scholarly journals Modeling the Relationship of Precipitation and Water Level Using Grid Precipitation Products with a Neural Network Model

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (7) ◽  
pp. 1096
Author(s):  
Zeqiang Chen ◽  
Xin Lin ◽  
Chang Xiong ◽  
Nengcheng Chen

Modeling the relationship between precipitation and water level is of great significance in the prevention of flood disaster. In recent years, the use of machine learning algorithms for precipitation–water level prediction has attracted wide attention in flood forecasting and other fields; however, a clear method to model the relationship of precipitation and water level using grid precipitation products with a neural network model is lacking. The issues of the method include how to select a neural network model, as well as how to influence the modeling results with different types and resolutions of remote sensing data. The purpose of this paper is to provide some findings for the issues. We used the back-propagation (BP) neural network and a nonlinear autoregressive exogenous model (NARX) time series network to model the relationship between precipitation and water level, respectively. The water level of Pingshan hydrographic station at a catchment area in the Jinsha River Basin was simulated by the two network models using three different grid precipitation products. The results showed that when the ground station data are missing, the grid precipitation product is a good alternative to construct the precipitation–water level relationship. In addition, using the NARX network as a model fitting network using extra inputs was better than using the BP neural network; the Nash efficiency coefficients of the former were all higher than 97%, while the latter were all lower than 94%. Furthermore, the input of grid products with different spatial resolutions has little significant effect on the modeling results of the model.

2012 ◽  
Vol 605-607 ◽  
pp. 2470-2474 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hai Hua Xing ◽  
Hong Yan Lin

How to build the model represents the complex relationship of data and how to optimize the model has been the core issue of data mining research. BP neural network was able to characterize the nonlinear data relationships by training. But BP neural network is easy to fall into local minimum, and its hidden nodes, the connection weights and thresholds are not easy to determine. To overcome the shortcomings of the BP neural network model, this paper presents an intelligent method based on genetic algorithm optimizing the BP neural network according to the error minimization principle. Experimental results with function approximation and remote sensing image classification indicate that the optimized model can be an effective way to improve forecasting accuracy.


2016 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 942-952
Author(s):  
Xicun ZHU ◽  
Zhuoyuan WANG ◽  
Lulu GAO ◽  
Gengxing ZHAO ◽  
Ling WANG

The objective of the paper is to explore the best phenophase for estimating the nitrogen contents of apple leaves, to establish the best estimation model of the hyperspectral data at different phenophases. It is to improve the apple trees precise fertilization and production management. The experiments were done in 20 orchards in the field, measured hyperspectral data and nitrogen contents of apple leaves at three phenophases in two years, which were shoot growth phenophase, spring shoots pause growth phenophase, autumn shoots pause growth phenophase. The study analyzed the nitrogen contents of apple leaves with its original spectral and first derivative, screened sensitive wavelengths of each phenophase. The hyperspectral parameters were built with the sensitive wavelengths. Multiple stepwise regressions, partial least squares and BP neural network model were adopted in the study. The results showed that 551 nm, 716 nm, 530 nm, 703 nm; 543 nm, 705 nm, 699 nm, 756 nm and 545 nm, 702 nm, 695 nm, 746 nm were sensitive wavelengths of three phenophases. R551+R716, R551*R716, FDR530+FDR703, FDR530*FDR703; R543+R705, R543*R705, FDR699+FDR756, FDR699*FDR756and R545+R702, R545*R702, FDR695+FDR746, FDR695*FDR746 were the best hyperspectral parameters of each phenophase. Of all the estimation models, the estimated effect of shoot growth phenophase was better than other two phenophases, so shoot growth phenophase was the best phenophase to estimate the nitrogen contents of apple leaves based on hyperspectral models. In the three models, the 4-3-1 BP neural network model of shoot growth phenophase was the best estimation model. The R2 of estimated value and measured value was 0.6307, RE% was 23.37, RMSE was 0.6274.


Author(s):  
Lijuan Huang ◽  
Guojie Xie ◽  
Wende Zhao ◽  
Yan Gu ◽  
Yi Huang

AbstractWith the rapid development of e-commerce, the backlog of distribution orders, insufficient logistics capacity and other issues are becoming more and more serious. It is very significant for e-commerce platforms and logistics enterprises to clarify the demand of logistics. To meet this need, a forecasting indicator system of Guangdong logistics demand was constructed from the perspective of e-commerce. The GM (1, 1) model and Back Propagation (BP) neural network model were used to simulate and forecast the logistics demand of Guangdong province from 2000 to 2019. The results show that the Guangdong logistics demand forecasting indicator system has good applicability. Compared with the GM (1, 1) model, the BP neural network model has smaller prediction error and more stable prediction results. Based on the results of the study, it is the recommendation of the authors that e-commerce platforms and logistics enterprises should pay attention to the prediction of regional logistics demand, choose scientific forecasting methods, and encourage the implementation of new distribution modes.


2020 ◽  
pp. 81-86
Author(s):  
Yu.G. Kabaldin ◽  
D.A. Shatagin ◽  
M.S. Anosov ◽  
A.M. Kuz'mishina

The formation of chips during the processing of various materials was studied. The relationship between the type of chips, the type of crystal lattice of the material and the number of sliding systems is shown. A neural network model of chip formation is developed, which allows predicting the type of chips. An intelligent control system for the process of chip formation during cutting is proposed. Keywords: chip formation, crystal lattice, neural network model, type of chips. [email protected]


BioResources ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. 4947-4962
Author(s):  
Jin Yan ◽  
Jianan Liu ◽  
Liqiang Zhang ◽  
Zhili Tan ◽  
Haoran Zhang ◽  
...  

The influence of the process parameters on the mechanical properties of compact wood powder generated via hot-pressing was analyzed through a single-factor experiment. The mechanical properties exhibited a nonlinear trend relative to the process conditions of hot-pressed compact wood powder. The relationship models between the process parameters and the mechanical properties for the compact wood powder were established by applying a multiple regression analysis and neural network methods combined with data from an orthogonal array design. A comparison between experimental and predicted results was made to investigate the accuracy of the established models by applying several data groups among the single-factor experiments. The results showed that the accuracy of the neural network model in terms of predicting the mechanical properties was greater compared with the multiple regression model. This demonstrates that the established neural network model had a better prediction performance, and it can accurately map the relationship between the process conditions and the mechanical properties of the compact wood powder.


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