scholarly journals Handling Interdependencies in Climate Change Risk Assessment

Climate ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 3 (4) ◽  
pp. 1079-1096 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard Dawson
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Climate Change Risk

Exploring machine learning potential for climate change risk assessment

2021 ◽  
pp. 103752
Author(s):  
Federica Zennaro ◽  
Elisa Furlan ◽  
Christian Simeoni ◽  
Silvia Torresan ◽  
Sinem Aslan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Learning Potential ◽  
Climate Change Risk

Integrated climate change risk assessment and evaluation of adaptation perspective in southern Punjab, Pakistan

2018 ◽  
Vol 628-629 ◽  
pp. 1422-1436 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdul Qayyum Aslam ◽  
Iftikhar Ahmad ◽  
Sajid Rashid Ahmad ◽  
Yawar Hussain ◽  
Muhammad Sameem Hussain ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Climate Change Risk ◽  
Assessment And Evaluation

How to model the impact of climate change on vector-borne diseases?

2021 ◽  
pp. 26-31
Author(s):  
Cyril Caminade
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Mathematical Models ◽  
Future Climate ◽  
Future Climate Change ◽  
Climate Change Risk ◽  
Vector Borne Diseases ◽  
Impact Of Climate Change ◽  
Vector Borne ◽  
The Impact

Abstract This expert opinion provides an overview of mathematical models that have been used to assess the impact of climate change on ticks and tick-borne diseases, ways forward in terms of improving models for the recent context and broad guidelines for conducting future climate change risk assessment.

scholarly journals Public health evidence for the UK’s Third Climate Change Risk Assessment

2020 ◽  
Vol 30 (Supplement_5) ◽  
Author(s):  
S Kovats ◽  
R Brisley ◽  
P Watkiss ◽  
G Turner
Keyword(s):  
Public Health ◽  
Climate Change ◽  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Healthcare Delivery ◽  
Adaptation Strategies ◽  
Climate Change Risk ◽  
The Third ◽  
Policy Responses ◽  
Health And Social Care ◽  
Planned Adaptation

Abstract Background The UK has a statutory requirement under the Climate Change Act (2008) to undertake a Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCRA) every five years. The Evidence Report for the Third CCRA, due 2021, will identify the most important current and future risks and opportunities to public health from climate change. It also considers whether present and planned adaptation strategies to are sufficient to manage the risks or additional action is required. Methods The analysis underpinning this review assesses whether risks and actions improve or exacerbate adverse health outcomes and inequalities. This paper reports on the CCRA3 evidence review, which considers the current and likely future impacts of changing flood risk, heatwaves, coastal change, air pollution, vector-borne disease and water quality on public health and healthcare delivery. All risks are assessed by their magnitude, as well as scored by urgency to address them. Results This paper presents the findings for two risks - from heat and coastal flooding impacts on population health and communities. A key focus has been to explore how climate change and policy responses affect the health of vulnerable groups and who could be further disadvantaged by inappropriate adaptation policies. This includes new analysis of the climate risks to health within the built environment and within the health and social care sector. The long-term health consequences of climate change have been considered through potential policy, building and environmental “lock-in”. Such lock-ins include potential risks to inhabitants from overheating due to building regulations failing to address increasing ambient temperatures or homes being built on flood plains. Conclusions Climate change presents challenges to deliver national policy responses ensuring that adaptation remains equitable and optimal for health. The CCRA3 Evidence Report will inform the third UK National Adaptation Plan, setting out Government actions for 2023-2028. Key messages Assess current and future risks and opportunities to public health from climate change. Assess present and planned adaptation strategies for management of risks.

Incorporating climate change risk assessment into infrastructure planning

2012 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard E. Nelson ◽  
Kathy Freas
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Infrastructure Planning ◽  
Climate Change Risk ◽  
Design Procedures ◽  
Planning And Design ◽  
Wastewater Infrastructure ◽  
Water And Wastewater ◽  
Typical Design

Planning and design for water and wastewater infrastructure is typically based on past climate patterns assuming that these patterns will continue through the design period of the targeted infrastructure. Given the evidence of climate change and increasing uncertainty in hydrometerological events including changes in the intensity, timing, form, and distribution of precipitation and runoff typical design procedures carry a risk of being inadequate through the life cycle of installed infrastructure compromising the flexibility and reliability of water and wastewater infrastructure systems. Incorporating climate risk assessment into infrastructure planning accommodates the emerging need for planning and design of water and wastewater infrastructure to long-term service that protects public health and provides the full service intended.

scholarly journals Advances in risk assessment for climate change adaptation policy

2018 ◽  
Vol 376 (2121) ◽  
pp. 20180106 ◽  
Author(s):  
W. Neil Adger ◽  
Iain Brown ◽  
Swenja Surminski
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Climate Change Adaptation ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Formal Analysis ◽  
Spatial Dynamics ◽  
Adaptation Policy ◽  
Theme Issue ◽  
Climate Change Risk ◽  
Climate Change Adaptation Policy

Climate change risk assessment involves formal analysis of the consequences, likelihoods and responses to the impacts of climate change and the options for addressing these under societal constraints. Conventional approaches to risk assessment are challenged by the significant temporal and spatial dynamics of climate change; by the amplification of risks through societal preferences and values; and through the interaction of multiple risk factors. This paper introduces the theme issue by reviewing the current practice and frontiers of climate change risk assessment, with specific emphasis on the development of adaptation policy that aims to manage those risks. These frontiers include integrated assessments, dealing with climate risks across borders and scales, addressing systemic risks, and innovative co-production methods to prioritize solutions to climate challenges with decision-makers. By reviewing recent developments in the use of large-scale risk assessment for adaptation policy-making, we suggest a forward-looking research agenda to meet ongoing strategic policy requirements in local, national and international contexts. This article is part of the theme issue ‘Advances in risk assessment for climate change adaptation policy’.

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