, and complexity. Because of this, Hong Kong companies are increasingly forming partnerships among themselves, with Tertiary Education Institutions, and with foreign firms. Forming and maintaining such partnerships, however, requires the partners to overcome several obstacles; and a technology broker can play an important role in doing this. The Hong Kong Industrial Technology Centre is a new institution which combines incubator, technology transfer and product development and support activities.


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 108-126
Author(s):  
Nzeh Innocent Chile ◽  
Benedict I Uzoechina ◽  
Millicent Adanne Eze ◽  
Chika P Imoagwu ◽  
Uzoma M. Anyachebelu

Our objective in this study is to investigate if natural resource abundance can crowed-out the manufacturing sector in Nigeria. Under the framework of an ARDL and over a period of 1990-2019, findings of the results showed that in the short-run, natural resources positively impact on the manufacturing value added in the current period; however, after a one period lag, the contribution of natural resources to the manufacturing value added becomes negative. We also found that in the short-run, real interest rate, inflation rate and trade openness are negatively linked to the manufacturing value added, while employment in industry and gross fixed capital formation are positively related to the manufacturing value added. In the long-run, natural resources contributed positively to the manufacturing value added. The long-run results also show that the gross fixed capital formation and inflation rate negatively impact on the manufacturing valued added. The implication of our finding is that natural resources rent is closely linked to the success of the manufacturing sector and as such can also crowd-out the manufacturing sector. On grounds of these findings, we recommend, among others; that the proceeds from natural resources should be used to build critical infrastructure necessary to improve the performance of the manufacturing sector. This way, the economy can be diversified to create the needed employment.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 206-224
Author(s):  
Shreezal G.C.

Background: Capital investment, financial and technological developments are essential drivers for the economic growth of developing countries like Nepal. These factors, directly and indirectly, contribute to the growth of the country. Technological factors such as FDI and trade allow technology and knowledge transfers to Nepal along with foreign investments, goods and services. The financial sector encourages investors by providing loans that further generates investment in the country. Similarly, the development of human capital further increases labor productivity. Nepal, being a developing country, lacks advanced infrastructure and technology, that are vital for pushing the economic growth in the country. Objective: This paper examined the effect of capital, labor, foreign direct investment, financial development and trade on the economic growth of Nepal using the endogenous growth model. Methods: The study employedthe ARDLboundstesting approach to test the long-run relationships introducing an error correction model to estimate both short and long-term relationships among the variables.The TY non-granger causality test was used to ensure robustness and check the direction of causality. Results: The results showed that gross fixed capital formation, population and financial development were significant and inducedpositive economic growth in the long run at a 1% level of significance whereas, the impact of FDI on economic growth was negative and significant at 1%. Conclusions: The study concludes that an increase in gross fixed capital formation, population and broad money supply positively impacts the economic growth of Nepal. However, technological factors such as FDI and trade do not adequately explain the economic growth due to low FDI inflows, political instability, poor infrastructure and import dependency. Implications: The study emphasized domestic investment and financial development of the country as they were found to be highly significant in the long run. Also, the human capital of the country should be developed by providing education and training as the population was found to be highly significant. The study also indicated that Nepal should push export as its share in the trade is very less. Moreover, policies such as legal reforms, incentives to foreign investors and infrastructural development to attract FDIs in Nepal should be formulated.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 769-778
Author(s):  
Nurul Anwar ◽  
Khalid Eltayeb Elfaki

