categorical time series
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2022 ◽  
pp. 026540752110666
Author(s):  
Denise Haunani Solomon ◽  
Susanne Jones ◽  
Miriam Brinberg ◽  
Graham D. Bodie ◽  
Nilam Ram

This study demonstrates how sequence analysis, which is a method for identifying common patterns in categorical time series data, illuminates the nonlinear dynamics of dyadic conversations by describing chains of behavior that shift categorically, rather than incrementally. When applied to interpersonal interactions, sequence analysis supports the identification of conversational motifs, which can be used to test hypotheses linking patterns of interaction to conversational antecedents or outcomes. As an illustrative example, this study evaluated 285 conversations involving stranger, friend, and dating dyads in which one partner, the discloser, communicated about a source of stress to a partner in the role of listener. Using sequence analysis, we identified three five-turn supportive conversational motifs that had also emerged in a previous study of stranger dyads: discloser problem description, discloser problem processing, and listener-focused dialogue. We also observed a new, fourth motif: listener-focused, discloser questioning. Tests of hypotheses linking the prevalence and timing of particular motifs to the problem discloser’s emotional improvement and perceptions of support quality, as moderated by the discloser’s pre-interaction stress, offered a partial replication of previous findings. The discussion highlights the value of using sequence analysis to illuminate dynamic patterns in dyadic interactions.


2021 ◽  
Vol 439 ◽  
pp. 176-196
Author(s):  
Milad Leyli-Abadi ◽  
Allou Samé ◽  
Latifa Oukhellou ◽  
Nicolas Cheifetz ◽  
Pierre Mandel ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-38
Author(s):  
Zinsou Max Debaly ◽  
Lionel Truquet

Abstract We discuss the existence and uniqueness of stationary and ergodic nonlinear autoregressive processes when exogenous regressors are incorporated into the dynamic. To this end, we consider the convergence of the backward iterations of dependent random maps. In particular, we give a new result when the classical condition of contraction on average is replaced with a contraction in conditional expectation. Under some conditions, we also discuss the dependence properties of these processes using the functional dependence measure of Wu (2005, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 102, 14150–14154) that delivers a central limit theorem giving a wide range of applications. Our results are illustrated with conditional heteroscedastic autoregressive nonlinear models, Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) processes, count time series, binary choice models, and categorical time series for which we provide many extensions of existing results.


Author(s):  
Thomas Collas ◽  
Philippe Blanchard

This chapter explores sequence analysis (SA), which conceives the social world as happening in processes, in series of events experienced by social entities. SA refers to a set of tools used to summarize, represent, and compare sequences — i.e. ordered lists of items. Job careers (succession of job positions) are typical examples of sequences. Various other topics have been studied through SA, such as steps in traditional English dances, country-level adoption of welfare policies over one century, or individual and family time-diaries. Andrew Abbott played a pioneering role in the diffusion of SA. With colleagues, Abbott introduced optimal matching analysis (OMA) in the social sciences, a tool to compare sequences borrowed from computer science and previously adapted to DNA sequences. Abbott’s work on SA was part of a wider methodological thinking on social processes. The chapter then looks at the most common type of sequences in social science: categorical time series — i.e. successions of states with a duration defined on a more or less refined chronological scale.


2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 83-112
Author(s):  
Alex Tank ◽  
Xiudi Li ◽  
Emily B. Fox ◽  
Ali Shojaie

Author(s):  
ALEXANDRA N. M. DARMON ◽  
MARYA BAZZI ◽  
SAM D. HOWISON ◽  
MASON A. PORTER

Whether enjoying the lucid prose of a favourite author or slogging through some other writer’s cumbersome, heavy-set prattle (full of parentheses, em dashes, compound adjectives, and Oxford commas), readers will notice stylistic signatures not only in word choice and grammar but also in punctuation itself. Indeed, visual sequences of punctuation from different authors produce marvellously different (and visually striking) sequences. Punctuation is a largely overlooked stylistic feature in stylometry, the quantitative analysis of written text. In this paper, we examine punctuation sequences in a corpus of literary documents and ask the following questions: Are the properties of such sequences a distinctive feature of different authors? Is it possible to distinguish literary genres based on their punctuation sequences? Do the punctuation styles of authors evolve over time? Are we on to something interesting in trying to do stylometry without words, or are we full of sound and fury (signifying nothing)? In our investigation, we examine a large corpus of documents from Project Gutenberg (a digital library with many possible editorial influences). We extract punctuation sequences from each document in our corpus and record the number of words that separate punctuation marks. Using such information about punctuation-usage patterns, we attempt both author and genre recognition, and we also examine the evolution of punctuation usage over time. Our efforts at author recognition are particularly successful. Among the features that we consider, the one that seems to carry the most explanatory power is an empirical approximation of the joint probability of the successive occurrence of two punctuation marks. In our conclusions, we suggest several directions for future work, including the application of similar analyses for investigating translations and other types of categorical time series.


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