IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK IN PREDICTING BIRTH RATE IN BATAM CITY USING BACKPROPAGATION METHOD

JURTEKSI ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 85-94
Author(s):  
Muhammad Jufri

Abstract: The population growth in Indonesia is increasing rapidly every year, so to help the government control the population growth through family planning programs, especially in the city of Batam. This study explains and describes one of the Artificial Terms Network methods, namely Backpropagation, where this method can predict what will happen in the future using data and information in the past. This study aims to predict the birth rate in the city of Batam to help the government with the family planning program. The data used is the annual data on the number of births in the city of Batam in 2016-2020 at The Civil Registry Office. To facilitate the analysis of research data, the data were tested using Matlab R2015b. In this study, the training process was carried out using 3 network architectures, namely 4-10-1, 5-18-1, and 4-43-1. Of these 3 architectures, the best is the 4-43-1 architecture with an accuracy rate of 91% and an MSE value of 0.0012205. The Backpropagation method can predict the amount of population growth in the city of Batam based on existing data in the past.           Keywords: artificial neural network; backpropagation; prediction   Abstrak: Pertumbuhan jumlah penduduk diindonesia yang setiap tahun meningkat dengan pesat, maka untuk membantu pemerintah mengendalikan jumlah pertumbuhan penduduk melalui program keluarga berencana khususnya dikota Batam. Penelitian ini  menjelaskan dan memaparkan tentang salah satu metode Jaringan Syarat Tiruan yaitu Backpropagation, dimana metode ini dapat memprediksi apa yang akan terjadi masa yang akan datang dengan menggunakan data dan informasi dimasa lalu. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk memprediksi tingkat kelahiran di kota Batam sehingga membatu pemerintah untuk perencanaan keluarga berencana. Data yang digunakan yaitu data tahunan jumlah kelahiran di kota Batam pada tahun 2016-2020 pada Dinas Kependudukan dan Catatan Sipil. Untuk mempermudah analisis data penelitian maka, data diuji menggunakan Matlab R2015b. Pada penelitian ini dilakukan proses pelatihan menggunakan  3 arsitektur jaringan yaitu 4-10-1, 5-18-1, dan 4-43-1. Dari ke-3 arsitektur ini yang terbaik adalah arsitektur 4-43-1 dengan tingkat akurasi sebesar 91% dan nilai MSE 0,0012205. Metode backpropagation mampu memprediksi jumlah pertumbuhan penduduk di kota Batam berdasarkan data yang ada dimasa lalu. Kata kunci: backpropagation; jaringan syaraf tiruan; prediksi 

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 109-118
Author(s):  
Euis Saraswati ◽  
Yuyun Umaidah ◽  
Apriade Voutama

Coronavirus disease (Covid-19) or commonly called coronavirus. This virus spreads very quickly and even almost infects the whole world, including Indonesia. A large number of cases and the rapid spread of this virus make people worry and even fear the increasing spread of the Covid-19 virus. Information about this virus has also been spread on various social media, one of which is Twitter. Various public opinions regarding the Covid-19 virus are also widely expressed on Twitter. Opinions on a tweet contain positive or negative sentiments. Sentiments of sentiment contained in a tweet can be used as material for consideration and evaluation for the government in dealing with the Covid-19 virus. Based on these problems, a sentiment analysis classification is needed to find out public opinion on the Covid-19 virus. This research uses Artificial Neural Network (ANN) algorithm with the Backpropagation method. The results of this test get 88.62% accuracy, 91.5% precision, and 95.73% recall. The results obtained show that the ANN model is quite good for classifying text mining.


2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 355
Author(s):  
Rini Sovia ◽  
Musli Yanto ◽  
Putri Melati

Bukittinggi City is  known as a tourist destination that is very attractive in foreign tourist interest. Diverse types of tours are presented naturally and man-made the beauty of mountains, valleys and the beauty of the existing architectural buildings is Bukittinggi Clock Tower. Not only that, the type of culinary tourism and traditional market snacks are also an attraction for foreign tourists to travel in the city of Bukittinggi. In this study, the problem that will be discussed is the process of predicting tourist visits conducted by foreign tourists to the city of Bukittinggi. The prediction process uses the concept of artificial neural network backpropagation algorithm. The data set that will be used as a discussion is the data foreign tourist visits recorded in the Tourism Office of Bukittinggi City from 2018 to 2019. The prediction results generated with the concept of artificial neural network backpropagation algorithm produce output numbers of number of visits with an accuracy value of 95,64%  and level value the resulting error is 4,36%. The benefits generated from this research are helping the government of the city of Bukittinggi especially the Tourism Office in providing input to manage the tourism sector.


Author(s):  
Arilson F. G. Ferreira ◽  
Anderson P. de Aragao ◽  
Necio de L. Veras ◽  
Ricardo A. L. Rabelo ◽  
Petar Solic

Author(s):  
Nur Rachman Supadmana Muda ◽  
Nugraha Gumilar ◽  
R.Djoko Andreas. Navalino ◽  
Tirton. N ◽  
M.Iman Hidayat

The purpose of this research is to implement the Artificial Neural Network (ANN) method in combat robots so it can be directed to shoot targets well. The robot control system uses remote control and autonomous. In the autonomous robot system, ANN back propagation method is applied, where the weight value variable depends on ultrasonic sensor, GPS and camera. The microcontroller system will process automatically depending on the sensor input. Output data is used to direct the robot to the target, tracking and shooting. Robot is used chain wheel systems and weapons that used pistol types. The riffle is mounted on the robot can be moved mechanically azimuth and the elevation towards the target then triggered mechanically by the riffle through the activation of data relays from the microcontroller. Thus, the backpropagation method can be applied to robots so it can be functioned autonomously.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2092 (1) ◽  
pp. 012013
Author(s):  
Krivorotko Olga ◽  
Liu Shuang

Abstract An artificial neural network (ANN) is a mathematical or computational model that simulates the structure and function of biological neural networks used to evaluate or approximate functions at given points. After developing the training algorithm, the resulting model will be used to solve image recognition problems, control problems, optimization, etc. In the process of ANN training, the algorithm of backpropagation is used in the case of convex optimization functions. The article is analyzed test functions for experiments and also study the effect of the number of ANN layers on the quality of approximation in cases one-, two- and three-dimensional. The backpropagation method is improved during the experiments with the help of adaptive gradient, as a result of which more accurate approximations of the functions are obtained. This article also presents the numerical results of test functions.


Author(s):  
Adi Kurniawan ◽  
Anisa Harumwidiah

The estimation of the daily average global solar radiation is important since it increases the cost efficiency of solar power plant, especially in developing countries. Therefore, this study aims at developing a multi layer perceptron artificial neural network (ANN) to estimate the solar radiation in the city of Surabaya. To guide the study, seven (7) available meteorological parameters and the number of the month was applied as the input of network. The ANN was trained using five-years data of 2011-2015. Furthermore, the model was validated by calculating the mean average percentage error (MAPE) of the estimation for the years of 2016-2019. The results confirm that the aforementioned model is feasible to generate the estimation of daily average global solar radiation in Surabaya, indicated by MAPE of less than 15% for all testing years.


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