scholarly journals Fiscal maneuver and restructuring the Russian economy

2017 ◽  
pp. 5-27 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Kudrin ◽  
I. Sokolov

The paper discusses fiscal policy parameters for the period through 2024. The suggested way to ensure long-term fiscal stability is stabilization of both the general government revenues and expenditure in percent of GDP at levels differing by the public debt service payments, and then applying a new version of the fiscal rule. Redistribution of fiscal spending from “unproductive” to “productive” areas (primarily investment in human and physical capital) is considered as a way to boost economic growth. Possible use of additional spending on education, public health, and transport system is presented, as well as optimization of expenditures in “nonproductive” areas.

Author(s):  
Joanna Stawska

The purpose of this article is to point out the importance of the size of public debt and deficit in the context of Keynesian and non-Keynesian effects of fiscal policy limitation. To achieve this objective primarily were used methods of analysis of the available literature and presentation of statistical data. Considerations include, among others, the presentation of public debt and deficit in the context of economic growth. Expansionary fiscal policy often caused by economic fluctuations contributes to the deepening of public finance imbalance with frequent decline in GDP growth. The restrictive policy has an influence on improving the situation of the public finance sector in the long-term with at least moderate economic growth.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-22
Author(s):  
Zhengyang Chen ◽  
Xinglong Xu ◽  
Dongfu Qian ◽  
Xiang Zhan

Abstract Public health equalization has a significant impact on residents’ health and economic growth. Recently, studies suggested the persistence of series of public health unequal issues in China, such as imbalanced government financial investment, unreasonable configuration of public health resources, etc. The healthcare system in Jiangsu province is a microcosm of the pattern of healthcare delivery in China. Identifying developmental differences in Jiangsu and consequential effect on healthcare output can serve as a good reference for comparing performance of healthcare facilities within China in general. Based on the Model of Health the Healthy Production from Grossman and Lucas’ New Endogenous Economic Growth Model, we selected data from China Statistical Yearbooks and Jiangsu Statistical Yearbooks. 13 cities in Jiangsu province were divided into three groups, categorized as economically developed areas, relatively economically developed areas and less-economically developed areas. The panel cointegration model and e PVECM PVECM error correction model based on E-G two-step method are utilized for empirical research. During the period of 2006–2015, there were differences between the short term effect and long term effect on regional development resulted by the public health equalization level of Jiangsu Province. In the short term, the healthcare investment equalization level has been improved, to a certain extent, which executes a certain promoting effect on the people’s health development and regional economic growth in the long term, which restraint the improvement and development of long term public health equalization level and stimulating on the residents’ health and economic growth. The government of China in general and Jiangsu province in particular could ensure the efficiency of public health human resources, reform the public hospital internal system and establish an effective competition system, aiming to improve the public health equalization and promote balanced development of residents’ health and economic growth.


2015 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 25
Author(s):  
Ricardo Ramalhete Moreira

This article analyzes the nature of the fiscal rule in Brazil, over the period from January 2005 to July 2012, using a VEC model. The initial findings identify a (weak) fiscal rule, as nominal deficits react counter-cyclically to domestic public debt and inflation changes. However, when we isolate the discretionary component of the fiscal policy its pro-cyclical bias can be highlighted. The estimates contribute to understand the preliminary findings and why such a policy is not enough to impose a sustainable downturn movement on the public debt / GDP ratio in Brazil over the last years.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Rodrigo Fuentes ◽  
Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel ◽  
Raimundo Soto

This paper reviews the design and operation of the Chilean fiscal rule in the past 30 years. Using different empirical approaches, we assess its impact on fiscal procyclicality, public debt, and public investment. While there has been substantial progress in building a modern institutional framework for fiscal policy, we find that the rule is incomplete in two dimensions: it lacks an escape clause, and it needs to supplement the budget balance rule with a debt rule. The former is seen in the pervasive inability of the authorities to steer fiscal accounts back to their long-term sustainable path after the rule was breached the rule in 2009. The latter issue is illustrated by the speedy build-up of the public debt as a result of the need to finance fiscal deficits. We do not find, nevertheless, a negative impact of the rule on public investment. We propose reforms to improve on transparency and accountability, as well as to supplement the rule with escape clauses and a debt anchor.


2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 213
Author(s):  
Igor Chugunov ◽  
Valentina Makohon

