scholarly journals The Role of the Monetary Policy of the US Federal Reserve in Regulating Global Oil Prices

Author(s):  
Larisa G. Chuvakhina
Author(s):  
Elena Lutskaya ◽  

The article examines the views of Western researchers on overcoming the COVID-19 crisis and its consequences. The main focus is on the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve system - the most developed financial system that affects both the US economy and global markets.


2012 ◽  
Vol 10 (9) ◽  
pp. 533
Author(s):  
David Gordon

The Federal Reserve Bank (FED) plays a vital role in the US economy. The roles and functions of the Fed are discussed here. This paper also offers an explanation of the traditional tools the Fed uses to conduct monetary policy. Open market operations are explained. The important role of the discount rate is discussed. The legally required reserve ratios are also explored. This author believes that the Fed has recently created a new tool. This tool is the payment of interest on demand deposit accounts at the Fed. This new tool is explained and its ramifications explored. The functions of monetary policy are also expanded upon in this paper.


Significance In the worst start to a year for US equities since 2008, the benchmark S&P 500 index fell 0.7% during the week ending January 10. December's employment report showed US non-farm payrolls rising by a robust 252,000, but average hourly earnings declined, accentuating deflationary fears. The dollar continued to strengthen against the euro on concerns about a possible euro crisis over Greece and the introduction of sovereign QE by the ECB. With the US Federal Reserve preparing to raise rates, investor sentiment remains fragile. Impacts The tug-of-war between central bank largesse and country-specific, geopolitical and economic risks will become more intense. Markets will focus on renewed fears of 'Grexit' and on concerns about German opposition to an ECB sovereign QE programme. The relentless oil prices slide, exacerbated by the dollar's strength, will put further strain on EM assets. The ruble is likely to weaken further, increasing the scope for contagion to other developing economies.


Subject Monetary policy moves. Significance The Bank of Mexico (Banxico) increased its target interest rate by 25 basis points, to 7.25%, on December 14, responding to a similar move by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) the previous day. The hike was the first to be taken under new Governor Alejandro Diaz de Leon and pushes the rate to its highest level since March 2009. Impacts Tighter monetary policy will weigh on growth in 2018 and may hit the PRI’s electoral prospects. More expensive credit will hit consumption moderately, as interest rates remain relatively low by historical standards. The possibility of wage increases edging up will feed inflationary expectations.


Subject Indonesia's economic headwinds. Significance Finance Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati last week said the US Federal Reserve (Fed) should be careful about how its policies affect emerging markets. Tightening US monetary policy and a global trend of trade protectionism is straining Indonesia’s currency and current account deficit. President Joko ‘Jokowi’ Widodo will be eager to demonstrate that he can handle Indonesia’s economic challenges ahead of the presidential election in April 2019. Impacts Sri Mulyani’s message to the Fed is unlikely to have much traction in Washington. The force of economic nationalism will hinder Indonesia’s efforts to court more foreign direct investment. US trade reprisals on Indonesia would damage Washington-Jakarta diplomatic ties.


Author(s):  
Yakov M. Mirkin ◽  
Karina M. Lebedeva

The article establishes stable codependencies between international financial markets and their underlying cause and effect mechanisms, as an object of a global transformation. We demonstrate an intense co-integration between the financial markets of Russia, Brazil and the other emerging markets of Latin America (through the lens of stock markets and national currencies). The cause and effect mechanisms of this dependency are examined. We characterize the countries as analogous substitutes for investors (abundant similarities include: models of collective behaviour, ideology, model and structure of the economy, model of the financial sector, highly speculative markets in shares and currencies). The article explains an extremely limited role of the internal (primarily retail) investors in determining dynamics of the financial market. The central role of non-resident actors (global financial institutions and institutional investors) in the dynamics of the markets of Russian and Brazil is established. We demonstrate that for Russia and Brazil sources of foreign portfolio investments coincide. This includes Anglo-Saxon centers, specifically the US and British offshore jurisdictions, and the global centers of secondary importance (the Netherlands and Luxembourg). The decision making models of global investors in Russian and Brazil are examined: stock prices are driven by the oil prices, and in part by the US stock market, and rouble and real exchange rates follows oil prices and the EUR-USD currency pair. Analysis and conclusions made in the article are supported by a significant volume of statistical modelling. 


Author(s):  
Owen F. Humpage

This Economic Commentary explains how warehousing—a seemingly innocuous institutional arrangement between the Federal Reserve and the US Treasury—came to threaten the Fed’s independence. Warehousing began as an arcane procedure designed to help the Treasury cover a specific type of foreign-exchange exposure. It then grew into a supplemental source of funding for the Treasury's foreign-exchange interventions. Eventually the procedure morphed into a sizeable off-budget source of funding for other Treasury activities and seemed an inappropriate subversion of the congressional appropriations process, a development that raised concerns within the Fed about its ability to conduct monetary policy free from political concerns.


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