scholarly journals A Comparison of Severity Systems APACHE II and SAPS II in Critically ill Patients

2013 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 27-32 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammad Omar Faruq ◽  
Mohammad Rashed Mahmud ◽  
Tanjima Begum ◽  
ASM Areef Ahsan ◽  
Kaniz Fatema ◽  
...  

Objective: To assess the performance of Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) and Simplified Acute Physiology Score II (SAPS II) in Bangladeshi critically ill patients. Material and Method: Prospective observational cohort study conducted between January 1, 2008 and December 31, 2008 in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) of BIRDEM Hospital, an 600-beds tertiary referral Postgraduate hospital and October to December 2008 in ICU, Ibn Sina Hospital Dhaka. Results: One hundred ninety four patients were enrolled. There were 58 deaths (42.65%) at ICU discharge. APACHE II and SAPS II predicted hospital mortality 35.32 ± 21.81and 37.11 ± 27.34 respectively. Both models showed excellent discrimination. The overall discriminatory capability, as measured by the aROC, was generally good for two models and ranged from 0.78 to 0.89. APACHE II is slightly better compared to SAPS II score but not significantly better than SAPS II. Both systems exhibited good calibration ( = 8.304, p = 0.40 for APACHE II, = 9.040, p = 0.34 for SAPS II). Hosmer- Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test revealed a good performance for APACHE II scores. Conclusion: APACHE II provided better performance than SAPS II in predicting mortality in our ICU patients but SAPS II also performed well. Our observed mortality was similar with the predicted mortality from APACHE II and SAPS II scores, which suggests that the result of this study reveals good intensive care quality. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.3329/bccj.v1i1.14362 Bangladesh Crit Care J March 2013; 1: 27-32

2014 ◽  
Vol 133 (3) ◽  
pp. 199-205 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ary Serpa Neto ◽  
Murillo Santucci Cesar de Assunção ◽  
Andréia Pardini ◽  
Eliézer Silva

CONTEXT AND OBJECTIVE: Prognostic models reflect the population characteristics of the countries from which they originate. Predictive models should be customized to fit the general population where they will be used. The aim here was to perform external validation on two predictive models and compare their performance in a mixed population of critically ill patients in Brazil.DESIGN AND SETTING: Retrospective study in a Brazilian general intensive care unit (ICU).METHODS: This was a retrospective review of all patients admitted to a 41-bed mixed ICU from August 2011 to September 2012. Calibration (assessed using the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test) and discrimination (assessed using area under the curve) of APACHE II and SAPS III were compared. The standardized mortality ratio (SMR) was calculated by dividing the number of observed deaths by the number of expected deaths.RESULTS: A total of 3,333 ICU patients were enrolled. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test showed good calibration for all models in relation to hospital mortality. For in-hospital mortality there was a worse fit for APACHE II in clinical patients. Discrimination was better for SAPS III for in-ICU and in-hospital mortality (P = 0.042). The SMRs for the whole population were 0.27 (confidence interval [CI]: 0.23 - 0.33) for APACHE II and 0.28 (CI: 0.22 - 0.36) for SAPS III.CONCLUSIONS: In this group of critically ill patients, SAPS III was a better prognostic score, with higher discrimination and calibration power.


QJM ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 114 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Walid H Nofal ◽  
Sahar K Abo Alela ◽  
Moustafa M Aldeeb ◽  
Gamal M Elewa

