scholarly journals Breast Cancer Mortality in the Americas and Australasia over the Period 1980–2017 with Predictions for 2025

Biology ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (8) ◽  
pp. 814
Author(s):  
Cezary Wojtyla ◽  
Paola Bertuccio ◽  
Michal Ciebiera ◽  
Carlo La Vecchia

Substantial progress has been made in the diagnosis, management, and treatment of breast cancer over the last decades. This has affected mortality rates but has also led to inequality in epidemiological trends between different regions of the world. We extracted death certification data for breast cancer from the World Health Organization database. We analyzed trends in breast cancer mortality in selected countries from America, Asia, and Oceania over the 1980–2017 period and predicted numbers of deaths and rates for 2025. In North America, we observed decreased breast cancer mortality, reaching a rate of about 13/100,000 women in 2017. In Latin American countries, breast cancer mortality rates did not consistently decrease. The highest decreases in mortality were observed in Australia. Mortality trends in Asian countries remained among the lowest globally. We have predicted decreased mortality from breast cancer in 2025 for most of the analyzed countries. The epidemiological situation regarding breast cancer mortality is expected to change in the coming years. Advancements in diagnosis and treatment of breast cancer must be extended in various areas of the world to obtain global control of breast cancer mortality.

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Smith Torres-Roman ◽  
Bryan Valcarcel ◽  
Pedro Guerra-Canchari ◽  
Camila Alves Dos Santos ◽  
Isabelle Ribeiro Barbosa ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Reports suggest that Latin American and Caribbean (LAC) countries have not reduced in leukemia mortality compared to high-income countries. However, updated trends remain largely unknown in the region. Given that leukemia is the leading cause of cancer-related death in LAC children, we evaluated mortality trends in children (0-14y) from 15 LAC countries for the period 2000-2017 and predicted mortality to 2030.Methods: We retrieved cancer mortality data using the World Health Organization Mortality Database. Mortality rates (standardized to the world standard SEGI population) were analyzed for 15 LAC countries. We evaluated the average mortality rates for the last 5 years (2013-2017). Joinpoint regression analysis was used to evaluate leukemia mortality trends and provide an estimated annual percent change (EAPC). Nordpred was utilized for the calculation of predictions until 2030.Results: Between 2013 and 2017, the highest mortality rates were reported in Venezuela, Ecuador, Nicaragua, Mexico, and Peru. Upward mortality trends were reported in Nicaragua (EAPC by 2.9% in boys, and EAPC by 2.0% in girls), and Peru (EAPC by 1.4% in both sexes). Puerto Rico experienced large declines in mortality among both boys (EAPC by −9.7%), and girls (EAPC by −6.0%). Leukemia mortality will increase in Argentina, Ecuador, Guatemala, Panama, Peru, and Uruguay by 2030.Conclusion: Leukemia mortality is predicted to increase in some LAC countries by 2030. Interventions to prevent this outcome should be tailor to reduce the socioeconomic inequalities and ensure universal healthcare coverage.


2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Smith Torres-Roman ◽  
Bryan Valcarcel ◽  
Pedro Guerra-Canchari ◽  
Camila Alves Dos Santos ◽  
Isabelle Ribeiro Barbosa ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Reports suggest that Latin American and Caribbean (LAC) countries have not reduced leukemia mortality compared to high-income countries. However, updated trends remain largely unknown in the region. Given that leukemia is the leading cause of cancer-related death in LAC children, we evaluated mortality trends in children (0-14y) from 15 LAC countries for the period 2000–2017 and predicted mortality to 2030. Methods We retrieved cancer mortality data using the World Health Organization Mortality Database. Mortality rates (standardized to the world standard SEGI population) were analyzed for 15 LAC countries. We evaluated the average mortality rates for the last 5 years (2013–2017). Joinpoint regression analysis was used to evaluate leukemia mortality trends and provide an estimated annual percent change (EAPC). Nordpred was utilized for the calculation of predictions until 2030. Results Between 2013 and 2017, the highest mortality rates were reported in Venezuela, Ecuador, Nicaragua, Mexico, and Peru. Upward mortality trends were reported in Nicaragua (EAPC by 2.9% in boys, and EAPC by 2.0% in girls), and Peru (EAPC by 1.4% in both sexes). Puerto Rico experienced large declines in mortality among both boys (EAPC by − 9.7%), and girls (EAPC by − 6.0%). Leukemia mortality will increase in Argentina, Ecuador, Guatemala, Panama, Peru, and Uruguay by 2030. Conclusion Leukemia mortality is predicted to increase in some LAC countries by 2030. Interventions to prevent this outcome should be tailor to reduce the socioeconomic inequalities and ensure universal healthcare coverage.


