Prediction model of network security situation based on genetic algorithm and support vector machine

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Jingyu Xing ◽  
Zheng Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Simulated Annealing ◽  
Network Security ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Development Trend ◽  
Training Sample ◽  
Learning Ability ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Machine Model ◽  
Correlation Vector

In order to predict the development trend of network security situation more accurately, this paper proposes an improved vector machine model by simulated annealing optimization to improve network security situation prediction. In the process of prediction, the sample data of phase space reconstruction network security status is first formed to form training sample set, and then the simulated annealing method is improved. The correlation vector machine is the optimization of correlation vector machine with simulated degradation algorithm embedded in the calculation process of objective function. The network security situation prediction model is obtained through super parameters to improve the learning ability and prediction accuracy. The simulation results show that this method has higher prediction accuracy better than the correlation vector machine model optimized by Elman and simulated annealing. This method can describe the change of network security well.

Fire Situation Forecasting Based on Support Vector Machine Optimized by Genetic Algorithm

2014 ◽  
Vol 1073-1076 ◽  
pp. 1562-1566
Author(s):  
Yue Liang ◽  
Hong Xia Guo
Keyword(s):  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Support Vector Regression ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Optimal Combination ◽  
Test Reliability ◽  
Learning Ability ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Fire Prevention

Improve the prediction accuracy of fire situation reasonably has great significance for fire prevention and fire deployment. Firstly, build a fire situation prediction model by using support vector regression; followed adopt genetic algorithm to select the optimal combination of parameters; finally provide empirical analysis by taking Chinese Zhejiang Province, test reliability and practicality of model. The results showed that: the fire prediction model based on support vector machine has ideal learning ability and generalization ability; the predicted results possess a high precision, thus providing the new idea and method for predicting fire situation.

scholarly journals Predicting Ink Transfer Rate of 3D Additive Printing Using EGBO Optimized Least Squares Support Vector Machine Model

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Shengpu Li ◽  
Yize Sun
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Least Squares ◽  
Transfer Rate ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Experimental Sample ◽  
Machine Model ◽  
Ink Transfer

Ink transfer rate (ITR) is a reference index to measure the quality of 3D additive printing. In this study, an ink transfer rate prediction model is proposed by applying the least squares support vector machine (LSSVM). In addition, enhanced garden balsam optimization (EGBO) is used for selection and optimization of hyperparameters that are embedded in the LSSVM model. 102 sets of experimental sample data have been collected from the production line to train and test the hybrid prediction model. Experimental results show that the coefficient of determination (R2) for the introduced model is equal to 0.8476, the root-mean-square error (RMSE) is 6.6 × 10 (−3), and the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) is 1.6502 × 10 (−3) for the ink transfer rate of 3D additive printing.

scholarly journals An Improved Whale Algorithm for Support Vector Machine Prediction of Photovoltaic Power Generation

Symmetry ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 212
Author(s):  
Yu-Wei Liu ◽  
Huan Feng ◽  
Heng-Yi Li ◽  
Ling-Ling Li
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Output Power ◽  
Input Data ◽  
Support Vector Machine Model ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Clean Energy ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Machine Model ◽  
Photovoltaic Power

Accurate prediction of photovoltaic power is conducive to the application of clean energy and sustainable development. An improved whale algorithm is proposed to optimize the Support Vector Machine model. The characteristic of the model is that it needs less training data to symmetrically adapt to the prediction conditions of different weather, and has high prediction accuracy in different weather conditions. This study aims to (1) select light intensity, ambient temperature and relative humidity, which are strictly related to photovoltaic output power as the input data; (2) apply wavelet soft threshold denoising to preprocess input data to reduce the noise contained in input data to symmetrically enhance the adaptability of the prediction model in different weather conditions; (3) improve the whale algorithm by using tent chaotic mapping, nonlinear disturbance and differential evolution algorithm; (4) apply the improved whale algorithm to optimize the Support Vector Machine model in order to improve the prediction accuracy of the prediction model. The experiment proves that the short-term prediction model of photovoltaic power based on symmetry concept achieves ideal accuracy in different weather. The systematic method for output power prediction of renewable energy is conductive to reducing the workload of predicting the output power and to promoting the application of clean energy and sustainable development.

