scholarly journals Novel Soil Moisture Estimates Combining the Ensemble Kalman Filter Data Assimilation and the Method of Breeding Growing Modes

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 889 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yize Li ◽  
Hong Shu ◽  
B. G. Mousa ◽  
Zhenhang Jiao

Soil moisture plays an important role in climate prediction and drought monitoring. Data assimilation, as a method of integrating multi-geographic spatial data, plays an increasingly important role in estimating soil moisture. Model prediction error, an important part of the background field information, occupies a position that could not be ignored in data assimilation. The model prediction error in data assimilation consists of three parts: forcing data error, initial field error, and model error. However, the influence of model error in current data assimilation methods has not been completely considered in many studies. Therefore, we proposed a theoretical framework of the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) data assimilation based on the breeding of growing modes (BGM) method. This framework used the BGM method to perturb the initial field error term w of EnKF, and the EnKF data assimilation to assimilate the data to obtain the soil moisture analysis value. The feasibility and superiority of the proposed framework were verified, taking into consideration breeding length and ensemble size through experiments. We conducted experiments and evaluated the accuracy of the BGM and the Monte Carlo (MC) methods. The experiment showed that the BGM method could improve the estimation accuracy of the assimilated soil moisture and solve the problem of model error which is not fully expressed in data assimilation. This study can be widely used in data assimilation and has a significant role in weather forecast and drought monitoring.

2015 ◽  
Vol 42 (16) ◽  
pp. 6710-6715 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jifu Yin ◽  
Xiwu Zhan ◽  
Youfei Zheng ◽  
Christopher R. Hain ◽  
Jicheng Liu ◽  
...  

2010 ◽  
Vol 53 (11) ◽  
pp. 1700-1708 ◽  
Author(s):  
XiaoKang Shi ◽  
Jun Wen ◽  
JianWen Liu ◽  
Hui Tian ◽  
Xin Wang ◽  
...  

2017 ◽  
Vol 555 ◽  
pp. 912-925 ◽  
Author(s):  
Penghui Zhu ◽  
Liangsheng Shi ◽  
Yan Zhu ◽  
Qiuru Zhang ◽  
Kai Huang ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yohei Sawada

Abstract. It is expected that hyperresolution land modeling substantially innovates the simulation of terrestrial water, energy, and carbon cycles. The major advantage of hyperresolution land models against conventional one-dimensional land surface models is that hyperresolution land models can explicitly simulate lateral water flows. Despite many efforts on data assimilation of hydrological observations into those hyperresolution land models, how surface water flows driven by local topography matter for data assimilation of soil moisture observations has not been fully clarified. Here I perform two minimalist synthetic experiments where soil moisture observations are assimilated into an integrated surface-groundwater land model by an ensemble Kalman filter. I discuss how differently the ensemble Kalman filter works when surface lateral flows are switched on and off. A horizontal background error covariance provided by overland flows is important to adjust the unobserved state variables (pressure head and soil moisture) and parameters (saturated hydraulic conductivity). However, the non-Gaussianity of the background error provided by the nonlinearity of a topography-driven surface flow harms the performance of data assimilation. It is difficult to efficiently constrain model states at the edge of the area where the topography-driven surface flow reaches by linear-Gaussian filters. It brings the new challenge in land data assimilation for hyperresolution land models. This study highlights the importance of surface lateral flows in hydrological data assimilation.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tobias Sebastian Finn ◽  
Gernot Geppert ◽  
Felix Ament

Abstract. We revise the potential of assimilating atmospheric boundary layer observations into the soil moisture. Previous studies often stated a negative assimilation impact of boundary layer observations on the soil moisture analysis, but recent developments in physically-consistent hydrological model systems and ensemble-based data assimilation lead to an emerging potential of boundary layer observations for land surface data assimilation. To explore this potential, we perform idealized twin experiments for a seven-day period in Summer 2015 with a coupled atmosphere-land modelling platform. We use TerrSysMP for these limited-area simulations with a horizontal resolution 1.0 km in the land surface component. We assimilate sparse synthetic 2-metre-temperature observations into the land surface component and update the soil moisture with a localized Ensemble Kalman filter. We show a positive assimilation impact of these observations on the soil moisture analysis during day-time and a neutral impact during night. Furthermore, we find that hourly-filtering with a three-dimensional Ensemble Kalman filter results in smaller errors than daily-smoothing with a one-dimensional Simplified Extended Kalman filter, whereas the Ensemble Kalman filter additionally allows us to directly assimilate boundary layer observations without an intermediate optimal interpolation step. We increase the physical consistency in the analysis for the land surface and boundary by updating the atmospheric temperature together with the soil moisture, which as a consequence further reduces errors in the soil moisture analysis. Based on these results, we conclude that we can merge the decoupled data assimilation cycles for the land surface and the atmosphere into one single cycle with hourly-like update steps.


