scholarly journals Measuring Dispersion and Serial Dependence in Ordinal Time Series Based on the Cumulative Paired ϕ-Entropy

Entropy ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
pp. 42
Author(s):  
Christian H. Weiß
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Asymptotic Distributions ◽  
Environmental Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Serial Dependence ◽  
Actual Choice ◽  
Dispersion Measures ◽  
Ordinal Time Series ◽  
Dependence Measures

The family of cumulative paired ϕ-entropies offers a wide variety of ordinal dispersion measures, covering many well-known dispersion measures as a special case. After a comprehensive analysis of this family of entropies, we consider the corresponding sample versions and derive their asymptotic distributions for stationary ordinal time series data. Based on an investigation of their asymptotic bias, we propose a family of signed serial dependence measures, which can be understood as weighted types of Cohen’s κ, with the weights being related to the actual choice of ϕ. Again, the asymptotic distribution of the corresponding sample κϕ is derived and applied to test for serial dependence in ordinal time series. Using numerical computations and simulations, the practical relevance of the dispersion and dependence measures is investigated. We conclude with an environmental data example, where the novel ϕ-entropy-related measures are applied to an ordinal time series on the daily level of air quality.

scholarly journals Measures of Dispersion and Serial Dependence in Categorical Time Series

Econometrics ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 17 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christian H. Weiß
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Asymptotic Distributions ◽  
Serial Dependence ◽  
Finite Sample ◽  
Categorical Time Series ◽  
Dispersion Measures ◽  
Measures Of Dispersion ◽  
Dependence Measures ◽  
Economics And Biology

The analysis and modeling of categorical time series requires quantifying the extent of dispersion and serial dependence. The dispersion of categorical data is commonly measured by Gini index or entropy, but also the recently proposed extropy measure can be used for this purpose. Regarding signed serial dependence in categorical time series, we consider three types of κ -measures. By analyzing bias properties, it is shown that always one of the κ -measures is related to one of the above-mentioned dispersion measures. For doing statistical inference based on the sample versions of these dispersion and dependence measures, knowledge on their distribution is required. Therefore, we study the asymptotic distributions and bias corrections of the considered dispersion and dependence measures, and we investigate the finite-sample performance of the resulting asymptotic approximations with simulations. The application of the measures is illustrated with real-data examples from politics, economics and biology.

scholarly journals An Empirical Mode-Spatial Model for Environmental Data Imputation

Hydrology ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 63 ◽  
Author(s):  
Benjamin Nelsen ◽  
D. Williams ◽  
Gustavious Williams ◽  
Candace Berrett
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Spatial Data ◽  
Missing Values ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Environmental Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Data Imputation ◽  
Accurate Data ◽  
Target Station ◽  
Periodic Components

Complete and accurate data are necessary for analyzing and understanding trends in time-series datasets; however, many of the available time-series datasets have gaps that affect the analysis, especially in the earth sciences. As most available data have missing values, researchers use various interpolation methods or ad hoc approaches to data imputation. Since the analysis based on inaccurate data can lead to inaccurate conclusions, more accurate data imputation methods can provide accurate analysis. We present a spatial-temporal data imputation method using Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) based on spatial correlations. We call this method EMD-spatial data imputation or EMD-SDI. Though this method is applicable to other time-series data sets, here we demonstrate the method using temperature data. The EMD algorithm decomposes data into periodic components called intrinsic mode functions (IMF) and exactly reconstructs the original signal by summing these IMFs. EMD-SDI initially decomposes the data from the target station and other stations in the region into IMFs. EMD-SDI evaluates each IMF from the target station in turn and selects the IMF from other stations in the region with periodic behavior most correlated to target IMF. EMD-SDI then replaces a section of missing data in the target station IMF with the section from the most closely correlated IMF from the regional stations. We found that EMD-SDI selects the IMFs used for reconstruction from different stations throughout the region, not necessarily the station closest in the geographic sense. EMD-SDI accurately filled data gaps from 3 months to 5 years in length in our tests and favorably compares to a simple temporal method. EMD-SDI leverages regional correlation and the fact that different stations can be subject to different periodic behaviors. In addition to data imputation, the EMD-SDI method provides IMFs that can be used to better understand regional correlations and processes.