Research on Combined Prediction Model for Busy Telephone Traffic

2014 ◽  
Vol 610 ◽  
pp. 789-796
Author(s):  
Jiang Bao Li ◽  
Zhen Hong Jia ◽  
Xi Zhong Qin ◽  
Lei Sheng ◽  
Li Chen
Keyword(s):  
Prediction Model ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Low Frequency ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Pso Algorithm ◽  
Frequency Component ◽  
Least Square ◽  
High Frequency Component ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Telephone Traffic

In order to improve the prediction accuracy of busy telephone traffic, this study proposes a busy telephone traffic prediction method that combines wavelet transformation and least square support vector machine (lssvm) model which is optimized by particle swarm optimization (pso) algorithm. Firstly, decompose the pretreatment of busy telephone traffic data with mallat algorithm and get low frequency component and high frequency component. Secondly, reconfigure each component and use pso_lssvm model predict each reconfigured one. Then the busy telephone traffic can be achieved. The experimental results show that the prediction model has higher prediction accuracy and stability.

Wind power prediction based on wavelet denoising and improved slime mold algorithm optimized support vector machine

2021 ◽  
pp. 0309524X2110568
Author(s):  
Lian Lian ◽  
Kan He
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Wind Power ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Power Grid ◽  
Wavelet Denoising ◽  
Slime Mold ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Power Prediction ◽  
Wind Power Prediction

The accuracy of wind power prediction directly affects the operation cost of power grid and is the result of power grid supply and demand balance. Therefore, how to improve the prediction accuracy of wind power is very important. In order to improve the prediction accuracy of wind power, a prediction model based on wavelet denoising and improved slime mold algorithm optimized support vector machine is proposed. The wavelet denoising algorithm is used to denoise the wind power data, and then the support vector machine is used as the prediction model. Because the prediction results of support vector machine are greatly affected by model parameters, an improved slime mold optimization algorithm with random inertia weight mechanism is used to determine the best penalty factor and kernel function parameters in support vector machine model. The effectiveness of the proposed prediction model is verified by using two groups actually collected wind power data. Seven prediction models are selected as the comparison model. Through the comparison between the predicted value and the actual value, the prediction error and its histogram distribution, the performance indicators, the Pearson’s correlation coefficient, the DM test, box-plot distribution, the results show that the proposed prediction model has high prediction accuracy.

A Data-Driven Two-Stage Prediction Model for Train Primary-Delay Recovery Time

2020 ◽  
Vol 30 (07) ◽  
pp. 921-940
Author(s):  
Bowen Gao ◽  
Dongxiu Ou ◽  
Decun Dong ◽  
Yusen Wu
Keyword(s):  
Prediction Model ◽  
Knowledge Base ◽  
Recovery Time ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Model Framework ◽  
Two Stage ◽  
Delay Propagation ◽  
Proposed Model

Accurate prediction of train delay recovery is critical for railway incident management and providing passengers with accurate journey time. In this paper, a two-stage prediction model is proposed to predict the recovery time of train primary-delay based on the real records from High-Speed Railway (HSR). In Stage 1, two models are built to study the influence of feature space and model framework on the prediction accuracy of buffer time in each section or station. It is found that explicitly inputting the attribute features of stations and sections to the model, instead of implicit simulation, will improve the prediction accuracy effectively. For validation purpose, the proposed model has been compared with several alternative models, namely, Logistic Regression (LR), Artificial Neutral Network (ANN), Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Gradient Boosting Tree (GBT). The results show that its remarkable performance is better than other schemes. Specifically, when the error is extended to 3[Formula: see text]min, the proposed model can achieve up to the accuracy of 94.63%. It proves that our method has high value in practical engineering application. Considering the delay propagation of trains is a complex process, our future study will focus on building delay propagation knowledge base and dispatcher experience knowledge base.