Abstract Background Despite all worldwide efforts towards sepsis, more than 5.3 million patients die annually. Till now, there is no parameter or score to detect mortality in septic patients precisely. Objectives The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic performance of the lactate/albumin (L/A) ratio when combined with APACHE II score, SOFA score and SAPS II for predicting 28-day mortality in critically ill patients with septic shock. Patients and Methods After approval of the Medical Ethics Committee of Ain Shams Faculty of Medicine, an informed consent was taken from the patient or next of kin to include his/her data in this study. All patients who were admitted to the intensive care units (ICUs) with septic shock from 1st of September, 2019 to 30th of March, 2020 were assessed for enrollment in this study. Results In this prospective observational study, 100 adult patients of both sexes with septic shock were enrolled. They were categorized into two groups according to the primary endpoint (outcome) “28-days mortality”. Sixty-one patients (61%) died (non-survivors’ group) and thirtynine patients (39%) survived (survivors group). The most significant factors which affecting the mortality were LAR, SOFA score on admission, APACHE II, and SAPS II score. Prediction performance of the four variables for estimating 28 days mortality. When combined LAR + SOFA, LAR + APACHE, LAR + SAPS II, Overall score the ROC (AUROC, 0.867,0.847,0.849,,0.899 respectively) was the highest, compared to the other single models and lower cutoff (>0.48, >0.53, >0.42, >0.47 respectively)in comparison to single scores. Moreover, the overall score (including the 4 parameters together) gave the best predictive value for 28 day mortality Conclusion Lactate/Albumin ratio combined with APACHI II, SOFA and SAPS scores gave the best predictive value for 28 day mortality in septic shock patients, when compared with each separate score Recommendations combined LAR + SOFA, LAR + APACHE, LAR + SAPS II, Overall score recommended to use to predictho spital mortality, Further research on large sample sizeto study the risk stratification and implementing new scores using the lactate/albumin ratio (LAR) is needed. Simple, available and cheap markers should be used in developing new prediction scores.


2009 ◽  
Vol 160 (2) ◽  
pp. 157-163 ◽  
Author(s):  
Philipp Schuetz ◽  
Beat Müller ◽  
Charly Nusbaumer ◽  
Melanie Wieland ◽  
Mirjam Christ-Crain

BackgroundCirculating levels of GH are increased during critical illness and correlate with outcome in children with meningococcal sepsis. We assessed the prognostic implications of GH on admission and during follow-up in critically ill adult patients admitted to a medical intensive care unit.Materials and methodsWe measured GH, IGF1 and IGF-binding protein3 (IGFBP-3) plasma concentrations in 103 consecutive critically ill patients and compared it with two clinical severity scores (APACHE II, SAPS II).ResultsMedian GH levels on admission were similar in septic (n=53) and non-septic (n=50) patients and about 7-fold increased in the 24 non-survivors as compared with survivors (9.50 (interquartile ranges (IQR) 3.53–18.40) vs 1.4 (IQR 0.63–5.04), P<0.0001). GH levels increased with increasing severity of sepsis (sepsis, severe sepsis, and septic shock, P=0.019). By contrast, IGF1 and IGFBP-3 did not correlate with severity of disease or mortality. Logistic regression models showed that GH and both clinical scores were independent predictors of mortality with a similar prognostic accuracy (GH: area under the curve (AUC) 0.81 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.71–0.92), APACHE II: AUC 0.71 (95% CI, 0.58–0.83), P=0.16, SAPS II: AUC 0.75 (95% CI, 0.63–0.86, P=0.36)). GH improved the prognostic accuracy of the APACHE II score to an AUC of 0.78 (95% CI, 0.66–090, P=0.04) and tended to improve the SAPS II score to an AUC of 0.79 (95% CI, 0.67–0.90, P=0.09).ConclusionGH plasma concentrations on admission are independent predictors for mortality in adult critically ill patients and may complement existing risk prediction scores, namely the APACHE II and the SAPS II score.


2018 ◽  
Vol 46 (3) ◽  
pp. 1254-1262 ◽  
Author(s):  
Surat Tongyoo ◽  
Tanuwong Viarasilpa ◽  
Chairat Permpikul

Objective To compare the outcomes of patients with and without a mean serum potassium (K+) level within the recommended range (3.5–4.5 mEq/L). Methods This prospective cohort study involved patients admitted to the medical intensive care unit (ICU) of Siriraj Hospital from May 2012 to February 2013. The patients’ baseline characteristics, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) score, serum K+ level, and hospital outcomes were recorded. Patients with a mean K+ level of 3.5 to 4.5 mEq/L and with all individual K+ values of 3.0 to 5.0 mEq/L were allocated to the normal K+ group. The remaining patients were allocated to the abnormal K+ group. Results In total, 160 patients were included. Their mean age was 59.3±18.3 years, and their mean APACHE II score was 21.8±14.0. The normal K+ group comprised 74 (46.3%) patients. The abnormal K+ group had a significantly higher mean APACHE II score, proportion of coronary artery disease, and rate of vasopressor treatment. An abnormal serum K+ level was associated with significantly higher ICU mortality and incidence of ventricular fibrillation. Conclusion Critically ill patients with abnormal K+ levels had a higher incidence of ventricular arrhythmia and ICU mortality than patients with normal K+ levels.