IDENTIFYING NONLINEAR SERIAL DEPENDENCE IN VOLATILE, HIGH-FREQUENCY TIME SERIES AND ITS IMPLICATIONS FOR VOLATILITY MODELING

2010 ◽  
Vol 14 (S1) ◽  
pp. 88-110 ◽  
Author(s):  
Phillip Wild ◽  
John Foster ◽  
Melvin J. Hinich
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Electricity Market ◽  
High Frequency ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
New South ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Serial Dependence ◽  
South Wales ◽  
High Volatility ◽  
Wholesale Electricity Market

In this article, we show how tests of nonlinear serial dependence can be applied to high-frequency time series data that exhibit high volatility, strong mean reversion, and leptokurtotis. Portmanteau correlation, bicorrelation, and tricorrelation tests are used to detect nonlinear serial dependence in the data. Trimming is used to control for the presence of outliers in the data. The data that are employed are 161,786 half-hourly spot electricity price observations recorded over nearly a decade in the wholesale electricity market in New South Wales, Australia. Strong evidence of nonlinear serial dependence is found and its implications for time series modeling are discussed.

The analysis of ordinal time-series data via a transition (Markov) model

2011 ◽  
Vol 38 (9) ◽  
pp. 1883-1897 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kathryn Bartimote-Aufflick ◽  
Peter C. Thomson
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Markov Model ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Ordinal Time Series

Graphical Exploratory Data Analysis for Categorical Longitudinal and Time Series Data

2013 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephen J. Tueller ◽  
Richard A. Van Dorn ◽  
Georgiy Bobashev ◽  
Barry Eggleston
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Data Analysis ◽  
Exploratory Data Analysis ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Exploratory Data

Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Nilai Tukar Dollar Amerika Serikat Terhadap Rupiah Tahun 2000–2013

2017 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 177-191
Author(s):  
Rizki Rahma Kusumadewi ◽  
Wahyu Widayat
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
The United States ◽  
Economic Conditions ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Arch Model ◽  
United States Dollar ◽  
The Exchange Rate

Exchange rate is one tool to measure a country’s economic conditions. The growth of a stable currency value indicates that the country has a relatively good economic conditions or stable. This study has the purpose to analyze the factors that affect the exchange rate of the Indonesian Rupiah against the United States Dollar in the period of 2000-2013. The data used in this study is a secondary data which are time series data, made up of exports, imports, inflation, the BI rate, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), and the money supply (M1) in the quarter base, from first quarter on 2000 to fourth quarter on 2013. Regression model time series data used the ARCH-GARCH with ARCH model selection indicates that the variables that significantly influence the exchange rate are exports, inflation, the central bank rate and the money supply (M1). Whereas import and GDP did not give any influence.

An Anomaly Detection Method with Exemplar Subsequence for Time Series Data

2016 ◽  
Vol 136 (3) ◽  
pp. 363-372
Author(s):  
Takaaki Nakamura ◽  
Makoto Imamura ◽  
Masashi Tatedoko ◽  
Norio Hirai
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Anomaly Detection ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Detection Method ◽  
Series Data

The Comparison of Land Subsidence between East and West Side of Bangkok, Thailand

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (3) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Angkana Pumpuang ◽  
Anuphao Aobpaet
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Land Subsidence ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Industrial Estates ◽  
Vertical Displacements ◽  
Land Deformation ◽  
Extensive Farming ◽  
Chao Phraya River ◽  
Set Up

The land deformation in line of sight (LOS) direction can be measured using time series InSAR. InSAR can successfully measure land subsidence based on LOS in many big cities, including the eastern and western regions of Bangkok which is separated by Chao Phraya River. There are differences in prosperity between both sides due to human activities, land use, and land cover. This study focuses on the land subsidence difference between the western and eastern regions of Bangkok and the most possible cause affecting the land subsidence rates. The Radarsat-2 single look complex (SLC) was used to set up the time series data for long term monitoring. To generate interferograms, StaMPS for Time Series InSAR processing was applied by using the PSI algorithm in DORIS software. It was found that the subsidence was more to the eastern regions of Bangkok where the vertical displacements were +0.461 millimetres and -0.919 millimetres on the western and the eastern side respectively. The districts of Nong Chok, Lat Krabang, and Khlong Samwa have the most extensive farming area in eastern Bangkok. Besides, there were also three major industrial estates located in eastern Bangkok like Lat Krabang, Anya Thani and Bang Chan Industrial Estate. By the assumption of water demand, there were forty-eight wells and three wells found in the eastern and western part respectively. The number of groundwater wells shows that eastern Bangkok has the demand for water over the west, and the pumping of groundwater is a significant factor that causes land subsidence in the area.Keywords: Subsidence, InSAR, Radarsat-2, Bangkok

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