2014 ◽  
Vol 60 (4) ◽  
pp. 387-393 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ana Claudia Garabeli Cavalli Kluthcovsky ◽  
Thaisa Nogueira Palozi Faria ◽  
Fabio Henrique Carneiro ◽  
Robson Strona

Objective: to analyze female breast cancer mortality trends in Brazil and its regions. Methods: female breast cancer mortality in Brazil and its regions was analyzed using mortality data from the Ministry of Health's Mortality Information System and the National Cancer Institute between 1991 and 2010. The variables analyzed were. proportional mortality from female breast cancer in relation to total deaths in women, mortality rates of the five primary locations of the neoplasms most common in women, and mortality rates for female breast cancer: Linear regression models were estimated to analyze mortality trends: Results: a growth in proportional mortality due to female breast cancer in Brazil and its regions was observed: In relation to the mortality rates for the five primary types of cancer, breast cancer persisted in first place in Brazil and its regions, except the North region, where cervical cancer was the most frequent: Rising female breast cancer mortality rates were observed for Brazil (p = 0.017), Northeastern (p < 0.001), North (p < 0.001) and the Mid-West (p = 0.001), regions, and declining rates for the Southeast region (p = 0.047), and stable rates for the South region. Conclusion: the results emphasize the importance of the disease in terms of public health in the country, reinforcing the need for early detection and appropriate treatment.


2007 ◽  
Vol 25 (13) ◽  
pp. 1683-1690 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ismail Jatoi ◽  
Bingshu E. Chen ◽  
William F. Anderson ◽  
Philip S. Rosenberg

Purpose Since 1990, overall breast cancer mortality rates in the United States decreased 24%. This decline has been attributed to mammography screening and adjuvant systemic therapy. However, the efficacy of these modalities may depend on estrogen receptor (ER) expression and age. We therefore examined breast cancer mortality trends in the United States according to ER status and age. Methods Using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program (1990-2003), we calculated trends in incidence-based mortality (IBM), annual hazard rates for breast cancer deaths after diagnosis, and relative hazard rates for women with ER-positive and ER-negative tumors. Relative hazard rates were assessed with Cox proportional hazards models, adjusted for stage and grade, and stratified by age at diagnosis. Results During the study period, IBM and annual hazard rates for breast cancer deaths decreased among women with ER-positive and ER-negative tumors, although declines were greater for those with ER-positive tumors. Among women younger than 70 years, relative hazard rates declined 38% for those with ER-positive tumors versus 19% for those with ER-negative tumors. Among women 70 years or older, relative hazard rates declined 14% for those with ER-positive tumors versus no significant decline for those with ER-negative tumors. Conclusion In the United States, breast cancer mortality rates have declined among women with ER-positive and ER-negative tumors, with greater declines among younger women and those with ER-positive tumors. Although mortality in all groups remains unacceptably high, additional emphasis should be placed on improving outcomes of breast cancer patients older than 70 years and those of all ages with ER-negative tumors.


2022 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Smith Torres-Roman ◽  
Luz Ronceros-Cardenas ◽  
Bryan Valcarcel ◽  
Janina Bazalar-Palacios ◽  
Jorge Ybaseta-Medina ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Cervical cancer continues to show a high burden among young women worldwide, particularly in low- and middle-income countries. Limited data is available describing cervical cancer mortality among young women in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC). The purpose of this study was to examine the mortality trends of cervical cancer among young women in LAC and predict mortality rates to 2030. Methods Deaths from cervical cancer were obtained from the World Health Organization mortality database. Age-standardized mortality rates per 100,000 women-years were estimated in women aged 20–44 years using the world standard population for 16 countries (and territories) in LAC from 1997 to 2017. We estimated the average mortality rates for the last 4 years (2014–2017). Joinpoint regression models were used to identify significant changes in mortality trends. Nordpred method was used for the prediction of the mortality rates to 2030. Results Between 2014 and 2017, Paraguay and Venezuela had the highest mortality rates of cervical cancer, whereas Puerto Rico had the lowest rates. Overall, most of the LAC countries showed downward trends of cervical cancer mortality over the entire period. Significant decreases were observed in Chile (Average annual percent change [AAPC]: − 2.4%), Colombia (AAPC: − 2.0%), Cuba (AAPC: − 3.6%), El Salvador (AAPC: − 3.1%), Mexico (AAPC: − 3.9%), Nicaragua (AAPC: − 1.7%), Panama (AAPC: − 1.7%), and Peru (AAPC: − 2.2%). In contrast, Brazil (AAPC: + 0.8%) and Paraguay (AAPC: + 3.7%) showed significant upward trends. By 2030, mortality rates are not predicted to further decrease in some LAC countries, including Argentina, Paraguay, and Venezuela. Conclusions Mortality trends of cervical cancer among young women have large variability in LAC countries. Cervical cancer screening programs have a high priority for the region. Primary and secondary prevention in the community are necessary to accelerate a reduction of cervical cancer mortality by 2030.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Smith Torres-Roman ◽  
Bryan Valcarcel ◽  
Pedro Guerra-Canchari ◽  
Camila Alves Dos Santos ◽  
Isabelle Ribeiro Barbosa ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Reports suggest that Latin American and Caribbean (LAC) countries have not achieved the downward mortality trends in leukemia seen in other countries. However, updated trends remain largely unknown in the region. Given that leukemia is the leading cause of cancer-related death in LAC children, we aimed to evaluate mortality trends in children (0-14y) from 15 LAC countries for the period 2000–2017 and to predict mortality until 2030. Methods We retrieved cancer mortality data through the World Health Organization Mortality Database. Age-standardized (world standard population) rates were computed for LAC countries. Joinpoint regression analysis was used to examine trends in the mortality rates of leukemia and provide an estimated annual percent change (EAPC). Nordpred was utilized for the calculation of predictions until 2030. Results Between 2013 and 2017, the highest mortality rates were reported in Venezuela, Ecuador, Nicaragua, Mexico, and Peru. Upward mortality trends were reported in Nicaragua (EAPC by 1.2% in boys, and EAPC by 2.0% in girls), Panama (EAPC by 1.8% in boys, and by 2.7% in girls), and Peru (EAPC by 1.4% in both sexes). Puerto Rico experienced large declines in mortality among both boys (APC by − 9.7%), and girls (EAPC by − 6.0%). Forecasting models predicted that leukemia mortality between 2015 and 2030, will increase in Argentina, Ecuador, Guatemala, Panama, Peru, and Uruguay. Conclusion Leukemia mortality is predicted to increase unless efforts are made to intervene. Interventions include addressing the inequities in health care diagnosing cases earlier,, avoiding treatment abandonment, and proper supportive care such as infection control programs will reduce the mortality in a great proportion.