Author(s):  
Piotr A. Fuchs ◽  
Iwona J. Czech ◽  
Łukasz J. Krzych

Background: The Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS) II, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II, and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) scales are scoring systems used in intensive care units (ICUs) worldwide. We aimed to investigate their usefulness in predicting short- and long-term prognosis in the local ICU. Methods: This single-center observational study covered 905 patients admitted from 1 January 2015 to 31 December 2017 to a tertiary mixed ICU. SAPS II, APACHE II, and SOFA scores were calculated based on the worst values from the first 24 h post-admission. Patients were divided into surgical (SP) and nonsurgical (NSP) subjects. Unadjusted ICU and post-ICU discharge mortality rates were considered the outcomes. Results: Baseline SAPS II, APACHE II, and SOFA scores were 41.1 ± 20.34, 14.07 ± 8.73, and 6.33 ± 4.12 points, respectively. All scores were significantly lower among SP compared to NSP (p < 0.05). ICU mortality reached 35.4% and was significantly lower for SP (25.3%) than NSP (57.9%) (p < 0.001). The areas under the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves were 0.826, 0.836, and 0.788 for SAPS II, APACHE II, and SOFA scales, respectively, for predicting ICU prognosis, and 0.708, 0.709, and 0.661 for SAPS II, APACHE II, and SOFA, respectively, for post-ICU prognosis. Conclusions: Although APACHE II and SAPS II are good predictors of ICU mortality, they failed to predict survival after discharge. Surgical patients had a better prognosis than medical ICU patients.


BMJ Open ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. e023961
Author(s):  
Elizabeth D E Papathanassoglou ◽  
Yoanna Skrobik ◽  
Kathleen Hegadoren ◽  
Patrica Thompson ◽  
Henry Thomas Stelfox ◽  
...  

IntroductionDelirium is a common complication of critical illness, associated with negative patient outcomes. Preventive or therapeutic interventions are mostly ineffective. Although relaxation-inducing approaches may benefit critically ill patients, no well-designed studies target delirium prevention as a primary outcome. The objective of this study is to assess feasibility and treatment effect estimates of a multimodal integrative intervention incorporating relaxation, guided imagery and moderate pressure touch massage for prevention of critical illness delirium and for related outcomes.Methods and analysisRandomised, controlled, single-blinded trial with two parallel groups (1:1 allocation: intervention and standard care) and stratified randomisation (age (18–64 years and ≥65 years) and presence of trauma) with blocking, involving 104 patients with Intensive Care Delirium Screening Checklist (ICDSC): 0–3 recruited from two academic intensive care units (ICUs). Intervention group participants receive the intervention in addition to standard care for up to five consecutive days (or until transfer/discharge); control group participants receive standard care and a sham intervention. We will assess predefined feasibility outcomes, that is, recruitment rates and protocol adherence. The primary clinical outcome is incidence of delirium (ICDSC ≥4). Secondary outcomes include pain scores, inflammatory biomarkers, heart rate variability, stress and quality of life (6 weeks and 4 months) post-ICU discharge. Feasibility measures will be analysed descriptively, and outcomes will be analysed longitudinally. Estimates of effects will be calculated.Ethics and disseminationThe study has received approval from the Human Research Ethics Board, University of Alberta. Results will inform the design of a future multicentre trial.Trial registration numberNCT02905812; Pre-results.