The purpose of the article is to justify the role of the fiscal strategy in ensuring macroeconomic stability and accelerating the pace of economic growth, disclose and substantiate its key objectives in the developed and transformational economies. The comparative and factor method allowed revealing the essence and role of the fiscal strategy as an instrument of economic growth, identifying peculiarities and substantiating approaches to the management of uncertainty of fiscal strategies, revealing the principles of the formation of the fiscal strategy and medium-term budget planning in Ukraine. Methodology. The substantiation of the role of the fiscal strategy in ensuring macroeconomic stability and accelerating the pace of economic growth, and definition of its key objectives are based on the generalization and systematization of the experience of countries with a developed and transformational economy. For this purpose, the analysis and evaluation of the fiscal policy were made, the peculiarities of the formation and implementation of fiscal strategies in the corresponding countries were determined. Results have shown that in developed countries, the GDP gap concept is used in order to use fiscal policy for countercyclical purposes. Budget sustainability is characterized by the ability of state and local government bodies to timely and fully finance budget expenditures and to support the share of budget deficits and public debt in the gross domestic product at an economically sound level. Budgetary stability is the constancy of budget architectonics in time. The essence of budget architectonics is the optimal ratio of budget, tax, social, monetary, and public debt components of the fiscal policy, which is a dynamic institutional process of its development and implementation in the relevant socio-economic conditions of the country’s development. At an appropriate level of budget stability, the level of fiscal burden on the economy does not increase. Fiscal equilibrium – consistency of budget revenues and expenditures. Practical implications. The benchmark of the fiscal strategy in terms of economic transformations should be to ensure macroeconomic stability and accelerate the pace of economic growth by increasing the soundness of budget architectonics. Value/originality. Strengthening the influence of endogenous and exogenous factors on the financial and economic environment of the state, and negative demographic tendencies on the development of society necessitate the development of a fiscal strategy as a dynamic self-organizing one with a fractal dimension and scale, the system of long-term financial and economic measures, goals, principles, directions, tasks that are implemented by public administration, in a multiaspect dimension: budget transformations, configurations of fiscal institutions, socio-economic transformations. The fractal dimension implies the formation of a system of long-term financial and economic measures, goals, principles, directions, tasks of the country’s fiscal policy based on the subsystems of the fiscal policy of regions with similar features, which will provide an opportunity to ensure consistency of actions of state authorities and local self-government bodies, constituents of the fiscal policy. The validity of the fiscal strategy determines the level of effectiveness of socio-economic transformations. In terms of economic transformations, budget architectonics, the institutional features of its formation are becoming increasingly difficult to assess in both developed and transformational economies.


2017 ◽  
pp. 40-63 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. Manevitch

The article examines long-term macroeconomic processes that have resulted in the stagnation of the Russian economy. Such processes include the reduction of the marginal efficiency of labor and capital in a number of major activities, the distortion of motivation of investors due to multiple undervaluation of the ruble, the decline in the share of savings in the income of non-financial corporations, cyclical fluctuations in consumer behavior. The author connects possible long-term or cyclic substitution of private sources of investment for resources of the general government with controlling the dynamics of the monetary base, which is considered in the article as the endogenous, dependent variable, not the one that is exogenously set by the monetary authorities.


2009 ◽  
Vol 60 (2) ◽  
pp. 240-253 ◽  
Author(s):  
Serge Coulombe

ABSTRACT In this paper, we assess the current federal fiscal policy using the budget forecast of February 1984 and some macroeconomic concepts. The payments of interest on the public debt are of considerable importance in our analysis. We also give our opinion on the macroeconomic impact of a certain number of non budgetary measures included in the Federal budget of February 1984. Finally, we analyse the long term problems brought up by the budget deficits of the Federal government.


Author(s):  
Sasho Kjosev ◽  
Martin Noveski ◽  
Nina Mojsova Kjoseva

Research question: Is there a non-linear relationship between public debt and economic growth in North Macedonia, in the form of an inverted U-shape? Motivation: Government consumption plays an important role in the stability of the national economy, especially in periods of economic crisis. However, a rapidly growing public debt is a concerning issue nowadays, since it might jeopardize economic growth perspectives. Economic theory suggests that public debt has non-linear impact on economic growth in the form of an inverted U-shape. In other words, it is believed that after a certain threshold, the public debt will have deleterious impact on economic growth. Idea: Given that such threshold varies significantly across countries, the aim of this paper is to calculate the turning point of the public debt impact in the Republic of North Macedonia. Tools: For this purpose, we use non-linear multiple regression model for the real GDP growth rate as a dependent variable, general government public debt-to-GDP ratio (in nominal and squared terms) as a key independent variable, as well as several other controlling variables. Since theory also suggests reverse causality between economic growth and public debt, we use two different estimation techniques (Ordinary Least Squares and Generalized Method of Moments) to deal with potential endogeneity, and to cross-validate the results. Data: In this regard, we use annual data for the period 1998 – 2019, for 14 variables in total, obtained from several different data sources. Findings: Our results show that general government debt in the Republic of North Macedonia positively affects economic growth until it reaches around 30% of GDP, whereas further indebtedness after that turning point will most likely have a negative impact. Contribution: Given that current debt level is far above the estimated turning point, the need of urgent fiscal consolidation inevitably arises. This is especially important in the light of the ongoing COVID-19 crisis, which imposed the need for strong government intervention and pointed out the importance of the fiscal space for such matter.


2020 ◽  
pp. 51-74
Author(s):  
I. A. Bashmakov

The article presents the key results of scenario projections that underpinned the Strategy for long-term low carbon economic development of the Russian Federation to 2050, including analysis of potential Russia’s GHG emission mitigation commitments to 2050 and assessment of relevant costs, benefits, and implications for Russia’s GDP. Low carbon transformation of the Russian economy is presented as a potential driver for economic growth that offers trillions-of-dollars-worth market niches for low carbon products by mid-21st century. Transition to low carbon economic growth is irreversible. Lagging behind in this technological race entails a security risk and technological backwardness hazards.


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