2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 213
Author(s):  
Chinmay Jani ◽  
Omar Al Omari ◽  
Harpreet Singh ◽  
Alexander Walker ◽  
Kripa Patel ◽  
...  

The burden of AIDS-defining cancers has remained relatively steady for the past two decades, whilst the burden of non-AIDS-defining cancer has increased. Here, we conduct a study to describe mortality trends attributed to HIV-associated cancers in 31 countries. We extracted HIV-related cancer mortality data from 2001 to 2018 from the World Health Organization Mortality Database. We computed age-standardized death rates (ASDRs) per 100,000 population using the World Standard Population. Data were visualized using Locally Weighted Scatterplot Smoothing (LOWESS). Data for females were available for 25 countries. Overall, there has been a decrease in mortality attributed to HIV-associated cancers among most of the countries. In total, 18 out of 31 countries (58.0%) and 14 out of 25 countries (56.0%) showed decreases in male and female mortality, respectively. An increasing mortality trend was observed in many developing countries, such as Malaysia and Thailand, and some developed countries, such as the United Kingdom. Malaysia had the greatest increase in male mortality (+495.0%), and Canada had the greatest decrease (−88.5%). Thailand had the greatest increase in female mortality (+540.0%), and Germany had the greatest decrease (−86.0%). At the endpoint year, South Africa had the highest ASDRs for both males (16.8/100,000) and females (19.2/100,000). The lowest was in Japan for males (0.07/100,000) and Egypt for females (0.028/100,000).


2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 572-572
Author(s):  
Yunan Han ◽  
Shuai Xu ◽  
Graham A. Colditz ◽  
Adetunji T. Toriola

572 Background: Breast cancer is the second leading cause of cancer death in U.S. women. On the molecular level, breast cancer is a heterogeneous disease. Heterogeneous expressions of estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PR), human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) are etiologically and clinically meaningful, as they map to distinct risk factors and different treatment strategies. Although breast cancer mortality has been declining since 1990, little is known about mortality trends according to molecular subtypes at the population level. Methods: We examined the incidence-based mortality rates and trends among women who were diagnosed with invasive breast cancer from 2010 through 2017 using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. We defined incidence-based mortality using a moving 5-year calendar period starting in 2014. We further assessed mortality according to breast cancer molecular subtypes: luminal A (ER and/or PR positive, HER2 negative), luminal B (ER and/or PR positive, HER2 positive), HER2-enriched (HER2 over-expressed or amplified, ER and PR negative) and triple-negative (ER and PR negative, HER2 negative) tumors. We calculated annual percent changes (APC) in incidence-based mortality using joinpoint regression models. Results: Overall, incidence-based mortality for breast cancer significantly decreased by 1.5% annually from 2014 through 2017 (APC, -1.5%; 95% coefficient interval [CI], -2.3% to -0.7%; p<0.001). Incidence-based mortality decreased annually by 2.0% for luminal A breast cancer (APC, -2.0%; 95% CI, -3.7% to -0.3%; p<0.001), 2.1% for luminal B breast cancer (APC, -2.1%; 95% CI, -5.4% to 1.4%; p=0.1), 1.1% for triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) (APC, -1.1%; 95% CI, -2.1% to -0.0%; p<0.001). However, incidence-based mortality for HER2-enriched breast cancer increased 2.3% annually during the study period (APC, 2.3%; 95% CI, -2.4% to 7.2%; p=0.2). Conclusions: Between 2014 and 2017, incidence-based mortality for luminal A, luminal B, and TNBC decreased among U.S. women, with a larger decrease observed for luminal tumors. However, incidence-based mortality for HER2-enriched breast cancer increased. The favorable incidence-based mortality trends for luminal tumors and TNBC are likely due to the continuing improvement in treatments and early detection. The increasing trend of incidence-based mortality for HER2-enriched breast cancer constitutes a priority for cancer control activities and further research.


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