This paper examines the relationship between energy consumption, economic growth, and environmental degradation in Indonesia in 1965-2018 with the inclusion of gross capital formation and trade openness as relevant factors. The autoregressive distributed lag model to cointegration, fully modified ordinary least squares, dynamic ordinary least squares, and canonical cointegrating regression approach applied to estimate this relationship. The result of cointegration confirms the existence of a cointegration relationship between energy consumption, economic growth, gross fixed capital formation, trade openness, and environmental degradation. The empirical result, in the long run, indicates that energy consumption, economic growth, and trade openness have a positive relationship with environmental degradation. However, the gross fixed capital formation was found to be negatively associated with environmental degradation. This implying that gross fixed capital formation plays a pivotal role to reduce environmental degradation in Indonesia.  The error correction model coefficient indicates that the deviation of CO2 emissions from its long run equilibrium will be adjusted by 0.53% through the short run channel per annual. The findings of this paper propose implementing an energy policy that focuses on energy from environmentally friendly sources. Reverse the effect of openness to the international markets to improve and facilitate access to advanced and environmentally friendly technologies to mitigate environmental degradation and improve environmental quality.


2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 25
Author(s):  
Masturah Ma’in ◽  
Siti Sarah Mat Isa

This study analyzes the impact of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) on economic growth in Malaysia. The Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) method is used to investigate the long-run relationship between FDI and economic growth. The controlled variables are life expectancy, gross fixed capital formation and population growth. The bound test suggests that FDI, life expectancy, gross fixed capital formation and population growth have a long-run relationship with economic growth. This is supported by the significant correction term, which confirms the existence of a long-run relationship. However, as FDI, life expectancy and gross fixed capital formation have positive impact on Malaysia’s economic growth, population on the other hand, shows otherwise.


2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-1
Author(s):  
Syed Asfand Yar Shah ◽  
Naeem Ahmad ◽  
Wasim Aslam ◽  
Bilal Haider Subhani

This review emphasized the relationship among capital formation, economic growth, exports and imports in case of Pakistan scenario using time series data from 1976 to 2015. Augmented Dickey Fuller Test, Johansen Co-integration, Vector error correction model and Granger Causality techniques have been used to check the relationships among exports, imports and economic growth. The results from this study show that the exports, imports, real GDP and gross fixed capital formation have a long run relationship and are co-integrated. This study uses the data of Pakistan and concludes that GDP doesn’t granger cause with the export and import while export and imports do granger cause with the GDP in the long run. Finding of the study also displays that physical capital formation has no impression over GDP. Previous study shows the positive relation among exports, imports, capital formation and economic growth while this study shows that in the long run capital formation and economic growth has no effect. Government subsidizes the exports and also increases the duty bills on imports that help boost the domestic industries manufacture the goods and motivate to produce the best quality of goods. JEL codes: F2, O47


Author(s):  
Shikha Pokhrel ◽  
Chakra Bahadur Khadka

 This paper examines the long and short run relationship among selected macroeconomic variables and economic growth of Nepal. The objective of the research is to examine empirically the long and short run relationship among macroeconomic variables; gross fixed capital formation, human capital, government expenditure, foreign aid, and trade openness on economic growth of Nepal. The study period spanned from 1975 to 2016. The data has the annual frequency. The time series properties of the data were, first, analyzed using the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test and then Auto-Regressive Distributive Lag (ARDL) approach to cointegration is employed to assess the direction of impact and long-run relationships between the variables. Besides these, other diagnostic tests are also conducted. The ARDL bound test analysis depicts the presence of cointegration relationship between real GDP and employed macroeconomic determinants. The negative and significant error correction coefficient further provides substantial evidence that there is long-run association among real gross domestic product and selected macroeconomic variables. The ARDL model shows that Gross fixed capital formation and government expenditure have a significant positive relationship on economic growth in the long run while trade openness has a significant negative relationship on economic growth in the long run. Thus, the findings suggest that GFCF and GE are the major macro determinants to robust the economic growth of Nepal. In order to achieve the desired rate of economic growth it is suggested that there should be a continuous investment in gross fixed capital formation including plants, machinery, raw materials, industrial buildings and technology (research and development). It is also suggested that structural changes should be made in school institutions with the provision of providing quality education with cognitive skills and added resources through quality and skilled teachers. Nepal must have more effective trade openness, particularly by productively controlling import of consumption goods, and by introducing import substitution policies, in boosting their economic growth through international trade.


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