Optimization of Financial Forecasting Based on Least Squares Support Vector Machine

2013 ◽  
Vol 760-762 ◽  
pp. 1987-1991
Author(s):  
Yun Fa Li
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Simulated Annealing ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Least Squares ◽  
Simulated Annealing Algorithm ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Stock Investment ◽  
Annealing Algorithm

To master the variation regularity of finance, obtain greater benefits in stock investment. study of the support vector machine and application in prediction of stock market. The simulated annealing algorithm to optimize the least squares support vector machine prediction model, and the least square support vector machine and simulated annealing algorithm is described, given the optimal prediction model. Through the research on the simulation of the Hang Seng Index, shows that this method is simple, fast convergence, the algorithm with high accuracy. Has the actual guiding sense for investors, the stock market of the financial firm to operate.

scholarly journals Thermal energy diagnosis of boiler plant by computer image processing and neural network technology

2020 ◽  
Vol 24 (5 Part B) ◽  
pp. 3367-3374 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guoli Yu ◽  
Jinge Sang ◽  
Yafei Sun
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Fault Diagnosis ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Circuit Board ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Grey Prediction ◽  
Machine Model ◽  
Boiler Plant ◽  
Grey Prediction Model

The paper aims to study the identification and diagnosis of infrared thermal fault of airborne circuit board of equipment, expand the application of intelligent algorithm in infrared thermal fault diagnosis, and promote the development of computer image processing technology and neural network technology in the field of thermal diagnosis. Taking the airborne circuit board in the boiler plant as the research object, first, the sequential analysis method was selected to collect the temperature changes during the operation of the circuit board. Second, on the basis of convolutional neural network, the program was written in Python, and the Relu function was used as the activation function establish the thermal fault diagnosis method of the on-board circuit board of the boiler plant equipment based on the convolutional neural network model. Third, based on the support vector machine intelligent algorithm, genetic algorithm was used to optimize the parameters, and combined with the grey prediction model, the infrared thermal fault diagnosis scheme of the circuit board of the multistage support vector machine boiler plant equipment was constructed. The results showed that the accuracy of the model after 6000 iterations was stable between 0.92-0.96, and the loss function value was stable at about 0.17. After the optimization of genetic algorithm, the accuracy of thermal fault diagnosis based on support vector machine model was optimized. Compared with grey prediction model, the accuracy of support vector machine model for fault diagnosis was higher, mean square error value was 0.0258, and the correlation coefficient was 91.55%. To sum up, the support vector machin model shows higher accuracy than grey prediction model, which can be used for thermal fault diagnosis.

scholarly journals Failure Prediction Model Using Iterative Feature Selection for Industrial Internet of Things

Symmetry ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 454 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jung-Hyok Kwon ◽  
Eui-Jik Kim
Keyword(s):  
Feature Selection ◽  
Internet Of Things ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Model Building ◽  
Failure Prediction ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Industrial Internet Of Things ◽  
Industrial Internet ◽  
New Feature

This paper presents a failure prediction model using iterative feature selection, which aims to accurately predict the failure occurrences in industrial Internet of Things (IIoT) environments. In general, vast amounts of data are collected from various sensors in an IIoT environment, and they are analyzed to prevent failures by predicting their occurrence. However, the collected data may include data irrelevant to failures and thereby decrease the prediction accuracy. To address this problem, we propose a failure prediction model using iterative feature selection. To build the model, the relevancy between each feature (i.e., each sensor) and the failure was analyzed using the random forest algorithm, to obtain the importance of the features. Then, feature selection and model building were conducted iteratively. In each iteration, a new feature was selected considering the importance and added to the selected feature set. The failure prediction model was built for each iteration via the support vector machine (SVM). Finally, the failure prediction model having the highest prediction accuracy was selected. The experimental implementation was conducted using open-source R. The results showed that the proposed failure prediction model achieved high prediction accuracy.

Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting Based on Optimizated Support Vector Machine

2013 ◽  
Vol 300-301 ◽  
pp. 189-194 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yu Sun ◽  
Ling Ling Li ◽  
Xiao Song Huang ◽  
Chao Ying Duan
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Wind Speed ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Particle Swarm Algorithm ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Neural Network Prediction ◽  
Random Fluctuations ◽  
The Impact

To avoid the impact which is caused by the characteristics of the random fluctuations of the wind speed to grid-connected wind power generation system, accurately prediction of short-term wind speed is needed. This paper designed a combination prediction model which used the theories of wavelet transformation and support vector machine (SVM). This improved the model’s prediction accuracy through the method of achiving change character in wind speed sequences in different scales by wavelet transform and optimizing the parameters of support vector machines through the improved particle swarm algorithm. The model showed great generalization ability and high prediction accuracy through the experiment. The lowest root-mean-square error of 200 samples was up to 0.0932 and the model’s effect was much stronger than the BP neural network prediction model. It provided an effective method for predicting wind speed.

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