scholarly journals Investment Selection Based on Bonferroni Mean under Generalized Probabilistic Hesitant Fuzzy Environments

Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 107
Author(s):  
Wenying Wu ◽  
Zhiwei Ni ◽  
Feifei Jin ◽  
Jian Wu ◽  
Ying Li ◽  
...  

In investment selection problems, the existence of contingency and uncertainty may result in the loss of attribute information. Then, how to make proper investment decision-making will be a tricky proposition. In this work, a multiattribute group decision making (MAGDM) method based on the generalized probabilistic hesitant fuzzy Bonferroni mean (GPHFBM) operator is constructed, which enables decision-makers to select the proper parameters in decision-making process. Firstly, the GPHFBM operator is proposed by combining the Bonferroni mean operator and Archimedean norm. Secondly, five excellent properties of the GPHFBM operator are discussed in detail. In view of applications, we further develop some special aggregation operators for GPHFBM with the various values of parameters b, d and additive operators g(t). Finally, we propose a probabilistic hesitant fuzzy MAGDM method based on the GPHFBM operator to analyze the aggregated information. A case study of the investment of social insurance funds is given to depict the validity and reasonability of the proposed method. Ultimately, the company X4 is selected as the investment company with the best comprehensive indicator.

Author(s):  
Lei Wang ◽  
Qing Liu ◽  
Tongle Yin

Navigation safety improving investment aims at mitigating risk and improving safety of shipping system, while decision-makers’ attitudes toward the uncertainty of shipping safety possess a characteristic of “bounded rationality.” To study the tendency of shipping safety investment decision-making with different risk perception and appetite, a decision-making method based on cumulative prospect theory is proposed in this article. First, we extract the decision attributes through analyzing the factors affecting shipping safety investment. Then, according to cumulative prospect theory, the value function and the probability weighting function for calculating cumulative prospect values of shipping investment attributes are given. Under the risk-based multi-attribute group decision-making framework, linear programming model and projection method are introduced to aggregate the weights of attributes and decision-makers, respectively. Furthermore, through a case study, the proposed methodology is utilized in Three Gorges Dam area, and the desirable safety investment scheme is determined from a set of candidate alternatives. The case study shows not only validity and feasibility of the decision-making approach but also the mechanism of shipping safety investment decision-making with consideration of the behavior characteristics of decision-makers such as reference dependence, risk appetite distortion, and loss aversion.


Author(s):  
Yue He ◽  
Zeshui Xu ◽  
Weiling Jiang

Uncertain preference orderings have been widely applied in real world decision making problems as a useful and convenient tool to express preference information. When the number of decision makers is great, the importance degrees of preference interval orderings provided by the decision makers are usually difficult to be determined and may be ignored, which probably lead to the erroneous decision results when the weight information is missing. In order to make full use of information, we define the concepts of probabilistic interval preference ordering set (PIPOS) and probabilistic interval preference ordering element (PIPOE). Then, we give the score and the basic operation laws of PIPOEs, based on which we develop some aggregation operators and the distance measures for PIPOEs. After that, due to the limited cognitions and knowledge of the decision makers, we propose an algorithm to remove the inaccurate information and adjust the probabilities. Furthermore, we put forward the aggregation-based approach and the TOPSIS approach with probabilistic interval preference orderings for multi-criteria group decision making. Finally, in order to illustrate our approaches, we make a detailed case study concerning the infrastructure investment decision making problem on “the Silk Road Economic Belt and the 21st-Century Maritime Silk Road” (B&R) strategy.


Author(s):  
Jose Leao E Silva Filho ◽  
Danielle Costa Morais

This paper presents a group decision-making model using a distance aggregator based on Ordered Weighted Distance (OWD) which offers a solution that can reduce disagreement between decision makers (DMs). This paper discusses decision rules and sets out measures to evaluate compensatory effects that have a bearing on DMs’ opinions. The model uses formulations of distances to reveal the differences in opinion among DMs and discusses the meanings of distance and the information presented by each DM. Finally, a case study of a logistics problem is used to illustrate how the model is applied.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (17) ◽  
pp. 7006
Author(s):  
Josefine Rasmussen

