Estimating Risk of Cardiovascular Disease Among Long-Term Colorectal Cancer Survivors: A Nationwide Cohort Study

BackgroundConcerns about a growing number of colorectal cancer survivors have emerged regarding cardiovascular disease (CVD) risks. However, there is not yet a predictive tool that can estimate CVD risk and support the management of healthcare as well as disease prevention in terms of CVD risk among long-term colorectal cancer survivors.AimTo develop predictive tools to estimate individualized overall and each subtype of CVD risk using a nationwide cohort in South Korea.Methods and ResultsA total of 4,709 newly diagnosed patients with colorectal cancer who survived at least 5 years in the National Health Insurance System were analyzed. Cox proportional hazard regression was used for the identification of independent risk factors for the derivation of predictive nomograms, which were validated in an independent cohort (n = 3,957). Age, fasting serum glucose, γ-glutamyl transpeptidase, Charlson comorbidity index, household income, body mass index, history of chemotherapy, cigarette smoking, and alcohol consumption were identified as independent risk factors for either overall CVD or each subtype of CVD subtype. Based on the identified independent risk factors, six independent nomograms for each CVD category were developed. Validation by an independent cohort demonstrated a good calibration with a median C-index of 0.687. According to the nomogram-derived median score, relative risks of 2.643, 1.821, 4.656, 2.629, 4.248, and 5.994 were found for overall CVD, ischemic heart disease, myocardial infarction, total stroke, ischemic stroke, and hemorrhage stroke in the validation cohort.ConclusionsThe predictive tools were developed with satisfactory accuracy. The derived nomograms may support the estimation of overall and individual CVD risk for long-term colorectal cancer survivors.

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Long-term risk of cardiovascular disease among colorectal cancer survivors in a population-based cohort study.

Journal of Clinical Oncology ◽

10.1200/jco.2018.36.7_suppl.113 ◽

2018 ◽

Vol 36 (7_suppl) ◽

pp. 113-113 ◽

Cited By ~ 2

Author(s):

David Baraghoshi ◽

Makenzie L. Hawkins ◽

Sarah Abdelaziz ◽

Jihye Park ◽

Yuan Wan ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Colorectal Cancer ◽

Cardiovascular Disease ◽

Cancer Survivors ◽

Cancer Diagnosis ◽

Cvd Risk ◽

Colorectal Cancer Survivors ◽

Increased Risk ◽

After Cancer

113 Background: In the United States, colorectal cancer is the fourth most common cancer and one of the leading causes of cancer death. Few studies have examined the relationship between colorectal cancer survivorship and long-term cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. Methods: Individuals diagnosed with colorectal cancer were identified using the Utah Population Database. For a comparison group, up to 5 cancer-free individuals were matched by birth year, birth state, follow-up time and sex to each cancer case. For individuals with > 10 years of follow-up, we estimated CVD risk > 10 years after cancer diagnosis. Cox regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% Confidence Intervals. Results: Among 1,749 colorectal cancer survivors who had survived for at least 10 years, 1,001 (57.2%) were diagnosed with CVD > 10 years after cancer diagnosis. Compared to the general population, colorectal cancer survivors had an increased risk of CVD > 10 years after cancer diagnosis: HR = 2.84 (95% CI = 2.59, 3.11) for hypertension; HR = 2.66 (95% CI 2.37, 2.98) for diseases of the heart; HR = 3.91 (95% CI = 3.33, 4.58) for diseases of the arteries, arterioles and capillaries; HR = 2.58 (95% CI = 2.46, 2.99) for diseases of the veins and lymphatics; HR = 2.98 (95% CI = 2.36, 3.76) for cerebrovascular disease. Colorectal cancer survivors with ≥1 comorbidity had an increased risk of CVD > 10 years after cancer diagnosis compared to survivors with no comorbidities (HR = 1.7, 95% CI = 1.49, 1.95). Colorectal cancer survivors who were ≥65 years had an increased risk of CVD > 10 years after cancer diagnosis. Colorectal cancer survivors who were obese at the time of diagnosis had an increased risk of CVD > 10 years after cancer diagnosis when compared to survivors with normal BMIs (HR = 1.25; 95% CI = 1.06, 1.49). Conclusions: Compared to the general population, colorectal cancer survivors had an increased risk of CVD during the > 10 year follow-up period. Within colorectal cancer survivors, there was an increased risk of CVD for those that were older, had ≥1 comorbidity and were obese. The increased risk of CVD among survivors may be attributable to the lifestyle risk factors shared by colorectal cancer and CVD.

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Predictors of SF-6D scores among long-term colorectal cancer survivors

PsycEXTRA Dataset ◽

10.1037/e548132012-136 ◽

2010 ◽

Author(s):

Mark C. Hornbrook ◽

Christopher S. Wendel ◽

Stephen Joel Coons ◽

Marcia Grant ◽

Lisa J. Herrinton ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Colorectal Cancer ◽

Cancer Survivors ◽

Colorectal Cancer Survivors

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30-Year Cardiovascular Disease in Type 1 Diabetes: Risk and Risk Factors Differ by Long-Term Patterns of Glycemic Control

10.2337/figshare.16775965 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Rachel G. Miller ◽

Trevor J. Orchard ◽

Tina Costacou

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Cardiovascular Disease ◽

Type 1 Diabetes ◽

Glycemic Control ◽

Latent Class ◽

Diabetes Duration ◽

Cvd Risk ◽

High Hba1c

Objective: We hypothesized that there is heterogeneity in long-term patterns of glycemic control with respect to cardiovascular disease (CVD) development in type 1 diabetes and that risk factors for CVD differ by glycemic control pattern. Thus, we estimated associations between data-derived latent HbA1c trajectories and 30-year CVD risk in the Pittsburgh Epidemiology of Diabetes Complications (EDC) study of childhood-onset (<17 years old) type 1 diabetes. Research Design and Methods: Participants (n=536 with ≥2 HbA1c measurements [median 6] and CVD-free at baseline; mean age 27 and diabetes duration 18 years) were followed from 1986-88 to 2016-18 to ascertain CVD incidence (CVD death, myocardial infarction, stroke, coronary revascularization or blockage ≥50%, ischemic ECG, or angina). Latent HbA1c trajectories and their association with time-to-CVD incidence were simultaneously assessed using Joint Latent Class Mixed Models. Results: Two HbA1c trajectories with respect to differential CVD risk were identified: Low (HbA1c ~8% [64 mmol/mol] and improving over follow-up, 76% of cohort) and High (HbA1c ~10% [86 mmol/mol] and stable, 24%). Overall, 30-year CVD incidence was 47.4% (n=253); MACE incidence 31.0% (n=176). High HbA1c was associated with 3-fold increased CVD risk versus Low HbA1c. Both groups had similar age and diabetes duration. Non-HDLc and estimated glomerular filtration rate were associated with CVD risk only in Low HbA1c; albumin excretion rate was associated with CVD risk only in High HbA1c. Conclusions: These risk factor differences suggest that pathways to CVD may differ by glycemic control, potentially resulting in important implications for prognosis in type 1 diabetes.

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