scholarly journals A Model for the Optimal Investment Strategy in the Context of Pandemic Regional Lockdown

Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. 1058
Author(s):  
Antoine Tonnoir ◽  
Ioana Ciotir ◽  
Adrian-Liviu Scutariu ◽  
Octavian Dospinescu

The Covid-19 pandemic has generated major changes in society, most of them having a negative impact on the quality of life and income obtained by the population and businesses. The negative consequences have been highlighted in the decrease of the GPD level for regions, countries and even continents. Returning to pre-pandemic levels is a considerable effort for both economic and political decision-makers. This article deals with the construction of a mathematical model for economic aspects in the context of variable productivity in time. Through this mathematical model, we propose to maximize revenues in pandemic conditions, in order to limit the economic consequences of the lockdown. One advantage of the proposed model consists in the fact that it is based on units that can be regions, economic branches, economic units or fields of investment. Another strength of the model is determined by the fact that it offers the possibility to choose between two different investment strategies, based on the specific options of the decision makers: the consistent increase of the state revenues or the amelioration of the disparity phenomenon. Furthermore, our model extends previous approaches from the literature by adding some generalization options and the proposed model can be applied in lockdown cases and seasonal situations.

2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
pp. 0
Author(s):  
Yu Yuan ◽  
Hui Mi

<p style='text-indent:20px;'>In this paper, we study the robust optimal asset- problems for an ambiguity-averse investor, who does not have perfect information in the drift terms of the risky asset and liability processes. Two different kinds of objectives are considered: <inline-formula><tex-math id="M1">\begin{document}$ (i) $\end{document}</tex-math></inline-formula> Maximizing the minimal expected utility of the terminal wealth; <inline-formula><tex-math id="M2">\begin{document}$ (ii) $\end{document}</tex-math></inline-formula> Minimizing the maximal cumulative deviation. The ambiguity in both problems is described by a set of equivalent measures to the reference model. By the stochastic dynamic programming approach and Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation, we derive closed-form expressions for the value function and corresponding robust optimal investment strategy in each problem. Furthermore, some special cases are provided to investigate the effect of model uncertainty on the optimal investment strategy. Finally, the economic implication and parameter sensitivity are analyzed by some numerical examples. We also compare the robust optimal investment strategies in two different problems.</p>


2022 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
pp. 0
Author(s):  
Xiujing Dang ◽  
Yang Xu ◽  
Gongbing Bi ◽  
Lei Qin

<p style='text-indent:20px;'>With the development of business, more consumers are quality sensitive and improving the product quality becomes particularly important. We mainly discuss two investment strategies: retailer-investment and platform-investment. Compared with non-investment case, only if consumer sensitivity is not too high, it is profitable for the retailer to select retailer-investment. When both retailer-investment and platform-investment are viable, the choice of investment mechanism depends on the profit-sharing ratio. Particularly, if the ratio is within a certain range, the optimal investment strategy is platform-investment, achieving a triple-win outcome. Besides, to effectively alleviate the contradiction between the retailer's moral hazard problem and the sustainable value-added effect of platform-investment, we further research the contract term. These results give us some meaningful management inspirations in investment mechanism.</p>


Author(s):  
Dmitriy Vlasov

Within the framework of this article, the mechanisms for constructing and researching the game model for choosing the investor's optimal investment strategy in various information conditions are disclosed: building many players, building many players' strategies, the option of formalizing the payment function in the form of a game matrix, many optimality criteria, methods of justifying the choice of the strategy optimality criterion. Against the background of the application of classical criteria (Savage criterion, Wald criterion, Hodge-Lehman criterion, Hermeyer criterion), special attention is paid to the analysis of the possibilities of using the integrated Wald-Savage criterion for the study of game models, which allows to smooth the shortcomings of classical criteria and take into account the investor's appetite for risk. Attention is focused on the need to justify the choice of the criterion for the optimality of investment strategies, as well as the need of the researcher to clarify the states of nature and the probabilities of their implementations. The mechanisms for constructing and researching game models presented in this article can be used to improve methodological systems for teaching applied mathematical disciplines at an economic university, to build new variable educational disciplines on modern issues of decision theory, as well as within the framework of the system of advanced training in economics.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aiyin Wang ◽  
Ls Yong ◽  
Yang Wang ◽  
Xuanjun Luo

The constant elasticity of variance (CEV) model is used to describe the price of the risky asset. Maximizing the expected utility relating to the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation which describes the optimal investment strategies, we obtain a partial differential equation. Applying the Legendre transform, we transform the equation into a dual problem and obtain an approximation solution and an optimal investment strategies for the exponential utility function.


2000 ◽  
Vol 37 (4) ◽  
pp. 936-946 ◽  
Author(s):  
Griselda Deelstra ◽  
Martino Grasselli ◽  
Pierre-François Koehl

We study an optimal investment problem in a continuous-time framework where the interest rates follow Cox-Ingersoll-Ross dynamics. Closed form formulae for the optimal investment strategy are obtained by assuming the completeness of financial markets and the CRRA utility function. In particular, we study the behaviour of the solution when time approaches the terminal date.


2000 ◽  
Vol 37 (04) ◽  
pp. 936-946 ◽  
Author(s):  
Griselda Deelstra ◽  
Martino Grasselli ◽  
Pierre-François Koehl

We study an optimal investment problem in a continuous-time framework where the interest rates follow Cox-Ingersoll-Ross dynamics. Closed form formulae for the optimal investment strategy are obtained by assuming the completeness of financial markets and the CRRA utility function. In particular, we study the behaviour of the solution when time approaches the terminal date.


2006 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 62-68 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sigutė Vakrinienė ◽  
Arnoldina Pabedinskaitė

The present article investigates the problem of optimal investment, when, given a limited amount of funds, a decision must be taken to which projects and what amounts of funds are to be invested. Supposing that the expected average profit depends on several possible different market conditions, a matrix .game against nature. has been selected as the initial mathematical model. With a view to develop the optimal investment strategy, a linear programming task is formulated. The sensitivity of solutions to profitability coefficients is analysed by means of formulating a dual task for this task. The present article considers the stability and dynamics of the optimum investment strategy given a varying amount of the funds allocated to investment and the profitability of specific projects.


2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-17 ◽  
Author(s):  
Huiling Wu

This paper studies an investment-consumption problem under inflation. The consumption price level, the prices of the available assets, and the coefficient of the power utility are assumed to be sensitive to the states of underlying economy modulated by a continuous-time Markovian chain. The definition of admissible strategies and the verification theory corresponding to this stochastic control problem are presented. The analytical expression of the optimal investment strategy is derived. The existence, boundedness, and feasibility of the optimal consumption are proven. Finally, we analyze in detail by mathematical and numerical analysis how the risk aversion, the correlation coefficient between the inflation and the stock price, the inflation parameters, and the coefficient of utility affect the optimal investment and consumption strategy.


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