Energy efficiency is an important means for sustainable manufacturing. One action for manufacturing companies to improve energy efficiency is through investments. While these investments often are profitable, opportunities remain unexploited. This paper explores the structural context of the investment decision-making process by examining the associated activities, procedures, and the role of information. While the structural context may limit complex investments that do not fit predefined rules and controls, such as energy efficiency and other sustainability-related investments, it remains a scarcely studied aspect of investment decision-making for energy efficiency investments. Method-wise, the paper is based on a case study of a major investment at a pulp and paper company, motivated and justified based on productivity, strategic, energy, and sustainability rationales. The paper contributes with illustrating how configurations of internal investment activities and procedures may be crucial for sustainability-related investments to pass through the investment process. Moreover, the configuration of activities and procedures is also indicated as influential for the way in which an investment is executed. Hence, for energy efficiency and other sustainability-related investments to make business sense constitutes more than achieving desirable payback periods; the structural context should be considered.


2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 82-92
Author(s):  
Ardy Indra Lekso Wibowo Putra ◽  
Aditya Dwiansyah Putra ◽  
Murni Sari Dewi ◽  
Denny Oktavina Radianto

An investor must be able to consider all kinds of steps that will be taken or that will be carried out, assessing stocks - shares that will provide optimal benefits in making an investment decision. By analyzing the intrinsic value of the price of a company's stock, investors can assess the fairness of the stock price. The method used to analize intrinsic value is fundamental analysis using the Price Earning Ratio (PER) approach. The samples to be taken in this research are manufacturing companies in Indonesia which are listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) for the period 2016 - 2017 with certain criteria. The results of this research will show that the shares of companies listed are in overvalued, undervalued or correctly valued conditions. So investors can decide to buy, hold or sell their shares.


2017 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 40-48
Author(s):  
Irma Dwi Pratiwi ◽  
Nugraha Nugraha

Objective – For fundamental analysis and to know the description of Earning Per Share and Price Earning Ratio as a basis for consideration in decision making of stock investment in plantations sub-sector period 2008-2015.Design/methodology/approach – This type of research is descriptive method with a total sample of 7 metal and allied sub-sector companies listed on the Indonesian Stock Exchange. The analysis technique used is fundamental analysis with EPS and PER approaches. The design of this research is the method of time series design with a period of research for 8 years.Findings – Based on the results of fundamental analysis with EPS and PER approach can effectively assist investors in assesing the company’s stock on making decision of stock investment in plantations sub sector.Originality/value – The difference in this study lies in the object of research, study time, measuring tools, literature used, the theory used and the results of research. Keywords: Fundamental analysis,  Investment Decision  Making,  Stocks,  Earning Per Share (EPS), Price Earning Ratio (PER), Intrinsic ValueArticle Type: Case Study


WIMAYA ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (01) ◽  
pp. 8-16
Author(s):  
Upalat Korwatanasakul ◽  
Adam Majoe

This study examines the current situation of environmental, social, and governance (ESG) investment in Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) countries. Based on a purposive sampling, our sample includes 143 leading firms from 10 ASEAN countries. By intensively reviewing firms’ multiyear annual and sustainability reports, we utilize content analysis to identify the characteristics of ESG firms (firms considering ESG factors in their investment decision-making process). Our result shows that ESG firms, on average, have higher profitability. Moreover, ESG investment helps lower costs and boost revenue and profits. However, ESG investment has only been implicitly and unsystematically implemented in ASEAN firms.


2020 ◽  
Vol 28 (4) ◽  
pp. 633-653 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fadi Alkaraan