2020 ◽  
Vol 24 (8) ◽  
pp. 3881-3898
Author(s):  
Yohei Sawada

Abstract. It is expected that hyperresolution land modeling substantially innovates the simulation of terrestrial water, energy, and carbon cycles. The major advantage of hyperresolution land models against conventional 1-D land surface models is that hyperresolution land models can explicitly simulate lateral water flows. Despite many efforts on data assimilation of hydrological observations into those hyperresolution land models, how surface water flows driven by local topography matter for data assimilation of soil moisture observations has not been fully clarified. Here I perform two minimalist synthetic experiments where soil moisture observations are assimilated into an integrated surface–groundwater land model by an ensemble Kalman filter. I discuss how differently the ensemble Kalman filter works when surface lateral flows are switched on and off. A horizontal background error covariance provided by overland flows is important for adjusting the unobserved state variables (pressure head and soil moisture) and parameters (saturated hydraulic conductivity). However, the non-Gaussianity of the background error provided by the nonlinearity of a topography-driven surface flow harms the performance of data assimilation. It is difficult to efficiently constrain model states at the edge of the area where the topography-driven surface flow reaches by linear-Gaussian filters. It brings the new challenge in land data assimilation for hyperresolution land models. This study highlights the importance of surface lateral flows in hydrological data assimilation.


2012 ◽  
Vol 212-213 ◽  
pp. 177-180
Author(s):  
Xiao Lei Fu ◽  
Zhong Bo Yu ◽  
Yu Li ◽  
Hai Shen Lv ◽  
Di Liu ◽  
...  

Data assimilation is a method which integrates model and observation. In hydrology, ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) as a sequential data assimilation method is often used to correct model parameters, thus improve the simulated accuracy. In this study, we conduct one numerical experiment to predict soil moisture using the one-dimensional soil moisture system based on ensemble Kalman filter and Simple Biosphere (SiB2) Model at Meilin study area, China. The simulated period is divided into two parts: 0-60h and 60-240h. The results show that EnKF is an efficient method in assimilating the soil moisture, especially in soil surface layer and deep soil layer; in addition, the efficiency of EnKF depends on the selection of initial soil moisture profile. With different initial soil moisture profiles, the performance of EnKF is different at the first few assimilated time, but with time grows, it can improve the simulated accuracy significantly.


2006 ◽  
Vol 134 (8) ◽  
pp. 2128-2142 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuhua Zhou ◽  
Dennis McLaughlin ◽  
Dara Entekhabi

Abstract The ensemble Kalman filter provides an easy-to-use, flexible, and efficient option for data assimilation problems. One of its attractive features in land surface applications is its ability to provide distributional information about variables, such as soil moisture, that can be highly skewed or even bimodal. The ensemble Kalman filter relies on normality approximations that improve its efficiency but can also compromise the accuracy of its distributional estimates. The effects of these approximations can be evaluated by comparing the conditional marginal distributions and moments estimated by the ensemble Kalman filter with those obtained from a sequential importance resampling (SIR) particle filter, which gives exact solutions for large ensemble sizes. Comparisons for two land surface examples indicate that the ensemble Kalman filter is generally able to reproduce nonnormal soil moisture behavior, including the skewness that occurs when the soil is either very wet or very dry. Its conditional mean estimates are very close to those generated by the SIR filter. Its higher-order conditional moments are somewhat less accurate than the means. Overall, the ensemble Kalman filter appears to provide a good approximation for nonlinear, nonnormal land surface problems, despite its dependence on normality assumptions.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document