2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (1) ◽  
pp. 7-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Silvio A. Ñamendys-Silva ◽  
María O. González-Herrera ◽  
Julia Texcocano-Becerra ◽  
Angel Herrera-Gómez

Purpose: To assess the characteristics of critically ill patients with gynecological cancer, and to evaluate their prognosis. Methods: Fifty-two critically ill patients with gynecological cancer admitted to intensive care unit (ICU) were included. Univariate and multivariate logistic regressions were used to identify factors associated with hospital mortality. Results: Thirty-five patients (67.3%) had carcinoma of the cervix uteri and 11 (21.2%) had ovarian cancer. The mortality rate in the ICU was 17.3% (9 of 52) and hospital mortality rate were 23%(12 of 52). In the multivariate analysis, independent prognostic factors for hospital mortality were vasopressor use (odds ratio [OR] = 8.60, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.05-36; P = .03) and the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score (OR = 1.43, 95% CI 1.01-2.09; P = .048). Conclusions: The independent prognostic factors for hospital mortality were the need for vasopressors and the APACHE II score.


2017 ◽  
Vol 66 (2) ◽  
pp. 309-318 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haiyan Zhang ◽  
Xiaodong Zhang ◽  
Lei Dong

We aimed to clarify associations between nutritional status and mortality in patients with acute renal failure. De-identified data were obtained from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III database comprising more than 40,000 critical care patients treated at Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Centerbetween 2001 and 2012. Weight loss and body mass index criteria were used to define malnutrition. Data of 193 critically ill patients with acute renal failure were analyzed, including demographics, nutrition intervention, laboratory results, and disease severity. Main outcomes were in-hospital and 1-year mortality. The 1-year mortality was significantly higher in those with malnutrition than in those without malnutrition (50.0% vs 29.3%, p=0.010), but differences in in-hospital survival were not significant (p=0.255). Significant differences in mortality were found between those with malnutrition and without starting at the 52nd day after intensive care unit (ICU) discharge (p=0.036). No significant differences were found between men and women with malnutrition in in-hospital mortality (p=0.949) and 1-year mortality (p=0.051). Male patients requiring intervention with blood products/colloid supplements had greater risk of 1-year mortality, but without statistical significance. Nutritional status is a predictive factor for mortality among critically ill patients with acute renal failure, particularly 1-year mortality after ICU discharge.


BMJ Open ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (9) ◽  
pp. e036735
Author(s):  
Lisa Smit ◽  
Zoran Trogrlić ◽  
John W Devlin ◽  
Robert-Jan Osse ◽  
Huibert H Ponssen ◽  
...  

IntroductionDelirium in critically ill adults is associated with prolonged hospital stay, increased mortality and greater cognitive and functional decline. Current practice guideline recommendations advocate the use of non-pharmacological strategies to reduce delirium. The routine use of scheduled haloperidol to treat delirium is not recommended given a lack of evidence regarding its ability to resolve delirium nor improve relevant short-term and longer-term outcomes. This study aims to evaluate the efficacy and safety of haloperidol for the treatment of delirium in adult critically ill patients to reduce days spent with coma or delirium.Methods and analysisEuRIDICE is a prospective, multi-centre, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial. Study population consists of adult intensive care unit (ICU) patients without acute neurological injury who have delirium based on a positive Intensive Care Delirium Screening Checklist (ICDSC) or Confusion Assessment Method for the ICU (CAM-ICU) assessment. Intervention is intravenous haloperidol 2.5 mg (or matching placebo) every 8 hours, titrated daily based on ICDSC or CAM-ICU positivity to a maximum of 5 mg every 8 hours, until delirium resolution or ICU discharge. Main study endpoint is delirium and coma-free days (DCFD) up to 14 days after randomisation. Secondary endpoints include (1) 28-day and 1-year mortality, (2) cognitive and functional performance at 3 and 12 months, (3) patient and family delirium and ICU experience, (4) psychological sequelae during and after ICU stay, (4) safety concerns associated with haloperidol use and (5) cost-effectiveness. Differences in DCFDs between haloperidol and placebo group will be analysed using Poisson regression analysis. Study recruitment started in February 2018 and continues.Ethics and disseminationThe study has been approved by the Medical Ethics Committee of the Erasmus University Medical Centre Rotterdam (MEC2017-511) and by the Institutional Review Boards of the participating sites. Its results will be disseminated via peer-reviewed publication and conference presentations.Trial registrationNCT03628391


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