Purpose This paper aims to examine the adoption of conventional and emergent analysis techniques in Strategic Investment Decision-Making (SIDM) practices in large UK manufacturing companies. It aims to update the current knowledge on SIDM practices in large manufacturing companies. The research question underlying this study: Are recently developed analysis techniques (i.e. those that aim to integrate strategic and financial analyses) being used to evaluate strategic investment projects? Design/methodology/approach The research evidence underpinning this study was made up of primary and secondary data, quantitative and qualitative. Firstly, a survey consisting of a mailed formal standard questionnaire was conducted where each respondent is required to answer the same questions based on the same system of coded responses. Secondly, qualitative data was collected using the annual reports of selected companies. Disclosures were used as supplementary source of information using the explanatory notes and parenthetical disclosures accompanying companies’ financial reporting. Sources for these disclosures included management discussions, analyses of company strategy and risk and forward-looking reports regarding future performance and growth opportunities (such as mergers and acquisitions activities). Accordingly, companies’ disclosures were used in this study as an alternative method to semi-structured interviews to collect qualitative data. More recently, companies such as Rio Tinto have prepared strategic annual reports for 2017 against the UK Corporate Governance Code (version 2016). Findings The choice and use of financial analysis techniques and risk analysis techniques depend on the type of project being evaluated. Decision makers in large UK companies do not appear to use emergent analysis techniques widely. Pre-decision control mechanisms have significant influence on SIDM practices. This includes the changes of internal and external contextual factors, including organisational culture, organisational strategies, financial consideration, comprising formal approval governance mechanisms, regulatory and other compliance policies interact with companies’ internal control systems. Companies incorporate non-financial factors alongside quantitative analysis of strategic investments opportunities. Energy efficiency and carbon reduction are key imperatives of companies’ environmental management. These factors viewed by decision makers as significant factors relevant for compliance with legislation as well as maintaining companies’ legitimacy issues, sustainable business, experience with new technology and improved company image. Research limitations/implications High risk, ambiguity and complexity are key characteristics embedded in SIDM processes. Macroeconomic issues remain crucial factors in scanning and screening investment opportunities, as reported by this study. The early stage of SIDM processes requires modelling under macroeconomic scenarios and assumptions of both internal and external parameters. Key assumptions include: projections of economic growth; commodity prices and exchange rates, introduction of technological and productivity advancements; cost and supply parameters for major inputs. SIDM practices rooted on comprehensive knowledge and experience of the industry and markets to draw subjective judgements about the riskiness of prospective projects, but these are rarely formalized into their SIDM processes. Findings of this study, however, remain within the context of UK companies. This study has its own limitations due to its time, location, respondents and sample selection, the size and the sector of the selected companies and questions addressed. Findings of this study raise a call for future research to examine SIDM processes in different settings to explore the relative impact of various organisational control mechanisms on SIDM practices. Also, to examine the influence of contextual factors (such as national culture, political, legal and social factors) on organisational control mechanisms. SIDM practices and processes have received significant attention from researchers, yet there is a lack of evidence in the literature about how companies approach strategic decision-making regarding divestments of some of their strategic investments. This type of strategic decision-making is not less important than other types of SIDM practices. Practical implications SIDM practices reflect the art and science of steering and controlling organisational resources to achieve a desired strategy. To understand the factors that shape SIDM practices and align them to organisational strategy, more attention is required to the choice and design of pre-decision controls and to the important role of strategic management accounting tools over the more traditional financial analysis techniques that have formed the focus of much prior empirical research. Social implications Key environmental issues viewed by decision makers as significant factors relevant for compliance with legislation as well as maintaining companies’ legitimacy issues and company image. Originality/value Despite their perceived importance in this study, quantitative accounting controls may fail to connect with the kind of investment decision-making required to bring strategic success. Indeed, it has been widely noted that financial evaluation techniques are inadequate for assessing strategic investment proposals; they can only function as a guideline, as SIDM practices involve so many uncertainties, risks and judgements. A key insight from this study is that the achievement of integration between the firm’s strategic investment projects and the overall organizational strategy forms a critical pre-decision control on managerial behaviour at an early stage in SIDM practices. As many strategic investment decisions are one-off, non-repeatable decisions, the information needed to support their evaluation is likely to be similarly unique. Sound SIDM practices require the support of a large amount of varied information, a significant proportion of which is collected and analysed prior to potential capital investment projects being considered, such as information related to strategic goal setting, risk-adjusted hurdle rates and the design of appropriate organisational decision hierarchies.


2022 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 0-0

The change in the trend of transportation, increasing per capita income, expectation of better lifestyle, easy finance, and reduced cost of the automobile are some of the main factors that enable a commoner to have his/her own car. Therefore, it is essential to comprise such features in cars that offer qualities enabling the ease of consumer’s decision-making and comfort to purchase a car individually. Purchasing a car is a complicated multi-criteria decision-making problem as an individual may have different preferences for different criteria attributes. The attributes may be conflicting in nature depending on the need of the individual customer. Generally, it becomes quite difficult to assign ratings to these attributes based on numeric values. Therefore, the decision-making process relies on an idiosyncratic finding of the decision-makers which is in practice fuzzy with uncertainities. Hence, this article is a case study that deals with a hierarchy MCDM approach in accordance with the fuzzy logic and VIKOR method to solve a car purchasing problem.


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