scholarly journals El proyecto transregional de la administración Trump y la competencia por la integración económica en el Pacífico

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (30) ◽  
pp. 33-56
Author(s):  
Juan José Ramírez Bonilla ◽  

En este texto se propone una lectura particular del proyecto transregional Asia del Pacífico-América del Norte-Europa (diseñado y puesto en práctica parcialmente por los asesores comerciales de Donald Trump) y de las condiciones en que enfrenta la competencia política del Comprehensive and Progressive Trans Pacific Partnership Agreement (CPTPP, encabezado por el Gobierno japonés) y del Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP, liderado por el Gobierno chino). En ese marco, el artículo destaca los alcances de cada una de esas iniciativas en materia de regulación comercial, y, recurriendo al ejemplo de Japón, muestra cómo cada gobierno está dispuesto a hacer concesiones comerciales a sus contrapartes, en función de cada socio y de cada acuerdo comercial. En el trabajo se propone que los asesores de la administración Trump marcaron un giro al abandonar la formación de capital, para adoptar el consumo de las familias y del Gobierno, como la principal ventaja comparativa de la economía estadounidense; en ese nuevo contexto, el acceso a los mercados estadounidense y/o norteamericano, bajo condiciones privilegiadas, tiene como costo aceptar y cumplir las regulaciones de los acuerdos bilaterales con Estados Unidos y/o del United States-Canada-Mexico Agreement (USMCA). El autor concluye que las contrapartes asiáticas y norteamericana del Gobierno estadounidense necesitan revisar las relaciones comerciales entre ellos para cerrar el círculo de los acuerdos bilaterales y beneficiarse de la iniciativa estadounidense.

Subject The revival of the Trans-Pacific Partnership. Significance US President Donald Trump in January announced Washington's withdrawal from the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade agreement (TPP), bringing its implementation to a standstill. Without US participation, the TPP looked dead, since the US economy is larger than the other eleven economies combined. Nevertheless, after months of uncertainty, the project was revived by the eleven members under the leadership of Japan. Impacts Failure or watering down of a TPP-11 would leave China a greater role in setting global standards and norms. Progress towards the TPP-11 could speed up the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership and EU-Japan economic partnership agreement. Other states will seek TPP membership in the future, with Taipei and Seoul likely candidates.


2014 ◽  
Vol 42 (2) ◽  
pp. 241-292 ◽  
Author(s):  
Genevieve Tung

In September 2008, the United States Trade Representative (USTR) announced the United States’ intention to join Singapore, New Zealand, Brunei, and Chile in what was then called the Trans-Pacific Strategic Economic Partnership Agreement, a preferential trade agreement. Since then, the agreement has grown in scope and ambition. The negotiations to create what is now known as the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) have expanded to include seven other nations. The USTR wants the TPP to be “an ambitious, next-generation, Asia-Pacific trade agreement that reflects U.S. economic priorities and values.” According to the USTR's webpage dedicated to the agreement, the administration is “working in close partnership with Congress and with a wide range of stakeholders, in seeking to conclude a strong agreement that addresses the issues that U.S. businesses and workers are facing in the 21st century.”


Significance CPV members will elect a 200-person Central Committee, which in turn will elect a Politburo, the party’s highest-ranking body. It is widely expected that Nguyen Phu Trong will step down as CPV general secretary, as party rules limit senior officials to two terms in office. Impacts Vietnam will promptly ratify the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, which it signed with 14 other countries in November. Hanoi will count on the United States dialling down pressure over trade-related disagreements during Joe Biden’s presidency. Vietnam will continue to attract foreign investors looking to relocate capital from China.


2021 ◽  
pp. 129-134
Author(s):  
L. N. Talalova ◽  
Chu Thanh Hang ◽  
A. V. Morozova

The political and economic context for India based on the results of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (RCEP) signed in November 2020 is considered. The benefits of strengthening economic cooperation for the participating countries from its signing are characterized. The hypothetical advantages for India in the case of its entry into RCEP are analyzed. In connection with country’s opting out of RCEP the authors have highlighted three segments of reasons for studying (political, legal and economic) that caused such India’s decision. Among the political reasons for India’s opting out of RCEP the problem of the Indo-Chinese border conflict over disputed territory escalating is emphasized. Among the legal reasons that determined opting out of the treaty, the issues of investment policy and intellectual property outside the World Trade Organization frameworks are noted. The economic reasons offset the benefits of RCEP for India are investigated. The connection between all three segments of causes is demonstrated. The experts’ forecasts is evaluated for India’s entry into third place in the world economy in terms of the gross domestic product contribution and the prerequisites for this are studied. It is concluded about the possibility of achieving the goal if a number of conditions are met and a set of necessary measures is carried out.


Significance In contrast to this tariff escalation, eagerness to preserve the multilateral, rules-based economic order is drawing Asian countries into inter-regional trade agreements. Negotiations are ongoing to bring into effect a 16-state Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) and an eleven-member Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP). Impacts Absent US involvement in the trade agreements, China will champion its own version of global free trade. Modifications within the CPTPP may reduce any incentive for the United States to rejoin. A US withdrawal from the WTO would weaken dispute systems used by smaller countries.


2021 ◽  
Vol 56 (2) ◽  
pp. 92-98
Author(s):  
Lisandra Flach ◽  
Hannah-Maria Hildenbrand ◽  
Feodora Teti

AbstractThe Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership agreement creates the world’s largest free trade zone. The agreement has the potential to increase trade relations among its members and further promote the development of regional value chains in “Factory Asia”. This article presents the topics included in the recently concluded agreement, details the existing economic linkages between its members and discusses the expected consequences for its member states and third countries.


2020 ◽  
Vol 6 ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Ranti Yulia Wardani ◽  

India and Japan are engaged in a strategic and comprehensive economic partnership. However, some major powers have different interests that may delay the conclusion of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP). India and Japan were among the 14 countries that initially joined the RCEP, but India has since opted to stay out, pending resolution of outstanding issues. This study aims to examine the India–Japan strategic partnership in the development of the RCEP and measure the saving potential of the India–Japan Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement, employing an ex-ante analysis with scenarios based on zero tariffs. These political and economic partnerships play an essential role for both countries at the regional level. India and Japan have good economic and political relations that could enhance the feasibility of India rejoining the RCEP. The results of the saving potential analysis show that both countries have gained benefits from the economic partnership.


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